jon tester in montana. angela has the advantage here. once she gets known, once people understand the consequences if she doesn't win we are confident not only will she went but she's going to win by a good margin. >> all right. lisa from tbs to my left. >> first can you talk more about the ground game and how you see the republican ground game this year? the trump campaign says exchange though vote -- they're not doing the same canvassing that the republican party did before. using small groups. how do you see the republicans are doing nationally in terms of how the stay campaign? what is your ground game like this year? >> yeah, so first off our grand cable be similar to what we did last cycle. in fact, yesterday we announced more resources over ground game nearly $25 million from the dncc to work on that. so same kind of mechanism in place. the one advantage that we have versus last cycle when comes to the ground game is we are in battleground states with kamala harris on the ballot so the dnc their grou

trey: jon tester has been tested before, different years, different candidates that he won in a red state those of us that don't live in montana are wondering how, how can he win an estate is greatest montana. >> is important to remember that a lot of our states and landscapes have about this past several years it used to be purple and now red and some b blue, the reality montana has become better and better over the past few cycles for one simple reason the democrat party continue the champion policy that are bad for america and bad for rural america and bad for montana whether it's energy, waging war on are: oil and gas and shutting down the keystone xl pipeline and open up our southern border and flooding our states with drug, fentanyl and crime, the democrat party and jon tester voted with them every single step of the way he's been a supporter of the bride inheres agenda and voted to impeach trump twice, voted against court nominees that trump forward he is been a rubberstamp for the bride inheres agenda and montana realizing that in the last three and half years you can't run from t

jon tester is no moderate and wearing cowboy boots and a cowboy hat doesn't change that. survived in the past. we will see if he survives thish recent challenge from former navy seal, current u.s. senate candidate tim chee he. welcome, tim, thank you forwe joining us and thank you for for your service to the country. >> thank you for your service and it is an important time fo r this nation so many great voicep to speak the truth. >> jon tester has been tested before different years,t differenyet candidates but one n a red state and those who don' t live in montana are wondering how he can live in a state as red as montane of. >> well, listen it is important statesmber a lot of the and landscapes has evolved the past several years in a state that used to be purple and now red and blue but montana is redder and redder over the past few cycles for one simple reason ovethe democrat policies that e bad for america.th pad for rural america and bad for montana whether energy waging war on oil and coal. shutting down ththe e xl pipelie and opening up the border and flooding our

> i'm jon tester and i approve this message. >> i am a lifelong republican. women need is having the government tell us what we can do with our own bodies. tim sheehy wants to let politicians ban abortions even here in montana. she he wants to take away our personal freedoms. he must think he knows better than women then -- and there doctors. i'm sure not voting for that rich out-of-state or tim sheehy. say no to tim sheehy before our reproductive freedom is gone for good. >> joining us now is the happy warrior jon tester running for re-election to the united states senate and the democrats are just asking for one more miracle from you, a winning senate seat in the republican state of montana. >> we are on the right track to do exactly that. the people of montana know me, the ones who have moved in over the last few years are getting to know me. they understand that i am a lifelong montandon. i basically have lived within 100 miles of where i was born my entire life. i understand issues abound freedom. i understand issues of healthcare and public lands and di

we have senator raphael warnock joining us and senator jon tester. >> exciting. you could maybe pass a bill, because they can't seem to. enjoy that room, lawrence. have a great show. >> thank you. thanks, alex. >>> all abortion bands are the same, but some abortion bands pretend to be different. >> i believe in the exceptions for rape, incest and life of the mother. i believe strongly in it. >> if the trump abortion ban in your state includes exceptions, how do you qualify for those exceptions? each of those abortion bans that include exceptions include strict legal rules for qualifying, rules that are designed to be impossible to comply with. how do you prove to the abortion ban authorities in your state that you are raped? how do you prove to the authorities that you were raped by your stepfather? >> i've never slept a full night in my entire life. i was five years old when my stepfather abused me for the first time. i just felt like i was alone on a planet with a monster. i was 12 when he impregnated me. i just remember thinking, i have to get out of my skin.

