first let's get a quick update with nbc news meteorologist bill karins. bill, we had talked about this over the course of the last couple days that hurricane doran strengthened to category 3 just before it kind of hit the carolinas and the north coast of georgia. it's down now to a category 1, but what are your expectations for the more dangerous parts of this storm which is the storm surge, the rain, the flooding, all of that? we're not in the clear. >> the flash flooding is what could take lives. as we go throughout the first half of today. the heavy rains have been falling. there's a lot of small rivers and streams in low lying areas. if people go driving around this morning, that's where we could get into some trouble. if you notice here, this is the tip of cape lookout. it's now in the eye of dorian. this is the first area in the united states. you know, we did it in the virgin islands. but this is the first portion of the united states that has gone through the eye, the northern eye wall and is now in the eye. now, to get a center landfall declared

thank you so much, bill karins for that. live in north carolina for us with the latest developments on the ground, we're going to go first to you, david, there in a very wet and rainy nags head there in the outer banks. how bad is it? the picture looks pretty bad. you look pretty soaked. >> that is true. we've been getting rain and wind in bands as built was describing. it's picked up in the last couple of hours. i noticed as we've been talking to people today, they've been watching the storm for days, first watching what hatched in the bahamas, then as it moved up the coast, watching what happened today in charleston as the storm sat there off the coast of charleston for hours, moving very slowly up here. people paying attention to what's happening in carteret county. a number of towns and cities bill mentioned a moment ago. the concern here is about water, about inundation of water. while we had high tide, we saw the tides come up the beach a little more. we haven't seen any spill over, at least not where i am in the north

for the very latest, we go back again to our meteorologist, bill karins. hey, bill. >> we're still waiting to see exactly if we'll get landfall or not. that's the drama left with this storm am we have the inland heavy rain. haven't had a lot of tornado warnings as of late. earlier we had 11 reported tornadoes and that's done significant damage out of anything out of this storm. we had up to 300,000 people without power, most of those in south carolina during the day today. as we go through night tonight, we'll lose some of north carolina. if we focus on the center eye, it's definitely taken a jog to the east. you can see it spinning here. there's not a lot of thunderstorms on the right side of it. and this is what we want to have everyone avoid. it did go through bald head island, heavy rain, the core of it. now we're going to take this and see if it pushes up. if it stays off the coast, we may not get any really hurricane-type sustained winds on shore. they're still saying 100-mile-per-hour winds is the max, but that's still off the coast. it's been off t

. >> bill karins, thanks for that. we will have updates throughout the hour. >>> joining us from jensen beach, florida, gabe gutierrez with a perspective on the ground. give us the sense of preparations, how concerned are still people feeling this morning given the path we just heard from bill karins? >> reporter: good morning. residents in florida for several days and this has been for some of them a very frustrating suppt through florida, then the path changed, it's supposed to go to the north and east, some of them breathed a sigh of relief, then there was concern as it started to go over the bahamas could it wobble westward. we've been in jensen beach for 24 hours. we have seen some occasional rain, some wind, right now it's pretty calm, you can see the water here, we're right up against it. there is some choppy water here and, you know, there is some storm surge expected where parking lots could potentially within the next 24 hours be flooded. for the most part thankfully this part of florida seems to be breathing

bill karins. thank you very much. that's it for tonight, "the 11th hour" with brian williams starts now. tonight economic uncertainty and daily trashing on twitter and electi elections 14 months away now. plus, dorian, a slow category two. involving the carolinas as they prepare. >> congress is coming back after their long summer break. the threat that kills the momentum. the fact that 53 people were killed in a single month of mass shootings. do people expect anything from washington anymore? all of it as "the 11th hour" gets underway on this tuesday night. >> good evening winonce again f our nbc news headquarters here in new york. tuesday night puts us at day 957 at this trump administration. a dark ending of summer if you have seen the coverage of the latest mass shooting in texas. the boat friar that killed 34 people in california and the cause in anxiety of nothing else of millions of americans in the area of approaching storm that's already done so much damage. and now two new pieces of journalism that points ou

saw bill karins' estimates. the concern talking about storm surge. unaddition i was noticing earlier the prices of gas, the prices offf things thfolks migh need going up in the south carolina area? >> reporter: yeah. slightly, ruchered. but when it comes to the lines when we were out and about yesterday, they're not significantly long, nothing luke what we saw in florida last week as they were getting ready for the storm. this is a day to prepare. officials are saying heed the warnings, use the time while the weather is still relatively nice because we just don't know where the system will land and the umpact this will have on the region. obviously flooding is a big concern. hurricane matthew in 2016 led to power outages. but significant damage from flooding. just the way the geography is set up, this is a low country. so even when there is rain in the forecast, there is significant flooding, especially in the downtown area. what took moo by surprise that we're right along the water and i'm staring at some of the hotels and businesses and ownlya hand

