lee carter of maslansky and partners joints us now. go right to this poll it's trump vs. for desantis. i know there is still a lot of time between now and november of 2024 but can he make that much headway? >> it's a really interesting question because what polls really do is they show us a snapshot in a moment of time. desantis has lost a huge amount of momentum look back two months he was neck and neck with donald trump now is he far behind. he has a lot, a lot, a lot of ground to make up. last night's announcement was an important step for him to do that and i don't think he was able to pull it off. >> todd: good news for desantis everything went technically perfect. oh, no it didn't. let's watch the tape. >> tonight i'm pleased to announce two individuals who have done more to. [lost audio] we have got so many people here we are kind of melting the servers which is a good sign. let's see so,. >> todd: okay, which narrative moves the narrative this morning? the desantis narrative of wow! we were so popular we broke the internet or the trump narrative of you're too youn

let's go to julia manchester, kristen hahn and gop pollster lee carter. lee, start with you. governor desantis getting ready for a week where he will go to iowa, new hampshire, south carolina. they sound familiar. how important is it that he makes traction in those states? >> it's critical. he's message has to get big traction. it didn't last week. he's got a big job ahead of him. he has in many ways to reset his campaign. the last two months, he's been dropping in the polls. his excuse, he's not finally run yet. this is not official. now he has to make the case that he's the right man for the job. he has to focus on the economy, focus on inflation and stop focusing on the woke wars. that's what hurt himself the last two months and this will be chris call for people hearing him in a different way. >> julia, that underscores the challenge for governor desantis. the woke wars are probably critical in the primaries and not the general election. that's the first hurdle he has to clear. >> it's a hurdle that candidates have to clear on the left and the right when it comes to appea

the "usa today" correspondent and lee carter here as well. lee, for republicans, if i'm ron desantis, i'm more worried about the bashing i'll be getting from the non-donald trump players than just donald trump. that's expected. i don't know if he's prepared for what he could be hearing from the others that want to bump him aside. >> this is the part of all presidential races that i hate the most. the party is fighting against each other. it doesn't do anybody any favors. it's very difficult to get through. ron desantis better be prepared. when you're one of the frontrunners, that's what happens. donald trump is going to take some punches. ron desantis has to be prepared as well. he has to weather the storm in a way that will make him seem like a leader. if i were him, i'd be very concerned. he's given people a lot to complain about. he's dropped significantly in the polls. he's dropped 25 points in the last two months. so he's got a lot to answer for. a lot of questions about whether or not he's electable with the focus that he's chosen the la

reacted to the rule of law comment, the only thing i reacted to listening to that sound bite but lee carter'smorning. lee, looks like it's going to be another stay in the basement strategy. >> a lot of people were saying it would be a rose garden cam pavement we're not even seeing that. one of the thin things i'm curis about. i thought they're going to keep him hidden, the same thing they did in 2020 but maybe they rely on surrogates to get the message out or focus more on women's issues. >>> we haven't heard much of anything from anyone. we know there's a huge enthusiasm gap here, 70% of voters don't want joe biden to run again. do you think he's going to have trouble getting people to go out and speak for him? >> i think if you're an incumbent president running for re-election you'll be able to find people willing to go out there to raise her ' their hand and be high level surrogates. there's an incentive in politics to have people on your team. if you have a chance of being president, they're going to want to be out there for you. i think the whole low key approach -- it's not an accident.

lee carter, great to see you. thank you. >> thank you so much for having me. >> harris: the deadly texas mall shooting is what we're covering now and it sent shoppers running for their lives over the weekend. a heroic police officer on the scene for an unrelated call likely saved a lot of lives. that's what we're learning today. when he heard the gunshots, police say he bravely ran toward the suspect who was armed quite heavily and called for backup just before shooting. and he shot that gunman dead. still eight people lost their lives in the rampage. seven others were injured. police identified the suspect as 33-year-old mauricio garcia of dallas, texas. we don't know why he did that but reports he made white supremacists and neo-nazi post online. governor says there are no quick fixes for gun violence. >> president biden is sending 1500 soldiers to do paperwork. that won't secure the border. we need not 1500 soldiers, we need 15,000 or 150,000 to secure the border. because of the open border policies of the bide

