jonathan: good morning, with lisa abramowicz and annmarie hordern, i'm jonathan ferro. three consecutive all-time highs on this and be. trump on the cusp of clinching the gop denomination -- gop nomination. for nikki haley, 43.2. for trump, 54.5. lisa: this is completely expected. everyone expected trump to probably win. the question now is does nikki haley dropouts given she had a pretty victorious losing speech well rehearsed trump's angry winning speech. what is next if she has no path to be the nominee? annmarie: she said new hampshire is the first in the nation, not the last. she has some money. if you look at the south: a polls -- south carolina polls, it looks like she might be immersed in her home state. but she might want to hang around if for some reason trump cannot run in november. lisa: this is one of the most interesting aspects, hope and dream is something other than an matchup between trump and biden. with more than three quarters of the vote in, more than two in five voters voted for somebody besides biden and trump. annmarie: they don't want that match

jonathan:.ight em as well. why isn't this lifting all boats? phil: good question. i think that the emerging markets have the biggest vulnerability, good or bad, to global growth. you mentioned that the imf upgraded the global growth forecast. i guess that we have more confidence thinking about how we deploy risk in the developed world, specifically in the u.s. there are stock-specific examples. like samsung and taiwan semiconductor. there are stock-specific examples that we are interested in but from a pure data perspective allocating customer cash, the u.s. jonathan: stay with us. the broader market is negative by 0.2%.about one hour and 20 minutes from the opening bell. elsewhere this morning, here is your bloomberg brief. yahira: the imf has raised its global growth forecast citing strengthen the u.s. economy and more fiscal support in china. it says the world economy will grow 3.1% this year up from 2.9% in october. >> we see a lot of resilience in a number of economies, the u.s. and china a

jonathan: just on u.s. a couple of winters ago and when will we refill that? >> it depends on that relationship with saudi arabia. when we had this coming before the hamas attack, saudi arabia announced more oil coming back and then we had biden saying we will buy oil at $79 per barrel and they bought a token amount. we are in a happy range for the electorate. the electorate would like it lower but we are not in a dangerous range so slow buying will continue but i think we will see policy that is supportive of continued investment in oil and gas and that will support things going forward. jonathan: good to see you in new york city. from new york city, equities just about aced -- at session lows. in just a moment, we will talk about the u.s. economy and the data to come and cpi is the highlight. we will catch up with michael mckee and neil dutta here in new york. good morning. ♪ (grunting) at morgan stanley, old school hard work meets bold new thinking. ( ♪♪ ) partnering to unlock new ideas, to create new le

jonathan: good morning, i'm jonathan ferro lowell seida tom keene. u.s. -- tom: it was interesting to see this story in bloomberg and also in london under the telegraph. it was the shock of an outlet effort. -- in allied effort. jonathan: the u.s. and -- are now did in the targets. we were to dissent a clear message that the united states and our allies will not tolerate targets on our personnel. you wonder if this is a one-off or if there is more to come. tom: i hear more to come. we will have norman roule with us in a moment. to have him with us with the cia experience, i think the brief will be timely about it. jonathan: let's go to the price action and look at the scores. in the equity market on the s&p, you would not have a clue anything is happening. we are down 1%. yields are going nowhere. crude is going somewhere. almost 75 on wti come up by 4%. brent crude, back into the 80's. tom: it is a jump here. on the terminal, look at the standard deviation distribution. you are getting there, i will say two or 83 on brent is much more of a strain to

jonathan: where is the money?the chips is fantastic but in real terms, don't just get a check in the mail or a wire from the u.s. government. accessing the capital is hard. it is multifaceted. you take money from her balance sheet, many from the government, you get a strategic investor. keep an eye on that going forward. but waiting to receive it and acting on it takes time. lisa: this is the first of a lot of chipmakers coming and nvidia coming later february. how much is this in inducing tragic -- idiosyncratic story? >> at the moment, the story for me is where you want to find eps growth? you find it with nvidia. the only other place you can look for it is the utility sector, which i don't cover. this 11% is isolated to intel. take texas where it is a mixed picture. basically, ai is the only story in town. investors are willing to back that story. the bottom line and top line, it looks good. jonathan: good to catch up, as always. i want to compare and contrast this premarket and then to year-over-year. premarke

