was kennan mostly right? >> no. i mean in fact one other thing we should say, one other argument which was a strong one at the time is that they all said war is going to break out between the new state and the arabs and the new jewish state could not and would not win. they were convinced of that. there was no way the jews would win and defeat any arab armies. it would be a blood bath and the the middle east would erupt in fire. that was part of their argument. in fact the main part of the argument, they were totally wrong on that. they didn't think they could defend themselves and they didn't think they could win. certainly the point is -- >> in fairness to the people making it it was an improbable victory. >> yeah. but to a lot of the jewish leaders and palestine they felt in fact they would be able to stand up against the insurmountable odds and they knew that they would be able to and that aside from the transjordan army trained by the british that the arab fighters would be relatively weak and without motivatio