mark tepper, lee carter with me this morning.how ironic that president biden yesterday said america's not a deadbeat nation. the same day hunter biden's in court he pretending he's not a deadbeat dad. very, very ironic. somebody's got to give president biden a heads up. he's talking about kevin mccarthy and his threat to default on the debt. somebody needs to let president biden know that the house republicans, they passed a bill. they passed the bill to raise the debt ceiling, in combination with $4.8 trillion in spending cuts and this meeting that president biden is now you scheduling for may 9th, he could have done this months ago but he instead chose to play this game of political chicken where he's refusing to negotiate on the debt ceiling. he wants the the debt passed cleanly as he's calling it. that's setting us up for a potential default come early june. maria: that would be extraordinary. lee, and of course the president wants it to look like it's the republicans who are irresponsible, even though kevin mccarthy started

elizabeth: let's welcome back g gop pollster lee carter and hal lambert. mr. lambert, thanks for joining us, you're a former trump donor, you now endorse ron desantis. lee, the fallout of the meltdown and the glitches of ron desantis the launching his 2024 campaign on twitter. is this a desantis problem or a twitter problem? >> both. look, i think that it was a very important moment for ron desantis last night. he really needed to reset his campaign. he's had a very unfortunate two months where he went from neck and neck with donald trump in the polls to trailing between 20 the-30 points. it's not a good situation. i think his hope last night was to do a twitter live interview with elon musk, show the business side of him, the capitalist side of him, the freedom side of him, the free speech side of him, all of those things that people really liked about to begin with. unfortunately, that message wasn't able to get out last night, and i think that's going to hurt him. he's going to be trying now, continuing to try and have a moment, but his big moment, i think,

mark tupper, lee carter, great to be with you both. have a great day. varney and co. dow. stuart: good morning. seems like a i is taking over. alarm bells ringing and getting danger warnings. the man considered to be the godfather of a i has left his job at google as a leader in their ai of her. he says it's hard to prevent bad actors from using a i for bad things. big deal. my opinion? don't pause ai development because you don't know what the bad guys are up to in secret. ai is a race. our guys should win. stocks floor this morning. order points they did. dow down 90. nasdaq done about a points. this could be the start of the day, a huge jump in revenue over the last 12 months and the stock is up 8.98% as we speak. interest rates are higher, janet yellen says treasury runs out of money earlier than thought, maybe trying to influence debt ceiling negotiations. ten year treasury yield of 3.54%. two year treasury from the above 4%, 14 as we speak. going, not that much movement although we are down 127. bitcoin at 287. hunter biden in court trying to cut child support paymen

joining me now late carter gop pollster. leethanks for being here for 8 million bucks in 24 hours. that is a pretty good haul. it suggests desantis as viability as a candidate. it certainly does it's a good bit of money. i wasn't as bad as any thought. i thought always the money that wins for 2016, look back at that. jeb bush and quite a bit of money. think also it hillary clinton versus obama. she out fund raise him five -- one not always the monies certainly money is a show of enthusiasm. jon: senior pound gorilla in the room is former president named donald trump. i want to put the lady us results from the law school p poll. this is former president trump at 46%. more than double desantis numbers bind up nikki haley vivek ramaswamy and scott at 1%. it is early we all know that. but given his name recognition. his previous service in the job in any republican beat donald trump? practice would be really tough frankly. look at 5:30 eight did an analysis of past elections you basically said you are about 30% when you're out you a

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maria: yeah, lee carter, weigh in here.ny from mike morall was blinken suggested that the intelligence community get behind the idea that it was russian disinformation. so he's saying that the testimony confirmed that, actually the testimony did the opposite? >> yeah, the contradictions really kill trust. when you look at recent polling gallup release what had the top 10 issues to americans. number one issue which is different than it has been poor leadership and lack of faith in the government. 18% of americans say that's the number one priority right now and you can see why. there's a complete lack of trust in our institutions, in the people that running them and that creates a huge problem for our country and more than half of americans think there's too much time focused on probes and they want more time focused on the issues, when you see this, a lot of people say there's too much political motivations with these kinds of folks and ultimately what that leads to is breakthrough in trust and lack of engagement by the maj

