here with answers, rick sharga, with option as.com, and lance roberts, chief economist at sta wealth. rick, i will start with you. you are a housing expert. we got numbers today, how 6 how disappointing. housing starts down 16%. builder sentiment also bad here. is this a lull in a broader recovery for housing or what do you see in your crystal ball? >> i think the crystal ball has turned into a snow globe apparently for the near term. i think we are seeing a little bit of an adjustment in terms of builder sentiment in the terms of, housing starts, permits. i don't think this is all snow related. if it were all weather-related we would have seen much more dramatic esults happen in the northeast and places where the weather was the most severe. so i think what we're seeing is a recalibration and an adjustment to probably a little bit less optimistic numbers for 2014. gerri: lance, is this more than just a soft patch? what do you think? >> well, if you take a look at personal income data, i look at trends. one months of data, two months of data doesn't mean a lot and let's not forget we