kyle kondik, welcome. let's start with this 12th district race. how close is it for the kyle: i think at the republican is ultimately going to win. it's basically a one point race and i think the margin is going to get tighter once we get the ballots counted. i don't think there are enough out there for danny o'connor to win, but this is a district donald trump won by 11 points and it understates the historic republican lean of this district. it contains some of those bad lock -- bedrock republican territories. one of the key components of the county, is delaware sort of a northern columbus suburb. a democrat has in one that and 100 years and it's arguably kind of historically the most republican county in the whole state. again, i think that a one-point thisfor a democrat in district is a pretty good showing and it's very much in keeping with what we have seen from special elections across the country in this cycle, where democrats are routinely running ahead of the hillary clinton performance. is that pretty normal? that the advantage tends to su

. >> woodruff: and lisa joins me o w with more reporting, along with kyle kondik, alyzes elections at the university of virginia's center for cs. hello to both of you. so, kyle, let's start with you and with where lsa's reort left off, arizona, the jeff flake senate seat. how do you explain this republican primary result where you have two people fiercely pportive of president trump running against martha mcsally who had to walk a delicate line there and all this happening the me week of john mccain's passing? there. >> 's kind of two fringe candidates who basically split at share of the arizona vote and allowed martha mcsally to win but she only got over 50%, pretty reminiscen't of john mccain's last primarin 2016 where he beat kelly ward but only got a little over 50% himself. i wouldn't necessarily say mcsay or mccain are "moderates" but are more mainstream conservatives and maybe not inhe case of this election president trump enough for the electorate but mcsallyup endewinning comfortably. >> woodruff: lisa, what do we know about martha mcsally? >> she's fascinating because this i

and here for more oneshose electionts is kyle kondik. he analyzes elections at the university of virginiater for politics and is also the author of "the bellwether: why ohio picks the president." thank for being here. >> thanks for having >> brangham: last night lots of primaries, lots of different states. what stood out to you overall? >> i think thei big pcture takeaway is a lot of election results since president truma got electede suggested a democratic bounce-back and the potential for the democrats to have a good electn in november. nothing that happened last night would make you think differently i mean, i know that democrats did not win the ohio 12 special election but they came pretty allye in a district that should be very difficult for a democrat. and so the environment i think remains good for democrats, particularly as you look at the battle for the u.se . ho representatives. >> woodruff:. >> brangham: let's talk more abct that ohio rae in particular. it's still too close to call as we were reporting, but ayou said, we shoul