here now with reaction pollsters, mark penn, lee carter along with fox news contributor, leo terrel.thank tonight. mark, i want to start with you. at some point, it's early, at some point can't you just get so far out ahead that you can walk at home? >> well, primaries are bedeviling things. we've seen a lot of instances where the front runners, no matter how far out can fall to the challenger candidates who aren't really well-known. who haven't really engaged. no question, trent trump has strengthened as he took on cnn here and ellen bragg. those have strength in him. his primary is not over. it's just beginning. >> lee, how do you see the race right now happening today? i saw the rise and trump coming when he went and visited east palestinian and joe biden didn't. he showed leadership. it reminded everybody that the president was a leader and he showed compassion and it plays well when he does that. >> yeah, i think there's a few things that came together at the same time. i think the visit was very, very well done. i think was a time for people needed to hear from leadership. then he r

arizona congressman andy biggs, leo terrell and lee carter in "focus" at the top of the hour. >> bretin baja, california, mexico ends in a deadly shooting. ten people dead. nine injured after a group of men opened fire on a race two hours south of san diego. the gunmen were working for the sinaloa cartel targeting a rival gang. authorities say the suspects are still at large. >> dana: substance abuse in the workplace is becoming a big issue. as a record number of workers are testing positive for marijuana companies are trying to figure out how to handle the problem. >> in states where marijuana is legal like here in new york, employers cannot test for marijuana before employment. they also can't test during employment unless there is a symptom of impairment, a visible symptom. even then it is a tricky spot to navigate. >> employers have to be very careful because if they assume that there is a symptom of impairment and it turns out to be the function of a disability, they could have severe problems under the division of human rights. >> you can see when there is testing, there has bee

lee carter, you were there with me as well throughout all of those days, how do you see it? corruption comes to light, the more it benefits donald trump because what we have seen is there are a lot of voters who said that they were done with donald trump, that they were over him and they are giving him the benefit of the doubt again because they are saying you know what, we are tired of this unfairness, they are tired of one thing after the other and viewed many things that happened at politicization and that benefits him. ron desantis has really lost steam on some key issues. if he were to focus on blueprint for florida going forward i think he would have a whole lot more success. the problem the way i see it anyone opposing donald trump is it's a really tough road. we are seeing pence jump in and 538 really suggests that if anyone has ever got more than 30% of a vote a year out, it's almost impossible to beat them. donald trump's numbers are solid, they are strong and they are growing. they don't seem to be shakable. maria: and much higher than ron desantis with mark penn,

who better to join me than lee carter a pollster and raymond arroyo, a fox news contributor. you here with us today. >> great to be here. >> martha: let's start with some of these numbers. it's interesting. in some places this holds up. in other places this theory doesn't hold up what is your take open it? >> so my take is this: i think one of the trends we're seeing, people don't like labels. we're seeing more independents than we ever have and people saying i don't want to identify as one religion over another. this is especially pronounced with young people. they say they don't identify with any one single religion. that will have an impact on abortion. it will have a bigger role in this election than anybody expects. the other thing is the rust belt area. look at pennsylvania, wisconsin, michigan. it's hard for a republican to take any one of those states because these folks are now identifying more as democrats than republicans. the border states are leaning more rain. florida, texas and arizona are going to the right. both sides have to pull one of those to the other si

the conversation all morning long this morning, pollster and president of maslansky and partners, lee carters here, bull's-eye american ingenuity fund manager, adam johnson is here. "mornings with maria" is live right now. and he we've got a revenue miss right now to tell you about. home depot earnings are hitting the tape, the stock is down. let's get to cheryl casone with the numbers. cheryl: the stock is down more than 4% right now. it was already down year-to-date about 9%. that revenue miss is somewhat substantial, 37.26 billion is what the company reported, the estimate from the street, looking for 38.28 billion. the earnings per share coming in barely above expectations, 382, the street was looking at 380. that's already down about 7 and-a-half percent if i'm doing quick math year over year. they knew that about earnings per share. the revenue miss not so much. here whas they're saying, they say basically the near term environment is uncertain. they're positive with the long-term. they are saying a couple things, the inflation story, basically they're saying they saw lumber deflation

mark tupper, lee carter, great to be with you both. have a great day. varney and co. dow.