jon tester's been in there way too long. audience the aarp poll of that race which has she he leading 5 a 1-% to 45%. what are you see having on the ground as you campaign across montana? >> we're seeing a tremendous amount of enthusiasm. people are ready for new leadership here. they recognize that jon tester's been a rubber stamp for the biden-harris-walz agenda for the last three and a half years. frankly, he's been in elected office, state and federal, for almost 30 years, so he's been a reliable progressive that entire tame. -- time. but the last three and a half years we've had the white house passing incredibly progressive legislation that is harming everyday montanans from inflation to open border, anti-energy policies. hay correctly attribute much of that to jon tester who voted with biden-harris every single time it mattered, voted against every single one of trump's judicial nominees, battled all of trump's cabinet secretary appointments, many of whom would have been transformational for the v.a. and helped our ve

governor bullock, let's start with democratic senator jon tester, who is a good friend of yours.ved with his campaign. what does he need to do to win re-election in montana? >> look, i have known jon tester since his first day of state senate and he is the same person that he was dead. and folks, now that it is layered -- labor day, pay attention. john will be all over the state and if you think since labor day, it's been reported in the last week that -- business isn't bad straits. his statements about native americans who make up 6% of our population. the national abortion ban, the transfer of public lands. so now what we are getting into at this point, is that senator tester will be all over the state talking to folks about why they sent him to washington, d.c. in 2006, 2012 and 2018, and he is as real as he can get --. >> to follow-up, is he going to have to run against the democratic nominee, kamala harris? he did not attend the democratic national convention in chicago and has not endorsed vice president harris. is this a winning strategy in montana which overwhelmingly goe

jon tester, in his estate. people know him. they respect him, and that makes the difference. we are seeing some polling numbers. they're all over the place for our polling still shows we're in a good place but use other polling that people will look at. i'm going to warn folks it is really hard. always hard, really hard to pull in montana, top. it's a small state, world state, always tough. right now because of the attention montana has got all of the tension in the whole country because of this really big race but you talk to folks much of their think we have like la pollster calls every day. people really do not like being called by a pollster every day. they usually say the the about. they're usually using language much more colorful than i would use you at the press club, a like i'm not going to talk in the pollsters. quite frankly i don't know who's talking to pollsters anymore in montana because they're fed up with all that. i would take that with a real grain of salt. i kind of compare what's happening in montana to what happened in another race in montana, small state

next, can jon tester fight political gravity in win reelection? to the senate in montana? democrats fading hopes it keeping control. the senate rests on that answer and later, the strange story of the congressional candidate who bought his friends family for a campaign photoshoot, stay tuned you look at the news of the weekend as questions like, what does a comedy show doing on cnn that's too much i want donald now, can you slice that my got news for you saturday at nine on cnn thig but we have no idea what we're dealing with my small not break hold it together to credit, we know you need to fund your business on time. when businesses good, it could be time to expand, time forbids to credit when bills are piling up, you might need extra cash to get ahead. >> time for vista credit, our fast and convenient online process makes it easy to get the funding you need when it's time to take your business to new heights, bids to credit makes it possible go to busy to credit.com slash time or call 800, 200 to 891 biz to credit funding. >> what's next? >> no matter what kind of teeth

and jon tester still won. i think what you'll see, it's been tight it's been margin of error, racist and montana are always sort of the margin there. >> dozens or hundreds is separate. >> here, i think i won by 3,753 votes the first time i got elected for something like that. but i think what we'll see is tester out there doing what he does, protecting veterans, talking about public lands, talking about actually, we also have this time a ballot initiative to protect abortion rights so you just saw harry's analysis there and you saw that vice president harris as a net positive favourability from very net negative favorability, someone asks this question to waste, what is it you think her campaign has done, right? >> or is doing right? >> yeah john, i think you saw even from when she started talking about not just the threat that donald trump could be to democracy, but what can be done for folks then also she hasn't just, she and here are tim walz hasn't just campaigned in the urban areas they've been in the rur

