jonathan: joining me around the table here in new york to discuss is mike schumacher, kathy jones, and matthew hornbach. kathy, let's begin with you. maybe the biggest risk is the one that is in duration, not in credit. your thoughts? kathy: every once in a while they do ring the bell. i think, with all the easing, if we look back at previous quantitative easing cycles we have seen we actually the curve steepen and long rates move up. not too surprising with the fed getting dovish, expectations for europe to have a qe program, china introducing stimulus, that we are starting to see long rates back up. jonathan: has not been a really big move on map. very subtle on 10 year, 30 year treasuries. but in germany, 16, 17 basis points over the last four days, and hardly any attention or any disruption elsewhere. what do you think? matthew: we have been neutral in our recommendations to investors. at the same time, it will be very hard to fight central banks. this is not 2009, when we saw the first inklings of qe, and everybody thought it would be inflationary. we are just not there. inflation