thank you so much, bill karins. we want to go to north carolina, as bill said, being hammered with strong winds and rain as the hurricane churns along the coastline. we have nbc's cal perry and david gura there, both with the very latest. let's start with cal in wilmington where it looks like things have picked up quite a bit in the last hour since i spoke with you last. >> reporter: yeah, things deteriorating here. we're really seeing those winds pick up. here in new hanover county, at least 20,000 people without power. authorities telling us there are 1,500 trucks staged just north of here that will get into town once these winds drop down to try to get some of that power back to customers. i can also tell you the winds have shifted here in the past couple of hours, and that is a uniquely frightening thing. you think you're sort of in a safe spot. those winds shift, and then you realize that all the debris that was flying one direction will suddenly turn around and fly the other direction. so something for my coll

nbc meteorologist bill karins will join me in just a moment with an update.e carolinas with drenchi

bill karins, appreciate it.> still ahead, the president's awkward message to poland 80 years after the nazi invasion of that country. we're going to tell you what that was. we're back in a moment. at comcast, we didn't build the nation's largest gig-speed network just to make businesses run faster. we built it to help them go beyond. because beyond risk... welcome to the neighborhood, guys. there is reward. ♪ ♪ beyond work and life... who else could he be? there is the moment. beyond technology... there is human ingenuity. ♪ ♪ every day, comcast business is helping businesses go beyond the expected, to do the extraordinary. take your business beyond. >>> on sunday, poland marked the somber 80th anniversary of nazi germany's invasion and the beginning of world war ii. poland lost about a fifth, a fifth of its population during the war, including most of its 3 million jewish citizens. now, after the war the country remained under communist soviet rule until 1989. - in the last year, there were three victims of cyb

and bill karins has a check on weather when we come back. weather when we come back. t the campaign for security flaws and bill karins has a check on weather when we come back. and bill karins has a check on weather when we come back. (logo whooshes) (logo chiming) ♪ - [woman] with shark's duoclean, i don't just clean, i deep clean carpets and floors. so i got this. yep, this too. even long hair and pet hair are no problem. but the one thing i won't have to clean is this. because the shark self-cleaning brush roll removes the hair wrap while i clean. - [narrator] shark, the vacuum that deep cleans, now cleans itself. now available in our new uplight model. ♪ ♪ but we're also a company that controls hiv, fights cancer, repairs shattered bones, relieves depression, restores heart rhythms, helps you back from strokes, and keeps you healthy your whole life. from the day you're born we never stop taking care of you. my first job is to care for derek. everything i do is for him. when i moved to this apartment after six months, we need to connect w

astros. >> okay. >> karine? >> wrong! karine? >> how about tennis this saturday?een naomi osaka and coco gauff? >> i know. amazing. >> the 15-year-old, she lost. and -- >> now i'm interested, thank you. actually interesting. but it is the top of the hour. actually it's a little bit past it. >> by the way, mika, the astros or the dodgers? >> actually, i'm going to talk about hurricane dorian. >> take a guess. >> we're not interested. >> i'm being told astros. >> astros here. okay. >> i have no idea. >> let's go to bill karins with a check on hurricane dorian. bill? >> you're organizing the credit cards, are you going to put the first one with the highest balance? >> i put joe's on top of them all. and today -- >> by the way, this is true. >> karine and i are going out after the show. >> this is true. the correct answer all the time when somebody calls and says how do we pay for this, just use joe's credit card. that's it. >> bill, give us an update, is it moving? >> not yet. i have to show you -- we ought to save this forever. you're never going to see this again.

our friends in the carolinas, you have about 24 or 36 hour to prepare. >> bill karins.hanks for your hours of coverage of the storm over the weekend as it has approached. coming up, live drama for our closest allies since the second world war. the game doesn't end after a spectacular touchdown grab because there's always another team looking to punch one in. with nfl redzone from nfl network on xfinity, you get every touchdown from every game on sunday afternoons, all season long. watch every breakout star, every heart-pounding running attack, and every big time defensive stop. sundays were made for football on xfinity. that's simple, easy, awesome. add the sports entertainment package for nfl redzone. click, call, or visit a store today to learn more. >>> order! order. the ayes to the right, 328. the nos to the left, 301. >> not a good start, boris. >> it was a drama-filled day in the house of commons where british prime minister boris johnson suffered a major defeat in his plans for brexit, which is why he's in office. lawmakers used an obscure procedural motion to ta