even though montana is a red state, they like jon tester. cond is about making sure this ace -- raises about control of the senate and saying that if you vote for tester, you're going to empower these other democrats that have control of power in washington so the republicans want to make it national issues, the democrats want to make it individual. right now the national messages living republicans seem to have a pretty good lead. in number of independent rating injuries -- indices, it's looking like that is maybe after west virginia carolyn massachusetts, republican, good morning. my question is hillary clinton whoever that group is, so she's not really to me illegitimate candidate because there are other people who are possibly eligible for that position, but never given the chance to apply for it or whatever. so what is your opinion about what happened? to me it was like a hoax. host: -- guest: hugely unusual, nothing i can remember in my time covering politics has unfolded like that. joe biden had the primary vote, to become the nominee.

i caught up with the montana senator jon tester. he's actually the one senator who is not in doors seeing kamala harris right now. and i asked him if they'll you do with the fact that he's running in a red state and trying to hang onto his seat reasonable. >> you're not endorsing harris, is that if you did, it would be a problem for you and your client? >> not at all. no, not at all. i want to talk about montana. i'm running against a guy from minnesota that does know montana. he wants to talk about anything but montana. i won't talk about my case i want to talk about health care. i want to talk about public lands. want to talk about distance. i want to talk about everything and he does not want to do that. why? because he doesn't know the issue, doesn't know any of those issues because he's not from montana and so that's that's the reason that's the only her politics to block from montana. our politics too liberal that's for the people of montana and to the side on how i asked his opponent, tim sheehy to respond is off office campa

. >> viewers have seen jon tester of montana and others on this program explaining in their word the miracle of how they managed to get reelected in those republican states. so i think there is a certain familiarity and i know jon tester has the toughest campaign of anybody but talk about the two possibilities you see, the two most likely possibilities you see to pick up and add to the democratic majority or as insurance policies for the possibility of losing one of the democratic incumbents. >> we do have to pick up these opportunities and we will go on the offense and we will do everything we can that we hold the states where we have a democratic incumbents now. but we have to go on the offense because the stakes are high. florida and texas provide that opportunity to us and we have outstanding democratic candidates in both those states and they are running against what i call flawed republican candidates that don't represent the interest of their state. they are out of touch with a majority of people in those states and it gives us a real opportunity. in florida for example agains

and the incumbent senator jon tester is one of the last world democrats.ormer president trump won by 16 points in 2020. the aarp poll taken at the end of august has tim sheehy up over jon tester, making it to make it a pickup opportunity. republicans will take at least 51 seats on election night will democrats will take at least 47. a good night for the g.o.p. could lead to a 53-47 majority if those toss-ups in ohio and nevada go republican. a good night for democrats at this stage would still be a 51-49 g.o.p. majority. on the house side of the capital, the forecast is a toss-up. our power rankings production is 208 republican seats, 205 205 democrat seats, with 218 the magic number, and 22 toss-up districts. our team's assessment of a good night for democrats is a 227-211 majority while a good night for the g.o.p. could be 230 republicans to 205 democrats. some of the movement, california 45 and nebraska, now seen as toss-ups. iowa's first district, which we projected to be likely republican, is also now a toss-up. then to the governor's races. washingto

democrats are straining to hold the seat held by senator jon tester of montana, sherrod brown in ohioost as difficult as jon tester's and this year, the maryland senate seat occupied by democrat big -- ben carson is currently at risk because he decided not to run for re-election, which helped republicans to convince the popular former republican governor of maryland larry hogan to run for that senate seat and try to flip control of the senate to the republicans. democrat angela alsobrooks, the current executive of prince george's county of maryland is the democratic nominee for senate in maryland. >> whoever is in the majority controls the agenda. in this race i want to level set. mitch mcconnell level -- hand- picked [ inaudible ] larry hogan. he said it was his top recruit because they share something in common. that is that they desire to have the republicans be in control of the senate. the question is not whether or not you like larry hogan. it's not whether it's a good idea to vote for him for governor. the question we are answering is who should have the 51st vote. >> joining u

