did what was a typical john mccain move.nd clear his mind, he went to a battle zone. he went to iraq. [laughs] narrator: in baghdad on the 4th of july, surrounded by the military he so admires, john mccain attends a reenlistment and naturalization ceremony. ♪ ♪ - when he got to the ceremony, he saw boots of the guys that were going to be made naturalized citizens there. they had been killed in action, and that got to him. - john came back and told us this story, and he was very emotional, and he said, "i looked at that, and i realized i need to fight as much for my country as they are." narrator: mccain makes a bold tactical move, stripping his campaign to the bare bones and re-launching it as the no surrender tour. - okay, guys. we're having fun now. narrator: while other candidates-- republican and democrat-- distance themselves from the unpopular war in iraq, the maverick john mccain defends it, insisting that victory is within reach. - he told us all that the new campaign theme is he'd rather lose the presidency than los

without john mccain we would have had it done. but john mccain for some reason couldn't get his arm up that day. remember, he goes like that.

you know, without john mccain, we wouldn't have had it done.ald trump knows the reason john mccain could not raise his arms higher. >> this is coming from a president who call, when he visited a cemetery, called dead soldiers suckers and losers. remember that? >> that was more of what joe biden had to say about donald trump on friday in the first biden campaign speech of the year. for some reason, donald trump did not mention that part of biden's speech when he was lying about the biden speech. we will surely be hearing the word democracy in every one of joe biden's campaign speeches this year. and there's another word that has now appeared in the first two campaign speeches of that here by president biden. >> let's be clear, the 2020 election, trump exhausted every legal avenue available to him to overturn the election, every one. but the legal path, just to go back to the truth, that i won the election and he was a loser. [applause] >> loser. no word got donald trump more deeply than the word loser because he has such a perverse with comprehe

and i disagree with john mccain a lot.the fact is people like kari lake, they have no principles. they never had. so, when they have to cast the shadow against the flame of someone like john mccain, they know that that is a very small, small shadow. in order for them to make themselves feel better and stronger, they have to diminish a person like that. fact is, people like kari lake are gonna be forgotten in arizona because no one more so than john mccain and people who support him, both democrats and republicans, are ever going to appreciate or support an election denier like she is. all she could do is really try to tear him down. time will prove that that's not gonna work. it didn't work in 2022. it's certainly not gonna work again in 2024. >> democrats have done well statewide in arizona since joe biden won the state. what would you tell president biden about how to run in your state? he really needs to win it again. he can't lose any of the states that he won before. >> look, in arizona, you need to be fighting for ev

but john mccain for some reason couldn't get his arm up that day. remember? he goes -- like th. mp's distasteful comments again drew the ire of meghan mccain who tweeted this about her father. "my dad was an american hero, an icon, a patriot that will be remembered through history. i cannot buy a bagel without someone approaching me about how much they loved and miss him. trump is a blank election denying huckster whose own wife won't campaign with him." joining our conversation is the retired united states marine corps lieutenant colonel and co-founder of operation saving democracy, amy mcgrath. mara gay is also back with us. thanks to both of you for being with us. colonel mcgrath, i just want to get your reaction first of all. i was saying to mara in the commercial break i don't know who asks donald trump to do this, what he thinks he gets from these random musings about military people and john mccain. but he does it a lot. >> he does. i think he has a personal vendetta against john mccain. i mean, even in death. why? well, john mccain is a thousand times the man that donald

relitigating john mccain years after john mccain had passed away. it is just constantly looking to what happened rather than looking forward. and elections tend to be about what is next. not what just happened. >> and that is one the points that desantis himself has been trying to make. this is the issue. and others too. that this trump is focused an owe the past and this is about the future. let's talk about the nature of this race and the significance of what is going to happen a week from monday. it is about the margin of victory here, that if trump, if polls are correct, trump is heading to a likely victory in iowa. voters will have their say. polls don't cast votes. you but the margin of victory is here. and if trump does win, what does that mean for a haley or desantis, who has put all of his e eggs essentially in the iowa basket. >> and uyou've heard about his campaign and superpac in shambled and he needs to show that he comes in as a strong second and try to blunt nikki haley's momentum as they head into new hampshire where nikki hail yeah