jonathan: i am jonathan ferro. the s&p 500 negative by 0.5%. this is fed decision day. remember the middle of december when the chairman study were talking about rate cut. which one is it today? lisa: everyone has gotten carried away with rate cut's and probably just press conference will remove the bias. we will be parsing through the irregularities this and at the press conference. unlikely that they will make a move but they will probably lay the groundwork to make that move may be march, maybe in may and maybe after that. jonathan: when did talk about tech earnings. high expectations. before we start talking about disappointment, let's talk about the last 12 months. alphabet was up 60%. microsoft was up 65%. you have to bear that in mind before you look at the premarket price action and consider the numbers of yesterday. annmarie: i cannot agree more. the bar was incredibly high. we were asking yesterday is the bar high. the answer is absolutely. people want more. these earnings were not bad. microsoft's net income rose to the strongest quarterly expansion going bac

jonathan: above you or below you? tom: oh, way above me. jonathan: good to know. we will check up with loretta mester later. john williams come the u.s. fed president yesterday afternoon. i suspect we will need to maintain restrictive policy for some time to fully achieve our goals. the fed, on repeat. tom: we will do this all through the show. you will see with us tomorrow as well, market cabana with a blistering first great research note of 2020 four. cabana a bank of america conflates powell, master, all of the challenges that they have into what jamie dimon will tell us on friday, and it synthesizes from the fed, the big banks, to the tensions of our small banks in america. hugely sophisticated on reverse repo as there is a real tension out there beneath all of the headlines, thursday and friday. jonathan: a few more days to go. let's get to the price action on the s&p 500, positive by .1%. the 10-year is still around 3.99. the fx market is doing absolutely nothing once again. that currency pair is pretty stable, negative by 0.02%. the next day or so, coming u

jonathan: did she?ligence made it sound like bloomberg is terrible. she was joking around. i think it was interesting to hear what she had to say and about what christine lagarde had said. they set american people can do whatever they want but if you look at policies, there might be serious concerns. that was an undertone as people tried to sift through the uncertainty of donald trump being president. jonathan: what are those concerns for the international monetary fund? lisa: i think the more inward looking tariffs and things of that nature, the less globalized view of the world. jonathan: have things changed under this administration from the previous administration? the rhetoric is different but the bedside manner is expected but has the policy changed? lisa: they've gotten rid of nato. are we still on this trajectory of nationalist measures. jonathan: i want to touch base with the price action going into the opening bell. earnings from the bid -- big banks are behind us now, goldman and morgan stanl

jonathan: amazing.ck with us, i'm pleased to say through the next 30 minutes or so. let's touch base on the financial markets. equity teachers on the s&p 500 slightly positive by almost 0.1% on the s&p. if you are not familiar yet, it is busy for the week ahead. it starts tomorrow with earnings. after the close, numbers in the likes of microsoft and alphabet. then medic, >> basically you're talking about potential volatility. jonathan: i say all the time this is my favorite week of the quarter. this is it. lisa: and it is earnest, i agree with you. jonathan: it is not like your description of being excited for the ecb. lisa: you're going to keep harping on that. jonathan: i share that view. coming up, chris harvey from wells fargo. you are watching "bloomberg surveillance." you got this. let's go. gobble gobble. i've seen bigger legs on a turkey! rude. who are you? i'm an investor in a fund that helps advance innovative sports tech like this smart fitness mirror. i'm also mr. leg day...1989! anyone can