senator jon tester, when he's on the campaign trail, he is really kind of blamed a lot of the out ofd to the state. if you dig into his policy positions, he's put forward a couple ideas. grants to expand affordable housing as well as make repairs, as well as a tax credit for developers who are willing to sell property to groups of montana residents hoping to keep the costs low. republican tim sheehy blamed inflation and, of course, blamed inflation or biden and tester, but he's also talked about the need to have more trade workers, electricians and plumbers and hvac specialists. i've spoken to builders in the area who say, yeah, they only choose between three or four different subcontractors. that really does drive the price up because there's just not that competition. so a couple different ideas there from the democrat and republican side. a very, very tight race here in montana. >> emily, thank you for that. julian, if democrats are to keep control of the senate, jon tester almost certainly needs to win, ruby red state, montana. i did a little googling. they've already spent, just

in montana, jon tester is facing a tough challenge. again, a state that will vote for trump by 15-20 points. tester, a political survivor survived before. he will have to get one out of every three supporters to vote for him. that is a tall order in this environment. in the house we don't have nearly as much polling data, you have about 50 seats i would say between those that are true topics between those leaning one way or the other way. i think whoever winds up having the better night, which ever party wins the white house will probably win the majority of those seats. they would have a small majority like the republicans have now. you have the era of small majorities. host: we thank you for your time, how could people find your site. guest: realpolling.com. host: the co-founder is facebook.com/c-span or you can post on x at @cspanwj. here's the argument made in -- on support for harris. "she stands alone in the race. she may not be the perfect candidate for every voter, especially those frustrated and angry about government failures

jon tester knows how to do this. we knew the race would be very close in the margin of error. and we turned folks out. this is a smaller state. where they matter and as authentic as you could possibly get in the state of montana. and he is going to run strong. he's going to run hard. i believe he'll win. >> and let me get your reaction to something that larry hogan had to say today on one of the sunday shows. >> i think i've been one of the leading voices for my party for quite some time. and i'm continuing to do that as we are running ahead of donald trump in our state. and i have a completely separate identity after being governor for two terms in the blue state or one of the blue states of america. >> and senator peters, is that going to fly? >> no. and it is absolutely false. he's a republican. let's be very clear. he is a republican. if you were to win the seat in maryland, he will vote with the republicans, which could give them the majority. if they have the majority, they could block kamala harris as the incoming president on everything. it would be difficult for them

senator jon tester faces a big battle in keeping his seat.a central part of his campaign. d.j. smith, the president of the montana association of realtors told me an increase of people moving into the state are driving up housing prices beyond what most montanans can accord. >> people in colorado and california would sell for millions and have equity to purchase here in montana. we've seen that. that's led to 30% of our homes, record number of homes last year, bought with cash. >> reporter: tester has several proposals to make housing more affordable. this includes a tax credit for owners in housing communities to sell parcels of land to montanans. his republican opponent is railing against high home prices. he focused on the shortage of the labor in the state. the owner of the company that built this home said a lack of labor is driving up costs. >> if you have a pool of three or four subcontractors to use, and not 30 or 40, you will have not as competitive a market as you do in other areas of the nation. >> reporter: one of the proposals is

in the state of montana shows republican tim sheehy is leading the democratic and come but their jon tester the gop win in that race could be enough to tip control of the senate come november. to discuss, basil and michael steele, former chairman of the republican national committee. you are a democratic strategist. how do you see the race for the senate right now? >> it is tough because there is a suggestion now that whoever wins that montana race wins the senate. we've seen polls tightening in ohio, pennsylvania, west virginia, that's likely going to go republican without mention so it really does come down to this montana seat. unfortunately, testers opponent is leading in the majority of categories we would test. it's remarkable that he has even done as well as he had multiple terms in a deeply red state but it does not look great right now. he did not endorse kamala harris. we should say that, as a democrat he did not endorse kamala harris. don't know if that is a winning strategy. we will find out but it is clear there has been concern around his seat and the chances of republicans co

