nejra: that was julius baer ceo hodler speaking with bloomberg.t slowing global growth are fueling bets central banks will cut. the chief investment strategist for northern trust asset management is still with us. we see futures pricing one cut by the end of 2019. for those who are questioning the reliability of yield curve inversion on the three month 10 year, we might even question it on the two and 10, i want to draw attention to this chart. it has dropped to the most negative in more than a decade. the fed in a research paper said this could be more robust in predicting a recession because markets are usually right calling fed rate cuts, which tend to anticipate recessions. is the market getting too negative on where the fed goes from here? >> we don't think so. we think markets are getting -- giving a clear signal to the fed, you may mistake. in september, very certainly in december, they made a mistake. if the fed wants to get back in control of policy, if they want to be back in front of the curve , they have to start cutting rates. it look