jonathan: thank you. up next, the battle for new hampshire. >> now we are down to two people, and i think one person will be gone probably tomorrow. >> chaos follows him. you know i am right. and we cannot be a country in disarray. jonathan: that is coming up next. you are watching "bloomberg surveillance" live from new york city this morning. good morning. ♪ fresh, warm hot dogs! when i'm not selling hot dogs, i invest in a fund that advances innovations like robotics. fresh, warm hot dogs, straight out of my torso! one for you, one for you. oh, you're a messy one. cool, right? so cool. anyone can become an agent of innovation with invesco qqq, a fund that gives you access to nasdaq-100 innovations. hot dogs! fresh, warm hot dogs! before investing carefully read and consider fund investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses and more in prospectus at invesco.com. jonathan: live from new york city this morning. good morning. the equity market shaping up as follows, just about positive on the s&p on 0.02

jonathan: what if they do?up on the 14th floor, they deliver the goods. jonathan: the hack of the sec's account ahead of a major decision on bitcoin spot etf's. from new york, this is bloomberg. you can't buy great conversations or moments that matter, but you can invest in them. at t. rowe price our strategic investing approach can help you build the future you imagine. t. rowe price, invest with confidence. how am i going to find a doctor when i'm hallucinating? what do you think, fever monster? what about zocdoc? zocdoc? dr. castell has a great bedside manner. so many options. but dr. xichun will take your sketchy insurance. xi-chun! xi-chun, xi-chun, xi-chun! thanks, bro! you've got more options than you know. book now. and your store was also the first time you realized... well, we can do anything. cheesecake cookies? the chookie! manage all your sales from one place with a partner that always puts you first. (we did it) start today at godaddy.com tom: is bitcoin and investable asset? >> i think it is. we

jonathan: why is that?good way of designing rooms and parties. i do not know pinterest at all, so i do not know, but that is just the demographics. jonathan: tom has done some extensive research on this. tom: i interviewed him 10, 12 years ago. i went out for a week and looked at pinterest or whatever. it is as you say. they attract a certain audience. some would say more midwest. it is interesting how each of the social venues -- they have a culture and character. i do not know what to make of what you just said about not caution but just status quo technologically. what is next for apple besides some silly vision thing? jonathan: that conversation we could have had a million times over. even with those things going on. that was the story of the last 12 months, yet every quarter seems to defy logic. lisa: kind of like a phone falling 16,000 feet and surviving. it has to matter on the upgrading cycle and services. if you look at how much you're are paying for various services -- tom: i have never done that.

jonathan: no.bring up the availability of the capitol if you work unhappy with the price? you wouldn't talk about it how would you? lisa: right, although if you want to discredit them in a more significant way while opening the door for other bids, we are not not for sale, we want a better sale from someone who is a little better. jonathan: and to mike have the actual money to -- and who might have the ability to follow through. stocks sitting at all-time highs. fbi -- the equity market struggles in a first-half against stronger into year end, consistent with the business cycle of possible slowdown in the first half and a typical cycle in an election year where it is hard to have a recession. alicia levine joins us for more. going to get to the election piece of that, why is it hard to have a recession in an election year? alicia: the administration in a reelection year has tools in its tool case to steady the economy if there is any slowdown. biden is going after the consumer, the tax credit to co

jonathan ferro. by point 6% on the s&p 500. before we start talking about 2024, let's talk about 20 23. the average forecast, four thousand points on the s&p 500 closing almost 20% higher. let's talk about 2024. the moves for the year ahead. the friction on wall street. the high 5200, the low 4200. a 1000-point spread between oppenheimer at the high end and jp morgan at the low end. tom: a really interesting and wonderful 2023 of optimism. how did this happen? the solution is a thing called valuation expansion. stuart kaiser of citigroup did great research that year on the valuation expansion. the pe multiple expansion that we witnessed. 12 months ago, that wasn't predicted. there it is, apple with 31 pe. jonathan: the early call to start a brand-new year coming from the team at barclays, lowering our rating from equal weight to underweight. the 15 has been lackluster. we believe the 16 should be the same we believe the continued week results coupled with multiple expansion is not sustainable. lisa:

jonathan: exit from what? tom: ipo market? jonathan: banks going public? futures are negative at 21. the vix has not come back, 13 .6 on the vix, still -- jonathan: i wish he had a camera for when you weigh in. lisa takes a deep breath of like relaxation to stay cool and calm. lisa: no, i just glad you to find exits. jonathan: anyway. price action looks like this. let's get the screen up on the s&p 500. coming back to this, 4.34, i sat down with him early on in the year, and he talked about the biggest risk being upside, and he was right to call that out. long equities and long credit, when everybody talked about maybe it was the other way. this is what he said this morning, the biggest risk right now, and it is not deterioration in earnings activity. he is looking for another repricing in rates. if you look at the numbers that goldman sachs and citi are looking for in the payrolls report friday, you keep seeing that if the fed cuts anytime soon, maybe you do get that. tom: i will go to short-term rates, as well. the 10-year real yields, 1.75 percent, and

jonathan: thank you.ky frankiewicz there of manpowergroup, one of the biggest staffing firms on the planet. lisa: confirming what we are seeing with is the jewel data -- digital data. on the flipside, real strength, the tech hiring part. i love that she said that, the idea that walmart was the number one hirer. it highlights what some of these layoffs are not affecting the economy because people are snapped up. jonathan: some of the elections that will take place this year, is the calendar on the president's side when you hear things like weakening antilabor market, that will not be good news for the president. annmarie: that is the one thing they're holding on to, that the labor market has been strong. if inflation does not come down and you see a weak labor market, what do they have to bubbled on? -- what do they had to hold on? the president is going to be toting bidenomics today. lisa: 100 cuts would come with softening at weakening and the other a strong labor market. a strong labor market is one rea

governor jb pritzker of illinois, thank you for joining us. >> thank you very much, jonathan. >> jonathaning up, more results from our late est abc news/ipsos poll, and the latest numbers out of iowa. our political director rick klein has the breakdown. type 2 diabetes? discover the ozempic® tri-zone. ♪ ♪ i got the power of 3. i lowered my a1c, cv risk, and lost some weight. in studies, the majority of people reached an a1c under 7 and maintained it. i'm under 7. ozempic® lowers the risk of major cardiovascular events such as stroke, heart attack, or death in adults also with known heart disease. i'm lowering my risk. adults lost up to 14 pounds. i lost some weight. ozempic® isn't for people with type 1 diabetes. don't share needles or pens, or reuse needles. don't take ozempic® if you or your family ever had medullary thyroid cancer, or have multiple endocrine neoplasia syndrome type 2, or if allergic to it. stop ozempic® and get medical help right away if you get a lump or swelling in your neck, severe stomach pain, or an allergic reaction. serious side effects may include pancreatitis.

jonathan: inquiring minds want to know. tom: i'm very careful. jonathan: tang.ues in the market. good morning, good morning. i was expecting better than that. this is "bloomberg surveillance" on tv and radio. your equity mark negative by .25%. four-day losing streak on the s&p, five days on the nasdaq 100. the losses building to start the new year. tom: two or three days down to his support. guess what? on many cases we are going through support or through resistance. something that is nuanced is the swiss franc. persistent bid on swiss franc. one global example in the first couple of days. jonathan: a new number to look at with a four in front of it on the ten-year. yields up this morning by four basis points. it's about payrolls today. 175 the estimate. lisa m.: -- lisa: one of the crowded trades was the federal reserve was going to cut rates aggressively this year in response to weak economic data. the data has not been particularly weak. how far do they have to retrace that if they get better-than-expected numbers today? jonathan: we need to talk about the r

jonathan: good to see you. chuck: thank you. jonathan: diplomatic.same. jonathan: chuck robbins, ceo. i think chuck is right to draw a line between the noise where everybody says ai, ai, but the other part of the story is the tangible things materializing in front of our eyes, those are two important things to look at. lisa: not only on benefits, but the risks. i am not just talking misinformation, but i was struck by this one line we have heard repeatedly. financial disruption and in new types of waste that could be of the medic that people are not thinking about. these are things people are trying to hash out. jonathan: confronting an era of misinformation. one of the good things we might do is focusing on some of the bad things. in the next 30 minutes, a must watch television, the prime minister of the netherlands and david cameron, the former secretary of the u.k., coming up in the next 30 minutes. this is bloomberg. ♪ you can't buy great conversations or moments that matter, but you can invest in them. at t. rowe price our strategic investing ap