. >> viewers of this program have seen jon tester of montana and sherry brown of ohio on this program, sometimes together. explaining in their words, the miracle of how it will go statewide. there's a certain familiar view on the map. and to pick up and add to the democratic majority or as insurance policies for the possibility of losing one of the democratic incumbents? >> we do have pick up opportunities. we have to do everything to make sure we have a state, but we need to go on the offense. the stakes are both high. we have outstanding democratic candidates in the state. and that do not represent the interest of their state. they are out of touch with the majority of the people in our state, and give us real opportunity. in florida against rick scott, he has extreme positions on abortion. in florida, there will be an abortion rights into the country. that can drive out their rights are not taken away. she needs help on the ground. she needs financial help. and colin allred in texas, a fantastic congressman. taking on ted cruz. ted cruz, whose popularity has continued to decline ov

it's been represented for nearly two decades by democrat jon tester, fake conservative democrat.s-up to now leaning republican. but there are two toss-up states that are also out there. nevada and ohio. things are looking really good for the g.o.p. in the buckeye state. for the first time republican bernie moreno is leading democrat incumbent sherrod brown. two new polls rmg research have moreno up by 2 points. trump is up by 11 points in the rcp average. bernie moreno joins me now. bernie, great to see you. the "new york times" polling average has trump up as i said about 10 or 10 in ohio. that's obviously lifting you up. what can you tell us about the mood that you're finding out there? i know you have involved in little controversy in the last couple days. we will get to that in a minute. why are the voters of ohio getting just fed up with the status quo? >> well, laura, they are sick and tired of career politicians that put the interest of foreign nationals and foreign countries ahead of american citizens, it's that simple. also sick and tired of career, forever politicians l

the big change was montana represented for nearly two decades by democratm to jon tester, fake conservativeng from a toss u to winningst republican. but thy are two toss-up state out there nevada and ohio. things areth looking good for the g.o.p. and the buckeye state for the first time republican bernie moreno is leaning democrat incumbent sherrod brown. two new poles have merino up two points and trump is up there 11 points and the rcp average and ernie marino joins me now. great to see you then "new york times" polling average ha is trump up 10% or so and ohio. that is obviously lifting you up. what can you tell us aboumoodt the mood thatu are finding out and i know you are involved in a littleli controversy the last couple of days but we will get to that in a minute. why are the voters of ohio getting fed up with the status quo? >> laura, they are sick andreig tired of career politicians that put the interest of foreign nationals in foreign countries ahead of american citizens. that simple. they are sick of career politicians likewas sherrod brown. he went into election when richard nix

democrats have to win all of the reelection campaigns including difficult states like montana where jon testerning list is florida. winning florida could insulate democrats from the possibility of losing any of the reelection campaigns. abortion is on the ballot in florida, potentially driving up voter turnout to support a popular amendment that would add reproductive rights to the state constitution and permanently undo the abortion been in florida signed into law by republican governor ron desantis. after watching vice president harris crush donald trump on the debate stage on tuesday, florida republican senator rick scott seems afraid to debate his democratic opponent, our next guest, debbie mucarsel- powell. >> are you going to debate your opponent in florida? >> i'm watching to see if she will travel the state. she spends all her time in miami. i continue to travel the state. >> do you think it is a close race? >> i will work -- >> but it sounds like you want debater? >> we will see what happens. >> rick scott, running to be the republican majority leader in the senate next year if he win

all of their re-election campaigns including in difficult states for democrats like montana where jon tester democrats are trying to add to their winning list is florida. winning florida could insulate democrats from the possibility of losing in any of the re- election campaigns. abortion is on the ballot in florida, potentially driving up turnout in support of a popular amendment that would add reproductive rights to the state's constitution and permanently undo the abortion ban in florida signed into law by republican governor ron desantis. after watching vice president harris crushed donald trump in the debate on tuesday especially on the subject of abortion florida senator rick scott seems afraid to debate his democratic opponent, or next guest, debbie mucarsel-powell. >> i'm washing to see if she's going to start traveling the state. she spends all her time in miami. >> there have been some polls that show the races pretty close. >> i'm going to work my butt off and win. >> rick scott, who will be running to be the republican majority leader in the senate next year if he wins, if republ

