let's get to the recession debate joining us is mark zandy and ken rogoff mark, you have been saying it's not a recession with the employment picture so strong we got further of that today so where do you stand right now? negative growth and strong employment how does that add up >> well, recession risks are high, no doubt high inflation, higher interest rate world, recession risks are elevated but, you know, with some reasonably good policy-making by the fed and a little bitof luc on the pandemic and the fallout from the russian invasion of ukraine, i think we'll be able to navigate through without a recession. the key is in fact the job market, the american consumer. the firewall, so to speak, between a continuing, expanding economy and the recession is the american consumer. as long as we're creating jobs, unemployment is low, excess saving, debt service is low. despite this decline in the stock market, house prices are up, wealth is high i think that firewall should remain in place, consumers should keep spending and we should be able to navigate through without a downturn. >> ke