jonathan: the fiat 500? jonathan: i am going to say no based on the fact that you get annoyed about chevy suburbans. i'm going to say no based on that. from new york city, good morning. ♪ the first time you connected your godaddy website and your store was also the first time you realized... well, we can do anything. cheesecake cookies? the chookie! manage all your sales from one place with a partner that always puts you first. (we did it) start today at godaddy.com hey you, with the small business... ...whoa... you've got all kinds of bright ideas, that your customers need to know about. constant contact makes it easy. with everything from managing your social posts, and events, to email and sms marketing. constant contact delivers all the tools you need to help your business grow. get started today at constantcontact.com constant contact. helping the small stand tall. >> we have no indication at this time it all that israel was involved in any way. everything we have done and the lay down i just offered of

jonathan: u.s.at record highs more than what was produced during the trump administration, amh we are through 13 million barrels a day. >> a record for any country in the world. this is a little known secret in washington dc. william denning writing in a bloomberg opinion piece said whether you prefer fossil fuels are clean energy there is much to like with where the u.s. stands today. climate deniers will not like the new music regardless of record oil and gas output but the bigger issue could be with the left with his own party for whom the above energy is a copout rather than a practical means of maintaining momentum. >> cannot wait to talk about this. the senior advisor to the president for energy, good morning to you. is there something you are proud of 13 million barrels a day. is that a good thing. >> the overall energy record that the biden administration has had over the last three years and that's coming in the president made it clear i am going to be the most pro-climate change action gre

times jonathan. yes, read this one uh, just about sorry. times jonathan. yes, read this oneuh, just about sorry. reading >> uh, just about sorry. reading is for nerds. >> i talk to my son that way. sorry. >> he never taught me how to read. that's because you're. he's your favourite. yeah, well, here's me upset. um, wasn't my favourite. >> the other ones. favourite. >> thisother ones. favourite. >> thisoti actually favourite. >> this oti actually a favourite. >> thisotiactually a huge >> this is actually a huge story. we should really cover story. so we should really cover this. we should. >> we should carry on. so exposed foreign students get secret route to top universities. this kind of universities. so this is kind of funny, worrying. so funny, kind of worrying. so britain's universities are britain's top universities are paying britain's top universities are paying to recruit paying middlemen to recruit lucrative overseas students on far than those far lower grades than those required applicants . far lower grades than those required applicants. this r

jonathan: i'm just trying to understand a little bit more. ev's are really strong wire we entertaining hybrids? -- why are we entertaining hybrid? jonathan: we think there's an opportunity -- mary: if you think about it we are 7% this year getting all the way to 100% there's going to be a lot of adoption and customers with use cases with a vehicle that has two propulsion systems and it -- and an internal combustion engine. a lot of this will get to a robust charging infrastructure. we are keeping our options open and we will look to what the market wants. we've seen demand up and down in the last few years. i don't think it will be a long-term stable growth either. jonathan: you've always been pragmatic. this talk about the situation with competition. elon musk said the chinese automakers will demolish global competition without tariffs. gm sold few -- fewer vehicles in china than the u.s. for the first time since 2009. how difficult is it to compete in china at the moment? mary: the china market is under tremendous change. as over 100 domest