but for now meteorologist bill karins who has a lot of the data they're watching. when you go back to the weather center you're sitting by the computer and you're looking for the important facts that will help us understand. >> i get to look at the stuff and some oof it is free, some is not. the hurricane center is looking at and they make their forecast every six hours. i can kind of go behind the scenes and anticipate what changes they'll make. if we step back for a second, not just amazing we're covering anath iter huge storm like this but four years in a row. four years in a row with five category five hurricanes in the atlantic basin. and we've never had that before. we've had three years in a row. we've nvr gone four in a row and 2017 is when we had maria andew rma. and michael made land fall last year. the strongest winds ever recorded. dorian just went up a little, it could tie it. and a laborer day hurricane 1935 that went to the keys. all recorded 185 mile-per-hour winds. this is very historic times. the pressure is 910 mill bars and we've had lower press

i'm undercover here. 46-mile-an-hour winds, not bad, like bill karins said. not a lot of dramatics here from this live shot location. look, part of the story here, brian, is two hurricanes in less than a year for wilmington. it was a year ago next week when we saw hurricane florence come. and that's been instrumental in how people have prepared for this storm. a number of people have chosen to stay in wilmington. a year ago, the flooding went on the interstate. the city was cut off for four days. this city became an island, separated from the rest of the state that. is on the minds of people who couldn't get back to their homes a year ago, which is why we've seen not only boarded up stores, but a lot of people staying. not out of the woods just yet. officials still want people to hunker down, but clearly as we get more and more news out of the bahamas, it seems as though this storm, staying offshore, is certainly good news for wilmington and the county. >> as cal pointed out this is not their first rodeo, hurricane coming up the coast for them concerned. with

our bill karins has the latest >>> this morning the trump administration is weighing retaliatory action against iran in t wake of the saudi oil attack as u.s. intel shows cruise missiles came directly from iran >>> also today president trump is planning another visit to the u.s.-mexico border with a renewed push for his campaign promise of a border wall >> we'll look back at the life and legacy of two legendary journalists who left a lasting impact in the world of tv news and beyond >>> it's national cheeseburger day. we will tell you where you can get the best deals as we kick off your wednesday "early today" starts right now >>> gob with you this morning. i'm frances rivera >> and i'm phillip mena. tropical depression imelda is dumping a lot of rain on texas today. as this system slowly moves north over the next two days, forecasters are warning of up to 18 inches of rain along the coast and the possibility of life-threatening conditions, including in the houston area, which is already prone to serious flooding nbc meteorologist bill karins is tracking the storm for us. good morning >

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bill karins, our viewers have come to rely on you. thank you as always. appreciate it. >>> we mentioned the president's state of mind. what is he focused on during as we said it's cost americans lives and the bahamas lives. he's tweeting this false claim he thought alabama could have been in the storm's path. he tried to back that up a number of ways. he shared the potential routes. as you see, that map was a week old and out of date when trump made his erroneous claim the storm would hit alabama. on sunday he was focused on moderating the storm. he said if anything on this graph causes confusion, ignore the entire product. he got into this mess by doubling down on the map with the extra line that appeared to be drawn in sharpie, someone using a sharpie in the oval office that was designed to try to edit what you see on the white line to say the black line somehow meant trump was right all along. again, i can't report for you confirmation. we don't have oval office swrid owe and the white house won't really say much. we don't know if it wasn't the preside

joining us with the latest forecast is meteorologist bill karins. what is the latest? >>> so much is changing and so quickly. we knew this storm would become category 4 and who knows rb maybe category 5. i zoomed in close. these are one-minute images from a satellite. it's a three-hour loop. you can see it clears out the eye, very symmetrical. just incredible. but it's still three days away from land. not like last year. so as long as we still have this with wiggle room, i'm okay with it being this intense right now. and with 130 mile-per-hour winds. so let's get to the good stuff, the positive stuff. this is our latest updated umpurt model. all the sudden these squiggle line saids that never make land fall. closer to the coast. the storm taking its turn further out to sea. so right now from charleston south of miami includes over to tallahassee but this trend is our friend. i don't care if we have a cat 5 off the coast and doesn't hit any land areas. in the bahamas, unfortunately all these lines are close to you. you're going toing get a direct hit. they're prepare in

if you haven't been told to evacuate already. >> bill karins. for your hours of coverage of the storm over the weekend as it has approached. coming up, live drama for our on live television. consequential moment for our closest allies since the second world war. they can do all sorts of things in your name. criminals can use ransomware, spyware, or malware to gain access to information like your name, your birthday, and even your social security number. - [announcer] that's why norton and lifelock are now part of one company, providing an all in one membership for your cyber safety that gives you identify theft protection, device security, a vpn for online privacy, and more. and if you have an identity theft problem, we'll work to fix it with our million dollar protection package. - there are new cyber threats out there everyday, so protecting yourself isn't a one time job, it's an ongoing need. now is the time to make sure that you have the right plan in place. don't wait. - [announcer] norton 360 with lifelock. use promo code get25 to save 25%