bush -- won iowa got beat down by john mccain in new hampshire. can governor nikki haley, will she be able to say the same things come tuesday night, is there enough time? >> sure. no, there is not. but sure, she can say the same things that we've heard other candidates say. i need to go back because we can't lose sight of a very important point that ali just made in her reporting about the nature of this campaign, what it has done to the point that nikki haley is going around calling herself a tea party governor. -- i worked with the tea party governor, i got her elected in 2010. i know her very well from that standpoint, i know tim scott very well, got him elected in 2010. you could not see, you could not question their conservative bona fides. but here's the question, what will nikki haley say or do that liz cheney has not said and done? in terms of how the party has responded to being a tea party anything, being a conservative anything, it's not about being conservative, this doesn't need to be about conservatism in 2016, this is about trumpis

you how to caller wondering why nobody is talking about the way trump talked about john mccain. why not joseph biden did the funeral for the kkk wizard robert byrd. we could have some real discussions and i agree we should. do i like everything that donald trump says? the whole thing last night was ridiculous. that does hurt him with voters but as far as the illegal activity coming in here and illegal migrants, they are collecting welfare benefits. for lower income families, primarily minority groups, the foodstamp programs was allowed to expire. how does everyone feel about that? host: considering your comments you would agree with the washington times. david bossi is the president of citizens united there is nothing conservative about the amendment if it was charles schumer would not put his name on the bill. there is nothing about a border wall or cracking down on sanctuary cities or increasing the number of border ages. that was said in the washington times op-ed pages. this is sean and saint augustine. -- in saint augustine. caller: the first question, the young lady that w

john mccain, independent voters in new hampshire.ut he actually also won conservatives in that election. nikki haley, this is where she is getting smoked by 50 points among conservatives. that will be a problem for her going forward. lastly, the third metric which is harder to define, but john mccain did 114 town halls and 69 days. nikki haley what i mean is she will pop into a bar or restaurant and will only hold one rally and will not even take questions. new hampshire love the idea of going for the underdog who is really fighting for the vote. you see that not just for president but all up and down the ballot in this swing state in elections. state or anything else. there's been a general impression that she has not been fighting for it enough. her closing rally last night was in salem, new hampshire, a deeply republican vote-rich town on the border of massachusetts. it lasted 34 minutes. this is not exactly the tradition of an underdog going to fight for every last vote. she is not doing mccain tradition that he did, not getting

john mccain, independent voters in new hampshire. he actually also won conservatives in that election. nikki haley, this is where she is getting smoked by 50 points among conservatives. that will be a problem for her going forward. lastly, the third metric which is harder to define, but john mccain did 114 town halls and 69 days. nikki haley has been doing a lot of retail stops. what i mean is she will pop into a bar or restaurant and will only hold one rally and will not even take questions. new hampshire love the idea of going for the underdog who is really fighting for the vote. you see that not just for president but all up and down the ballot in this swing state in elections. state or anything else. there's been a general impression that she has not been fighting for it enough. her closing rally last night was in salem, new hampshire, a deeply republican vote-rich town on the border of massachusetts. it lasted 34 minutes. this is not exactly the tradition of an underdog going to fight for every last vote. she is not doing mccain

number one, john mccain crushed it with independents.independent voters. she's not crushing it. and secondly, john mccain was running with even with republicans, with george w. bush. and right here donald trump is absolutely destroying her among republicans. so, we are over halfway through the new hampshire primary week. and nikki haley has yet to get things going. in fact, in our latest tracking poll, the report that boston globe is doing with suffolk university, she lost two points from yesterday. >> wow. wow! losing two points days before the primary when you are already behind. also, side note. john mccain was not the nominee in 2000. so, copying his playbook, maybe not so wise. james pindell, it's freezing where you are. we thank you for your time. i'm not going to make you do more television. but robert gibbs, you are inside. please stay with me. >>> we have a lot more to get to tonight. >>> the fbi still has a 500,000 dollar reward for any information about who planted the pipe bombs outside the dnc and rnc headquarters the night

but can she pull of john mccain numbers? in 2008 george w.h was with independence so the big question for nikki haley is can you pick up that group that puts enough of a tailwind behind due to a clips the group of vivek ramaswamy and desantis voters that what i believe will be backing trump. >> at mr. plight if you will. nikki haley is already saying listen guys i am the conservative year old a t party governor. this is who you want to return to something that's more quote unquote normal in terms of the republican policy et cetera. do you think that particular message not only resonate with the independents, republicans in new hampshire but also going forward because we have to look ahead and that is what she is looking at and everybody else ig trump has such momentum he will derail her train is sooner than later, what do you see? >> yes that is the big question. nikki haley in her home state now shows 52% supporting donald trump. so, if trump has a good night in new hampshire is very likely to have a good night in south carolina. the folks a