and that's jonathan's here. stay that's how jonathan's here. stay in the country forever.u know what and you know, what i mean? and it's, you know, all right. the system works. >> builds getting >> i mean, that builds getting attacked angles . attacked from all angles. >> think it says quite >> i mean, i think it says quite a lot about the sort of the fractious the fractious nature of the conservative sunak conservative party that sunak mps contemplating conservative party that sunak mps on contemplating conservative party that sunak mps on flagshipntemplating rebellion on a flagship government an election yeah >> that's what i think. >> that's what i think. >> getting attacked from >> it's getting attacked from more angles than john wick. i just of that. it just thought of that. it is. it is tough. mean, you've got is tough. i mean, you've got kemi you say, she wants the kemi like you say, she wants the stricter does stricter bill, so does lee anderson. but other anderson. but the other side, the nation they the one nation side, they won't vote strict. vote for it if it's

jonathan karl sat down with the governor. >> jonathan: michelle obama said people should be terrified about what could be the outcome of this election. is she right to be terrified? >> absolutely. what more evidence do you need? he's the guy who lost the election, trump, and tried to wreck the country. he's making democracy a partisan issue. never imagine thad id that in m lifetime. this race is started and we need to lift up the issue, the successes, the extraordinary successes of the last three years. the biden/harris administration, and then we drive contrast. it's not even a complicated campaign. we have the receipts. we have the best three-year record of any modern american presidency, period full stop, and you look at the issue by issue, and they poll overwhelmingly. people support -- >> jonathan: except for one. except for a big thing, approval. >> yeah. >> jonathan: biden's approval is historically low. why is that? >> everybody's approval across the spectrum. you find exceptions to that. it's been hard globally the last six, seven years, but again, america stands tall with a

the saturday show with jonathan capehart starts right now. jonathan, after the hard news, you'll be interviewing understand oscar nominee my friend jeffrey right of american fiction. it sounds like a great show. take it away jonathan. all right brett, thank you very. much all right brett, thank y under . donald trump's iron grip on the gop, now extends from the campaign trail to capitol hill. republicans could tank a border bill just to help them politically. my all-star panel -- molly jong-fast, michael steele, and luke broadwater, they are here to discuss what is at stake. the magic number, a jury verdict orders donald trump to pay 83 point $3 million for defaming e. jean carroll after she accused him of sexual assault. we'll take a closer look at when or if she will see the money, and what trump's courtroom theatrics could tell us about his upcoming criminal trials. and, mr. wright, first time oscar nominee jeffrey wright joins me to talk about his acclaimed movie, american fiction, how it reflects his life experience, and the role i hope

up next, the sunday show with jonathan capehart. jonathan, i know you have the latest from new hampshire with ron desantis suspending his campaign, and i'm looking forward to hearing from senator amy klobuchar of minnesota. it is a busy night, jonathan. >> yes it is rev, and thank you very much. and then there were two. in a stunning move, florida governor ron desantis ends his presidential bid just two days before the new hampshire primary, and endorses donald trump. we will go live to our reporters on the campaign trail, as we take a closer look at what went wrong for desantis, and we will get into what it means now that the race for the republican nomination is down to nikki haley and donald trump, with my all-star panel -- adrienne -- and cornell belcher. >> i am jonathan capehart, this is the sunday show. >> we begin this sunday evening with breaking news that is shaping up the race for 2024. just two days before new hampshire's first in the nation presidential primary, florida governor ron desantis has ended his run for the wh

>> jonathan: right.int is that she should have just ended where she began in that motion and just say i'm not relevant. i'll do what you ask me to do. but what i have to share is not going to be material to the outcome of this case. and instead she went to this conspiracy argument and called anyone raising the questions racist. there are experts on both the left and the right who said she and wade should recuse themselves and in many ways it's ironic. she accused trump to not listening to the legal experts about the law and the election. she's doing the same thing. i mean, you have an overwhelming view that this conflict of interest is undermining the case. whenever that view comes to the forefront, most prosecutors would say all right, i need to take myself out of this equation to protect the interest of my office. instead she's calling everyone racist and political conspirators, not helping her case. >> john: so the judge has ordered that the record in the divorce case can be unsealed. and we know joce

