but on jobs david bill gross joining us later, julia coronado with macro policy. a weaker u.s. hat, the idea growth in that the obvious gdp growth will not happen? julia: we have seen a real disconnect. the hard data has not followed through, neither hiring, nor consumer spending. if tom: bring up this chart. this is a really cool chart. it is not an official chart. this is wage growth minus service sector inflation. not good producing. happening, julia. will we see wage growth and today's report. julia: when we are learning is that the labor market, despite the unemployment rate being low by historical standards, maybe there is more slack. maybe the natural rate of unemployment starts with a three a set of a four. even in sectors doing very well, like construction and manufacturing, there is not upward pressure on wages. skillsw, there are some issues and mismatches, but we can see higher wages if we let the labor market go. it would be cool if we could do back-to-back charts. [laughter] tom: let's go to the bloomberg terminal. is what dr. coronado is talking about, the natural