host: larry sabado, on the economy.uest: she makes a good point, presidents don't sit in the oval office pushing buttons and running a $20 trillion economy and we are linked with others around the world and we know that inflation is even worse. much of this has to do with the u.k. which has inflation worse than we do. having said that, she mentioned the word fairness and i have sold students for years that if you are concerned about erin's, that is your northstar -- about fairness, that is your northstar. don't go anywhere near politics. politics has very little to do with fairness. politics and elections are not fair depending on your interview. why do people blame the incumbent president? it's human nature. we will when somebody and who better than the president in office? people assume incorrectly presidents have enormous power to control everything and if something is going wrong, it must be because they did something stupid. you can say that about the federal reserve board which had more to do with this than anyone

host: larry sabado joining us this morning. it's the crystal ball that you can check out races. about a half an hour left. kelly is a republican out of georgia, good morning. caller: good morning, thank you for taking my call. professor sabado, i so admire and respect your work. i'm so honored to be able to speak to you and john, you are a wonderful host. you always seem to be straight down the middle and i appreciate that. host: thank you, what's your question? caller: i want to make two remarks -- i believe the democrats very much overplayed the abortion issue. i think that was way too early and they overplayed it. i don't believe it was going to end up being that big of a deal. my second thing was i don't think they considered what was going on in americans pocketbooks. my last thing, being in the state of georgia, me, myself and a lot of family members suffer from mental health problems. herschel walker we know has suffered from that. a lot of things that go on in the country, they always come back to mental health. i think it would be a wonderful thing to send someone to wa

host: larry sabado, on the economy.uest: she makes a good point, presidents don't sit in the oval office pushing buttons and running a $20 trillion economy and we are linked with others around the world and we know that inflation is even worse. much of this has to do with the u.k. which has inflation worse than we do. having said that, she mentioned the word fairness and i have sold students for years that if you are concerned about erin's, that is your northstar -- about fairness, that is your northstar. don't go anywhere near politics. politics has very little to do with fairness. politics and elections are not fair depending on your interview. why do people blame the incumbent president? it's human nature. we will when somebody and who better than the president in office? people assume incorrectly presidents have enormous power to control everything and if something is going wrong, it must be because they did something stupid. you can say that about the federal reserve board which had more to do with this than anyone

joining me, the director of the center for politics at university of virginia, larry sabado and seniorr for "the atlantic" ron brownstein. arizona is a state that trump didn't carry, and yet his preferred candidate for governor, known election denier kari lake is neck in neck with hobbs. what does that tell you about where the country is right now, that kari lake could potentially be on the verge of winning this election being an election denier herself. >> jim, arizona is a swing state and it is extremely closely divided. we saw that not just in 2020. we've seen it in a lot of state races there as well. so it doesn't surprise me at all that you've got a really close race here. kari lake, as you noted, is a very dedicated election denier. she actually seems in my view at least to believe this nonsense. but she's also very good at using tv which is one reason why katie hobbs doesn't want to debater. she was a tv anchor for many years. she's more comfortable with the medium. it's going to be a very close race. at this point i don't think there are a handful of undecided voters in that pa

desantis leads by ten points larry saab sabado is here. the needle move last night in florida sore this race essentially over >> i think it's been over for quite some time, both the governor's race and senate race there. look, florida has been drifting, drifting, drifting back into the republican camp, ever since 2016 and very substantially so i'd say over the last couple of years. >> hey, larry, the democrats rolling out their obama now. the former president set to campaign in nevada, pennsylvania, wisconsin. is the democrats' best weapon their previous guy >> well, i think he may well be more popular than the incumbent democratic president, but we need to remember something with all due respect to president obama; he wasn't able to swing votes for democratic candidates in his first midterm of 2010 or his second midterm of 2014 and that's while he was president, shep. how is he supposed to do it now? these appearances disappear very quickly. they're really not very significant. >> you know, most of the polling shows that control of the se