without john mccain, we would have had it done but john mccain for some reason couldn't get his arm up that day. remember. >> now just for those who are not aware, senator john mccain who was a key vote against getting rid of obamacare, the reason that president bitrump i talking about that, but he couldn't lift his arms above his head because of the p.o.w. in a war that he enlisted in as opposed to some individuals who claim to have injuries that they didn't really have to avoid service. this doesn't even shock people any more, i don't think. >> no. look, this is a man who is running a revenge campaign, that is built on grievances, still going after a patriot who died several years ago. right. and then he's rambling on about the civil war and what could be negotiated. i mean, this is -- this is someone who is not up to the job of being president. and i think that to what amanda was saying, his republican opponents need to dive in there. they need to prosecute that case against him. because if they don't do it no one else will. and i think the fitness for office, which joe biden talked

john mccain couldn't get his aarm up that day, remember? >> just for those who are not aware, senator john mccain who was a key vote against getting rid of obamacare, the reason president trump is talking that way is because john mccain, he's passed away, couldn't lift his arms above his head because of the torture he suffered when he was a p.o.w. this doesn't even shock people anymore i don't think. >> no, look, this is a man who is running a revenge campaign that is built on grievances still going after a patriot who died several years ago. right? and then he is rambling on about the civil war and about what could be negotiated. i mean, this is someone who is not up to the job of being president. and i think that to what amanda was saying, his republican opponents need to dive in there, right? they need to prosecute that case against him because if they don't do it, no one else will. and i think the fitness for office, which joe biden talked about in his speech at valley forge, is one of his biggest liabilities. >> trump's liabilities. >>

he went after john mccain yet again. he mocked the late senator for injuries he sustained while serving his country. let's listen to that. >> we're going to fight for much better health care than obama care. obama care is a catastrophe. nobody talks about it. without john mccain, we would have had it done. john mccain for some reason couldn't get his arm up. he goes like that. that was the end of that. >> now mccain's daughter meagan is responding. maybe you saw this. on x she writes trump is a piece of excrement and, you know, she obviously is not -- >> did she actually write excrement? >> no, she did not. i'm trying to keep it classy here on a sunday evening in america. she said trump is a piece of blank. election denying huckster whose own wife won't campaign with him. guys, you know, let's -- let's break this down a little bit. i mean, obviously he's done this before but it also, i think, speaks to there are some ghosts that just haunt him forever, it seems. >> i think it's -- i think you're exactly right. i think he

he was making fun of john mccain. the tough thing is that there is so much garbage being thrown out that we just become numb to it. these are not hostages. these people broke the law. in a the post january 6 party, trump said, he said they should be held accountable. i hear what mike pence says and that is great. i think what you have here is the reality that my former colleagues recognize that what they have done is violated the constitution. they recognize the damage they are doing and the only way they can get through this is if they win. i think they have made the decision that they have to win so that history rewrites the rule. it just makes me sad and angry. it makes me want to double down for this coming year to make sure they don't get into office. >> just to add to what you said about john mccain, he was making from fun of the fact that john mccain could not lift his arms and the reason he could not is because he was a navy flyer and was shot down over vietnam and then tortured for 5 1/2 years. that is why he

john mccain in 2000 won the independent vote by 42 points over george w. bush.that's a level, honestly, that haley's probably going to need to get. she's going to probably have to get around what john mccain did back in 2000, which is sort of a modern record on the republican side there. and again, look at the share of the electorate. 42% in '16, 45% in '12, 37% in 2008. the share of the republican electorate that identifies as independent, so again, all the polls have haley down in this. we've seen late surprises in new hampshire before, the demographics, the ideology in new hampshire on the republican side makes this a -- if she can't win new hampshire, it is hard to find a state on the map, including her home state of south carolina where she could win, and if she's going to again, she's got to drive up a massive number with independents tomorrow, and she can't be losing by 54 points among republican voters. >> vaughn hillyard, ali vitali, dasha burns, and steve kornacki, thank you so very much. >>> up next, breaking developments in trump's e. jean carroll's

