i'm going go to jon ralston on this.s idea that anybody can win these things at this point is true by history. it is a fact that these people, even john kerry seemed like mr. establishment. they were nowhere in the race. howard dean had it looked it looked like. jimmy carter was jimmy who. and this was in january. we're speeding up this process now. but one thing that strikes me, nothing's moved since last june, and that's my question to everybody here. how come if anything can happen, nothing's happened except warren has moved up a bit. nothing's happened. >> i think it's interesting, chris, in the sense that biden has taken some blows and he still has a sizable lead, except for that one outlier monmouth poll over everybody else. i don't think that's insignificant. but as much as a nevada partisan as i am, i have to say of the john delaney is right in the way the presidential campaigns are covered, everything will crystallize in iowa, and then it will either be okay, it looks like everything is the same in the top three