julian emanuel joins us here on set. an, great to see you. >> great to be here. >> one does not like to use the word "panic" on wall street and yet panic is the word i think you use when describing what we will see in the first part of the year >> so when you think about 2022, we've had this sort of what i call the lazy river of volatility down. you know, we hit bottom, down 25 and change and we've rallied back but there has never been a time where there's been emotion in this market, real, honest-to-goodness emotion and there is no bear market in history that hasn't had that emotional volatility swing. >> capitulation, blood on the streets. >> absolutely. absolutely and frankly if you're thinking about it in terms of risk/reward or if you're thinking about it in terms of the fed's reaction function and the fed is telling you they want unemployment to go to 4.4% to sort of clear the labor force, you've never had -- you've never not had a recession with those kinds of numbers. so you put that altogether and for us, the nar