john mccain, a big victory. hillary clinton coming back against obama. passion out there with the crowd. was she too timid? i was talking earlier about the fact that she talks about chaos following donald trump. but she's just avoided going for the jugular, if you will. >> she's avoided going for the jugular. that's part of the frustration, i think, amongst her supporters. is she playing it safe because she wants to keep that possibility open that if it's not her she does have a shot potentially at 2028 and she does have a shot at coming back into the trump fold? for whatever the reason, her supporters don't think she's robust enough. the other factor we cannot ignore is the fact that republicans are closing ranks around donald trump. republicans in congress. even some members of congress who live in biden districts, as well as top names like south carolina senator tim scott. that was a huge blow to nikki haley. she appointed him in 2012. one source familiar with his decision tells me that that was in part the timing of it aimed at putting the final nail

every member john mccain with george w. bush sitting in a manchester hotel room the eve of the primary expecting a 20- 30 point win. mccain clocked him. last time around, biden thought he was going to do better. bernie sanders and the team beat him. i am not saying there is a surprise but what i am saying is new hampshire likes to send a surprise. a lot of independent voting. the surprise would not be a big trump win. your poll has 18-19 points. my stupid suspicion, that is a little aggressive. trump goes in tomorrow with 10- 11-12 point edge. if nikki haley can get in the single digits, that would be a big showing and the governor has changed his tune going in tomorrow from she does not need to win, she needs to do well to get momentum. last week, he told me she could win. i think it is trump's to lose but new hampshire likes a prize. >> since trump, and it is a good reminder, certainly, jack. that we have an idea of what voters are going to do. we've been taught that lesson a time or two and it is always an important remi

without john mccain we would have it done. remember, he goes that was the end of that. >> so just from a policy and political perspective, what do you make of his revial of the obamacare issue and some of those old feuds? you think it's helpful for him at this point? >> i think on the obamacare issue, he potentially is helpful for him. but there comes a challenge. from my work in the house republican leadership, we pass a lot of repeal measures for obamacare. some of which were signed into law by president obama. but we weren't very successful in trying to replace obamacare with anything. we had our smartest actors in the room, the committee chairs, people like paul ryan and fred upton, who is no stranger to this audience as with well. we couldn't even get a white paper together. four years of donald trump in the white house, some of that time having a senate majority and house majority, it says he's probably not going to be successful at it again, but clearly, there's a part of the base that wants to hear that message. on the

say she is john mccain in 2000. she doesn't do much in iowa. goes to new hampshire, she gets the big upset. where does she go from there? home state of south carolina, the demographics are very, very different than new hampshire. then a week after south carolina, you're into super tuesday. you're into a lot of states. you have arkansas. you've got tennessee. you've got north carolina. you've got texas. you've got california where the rules have been changed in a way that make it very easy for donald trump to take all 169 delegates. those delegates can add up real fast for donald trump starting on super tuesday. the limitations you see here that i went through with haley on the coalition she put together in iowa last night, they'll not necessarily look large in new hampshire next week, but they'll be huge in the states that come later. >> steve, obviously, i want to stay with iowa, but, first, let's talk about what is ahead. new hampshire obviously ahead next week. if nikki haley wins there, then the space between the new hampshire primary and s

john mccain did that with the deficit, talking about that.george h bush in that race but got 40%, way above the polls. he talked economic nationalism, jobs moving to china, bill clinton turned against president bush in the general election. nikki haley has lacked that in this race, she presented herself as attractive, articulate, youthful, someone you certainly like but at the end of the day, echoing trump on that issue so how does she break free, and 800 pound gorilla. neil: the comeback kid, stories coming out about him and dollars stuff, survived it and went on to get the nomination. why can't nikki haley do the same? you don't have to win it to move on from it. >> i would agree with that. he pushed back aggressively not just today but the past week, she continues to do better than she did 8 days ago in iowa. how close is second? the 10 point margin, the double digit win, donald trump is in the low 50s, it will be the race is over, she's fighting that aggressively. if she can get within 10 points and outperformed the polls, better than peo

bush lost to john mccain and trump could lose potentially to nikki haley and crush this rebellion inouth carolina as bush did with mccain. outcome. host: it is reported heading to south carolina. what could the strategy be there? guest:more conservative state the new hampshire. it's a close primary. i could see he thinks there's may be he has not been polling very well in new hampshire. he has been behind in most polls. chris who has already dropped out of the race. íq■ethiner hampshire even though he got a lot of conservative activists support in the state early on. maybe he is looking ahead. might also be looking t into 's momentum. that becomes a dynamic in the race that i has benefited the former president trump is that you have his two main opponents really have a lot of incentive to go after each other place it becomes easier for hims to hold onto first -- onto first. there's going to be a big sort of expectations game, setting coming out of vaio up. on the oneif you look at his maf victory, 30 points, biggest ever in a competitive iowa caucus, more than double the previous re