bill karins with another check on the forecast when we return. .icle ban on a michigan island did not stop vice president mike pence from traveling there via an eight-car motorcade. pence arrived at mackinac island by helicopter and then made his way down one of the island's main streets with eight suvs. he was there saturday for a republican party conference at the grand hotel. the suvs were brought to the island by ferry for his visit. pence is the first sitting president -- sorry, excuse me, the first sitting vice president to visit the historic island. the vehicle ban has been in place for a century. when president gerald ford visited the island he and the first lady traveled by horse-drawn carriage. that streak of 100 years no longer -- >> now broken. >> no longer in play thanks to vice president mike pence. it drew some kind of angry reaction from a lot of michiganers including rashida tlaib the congresswoman from the state of michigan. >>> so the death toll across the country from the mosquito-borne virus triple e is climbing. health officia

. >> joining me now is chief public affairs officer from moveon.org karine jean-pierre. director of paid media for hillary joel payne. msnbc analyst john than alter. republican strategist mike murphy, and politics editor at theroot.com and msnbc political contributor, jason johnson. i'm going to start with you, jason. on that julian castro decision to come for joe biden, it was obviously a strategy from your point of view, my political friend, was it effective or did it lay an egg? >> he had to do something, i predicted that cory or beto or castro were going to do the suicide pack. i'm going to go for the front-runner. i'm going take him down. it's the only way he could bring attention to himself. i thought more critical than him saying joe biden, you're not covering enough people is when he pulled a highlander. there can be only one. i am the legacy of barack obama. i thought that was a really bold statement. but what it does is it tries to get people to focus on what does julian castro represents. we know what joe biden represents. we know what harris represents. he di

we'll get right to msnbc meteorologist bill karins. >> we may end up with the worst damage from this storm being the tornadoes that happened yesterday morning. the new advisory is 25 miles east of cape. it is amazing how far this storm has traveled along the east coast. it was only about 100 miles from west palm and 50 miles from daytona beach. it is crazy. the heavy rainfall everywhere in yellow. that is the region of concern. we are not so concerned with the winds. minor damage. we have 300,000 people without power. we are thinking it could get somewhere in the millions. moving northeast at 14 miles an hour. now it is picking up speed and moving quicker. a lot of 40s and 50s. cape look at and there is 39. you get into very heavy rain with the bands around the eye. nothing significant as far as what we are dealing with -- nothing like knocking roofs or. the forecast from the hurricane center. by 2:00 p.m. well off the coast. mostly concerned with the flooding, guys. we did eliminate people. we had six million before, now down to 4. we are starting to wrap up issues with dorian as it

i understand why karine's frustrated. i'm frustrated too.orked in the senate democratic leader's office. ooh inwhat it's like to be in the leadership office try to round people up. but i do think you're going to see this week. i think this is going to be a critical week with the thursday deadline with the speaker trying to organize her members. i do think we are going to see more progress. we are kind of stepping in intermediate step. before you reach a final judgment on impeachment, to start an impeachment proceeding so that the house has more leverage to litigate more promptly and get the subpoenas enforced and get the documents and start to build that record. and i really do think that is the next step to take the thing up one more notch. senator mccaskill said earlier the justice department has failed us, the republicans have failed us. i think the democrats are going to get tougher. and then it's going to come down to court battles over getting the materials to build this case starting some kind of more formalized process to do that wil

my thanks to karine, john, eli and basil.with my friend chuck todd starts now. >>> well, if it's wednesday, it's democracy in the age of disruption. what parliament's revolt against britain's leader and hong kong's revolt against china leader means for our dear leader. >>> plus the president is taking money from the military to fund his border wall. democrats say it's an illegal power grab. so what are they going to do about it? >>> and take five. you can add a fifth texan to the list of republicans calling

good. >> there you go. >> it looks league bill karins is dining in a restaurant everybody. >> you're a lucky individual. >> some days. >> so let's get into this tropical cyclone numbers, it was just, you know, what was happening right now, yesterday, it was just incredible. imelda now makes the list for one of the top wettest cyclone, you know, ar i have harvey is t list, and this is 43 inches of rain. amazing that we have done that. two of the wettest ever in the last two or three years, and florence was no joke either. michael, the lowest pressure ranking last year also. and as far as weather concerns into the upcoming weekend, slight risk of severe storms through the dakotas, into nebraska, and this is going to be the stormy region of the country, from the northern plains, into the midwest, and as we go through the weekend, we are concerned with flash flooding around the kansas city area. and possibly into areas around where iowa meets illinois and also portions of missouri and even topeka to manhattan, kansas, we could see rounds of storm, as we go through the weekend. heaviest r