lee carter, pollster, ethan berman, loyola law school adjunct professor. or a race that technically begins at least for him today? >> it is a lot of money for someone who dropped in the polls 25 points over the last two months. he is going to need it. he will need to figure out how to spend it wisely. what we've seen from ron desantis so far, he has been a candidate who lost his way. he was very popular focused on the economy, florida blueprint, keeping things open, bringing parents into choice and decisions into schools, all that wildly popular. what has become less popular his war on wokeness, despite the fact many people want to see that kind of behavior, many feel he has become too extreme. he promised voters that he is trump without the chaos. what he seems to be desantis with a whole lot of chaos. that is not necessarily working for him. even though he has a lot of money i'm not sure how well it is going for him. it will be interesting to see what he does with his announcement this evening? neil: you know, ethan, history bear as little bit what lee ha

ingenuity fund manager, adam johnson is here, pollster, the president of maslansky and partners lee carters here and chris markowski is here. "mornings with maria" is live. ♪ life is a highway. ♪ i want to ride it all day long. ♪ you're going my way. maria: the debt ceiling bill headed to the house floor for a vote expected later tonight. congresswoman nancy mace one of the latest to come out against the agreement. mace tweeted this, washington is broken. republicans got out-smarted by a president who can't find his pants. i'm voteing no on the debt ceiling he debacle because playing the d.c. game is not worth selling out our kids and grandkids. 30 republicans and one democrat have come out against this bill. the congressional budget office a estimating the bill will cut the deficit by $1.5 trillion over the next decade. house speaker kevin mccarthy responding to some gop members, calling for him to give up the gavel. watch this. >> have you had any conversations with members of the freedom caucus that have wibeen against this bill and mit have a motion to vacate. >> i'm not sure what in t

lee carter also talking about biden's poll numbers so bad the only person willing to defend him is hillaryhour. sean: 11en minutes away. ♪ i've spent centuries evolving with the world. that's the nature of being the economy. observing investors choose assets to balance risk and reward. with one element securing portfolios, time after time. gold. agile and liquid. a proven protector. an ever-evolving enabler of bold decisions. an asset more relevant than ever before. gold. your strategic advantage. (man) what if my type 2 diabetes takes over? (woman) what if all i do isn't enough? or what if i can do diabetes differently? (avo) now you can with once-weekly mounjaro. mounjaro helps your body regulate blood sugar, and mounjaro can help decrease how much food you eat. 3 out of 4 people reached an a1c of less than 7%. plus people taking mounjaro lost up to 25 pounds. mounjaro is not for people with type 1 diabetes or children. don't take mounjaro, if you're allergic to it, you or your family have medullary thyroid cancer, or multiple endocrine neoplasia syndrome type 2. stop mounjaro, and call

president biden won the last election by hiding in his basement, and you know, lee carter on faulkner focus did a great job of laying out the poll situation. as the polling suggests, the president's physical health is declining. and this isn't just us speaking in hyperbole, you look at the physicals. in 2021, his gait was stiffening. he had stiffer hamstrings. he doesn't mention his mental acuity and full cognitive evaluation. they leave that out. any 80-year-old man is supposed to be having one in his physicals. we need to continue to have the full physical and mental examinations. again, on top of that, on top of that, with the bad policies that have left us into economic turmoil, you have a border with a lot of chaos. you have a running mate who polls less than joe biden does. they can still win. if you continue to have in fighting in the republican party and the republicans need to come forward, unify and have a solid message on what they're going to do. >> and coalesce around whoever the nominee is. everyone has to go out and vote. that's very basic. big challenge for the republi

so, let's bring in my panel, we have republican pollster lee carter, one of my work husband, lz granderson. >> one of? >> joey is another one, you know, so i am a polygamist as work and old friend semiconductor barry, the editor in chief of "glamour" magazine and another one of my work husbands cnn legal analyst joey jackson regardless of what your real spouses have to say about any of that. lz, i was sea taken by your column today in the "l.a. times" about this chokehold death. it was eye opening, because you point out that everybody says, jordan neely needed help, jordan needed help. you pointed out, he got help. i want to read the passage from your column. ten years ago he admitted himself after telling police officers he was hearing voices. three years later, police brought him to the hospital because he was suicidal. neely was on new york city's short top 50 list of homeless people in serious need of care. neely received aid from the bowery residence committee. he got help. just not the kind that might have saved his life. so what would have been the answer? >> well, i think in this c

