joining me now are kurt badella, a democratic strategist -- and noelle nikpour, a republican strategistuthor of bringing america. great to have you with us kicking off our coverage tonight. noelle, i'll start with you. it seems like trump has it in the bag. obviously the big question is about whether and whether or not that actually suppresses turnout in some capacity. if we see severe blizzard conditions on monday evening, the numbers are lower than expected, what kind of impact could that have on the caucuses, could that have on the sentiment of the race as it gets off and running in earnest? >> well of course, the weather is going to play into this, most certainly. but i think it plays and trump 's favor. because trump's base is almost cultish. there are going to do anything for former president trump. they're going to go the extra mile. they're coming to risk going out and braving the cold, getting frostbitten, whatever they can do. the thing that it might hurt is going to be the other two candidates, other three candidates in that race that are vying for better percentages. that's