jonathan: joining us are gershon distenfeld, kathleen gaffney, and coming to us from london is james athey, senior investor from aberdeen investments. kathleen, let's begin with you. talk about the price of the story and the size of the problem in investment grade. kathleen: we are at the beginning. i do not see it as something systemic, but we are going to get knocked about for quite some time. i am so happy this time is here. gershon: this is what happens late in the credit cycle. i have been waiting for this. where are we in the credit cycle? i'm tired of saying seven innings. it feels a game three of the world series. i agree with kathleen. it will be idiosyncratic, ge has some very specific things wrong with it. we have the wildfires in california that are impacting things, but that is what you have late in the cycle. you start to have specific companies or industries with problems with the high amount of leverage they have. jonathan: do you take the same argument? james: yeah, to some degree. i would throw macro factors in. i think what is happened is a confluence of things. the