justin. thank you very much for your analysis. that was just in crump with the civil and intelligence consultancy inland. st. looked out some stories making headlines in other parts of the world. european commission. president ursula funder lion, has travelled to israel for talks on energy. european union is trying to secure alternative supplies to offset his sanctions on russian. oil and gas is really gas exports have been increasing thanks to recent offshore discoveries. us lawmakers have heard more damaging testimony about donald trump's claims that the 2020 election was stolen from him. former attorney general william bar testified that trump became detached from reality. a congressional committee is investigating the storming of the u. s. capital, as electoral votes were certified, dozens of members of a former opposition party in cambodia been convicted of treason. it's the latest and a number of mass trials that have targeted. the cambodian national rescue party critics decried the move saying the southeast asian country has been left as a one pa

in chia let's get a military perspective on all this saw justin crump is a military analyst and runs an intelligence consultancy in the u. k. thanks for being with us justin. the battle for the don bus seems to be reaching a critical point, particularly in severe i've done yet. how do you see things unfolding their scenario? next is the focus at the moment. as you rightly say, though, i think that will rapidly move westwards with increasing russian efforts in the cities in don't ask, but so far as on that the focus because of the last bit of the scope last most, expose bit of the cranium line. and so it's politically important for those sites and it's militarily take the important for russia because they're trying to cause, as many casualty as possible, the ukrainians this time try and circle and capture ukrainian forces to defeat ukrainian forces in the door. so i think the rushing point of view is the 1st domino to fall by reducing the verizon that they can start to increase the tempo. what they've been doing. again, we're over a 110 days in this point, and they're still fighting of

justin. thank you very much for your analysis. that was just in crump, with the civil unintelligence consultancy inland. the united nation says more than 7000000 people have left ukraine since the war began around a 100000 have traveled to bulgaria. many have been staying in hotels there on the black sea coast. but now they're having to make way for summer visitors. t w's funny future reports. program unit. time to get moving again. everyone here fled from ukraine. months ago, now they are being relocated from bulgaria, coast to state facilities across the country. how long they will stay is unclear nozzle madeep my it is very hard with 2 children. there is no where i can just leave them there on the move with me. up until june, about 60000 refugees were staying in these hotels along the bulgarian black sea. but just before the summer season bulgaria re used the compensation to hotel operators from 20 yours per refugee per day to 8. the director of these hotel complexes that's not nearly enough to cover their costs. they also require marshall growing bu

justin. joining me now isjustin crump, military analyst and ceo of risk assessment company sibylline do you feel countries? no, and i think you've hit on an important part of the i hit on an important part of the issue. — hit on an important part of the issue. that _ hit on an important part of the issue, that this reflects the fact nato _ issue, that this reflects the fact nato has — issue, that this reflects the fact nato has taken its eye off the ball if you _ nato has taken its eye off the ball if you like — nato has taken its eye off the ball if you like so having gone from having — if you like so having gone from having huge numbers of troops and equipment— having huge numbers of troops and equipment in europe pre—positioned, in the _ equipment in europe pre—positioned, in the east. _ equipment in europe pre—positioned, in the east, against russian threats, _ in the east, against russian threats, having moved away, try to find other— threats, having moved away, try to find other missions after the cold war, _ find other missions after the cold war. is— find other missions after the cold wa

justin grumpy. is joining me, he is the ceo of cibola, which is an international intelligence and risk analysis consultancy, which is based in the u. k. it's good to have you on the program. mr. crump, we heard from the ukranian president zalinski, a warning that more attacks were take place. likely. likely this week we saw the capital city. they're attacked over the weekend as well as other cities. now we've got this attack that we just saw on emmanuel shaw's reporting on. what is the strategy here? i think is quite right to expect more attacks and has been this patent of more strategic attacks inside ukraine by russia, using cruise missiles, ballistic missiles and systems like that to reach further into ukraine. hit more strategic targets. part of that is to reduce weapons flow coming to ukraine. part of it to reduce the ability of the credit military to operate, whether it's destroying diesel supplies, the oil refining, come and check. as you mentioned, which is the previous target. there's been a patent of russian activity, but it dropped off a little bit in recent weeks. probably too much supposition from some analysts that rushes out of long range, but it's also certainly not