here's bill karins >> good morning.ny delay is not going to help it's doughing to linger, periods of heavy rain and gusty wind and eventually we could feel thefektth theeffects in florida and the northeast. those are the two islands that were hit the hardest you can see where it's located in the southern portion and it's expected to drift northward and possibly impacting florida most of the worst effects will be off the southeast coast we'll watch this it's going to be a close call but as far as impacthat. good signs on how democrats aret nbc's alice barr told us more. >> aye >> miss escobar. >> aye >> reporter: house judiciary committee gave itself more tools to investigate president trump, edging closer to possible impeachment. >> pose as threat to our democracy. >> reporter: republicans argue it's all a show. >> really what we have is a walk down the yellow brick road my colleagues are desperate to get there. >> reporter: judiciary panel subpoenaed top trump officials about possible obstruction of justice and the inq

i want to go to nbc news meteorologist bill karins.ll, that we have to always emphasize, that not everybody here is out in the clear. >> correct. just because it's not a category 4, you know, category 2 storms can do some very significant damage. and that's why they're having so many people evacuate. so many people are preparing. get ready for the storm. one thing about this storm that you notice here, it's kind of compact. i mean, you can see all of the really fierce winds are in the middle. the eye does not look as strong as it did before. i can kind of zoom in on it right here. you can see there is the freeport area. this is the eye right here. the little black line is the hurricane hunters. they fly in and out of this thing and give us the estimated center point. you can see how% be it's been wobbling off the coastal area. a wider view. we can kind of give you distance trackers on this and see how far -- it's amazing that we have a storm, it's a category 4, that is only less than 100 miles away from west palm beach. we don't have,

let's go to bill karins for an update. >> today is the day.r weather disaster, probably multibillion dollar disaster on the carolina coastline. we look at the bahamas, no, not a category 5 but even a category 2 or 3 can do significant damage. it will cancel school and do significant damage. all the warnings are in red. ca carolina coastline. i haven't heard of a lot of damage along the georgia coastline. we have an issue with a lot of small streams and rivers and in the coastal areas, we get the storm surge too. areas like charleston maybe with a surge of water. same kacarolina, inland floodin major impact. you will get moderate damage. north carolina, the storm is moving a little quicker. the storm surge is not going to be quite as bad. some of the back bays and the sound you watch closely. flooding will be major. wind gusts, if we get that direct land fall and winds up to 100, 110, i'll move this up to major for impact. that's one of the majors. as far as all of our pictures, yesterday was a good day. today, we have showers and storms. it wo

. >>> let's get a check of weather with nbc meteorologist bill karins. >> overnight, unfortunately, we got bad news coming out of sioux falls, they were hit by a tornado. looks like it hit the southern half of the city, including the hospital area, significant damage, one of the autozone stores completely ripped over. everything inside was sent flying. in daylight, we'll get some better pictures but you can see even from the pictures we have, significant problems there. that storm system continues. also nine reported tornadoes in areas of wyoming, too, 11 in all. a mini outbreak overnight. that pushes northern iowa, southern minnesota, areas around rochester. gusty winds could do a little damage today. then this afternoon, the same over again. we'll get new storms forming in enhanced areas of nebraska, and sioux city, and sioux falls could gift hit against. from lacrosse into areas of central wisconsin. the other story, the heat that won't go away. is this the last 90s of the year, we'll have to see. st. louis at 93, d.c. at 91. your average last 90 degree day in washington, d.c. was s

let's go to nbc news meteorologist bill karins for the latest on the storm. bill? >> thank you, reverend. we know the northern bahama island chain has been devastated. we've seen pictures and imagery out of there that looks like a tornado went through. that's what you'd expect. i want to show you this picture. this is from the hurricane hunters. this was issued by garrett black. he just sent this out. what you're looking at, you see the propeller on the plane, bottom left, obviously the sun, and what you're looking at is what they call the stadium effect. that's the ring of thunderstorms that surrounds the eye. so when the hurricane hunters are in the center of the storm, they can see the blue skies above and they're surrounded by this incredibly tall mass of extremely fast-moving thunderstorms. and for the people that were in marsh harbour, they reported seeing the same exact thing. they went through the eye for about three hours earlier today. so it can look beautiful, but if you're on the ground, one of the scariest things you'll ever live through. right now see

let's go straight to bill karins for the very latest. >> good morning to you. we have seen is the difference between a category 5 and a category 1. it's exponentially worse. 1,400 times worse than a category 1. we can get tornados, 90 miles per hour on the estimated top winds, we haven't seen anything close to that on land and that's good. we're watching the eye moving right along the outer banks. here's the current wind gusts. it's still not exactly what you call safe out there. we have winds in the 50s, occasionally 60s from wilmington, kingston, out to the outer banks so we can get only trees coming down and some scattered power outages as the storm exits today. here's where the center of the eye is. not far from the atlantic here, we may get a warning over oco coke or cape hatteras. maybe some minor surge problems, we could get some isolated tornados. we have to watch out around the virginia beach/norfolk area. numerous areas, everyone in maroon is under a flash flood warning and we'll take the storm out in the open atlantic and eventually it will head towa

