. >> for sure it is the keebler to gains.t actually looks like the output gap will close by the end of the year. modern monetary theory has worked and that is an important consideration. with the output gap closing and the u.s. economy operating above its long-term potential, that does create a lot of inflationary pressure. that does put the pressure on the fed and its new flexible average inflation targeting regime. jonathan: i would love your reaction to the same question. erik: to me, the accumulative changes what matters. another way to look at that is looking at the level of gdp. our economists expect a level of gdp above the pre-covid trend by the end of next year. that in and of itself is very important. when we look at the level of real yields in the market right now, a 10-year real yield that is way out of line with this above trend growth that we are seeing. as we expect nominal yield to come back over the next few months, real yields are lucky to be a big driver of that as the market realize they corrected too far

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