let's just say for the sake of argument that jon tester, the incumbent holds on to that seat.they do have the advantage. give them three states except montana where the democrat is trailing. in maryland they haven't seen a republican senator since the 1980s even though republican governor larry hogan is expected to make it a close race. angela democrat has the edge there. we will give maryland to the democrats. in west virginia, democrat turned independent senator joe manchin not running for re-election and attorney and real estate broker glen elliott is hoping to keep that seat on the democratic side. that is a tall order. because the state is becoming more and more red in recent years. we can expect republican governor jim justice to take that seat and flip it to the republicans and there you see 50-46. that leaves michigan, wisconsin, nevada, arizona, republicans need one more seat in this scenario to take over control. democrats would need all four. the national republican senate committee chair steve daines recently acknowledged fundraising gaps with democrats. he said th

senate this november, the political report is moving the montana senate race trina cabinet democrat jon testerbusinessmen tom sheehy to lean republican from tossup after recent polls show sheehy opening i consistently crystal ball changing the race projects in favor of republicans last week the montana senate race has been one of the most-watched races the cycle since the result could tip control of the senate from democrats to republicans. disaster averted at the national nashville international airport after tip lines narrowly escaped a collision on the tarmac and alaska airlines blowing out its tires in order to avoid colliding with selfless jet the alaska flight 120 miles per hour when it's all the other plank crossing his plot in japan causing her to slam brexit aborted takeoff the pilot was given the okay from air traffic control to take off but so was the southwest pilot the faa says this close call is clearly under investigation. alaska southwest shares relatively flat. finally it was young conservatively on "mornings with maria" and you asked all of you guessed how much social media p

. >> i will vote for trump, but i am voting for jon tester.n 2020, trump won their states by six and 18 points. a common theme for tester and brooks, running on abortion. >> it is a woman's right to make our own health decisions. lisa: hogan described himself as pro-choice this year. >> i ran for governor promising to protect abortion rights and cap that promise for 10 years. now i will be a sponsor to codify roe and ivf. lisa: have you used the phrase pro-choice publicly? >> no, because i have my own personal feelings about it, but i would never get between a woman and a doctor to make her own decisions. lisa: democrats point out he vetoed of bill to block access that would have allowed nurse practitioners and others to perform abortions. when they over held the veto he held back funding for training. while colin supports hogan's approach, it is -- split tickets will determine the shape of washington next year. i'm lisa desjardins in annapolis, maryland. geoff: for more on the 2024 race, we turn the analysis of brooks and capehart. that's new

montana is the most republican state after west virginia that democrats hold, and jon tester, the incumbentd on. he's been there since 2006 in part because he was able to rise above partisanship. he was not as associated with the national democratic brand. that's getting harder and harder to do in this era. he has a very strong opponent, probably the strongest that he has ever had, and polling is showing that, you know, he's running behind not just where a democrat needs to be to win over running behind his republican opponent, so this -- so as montana goes, likely also goes the senate, so if democrats are not able to hold onto man -- onto montana, even if they win the presidency, holding onto the senate becomes difficult if not impossible. amna: thank you so much. ♪ geoff: scientists project sea levels around parts of florida could rise as much as eight feet over the coming decades. the majority of miami-dade county is roughly six feet above the ocean today. one local artist is doing when he can to sound the alarm. jeffrey brown reports from miami for our ongoing coverage of the intersecti

montana, this isn't a competitive seat when it comes to the presidential race, but the fact that jon testerently holding one of those seats, that's what really makes this competitive, and honestly, democrats looking at the map, there are so many places where they could potentially just lose one person and lose control of the senate, but this race in montana, it is definitely the hardest on the map when you look at just the difference between how folks voted for trump and how they voted for the senate candidates. >> super interesting. did you say how much that house is behind you again? >> $3 million. >> and there's one -- $3 million, and the one i'm standing on is $2.8 million. it does come with a wine fridge, though. >> we unplugged our wine fridge. the kids just opened it and throw the bottles everywhere. and they cost like a hundred dollars on amazon. $2.8 million on a house. >> or costco. >> emily, thanks. >>> still to come, fantasy picks to power your portfolio. we drafted our own teams to drive big games this season. we'll bring you our special lineup when "power lunch" returns. power