my take away is, this was a mitt romney and john mccain party. that was only a decade ago.s was a party that was globalist or internationalist. the lesson of internationalism was american needs to be active abroad. haley is slammed for that. the people who are with trump on america first are old people. so it does not like a new generation came. it is old people who used to be internationalists with reagan and mccain and romney are now america first. that is remarkable. >> the desantis folks have a legitimate gripe about the call from ap. to david's point, a lot of people hadn't even voted. eight: eastern time. the issue for desantis is, whining will only take you so far. you have to give people a reason to vote for you and not complain about the media and talking about stop the steal. >> i think trump continues to benefit of the dueling strategies of his opponents. they can't find a path towards consolidation and they can't find a way to take him on directly and instead, they are taking each other on. that is to his benefit. amy: i agree. this is donald trump's party. nikk

south carolina is where our campaign dies, just with john mccain. if you recall, it got very nasty in south carolina. the race card was pulled on john mccain because of his adoptive daughter who is of color. i think nikki haley is in for a rough ride. she's running for vp. she wants to be careful and doesn't want to tick trump off or his race. >> let's stick with south carolina for a moment. obviously, desantis seems to be prioritizing that state, really presenting or trying to present a challenge to nikki haley on her home turf. if he can eke out a second place finish like he did in iowa, how does that change things if at all for his campaign? >> the fundamental problem for ron desantis is that most of his voters are likely to vote for donald trump. so let's say that donald trump wins new hampshire. then you move on to south carolina. desantis is obviously more likely to place second in south carolina than nikki haley, again, because of that idea of the voter profile and where those voters are registered if we're looking at an idealogical line. mos

he is back to calling john mccain not a hero. he wants to execute joint chiefs of staff and does not want to visit graves because he will get wet. he makes fun of the disabled. he wants our economy to crash in 12 months. he lies constantly. he has divided this country like no other and yet these people still want to support him. if you have children or grandchildren, why will these people wake up and see what this man is doing to our country and god help us if you should ever get near the white house again. guest: there is certainly a cult of personality around trump. just this past week, a hideous comment about john mccain years after he has passed. he talked about the january 6 prisoners as hostages being held in prison. if any other republican candidate said the same thing, vivek ramaswamy has use the same kind of rhetoric but he has lost votes. people are just plugged into his brand and he has sustained some of the scandals that would've taken any other republican out. host: what can would he have to bring in? guest: he would

the head of the world food ogram is senator john mccain's wife, thus an imperialist interest.stood up to the u.s. and china -- i would like to say once again from the river to the seapalestine will be free. guest: i think there is a good point to be made that the yemen civil waras had an impact on the civilian population, all bad. the u.s. has to reduce the use saudi arabia.ns provided the challenge is, how do yo when the yemeni population is caught in the middle? host: we have an independent from colorado. caller: i would like to comment on the administration's handling of gaza and houthi

harry, we do have similar data -- john mccain. people think about john mccain.n mccain won big in new hampshire after barely competing in iowa. this is how he did among independents here. you can see. >> that's exactly right. he overwhelmingly won among independents. this is the type of margin that nikki haley is going to have to do among those undeclareds or independent voters. among republican voters, it was a tight race, mccain barely won. he ran strong throughout the entire state, not just in hampshire. >> one thing i want to talk about, not about any candidate specifically, is about turnout. i think it's a story that we haven't really told that much from iowa. i want to talk about the new hampshire turnout numbers as well to talk about what we're talking about here. what did we see in iowa? >> we saw every caucus go up, 187 in 216. look at that massive dropoff in 2024. just 110,000. in new hampshire, that's a similar trend. up, up, up, up -- if it goes down -- we don't know if what happened in iowa because of the freezing cold temperatures. maybe it was. if

it is a catastrophe, and without john mccain we would have had it done. john mccain for some reason he could not get the arm up there, and he went like that, and that is the end of that. >> and fred, i have to point out here that mccain sustained a series of injuries while serving in the vietnam war which stemmed from his time being held as a prisoner of war for five years, but the broader context around those comments is important to point out here, and it is reviving the health care and wanting to find an alternative to the affordable health care act in recent months and it is something that has alarmed a lot of republicans and many people in the party are scarred by the failure to deliver on the party to dismantle the law while trump was still in office, and they really, and they see this issue as a political loser, but it is something or advice that trump is not heeding while on the campaign trail. fred. >> all right. alayna treene, thank you so much in iowa. >>> make sure to watch the political debate wednesday at 9:00 p.m. moderated by dana bash of

