this is kyle kondik joining us.f you want to ask questions about what he has seen (202) 748-8001 for republicans, (202) 748-8000 for democrats. (202) 748-8002 independents and you can also text esther comment at (202) 748-8003. guest: a lot of people are focused on the democrats pennsylvania it is search of -- it is sort of dicey. there are others that are important. arizona, new hampshire. wisconsin, ohio, republican side. that seems reasonable to me. host: we saw president biden campaigning for john fetterman where does that race extent specifically? guest: i thinko is still ahead by a little bit. i think federman has taken a lot of incoming hets republicans are tough on crime -- talk about crime a lot. he has taken a hit but i don't think it's worse in terms of favorability. that wouldn't necessarily prevent oz from getting over the finish line. host: as far as spending in this race, who is the bigger supporter outside of the campaign? guest: the republicans have had an outside spending advantage in a lot of the

this is kyle kondik joining us.f you want to ask questions about what he has seen (202) 748-8001 for republicans, (202) 748-8000 for democrats. (202) 748-8002 independents and you can also text esther comment at (202) 748-8003. guest: a lot of people are focused on the democrats pennsylvania it is search of -- it is sort of dicey. there are others that are important. arizona, new hampshire. wisconsin, ohio, republican side. that seems reasonable to me. host: we saw president biden campaigning for john fetterman where does that race extent specifically? guest: i thinko is still ahead by a little bit. i think federman has taken a lot of incoming hets republicans are tough on crime -- talk about crime a lot. he has taken a hit but i don't think it's worse in terms of favorability. that wouldn't necessarily prevent oz from getting over the finish line. host: as far as spending in this race, who is the bigger supporter outside of the campaign? guest: the republicans have had an outside spending advantage in a lot of the

. >> joining us now is kyle kondik, the managing editor of the crystal ball newsletter at the virginias watched over 330 campaign that's the season. congratulations on that, kyle, my condolences. i'm not sure which one applies, but were given folks a taste of these republican ads putting up crime. since you have watched all these, what's your sense that the economy and inflation versus crime, in terms of the emphasis republicans are placing on indoor ads? which one outweighs the other? >> look, i think you saw a representative cross section that we are seeing from republicans on crime. you know, it's all more vivid, i guess, you get more of a visceral reaction, which is probably what ad makers are going for. compared to other republican messaging, a lot of it is canada x photos, joe biden and nancy pelosi 90% of the time. the crime stuff, it kind of hits you in the got a little more when they see a lot of ads, they think republicans are going back to race baiting. republicans i think point to a lot of criminal justice reform efforts in blue states, that they are good to have not worked

. >> kyle kondik, sahil kapur, thank you both. and up next, details on that massive cold front that will have nearly 70 million americans feeling like winter is already here. it sure looks like it there. moderate to severe eczema still disrupts my skin. despite treatment it disrupts my skin with itch. it disrupts my skin with rash. but now, i can disrupt eczema with rinvoq. rinvoq is not a steroid, topical, or injection. it's one pill, once a day, that's effective without topical steroids. many taking rinvoq saw clear or almost-clear skin while some saw up to 100% clear skin. plus, they felt fast itch relief some as early as 2 days. that's rinvoq relief. rinvoq can lower your ability to fight infections, including tb. serious infections and blood clots, some fatal, cancers including lymphoma and skin cancer, death, heart attack, stroke, and tears in the stomach or intestines occurred. people 50 and older with at least one heart disease risk factor have higher risks. don't take if allergic to rinvoq, as serious reactions can occur.