host: josh kraushaar. guest: the caller brings up the trump factor in the midterms and in the elections win trump himself is not on the ballot. one of the worrying signals out of virginia is that mcauliffe has much of his campaign in connecting glenn juncker and president trump. the numbers don't suggest it will be similar to the 2020 election. there is no critical mass of voters who may have voted for joe biden but are now looking for a check, a different approach. juncker in -- connecting glenn juncker into president trump has not worked out the way the democrats hoped. that is worrying for the midterms because the playbook by the democrats, connecting every republican on the ballot to trump and anyone who defends trump's politics, supports trump, voted for trump is tainted by that red flag, it doesn't work in virginia and it will not be a winning issue in wisconsin and pennsylvania, more competitive battleground states. this is one of the many reasons that virginia is a bellwether, a test on whether the

host: josh kraushaar. guest: the caller brings up the trump factor in the midterms and in the elections win trump himself is not on the ballot. one of the worrying signals out of virginia is that mcauliffe has much of his campaign in connecting glenn juncker and president trump. the numbers don't suggest it will be similar to the 2020 be a good year for republicans where it may be easier to win the blue-leaning states. there is a good chance that the path to the senate for republicans will go to new hampshire and nevada and virginia for the governors race. the chances in the red states like georgia and arizona would still be lower because of the candidates. host: it feels like we hear wave election all the time. when is the last time we did not have a wave election? guest: that is a great point. politics all the way back to 2004, the first election i cover for the midterms, almost every election since the bush years has been a wave because people have said that they are dissatisfied with the direction of t

host: josh kraushaar is back with us, p >> back with us as a senior political columnist where he pens against the grain man —- against the grain last week you took some time today again to the presidents falling poll numbers so just how worried should democrats be right now? >> they should be very worried the average job approval according to the polling averages 44 percent that is lower than every president in the administration the last 50 years other than donald trump that is a whammy because the president is losing support among independents the average support is now down in the thirties in most of these polls and youon have the intensity of opposition that even some of those independence seek disapproval from a sizable plurality voters and there's evidence democrats are disillusioned as well covid is not going away the economy faces a lot of head when dan the white house a few months ago thought they would be politicking on a good economy and covid going away. inflation is a real issue but just the after effect of covid inweather shortages and stores caddying hours or services.

host: josh kraushaar.: the caller brings up the trump factor in the midterms and in the elections win trump himself is not on the ballot. one of the worrying signals out of virginia is that mcauliffe has much of his campaign in connecting glenn juncker and president trump. the numbers don't suggest it will be similar to the 2020 election. there is no critical mass of voters who may have voted for joe biden but are now looking for a check, a different approach. juncker in -- connecting glenn juncker into president trump has not worked out the way the democrats hoped. that is worrying for the midterms because the playbook by the democrats, connecting every republican on the ballot to trump and anyone who defends trump's politics, supports trump, voted for trump is tainted by that red flag, it doesn't work in virginia and it will not be a winning issue in wisconsin and pennsylvania, more competitive battleground states. this is one of the many reasons that virginia is a bellwether, a test on whether the trump

host: josh kraushaar

josh kraushaar is a senior political columnist for the national journal daily. see you. this is an op-ed in "the washington post" who said don't rant about short-staffed stores and supply chain woes. american consumers, their expectations pampered and catered to for decades are not accustomed to inconvenience. your thoughts? >> yeah, it sounds like excepting malaise as the new normal. that may be acceptable for a columnist. it is pretty remarkable that you have a prominent writer who thinks this will be the new normal, that we will be expecting these supply shortages for the long term. that inflation may be a long-term issue. that is pretty notable in and of itself that this is sort of consider the new normal and you should just accept it. politically speaking, these types of views are what folks in the biden administration believe is dangerous. poll after poll shows not just republicans but lots of independence, even a large number of democrats, really worried about the state of the economy. there was a new politico morning console poll today showing 62% of ame