without john mccain, we would have had it done. john mccain for some reason he couldn't get his arm up. remember, he goes like that. he was stuttering through the whole thing. he's a threat to democracy. i'm a -- he's a threat to -- da, da, democracy. wow. >> of course, looming over the campaign this weekend is the third anniversary is the attack on the u.s. capitol. yesterday the justice department released this never before seen footage of rioters confronting two republican congressmen barricaded in the house chamber reminding the nation how brutal the mob was on that day. despite those facts, trump calls those convicted of crimes for their role in january 6th hostages. >> they ought to release the j-6 hostages. they've suffered enough. they ought to release them. i call them hostages. some people call them prisoners. i call them hostages. release the j-6 hostages, joe. release them, joe. you can do it real easy, joe. >> and today prominent members of the republican party continue to parrot trump's incendiary rhetoric. >> i have

the head of the world food program is senator john mccain's wife,ialist interest.outh africa stood up to the u.s. and china -- i would like to say once again from the river to the sea, palestine will be free. guest: i think there is a good pointo yemen civil war has had an impact on the civilian population, all bad. the u.s. has to reduce the use of u.s.eapons provided to saudi arabia. theow do you maintain security in the region when population is caught in the middle? host: we have an independent from colorado. caller: i would like to comment on the administration's handling of gaza and houthis. i think he has exercised great restraint. not to make things any worse over there. helping with shipping internationally and in coalition. people need to understand that. when you have palestinian people dug under hostility. they have to deal with who is very right wing and hard to deal with. i just want to congratulate the admi what they are doing. guest: the administration did a good job of pulling together a coalition to to protect shipping and during these attacks on

john mccain outperformed what he did among republicans by 7 points among independents. so the fact is using independents in new hampshire, it does help to fuel a victory there. >> right, as you point out when you showed gary hart, you showed john mccain who did go onto win. in iowa out there last week you can register as a republican up until caucus day to vote, but you've got to register and be a republican. obviously new hampshire it is extremely different. which has a better record of predicting the eventual nominee? iowa, or new hampshire where independents played an outsized role? >> the answer is new hampshire. in fact, there are only two examples of republicans who lost iowa and won new hampshire and went onto be the nominee. the thing i should also point out polling isn't the only metric. we see it in google searches as well. there are a lot of people interested in nikki haley searching for her. she has twice as many searches in new hampshire as she does in iowa and five times as many in iowa. >> obviously that says so much. harry, thank you very much. and next

just this past week, a hideous comment about john mccain again. years after he's passed. he's talked about the january 6th prisoners, stormed the capitol on january 6th as hostages being held in prison. if any other republican candidate said the same thing, anyone in the race, something about trump, sort of a personality where he people, it's priced into his brand and he was a former president and seen as incumbent has a lot of -- scandals that would take any other republicans. >> he's got to win over the vast share of people that they have wigotten a raw deal economicall. that's the big difference. joe biden was able to win as candidate. look at the chaos. look at the nuttiness. we need to restore the soul of america as he's put it in 2020. joe biden is now the incumbent. he's the person in charge and easier to throw spit balls and easier but he does need to win over people. >> let's hear from tony in kentucky, independent line. >> yes. i am not for trump at all. i am disabled. i didn't like when he mocked the reporter that time. i never have liked him as a person and i

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john mccain lost but he had some success in 2000 which made him more viable in '08. the problem for desantis is what has he done that proves to you he's viable in '28 as a candidate or as an operative? i don't see it. >> chu todd, great to see you up there. thank you, my friend. >> thank you, andrea. >> that does it for this "andrea mitchell reports." follow the show on social media @mitchellreports. come to msnbc.com/andrea. "chris jansing reports" starts right now. >>> good day. i'm chris jansing live at msnbc headquarters in new york city. is it new hampshire or bust for nikki haley? the former governor just hours away from what may be the most critical contest of her political life. can she do well enough to prove she belongs in this race, or will tomorrow's primary be her last stand? >>> trump's political and legal fortunes collide in dramatic fashion. we're waiting to hear whether the judge in the e. jean carroll's case, whether he'll move testimony to tomorrow, primary day in new hampshire. the former president may very well face a choice, the courtroom or the