. >>> we're going to check on the weather with nbc meteorologist bill karins. good morning. >> good morning. all eyes yesterday turned quickly to the northern bahamas and their recovery effort as they went under tropical storm warnings for a potential tropical cyclone. it is kind of a new thing, when we have something that is close enough to rand, it is a potential tropical cyclone and a heads up we may have something coming. tropical storm warnings for the islands hit the hardest from dorian, grand bahama and great abaco and now tropical storm watches up north of west palm beach and daytona beach. it is only a potential tropical cyclone. just a mass of thunderstorms and heavy rain right now. 90% chance of development. it is drifting toward florida and the northern bahamas, northwest at six. and the hurricane center, it takes it close to florida and bend along the southeast coast not until wednesday of next week and this thing will linger and 50 to 60 mile-an-hour winds, so not a lot of wind issues but the possibility of heavy rain that could be starting as ear

. >>> let's switch gears and bring in bill karins for a quick check on the weather. >> tropical stormen was over puerto rico. heavy rain and flash flooding and now it's beginning to move away. you can see the radar has cleared up. so we'll still have a flash flood watch that should be drop ed during the day today. the worst of it was 4 to 6 inches of rain fell. 45 mile per hour winds. there's the center of the storm. so where does karen go from here? we go away from puerto rico as we go throughout the day. then it does a loop and it jumps back to the west. this is the latest forecast from the hurricane center that just came out. you see what's to the west in the bahamas. there's florida. so the question then is going to be after we get past monday is does it keep going west or will it stall. and what intensity will it be. when the storm sits over the same spot it can weaken. it churns the water up. the hurricane center has 50 or 65 mile per hour winds. they leave it at 65. there's a lot of questions about what the intensity will be and exactly how far west it will go. we'll keep our e

nbc news meteorologist bill karins is here.ry on the storm's path, right. >> yeah, they're not cooperating with us this hour. sometimes it comes in a little before the 11:00 hour, sometimes right at 11:00. my computer is live on air here so we can show you it. wire worried about the storm surge being about 2 to 3 feet, forecast was 3 to 7 feet. it happened at low tide, that's not an issue. i don't think we'll have hardly any damage at all in florida from this storm. >> that's great news. >> qi, that's great news. new advisory just came in. >> all right. let's do it. >> it was at 8 miles per hour, now it ticked up to 9 miles per that's hour. that's the forward speed. in the bahamas it was 1 and unfortunately the unfortunately the winds didn't go down, still at 105 miles per and the hour. and the location is 90 miles east/northeast of daytona. it's almost getting in the area of just offshore between daytona and jacksonville. here's the new forecast path. one thing i was watching, you know, the center line to take in, because it c

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for the very latest, let's turn to nbc meteorologist bill karins. >> we finally have a storm on the moveafter days of sitting over the alabaman island. 6 miles per hour. still slow by hurricane standards, but now it's heading for the carolina coastline. will it make that direct landfall? it's still a direct possibility. we do not think it will get much weaker from here on out. it did go from a category 5 to a 2. even if it makes landfall as a strong category two, we would have significant problems in areas of the carolinas. would it look like grand alabama island or great abaco? no. still, maybe a week or two without power. storm surge issues, wind, trees. raking the florida coast. it's about 80 miles off the coast. and that's all that's really protected areas of east coast of florida. yes, we still have some storm surge concerns, but we're not thinking we're going have any direct hurricane impact. that path is safely off the coast for the next 24 hours. here is the key time on thursday. as it begins to go northward, when is it going to make that turn? is it going to go into charleston o

thank you so much, bill karins, don't go anywhere. i want to stay on this historic hurricane that did hit the bahamas and go to nbc correspondent morgan chesky. he's been covering the devastation there and reporting from nassau. morgan, give us an update. >> reporter: steph, we are here in nassau, bahamas. despite the relatively calm conditions here, keep in mind that just to the northwest of us grand bahama is currently getting slammed by hurricane dorian moving at a snail's pace dumping feet of rain and still bringing those incredibly high winds to that area. we do know that some people were able to seek shelter on that island, especially after viewing the destruction it brought. thousands of people woke up without homes surrounded by water and not knowing what to do. some of those turning to their phones to issue pleas for help on social media. now i did have a chance to speak to the prime minister of the bahamas earlier today. he said that doran is like fighting a war with an opponent where they have all the weapons and you have n

