keith weiss, and aaron, thank you both for joining us this morning. >> thank you for having us. >>> thest for the outlook, perhaps that were currently in recession, steve liesman shoos details. >> yeah forecasters this morning raising -- i said raising their gdp outlook further away from zero here's the data. durable goods the estimate was down, but it came in positive. and retail inventories also better than expected, up 2%. all of this leading economists to raise their forecast or suggest there's upside risk. the consensus is for a scant 0.3% print with more than a handful of negatively estimates. if it is negative, that many are using as a benchmark, but jpmorgan, i just got a note moments ago, they boosted their second quarter forecast to 1.4 steve stanley from pierpoint, he raised his, saying in a note, anything that lowers the odds of a negative print tomorrow is important psychologically. to put this in context, trading inventory led to the negative number in the first quarter. so it was to be expected it was to be expected there would be a rebound in this quarter, but the durabl