without john mccain, we could have had it done. for some reason he couldn't get his arm up that day, remember? he goes like that. that was the end of that. >> john mccain, of course, struggled to raise his left arm after he was repeatedly tortured as a prisoner of vietnam. that was a war, of course, trump avoided by requesting five questionable draft deferments. >>> meanwhile for his part president biden delivered a fiery speech on friday that marked the third anniversary of the january 6th insurrection. biden slammed trump, using some of his most pointed language to date against the former president while making his case against voters on why voters should give him a second term. >> hear me clearly. i'll say what donald trump won't. political violence is never, ever acceptable to the united states. it's never, ever, ever. it has no place in a democracy, none. they can't be pro-insurrectionists and pro-american. you have trump and his mag guy guy supporters not only praise it but laugh about it. he talks about the intruder taking a

well, i think the first thing you have to concede is that the basically neocon foreign policy or john mccain foreign policy uh is dominant in both the republican and democratic parties. so that's a major source of where we have a problem here. the american people, majority of the american people are opposed, according to opinion polls, are opposed to both what's going on in gaza and what? going on in ukraine, but they don't have vote in the matter, and um and joe biden has circumvented whatever um limitations were put in place for sending weapons to these people, sending money to these people, and and providing political cover and support, and you better believe there are us boots on the ground in both israel uh and in ukraine right now, so that's been a lie, and biden said yesterday, he said, you know, uh, about the uh the recent attacks on us bases in iraq and syria where where we are at illegally illegally and he said that if uh if some american soldier is killed uh he threaten basically to attack iran. now this is insane this is a this is a policy without a brain and uh it it never seems

john mccain did in 2008 and you win new hampshire.re is going to be a surprise on tuesday night that would probably be haley more than desantis just based on the polling. haley would need independent voters to come through for her and she would need them to come through for her big because if you just take a look at the latest polling we've seen out of new hampshire just this morning, a brand-new poll from the boston globe, nbc 10, suffolk, donald trump with a 19-point advantage over nikki haley in new hampshire in this poll. another recent poll in new hampshire, a 14-point lead for trump over haley. she is now 48 hour away facing what looks like a double-digit deficit in new hampshire, but those independents do loom as the wild card, because as you can see here in both of these polls haley is doing much better with the independent voters than overall. the formula for haley is two part here. number one, she won a big independent turnout. we showed you 45% in 2012. she won something along those lines in the republican primary on tuesda

he lost new hampshire to john mccain. iowa not a great predictor of what's to come. >> i love the history. it's fascinating for those of us who are history buffs. walk us through how the caucuses will unfold and what goes on. >> it all begins tonight at 7:00 p.m. central time in all these counties. there are 99 precincts in iowa. you show up at your caucus site. you sit down and listen to presentations from each candidates team. they send surrogates out. they give a speech. that's step one. step two is you cast a ballot. oftentimes you write it down on a piece of paper. there aren't that many people at each site. they can be quite small. you collect the ballots and. step number three, they count them. they count them and call them into a centralized location. cnn will have people at many of these caucus sites. we may get the results before central headquarters. the republican caucuses tend to move smoothly. by about 8:30 we could see the results roll in. based on the results tonight, delegates get allocated. it's a severa

michael dukakis, john mccain, bill clinton. but those races were wide open. in those december polls, no other candidate was above 25% whereas trump's current support is more than double that. which means there are fewer undecided voters to sway and even if a challenger does surprisingly well in iowa, there is an historical limit to how big of a bump they then receive. i want to know what you think. go to smerconish.com and answer the poll question. is the republican nomination already over? joining me now is g. elliott morris, data analytics. he was a senior data journalist and u.s. correspondent for the economist. and he is the author of strength in numbers, how polls work and why we need them. we'll get to the data in a moment, but the intangible all of a sudden, the weather. going to be cold. to me that says whoever has the most passionate base is going to come out and provide victory for their candidate. your thought. >> yeah, look, it will be minus 20, minus 30 windchill in iowa. i do expect that that will have some impact on the race. we can expect in o

john mccain won that year. so certainly, history, that's the dynamic here 11 days before the voting begins in iowa. >> that's right. we're going to talk more about the history of iowa in a second. one of the things i find interesting, and we always look for heading into voting, is there's the undecideds and then whether they are going to vote. and the enthusiasm question. what are you hearing about that on the ground? >> reporter: organization is what matters. you have to turn up at 7:00 at the same time all across the state to your neighborhood presint loengss. organization is key. so a challenge for nikki haley, who has come on strong at the end, does she is have the organization? ron desantis has been building this organization for more than a year through his superpac as well. so donald trump really has a ground game this time. we have seen a lot of his volunteers in action. they claim they have almost 2,000 precinct captains for all the precincts across the state. so motivation and organization are the two

