joining us is kiran ganesh, global head of investment communications, ubs wealth management. ank you for joining us this morning. all eyes on the jobs report later today. how would you characterize the risks going into the numbers? kiran: as i was with jobs reports, it is whether it is too hot or cold. investors will look at it on the risk side. a relatively weak month last month. if below expectations this month,, that could lead to concerns that the effect of the delta variant and weaker consumer confidence is weighing on the jobs market. if it comes in too hot, people may shift their focus away from tapering and maybe toward rate hikes. if it comes in line with consensus, then tapering likely to be starting to be announced in november this year. we think that will be in favor of things like the u.s. dollar as the fed. dani: it does seem like a careful balance that you're describing. in terms of what would prompt the fed to cut -- or to start tapering -- powell talk about this in his last meeting. listen to the sound of what he said. >> for me it would not take a knockout su