christina, let's go to you first. >> is it breaking news though, jonathan.esantis's abysmal showing in iowa, his poorly run campaign, a lot of us knew that new hampshire was only a matter of time where he dropped out -- the primary on tuesday, or just after. here we are, we're in the devolution of the republican party, his endorsement doesn't come as a surprise. and as previous guests have said, everyone wants to stay in his good graces. now we'll have to wait and see how much the former president degrades nikki haley, he has a disdain for women, women of color, women who challenged him in any capacity. this news today, the only person that may be shocked as rhonda santas for how terrible his campaign went for him. >> james? >> yeah, i mean, i'm in manchester right now, the event where rhonda santos was supposed to have his -- it's about a mile down the road, i was there the moment that the bartender was told that it was canceled. he was like, well, it's sunday i can watch some football right now. -- a single staffer from ron desantis had even made it to tha

. >> jonathan: scavino who helped manage trump's twitter, facebook, and instagram accounts is also just part of a handful of people with him on january 6th as the attack on the capitol was unfolding. the january 6th committee wanted to talk to him, but he defied their subpoena. after a court battle, he did eventually talk to jack smith's investigators. scavino was just outside the oval office, and sources familiar with the investigation tell abc news scavino told investigators he went in to see trump as soon as he saw the violence had broken out at the capitol. he described trump sitting in his small dining room next to the oval office, his arms folded, staring at the television watching live coverage of the attack on fox news. trump was angry, scavino told investigators, according to the sources saying, the election had been stolen from him, and that his supporters were, quote, angry on his behalf. as has been described by the january 6th committee report, other advisers came in to see trump as well, including white house lawyers, chief of staff mark meadows, and eventually his daughte

jonathan gilliam joins us now. good morning to you. without warning, there have been 160 attacks on u.s. troops. >> jonathan: good morning. you are rights, it deserves to be more than a three-day story. you just said it, there have been 160 attacks and that is just in that area, not counting the issues can houthis in the red sea. the common denominator, biden and his administration does nothing or they do rhetoric they use is proportionate and singular response. they will pick areas they can carry out airstrikes on, but that does nothing to stop the head of the snake, iran. whether hamas, hezbollah, whoever is responsible in this attack or houthi in the red sea, iran backs them and back them with money, weapons and training because this is how they fight through proxy wars. >> carley: and three families will get the worst news of their lives. we will get these soldiers pictures and it will become more real and tragic. senator lindsey grahams the biden administration can take out all the iranian proxies it l like, strike targets of s si

>> i'm pretty sure it'll win, jonathan. plastic will be fantastic.tall, with them leading the nine of nations for barbie. i think most categories the stall is nominated and, she will get the prize. i want to give this category side, i because the color purple does not nominated for best musical, there's no musicals in this category nominated. i'm a little bit skeptical of this category overall. >> why wasn't it nominated? it came out in time. >> i mean, it got a few nominations, we'll get to her in a second, daniel brooks, also but the movie itself was not nominated. i'm hoping it will be nominated for best picture for the oscars. >> which is the biggest game in town. okay, let's talk about fantasia. do you think that she has got a shot in the category for best actress? >> yes. this will be a strong. she is coming up against margot robbie for barbie. they also think sometimes a golden globe bodine can choose people like fantasia. it's a great storyline. i think just her story in hollywood. these awards, shows they always look for that moment, that ac

>> jonathan: it potentially could. it really depends on the department of justice. but when you look at the indictment, the twists and bends they take is really rivals nadia komenich, the gymnast. this indictment avoids the influence peddling and corruption scandal, some of these unindicted figures are in fact biden family members. but the department of justice has avoided opening up a special counsel investigation of influence peddling. they have avoided charging him on fara, many of us don't understand, that he was a registered foreign agent. all of those moves have served to protect the president, it's insulated the president to a degree in these trials. so they may trip some wires because it's very hard to deal with some of these issues without acknowledging that the funds were coming from a massive influence peddling scheme. but so far they seem to be intent to avoid doing that. >> sandra: jonathan turley, we are not short of things to discuss. thank you very much for joining us on all of that. >> jonathan: thank you. >> john: we are never short of things to di