john mccain pulled out 18-point when the new hampshire primary.ou want to look at two or three metrics, one with support of independent crews would be talking about all morning, he had humongous. nikki haley has a lead. we don't talk about the stuff, john mccain, independent voters but he won conservative in the election in nikki m haley where he's getting smoked. call. the presiding officer: without objection. mr. schmitt: thank you, mr. president. i also ask unanimous consent that william wallace, an intern in my office, be granted floor privileges for the remainder of the congress. the presiding officer: also without objection. before we continue, let me announce that morning business is closed and that under the previous order, the senate will proceed to executive session to resume consideration of the following nomination, which the clerk will report.■b the clerk: nomination, amtrak board of directors, christopher koos of illinois to be a director. mr. schmitt: thank you, mr. president. i point out that the intern, william wallace, should not

john mccain and new hampshire were such a perfect match. and that last week between iowa and new hampshire, mccain just rolled up the score. i was shocked by the margin of victory for mccain. the past week, it's feels as if the haley campaign has had trouble finding traction. getting a good news cycle. it feels as it we've been marking time this past week rather than anticipating primary day. >> i know the polls show that donald trump, his supporters are enthusiastic, but it doesn't feel like 2016 when they were coming out of the woodwork, at least not to me i'm wondering if you're seeing that. >> i think trump is hoping for business as usual. that republicans show up, conservatives and vote and that's the end of it. it's nikki haley who needs to have an unusually great day like with huge turnout, people come out of everywhere, independents and so forth. >> of the voters we had been speaking to, independents were saying they were voting for nikki haley today. of the voters coming out, she's doing what she needs to do. but it will depend on h

going against the military saying john mccain wasn't a hero. st: john in ventura, california, republican line. what do you think? caller: biden called trump a loser but i'm calling biden a trader and all the black people sitting there getting undermined by illegal immigration, they are taking your jobs. i've seen it, i lived and worth -- worked in south-central l.a. and they are coming into your neighborhood and taking your jobs and biden ms. up there telling you they are not. what a trader. host: that is john from california. if you want to talk about the president's speech yesterday. >> president biden's visit to stoke fears as numbers are dropping amongst all minority groups is remarkable. it's also indicative of the fact that people of color, americans across this nation are losing confidence in this president because of the economy is volatile. crime is raging. education for the poorest people in america seems elusive. what does president biden do? comes to charleston with fear. america is the greatest nation on the planet. let's unite this

without john mccain we wouldn't have that. but he was like this, couldn't get his arm up remember that. >> and talking about president biden who had a well known stuttering problem when he was younger. >> crooked joe is staging his fear mongering event in pennsylvania today. he was stuttering through the whole thing. he's a threat to democracy. they've weaponized government. he's saying i'm a threat to democracy. he's a threat to de, de, demom a si. de de demock are -- demock are si. he said i'm a threat, he doesn't know what the word means. he's a threat to democracy. define democracy, joe. that's not a fair question. no, the guy can't find steps to a platform. he makes a speech he can never find the damn steps. the steps, or you jump out the front. when you make a speech, his speeches last about three minutes. you know why? he runs out of fuel. he runs out of fuel. the fuel doesn't last very long. >> and this is trump repeating his praise for the authoritarian ruler of china, xi jinping. >> somebody asked me is president xi

michael dukakis, john mccain, and bill clinton. but those races were wide open. in those december polls, no other candidate was above 25%, where trump's current support is more than double that, which means there are fewer undecided voters to sway, and even if a challenger does surprisingly well in iowa, there's a historical limit to how big of a bump they receive. i want to know what you think. go to my website at smerconish.com and answer today's poll question, is the republican mnomination already over? joining me is g. elliot morris, analytics at abc news, senior journalist for the economist, and the author of "strength in numbers: how polls work and why we need them" and we'll get to the data in a moment. the intangible, the weather is going to be cold. to me that says whoever has the most passionate base is going to come out and provide victory for their candidate. your thought? >> yeah, look, it's going to be minus 20, minus 30 wind chill in iowa. i do expect that that will have some impact on the race. we can expect, in other words, some level of polling