with us is jon cohen from surveymonkey.have been talking for months about a narrow electoral path for donald trump. how narrow is that right now? >> it is extraordinarily narrow right now and has closed a lot in the last six weeks since the debates. they did not help him nationally and it is not helping him in the states. he has a very narrow path that goes through the midwest. clinton is now contesting in places trump should not be defending like arizona and texas. john: john heilemann here. i have been looking at your polling over the last month. i know you look at it all the time. we just finished the big three debates. some think they were masterful performances by hillary clinton and moved the needle in terms of how the election is being fought on the ground. the impact of the tapes donald trump had to suffer from and the accusations, what has been the effect of all the stuff that has happened? >> it is collateral damage to the trump campaign. on the democratic side, democrats have become increasingly supportive of cli

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