. >>> a quick check on the weather with nbc meteorologist bill karins. >> a crazy weekend.e will see some areas of the country that are going to be digging out of an epic snowstorm while other locations will be seeing some of the warmest temperatures they ever had this late in the year. a big divide across the country with record heat likely in many areas. dozens of cities are going to be setting record highs next week in the areas of east a and so hot and so dry, we are calling it a flash drought. because some areas haven't seen rain in like three or four weeks. this is what we are expecting today, for the record. yesterday, by the way, macon georgia, 102. montgomery, alabama, 100 degrees. atlanta, a record high of 85. richmond had a record high. raleigh was also a record high. these are the record highs that we will set today. atlanta should be close or tied. birmingham should break. nashville should break. areas of kentucky, tallahassee, should break your record high. you get the idea. and then we are going to go from this weather map to this one. this is the northern ro

bill karins just getting it now.ll right, bill, what have we got and is the eye going to touch the mainland? >> that's the question this evening, chuck, we'll be staring at. that makes a big difference. everyone in florida, the storm was 80 miles off the coast, not that bad. georgia, couple of high tide cycles. the hurricane was far enough off the coast the winds didn't leave their mark. a couple of tornadoes today, 11 of them. and one that was possibly a significant one in north carolina. big tornadoes, too, rare for tropical systems. that's the greatest concern right now, numerous tornado warnings here near areas heading toward kinston with all these spiraling bands and we're getting these as they come on shore. simone wasn't that far away, 50 miles from the center of the hurricane. it wasn't blowing around that much. winds are really confined. right towards the eye. if you don't go through that, you're not going to get a lot of wind destruction. that's what we'll be watching this evening. let me get to the 5:00 up

. >>> let's get a check of the weather with nbc meteorologist bill karins. >> good morning.watching an active period in the tropics. one storm that could form and another one that is going to bring some nasty weather to areas around the bermudas. this is a 30% chance of development and not too worried about a strong storm but it will throw a ton of heavy rain over southeast texas and if you follow the houston area, you know how flood prone they are. and it is already pouring this morning in galveston, and that way, so this is over the next four days, so this is going to be a slow drifting system. and this area of pink here, that's all seven inches of rain. so for this region shall the national weather service has said we are under a moderate risk of flash flooding, and it's going to be an issue as we go throughout the next couple of days on and off. as far as the big hurricane humberto, big as in size, not as intense as some of the major ones we've had, but it is a large storm, 90 mile-an-hour winds. you can see how far away it is from florida now. and all through the southe

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let's go right to nbc meteorologist bill karins. bill?to a category 3, major hurricane. dorian has increased in intensity just a little bit, up to 115-mile-per-hour max winds. and if anyone has yet to evacuate in eastern north carolina, you don't have much time left. in south carolina it's probably too late. hopefully everyone listening to their emergency managers. still slow moving at 7 miles per hour. the heavy rains moving on the coast. we're tracking the eye here. and we're mostly now going in a northerly direction. and due north is charleston, myrtle beach, wilmington, and all of eastern north carolina. and you are in the path. as far as the new forecast goes from the hurricane center, this is it. major category 3 storm. only roughly about 100 miles away from charleston. it goes north overnight. by early tomorrow morning still a major category 3. and then paralleling the coastline. possibly making a landfall here into the cape fear river. the wrightsville beach area wilmington. at that point winds would likely be about 105 to 110. an

. >>> with, that let's switch gears and get a check on the weather with nbc meteorologist bill karins> horrible news from the beaumont area, texas, remember, it was a weak tropical storm, we watched it yesterday, we were worried about flash flooding. it has developed significantly overnight. i want you to watch this radar. this is over the last six hours, here is winnie right here, and if i just leave my finger there, all of the bright reds are thunderstorms. six straight hours of torrential rains over the same spot. one rain gauge has reported, try to imagine this, 17 inches of rain, in six hours. i mean imagine getting that much snow in six hours. let alone rainfall. so we have flash flood emergencies for this area. we have first responders that are out, there and boats trying to rescue people, from this area from beaumont to winnie hit the hardest. houston by the way hasn't rained at all. not that far away, very localized and very concentrated in this one little small area and this area of maroon here shows you where we have the flash flood emergencies this morning. now houston to