tossups nevada and ohio, and leaning republican montana which are to be a pickup currently senator jon tester'shouse i got good night, majority of 227-211 with 218 needed to be majority party. good night for republicans, 30 g.o.p. seeds now do hundred and five democrats. the 20 tuesdays that will determine whether it's a good night for one party or the other are basically multiple races in arizona, california, michigan, ohio and pennsylvania who could be a very nervous night as we wait to find out of there will be a republican speaker or a democrat, marsa? >> martha: lots of reasons for people to stay tuned all night long. let's take a look at some of the house races we will be watching, get familiar with some of these races across the country that will be a focus that evening. here is a crime a current breakdown, let's take a look back republicans have a three seat majority and let's look at north carolina for a moment here, where pro -- former president trump was campaigning, speech about the economy and the iranian threat he says exist against him. maryland ballads are on their way now to vo

if these polls hold, it looks like montana's democratic senator, jon tester, could be unseated for the time in nearly two the decades by republican and navy seal tim sheehy, $120 million have been spent on that race thus far. we are six weeks until the election. voting has already started in almost half the country,this is how it looks. 40 something days to go. anyone's game. stuart: in montana that spending works out to over $150 -- lauren: per voter. stuart: how about that? and there's still $100 million still to be spent. how about that? a thanks, lauren. trump declined another debate, but he has agreed to what we're going to call dueling town halls. tell me more about this. lauren: this is on univision next month. trump's downtown hall, october 8th, miami. harris, two days after that in vegas, and enrique a acevedo will moderate both. hispanics are the largest minority in the united states, that voting bloc, 36 million strong. this is a key demographic. unfortunately, separate town halls, the candidates won't be together. stuart: got it. thanks, lauren. trump revealed his plan to b

democratic incumbent jon tester is seeking a fourth term against republican tim sheehy.rst time tester will be on the same ballot as donald trump who won montana by 16 points in 2020. the democrats are planning to spend nearly $45 million in ads to helpest ther in the final weeks -- tester. trump held a rally in montana last month to the help sheehy in the race. we're joined by faith bottom and kilometerrist kim strassel. -- columnist. faith, welcome. tell us about the fact tester has a tough one this time. tell us, first, about his challenger, sheehy. >> yeah. so tim sheehy's a great candidate for the republican party in montana, you know? he is a navy seal, he has a bronze medal for heroism. he has a purple heart. he, you know, moved the montana and started his own forest fire fighting company. you know, he's a cattle farmer there. he's young, he's lively, you know? he's very well set up in the state, and, you know, it's a trump election, a lot of working class voters are really interested in trump and a lot of those voters are going to be interested in sheehy as a wel

for example senator jon tester in montana who has voted against protecting women and girls in sports.values. if that base knew that and of course this is a candidate who offered to pay female collegiate athletes for their endorsement. if montana knew that they would be appalled. i know that, he knows that. the american public knows that. >> brian: one issue that america care about and that's abortion, right? >> yeah. that's what democrats want people to believe when we look at the issues that concern not only women but the fathers of young girls, the fathers of young girls. people directly being impacted by this broader issue that democrats are rejecting the broader something objectively and biologically scientifically true it exposes the insanity of their issues. huge contrast that transcends partisan politics at the top of the ticket between kamala harris and donald trump and in so. these critical, federal races u.s. senate in congress. i'm glad that riley is leading the charge here to have the score cards so voters know before they head out and votes. >> brian: trans fixside great.