let's start kind of from the back there, jonathan.e seen over the last decade is iran and what is known kind of as the shia crescent which is this ark right here. this is hezbollah here in southern lebanon. this is the syrian forces which israel and the irgc, the revolution guard core have backed in their civil war against sunis in the region and at the same point supporting shia militia groups which has gone on for almost 20 years. icross all of this iran has been going against u.s. interests, and add to that down here in the south down in yemen the houthis who they also support. they have the ability to prod and probe, to send in missile strike tuesday cause chaos which can quickly tip into a larger regional war. this also brings up the fact what would they do against israel? would they hold back and restrain, but at any moment if they were to synchronize all these efforts that launched attacks against a u.s. ship or caused casualties this would kick off into a much larger regional conflict. >> give us an update in terms of the oper

>> yes, it will be interesting to see, jonathan.resting things about the order today, that they would take this case up for review is that they did not specify which questions they were going to take up, which they typically do. donald trump raised about seven different issues in his petitions, so maybe that take on all seven. that means they can do what you say, which is squarely address, did he engage an insurrection, making him disqualified, or could they look for some other way, some people are referring to as an off ramp, to avoid deciding the question? that probably seems more likely, but there are all kinds of possibilities. this is a political question that only congress can decide, for example, or a ruling that it is not apply to the president. or that congress needs to have some sort of executing legislation before this becomes actionable. there are a lot of different issues at work here that could give the supreme court a way out without squarely addressing that substantive issue. >> so then, paul, how do you think the or

>> so, jonathan, good to be with you.ay that my heart goes out to the families of the soldiers that have fallen. and the reason why u.s. troops are in the region there in jordan, they're in iraq, and they continue to be in syria. it is part of the u.s. strategy to continue to go after -- as our counter i.s.i.s. strategy, the reason why we have been successful against i.s.i.s. is because of these troops that you see, many do not know that their troops inside syria that they don't know that troops were inside jordan. or we still had troops in iraq. these troops, on a day-to-day basis, keep this nation safe. so, that's why they're there to go after i.s.i.s.. >> so, these are the first american casualties tied to the israel-hamas war. how serious an escalation does this represent? >> this is very serious, jonathan. as you know, there have been over 150 attacks on u.s. forces in our interests since the start of the hamas israel war. there have been several attacks that we're gonna see against commercial shipping lanes. so, we

>> you know, this is the eternal trumpian question, isn't it jonathan?saying it's nice to have a strongman isn't it? it's like a gut punch, and i think it is important to give americans a visceral sense of what we are talking about here. and that is, unfortunately, the dilemma that donald trump has posed for journalism. you know, i've been thinking about this question. it goes all the way back to the minute that he entered politics in 2015. back in 2016, i was the editor of politico. we ran an entire issue of political magazine that was about the media and trump, and how should we cover donald trump for the exact same reason. of course, now we have eight years worth of lies, disinformation, and grievance layton on top of the core questions about trump. but it's my view that too many people aren't exposed in some ways, or have forgotten or choose not to remember what trump is like. and frankly, even the clips that you show kind of clean up the very messy, incoherent and menacing reality of trump, which you get only if you can bear to listen to a -- extent

although jonathan pauld is later arrested and imprisoned, israel continues to use paul's information for the assassination of palestinian. commanders including the famous khalil al-wazir known as abu jihad. he was member of the fatal movement, a politician and a theorist. he was assassinated in 1988. years after the tunise incident and the assassination of abu jihad, jonathan pauld is released from prison and heads to israel. here. receives his passport from benjamin netanyahu at the foot of the airplane stairs and expresses happiness at returning home after 35 years. on the day of paul's show off at the airport, another display of israel was taking place in another corner of the world. an israeli company had won major tender east asia. this company was supposed to provide espionage and tracking services. to the government of myanmar. israel's connections and interactions with east asia and a country like myanmar where the rohingia muslims were being massacred were very strange. unimaginable, however, this was considered part of israel's global policy. israel infiltrated tense region

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