kill ca bill karins is with me. people are family, it's almost literal, bahamas was populated in the revolutionary war by british loyalists from america who went there in many cases, they were slaveholders and went with their slaves. and those, many of those people are the ancestors of those bahamians here, so there are people here as you know, one of our own, al roker. >> yeah. >> whose family is from the bahamas. his ancestors from the bahamas. this is -- you look at these pictures from the bahamas, this is amazing. i don't mean that in a good way. >> no, just, they're amazing just because they're -- you can't believe what you're seeing. i mean, it looks like some of the pictures i've seen, you know, there was just one recent one that was shot on great abaco island. and we have to get permission to show you these. i just retweeted it on my twitter if you want to see it. it looks like an ef-5 tornado went through. it was the worst pictures and worst video i've seen and worst damage i've seen yet. the guy's driving

karine, steve kornacki has the numbers to show it. howard dean disappeared because of the dean scream. >> the scream. >> joe biden, he is so known. he's known inside and out. claire's already had a visceral reaction to this idea of the frailty of biden's lead. it is big, and it's pretty decisive. >> yeah, but okay. so when biden jumped in, he was in the 40s, right? and now he's below 30%. and so there has been a moderate drop that we have to acknowledge and say, look, there is something. he is a front-runner. but he is indeed a weak front-runner there was a "washington post" that came out earlier this week that said 50% of voters are willing to switch their support. that's kind of where we are right now. and steve just did a great job talking about iowa and the history of iowa and the importance of iowa. if you look at the caucus electorate in 2016, it was 70% liberal. so yeah, someone like elizabeth warren, someone like bernie sanders who ran four years ago. if one of them win that state, i mean, that electability argument that joe b

as dorian approaches the florida coast, later tonight bill karins will give you an update with everything you need to know stateside. also, later tonight on "the beat," we have a report on how donald trump is making you, the american taxpayer, subsidize his hotels. >>> also, new breakthroughs in the gun safety battles including heat on mitch mcconnell. neal katyal is here later. >>> but our top story tonight is this new intensity in congressional opposition to trump, including developments in a probe that some democrats say could actually change the future of the trump presidency. democrats in congress are now preparing for what will be their last major legislative session before all eyes turn, of course, to the 2020 race next year. and now i can tell you they're outlining a new way they want to check president trump. now, the context here is something you know about, it's something you know from your calendar. summer is over. when democrats left for this summer recess, the members in their caucus calling for impeachment were in the minority. and now, they are the majority of the democrat

bill karins was just taking us through it. all that uncertainty that exists where exactly that storm is going to hit. we have been talking about this for days now. from the standpoint of fema, trying to muster some kind of response for this, to be prepared for contingencies, how do you handle that uncertainty. >> fema has had folks in florida, they've got foelks in georgia, north carolina, south carolina. the way they approach this is they assume the worse case. they didn't just immediately shut down florida and move north. they have resources in florida. they are moving resources to other states. the real focus is on the evacuations. go back to this error of uncertainty. in 2004, hurricane charlie, everybody thought it was going to tampa. it hit punta gorda south. people were surprised. they were in a hurricane warned areas. the hurricane warnings are the things people should be focussing on. less about the cone of the track. if you're in those evacuation zones, you're in a warrant area. that means the possibility can occur,

. >>> our good friend bill karngs -- bill karins is back with a check on the hurricane forecast.re back in a moment. check on the hurricane forecast. we're back in a moment . >> true welcome back, everyone. democratic presidential candidate andrew yang is defending his contest to provide ten americans $1,000 monthly for one year, which would come from campaign donations. >> larry noble the former general counsel of the federal election commission told cnn that what you're proposing would not be legal. it's not legal to give those ten families money from your campaign to use however they want, but are you sure that you're on solid legal ground? >> yeah, we have an army of lawyers who have signed off on it, and we're sure that this is perfectly legal. i do want to reflect for a moment on the fact that if i gave a million dollars to media consultants or hired a small army of canvassers no one would blink an eye. but if we give the money directly to the american people somehow that's problematic. it just speaks to how messed up our system is where giving money directly to americans a

let's go straight to nbc meteorologist bill karins.rough it, what's changed if anything? >> yeah, i'm going to go through it with you. it came in seconds ago. my graphics automatically upgrade and update. we're going to watch this. no changes with the max wind speed. incredibly strong wind, one of the strongest you'll ever see. crawling at 7 miles per hour. none of that has changed. it's currently located over great abaco island and going to head over grand bahama island as we go throughout the night tonight. that part hasn't changed. they still have it a good safe distance off the florida coastline. earlier it was 30 miles off the coast just by quick eyeballing it, may have inched it maybe a mile or two. in other words, the path for about the first 36 to 72 hours unchanged. not closer to west palm. still in the cone of uncertainty, though. they're still leaving the risk and the potential there. and very close to even a category 4 storm as we go through tuesday night into wednesday morning. near areas here of the south. now let's talk