democrats are straining told the senate seat occupied by jon tester of montana, who has remarkably beena state that is overwhelmingly republican. sherrod brown is facing a reelection challenge almost as difficult and this year the maryland senate seat is suddenly at risk because ben cardin decided not to run for reelection, which helped republicans convinced the former republican governor of maryland, larry hogan, to run for the senate seat and try to flip control of the senate to republicans. democrat angela alsobrooks, the current executive of prince george's county maryland is the democratic nominee for senate in maryland. >> whoever is in the majority controls the agenda. so in this race i want to level set. mitch mcconnell can't pick larry hogan for a reason. he said he can't believe it. his top recruit. because larry hogan, mitch mcconnell and donald trump share something in common. that they desire to have republicans in control of the senate. the question is not -- it is not even whether or not it is a good idea to vote for him for governor. the question we are answering is who

in places like wisconsin, with tammy baldwin and nevada with jacky rosen, sherrod brown in ohio, jon tester in montana, bob casey in pennsylvania. and then you go to the next step, which is the races in texas and in florida, where we're getting closer and closer and closer as every single week goes by. and then in the house, i think most odds are with us for winning the house of representatives. so of course, this is a close. it's an election. it is months. just a few months away here, and we think we can get this done. >> and senator, i'm sure you saw this. donald trump has introduced a proposal that would offer universal coverage of ivf, which is obviously, you know, a procedure, a lifeline to families who want to have children. the republican party has come under some pretty heavy criticism because it's been viewed that they are a threat to ivf, in addition to abortion rights. what did you make of donald trump putting that out there? and should kamala harris announce a similar plan? >> first of all, kamala harris had made very clear that she's on the side of ivf. and when i look at this,

jon tester is struggling. there could be all they needed to pick up his one more that's right. what's virginia has gone democrats cannot lose another seat. >> they hold in the senate and hold the senate. that's one reason you see them now investing in texas, which is frankly kind of a longshot florida, maybe a little more realistic. rick scott has never won by very much. their abortion is on the ballot that could be helpful to democrats, but you know, they've got some new problems through there's some concern among some democrats about maryland. larry hogan, a pretty it's a very blue state, but he's a pretty popular republican there. so democrats have a world of trouble when you look at the u.s. senate what are you hearing? >> i mean, i think that that's a correct landscape of the of the of the race. you have to crowds on the defense and the senate. it's almost with a lot of people have kind of given it up. i mean, they've done pretty well down valid are considering there are some pretty good feelings about their ability to hold a retain the house or take over the house, i thin

like a sheehy, who already is a question mark real montana, if there is such a thing against a jon tester it could be a fault that he can't over because that's the strategy democrats were used, which ashley just laid out. and that's the problem for xi oh, are we telling of history? >> that's a strategy. alright, thank you, everyone. so nice to have you all here. >> look, the harris campaign kicking off the fighting for reproductive freedom nationwide bus tour, and none other there. than donald trump's palm beach county backyard backed by harrowing miscarriage stories like of my next guest, who just as she was getting ready for her daughter's fourth birthday party and nearly 11 weeks into her pregnancy, she knew something did not feel right two emergency rooms sent me away because of louisiana's abortion ban. no one would confirm that i was miscarrying i was in pain bleeding so much. my husband feared for my life no woman should experience what i endured kaitlyn joshua joins me now, kaitlan. >> thank you so much for joining us. i was so moved by the statements that you made. i think so man

last week we shifted our montana race to say that jon tester is now the underdog.race as lean republican. that his challenger is the slight favorite now. if they lose that race than they have lost the senate majority, essentially. annmarie: many will say, don't bet against tester. senator tester has had this seat since 2006. he has faced tough competition in the past. what about this race change is that? jessica: he has, and he won in 2012 and 2018, but those were against some weaker challenges -- challengers. in 2012 romney won that state i eight points and he managed to out-run obama by seven points. i think it is a good chance that trump is going to win that state. in 2016 we saw every single senate race go the same way as the presidential race in that state. in 2020 only susan college -- susan collins managed to win. she out-ran trump. tester is looking to out run the top of the ticket by double digits. i think it just comes down to people partisanship. we are in an increased partisanship since 2012. in 2018, that was a favorable midterm year for democrats. if