jonathan: joining me around the table is jeffrey rosenberg, krishna memani, and portfolio at oppenheimerunds and coming to us from atlanta is noelle corum. let's begin with the quiet climb higher in treasury yields. do you expect it to continue? noelle: yes, you nailed it. it is a quiet climb higher. we think it is due to a couple of reasons. the drivers, of course, are not exactly clear. tariffs not being as bad as people expected, maybe marginally. the trade war is not over by any means, but part of it is we have seen the e.m. idiosyncratic risk come off the table. turkey and russia are both hiking to alleviate concerns. and argentina, the deal with the imf is looking like it will be better than expected. it is not anyone driver, we think. it is multiple. jonathan: krishna? krishna: at the end of the day, i think it is about the u.s. economy doing much better than what everyone was expecting. that is the primary driver. noelle's point about other issues are important as well, but the primary driver is the u.s. economy. so the question is, can this be sustained and sustained for a long