lee carter awesome to have you on set and with that. >> ashley: "fox & friends" starts right now. have a good day. ♪ ♪ >> i am running for president of the united states to lead our great american comeback. look, we know our country is going in the wrong direction. we see it with our eyes and we feel it in our bones. >> brian: florida governor ron desantis officially launching his campaign for president. the initial announcement was not so smooth. >> ainsley: yeah there were technical issues on twitter spaces delaying the big announcement hosted by elon musk. desantis making light of last night's rocky rollout. >> we had a huge audience. it did -- it was the biggest they had had ever had. it did break the twitter space. so we're really excited about the enthusiasm but ultimately about the future of our country. >> lawrence: okay former president trump campaigned saying, quote: ron desantis botched campaign announcement is another example of why he is just not ready for the job. the stakes are too high in the fight to save america is too critical to gamble on first timer who is cle

here now with reaction, pollsters mark penn, lee carter, along with fox news contributor leo terrell. thank you so much for joining us tonight. mark, i want to start with you. i mean, at some point and it's2 early, granted, it's early at we some pointac, can't you get jus get so far out ahead that you can kind of just walk it on ? well, primaries are bedeviling things. so we've seen a lot of instances where the frontrunners, no matterow fr how far out now, can fall to the challenger candidates who aren't really well known, who haven't really engaged, no question trump has strengthened as he took on both cnn heres wh and alan bragg. i think those have rea strengthened him. bully aged. t this primary is not over. >> it's just beginning. lee, how do you see the race right now happening? today, i saw the rise in him. trump really coming when he ther went and visited easact palestie and joe biden didn't. he showed leadership. it reminded everybody that the president was a leader and he showed compassion. >> and it plays well when he does that. yeah, i think there's a few things that came t

. >> let me bring in panelly carter jump? leent regulation 80% informed say should be regulated, but only about 65or -- 65% say government is not up to the task force so i agree with you we've got to stay ahead of this got to have a positive conversation about it. but how do we keep it in check? >> well you know i think u.s. has a unique advantage our approach to technology has been country of by owners frontiersmen we deal with problems as they come up use creativity don't try to imagine all things that could go wrong at the start the recipe juror sitting home not doing any exploring at all i think u.s. is very well suited to do this, ftc has been a good example identifying consumer injuries that are occurring, and stopping them, and bringing cases to stop them so i think that type of approach makes sense. right now there is a lot of speculation about what harmless could be we don't have a lot of evidence that those harms are there. and we know going to be important there is a lot of benefits we need to focus on how can we get t

lee. on the desk tonight, mike khouw, carter worth, and brian stutland from one perspective, the market looksesilient, enduring hit after hit. but from a different perspective it could also be on life support, holding on rather than holding firm there's a bifurcation within the market and both sides are telling very different stories about the economy. so, which is more likely correct? what does similar history support, carter worth lays it out for us. >> bifurcation is a circumstance, not about concentration of market big cap names, it's stocks on steep up trends independent attack, mcdonald's or lily or hershey new six month highs of 15 and 20%. and exact opposite u.s. steel, city bank, 3 m at 6 month lows all down 15 and 0%. 3,000 basis points of spread independent attack what it represents is people clustering into fewer and fewer names as others continue to get worse, and one can say so what, that's why the market's unchanged, some winning, some losing but at some point the steep and uncorrected stocks are full, rich, expensive while the weak stocks are telling a message about the econom

lee. we're live on the desk tonight, mike khouw, carter worth, and brian stutland let's get to it.vidia, the stock jumped up in the rankings to become the host heavily traded options name in nominal terms, one of the biggest over the last several months because of its more than 160% run year to date, here's the kicker, if you own the stock there is a way to squeeze more juice from the semicitrus foot with options, mike, please explain. >> yeah, you know, we often talk about selling covered calls and how it isn't typically advisable to do that going into big catalysts such as earnings this is, unfortunately, a stock i happen to own, although we do own several other semiconductor names and many traded up as a benefit from nvidia's stellar performance here once that catalyst has come and gone, in nvidia's case, the stock has rallied to an extraordinary level, but implied volatility after that catalyst remains high i was looking at this earlier today, and the june 405 to 410 calls, those were about call it 2 1/2 to 3% of the current stock price. so, if you're fortunate enough to hold t

lee. this is "options action. on the desk tonight mike khouw, carter worth and brian stutland.e begin tonight with a tale of two reads from the consumer. the highs of the housing sector to the new lows in the retail trade. the chart master says both of these extreme highs and lows are an extreme investing cause for concern. so carter, what do you mean here >> so if you think about the circumstance of what vulnerability is, there's two types that can manifest themselves in the market or this life it's vulnerable weak, right, someone that's ill, or a political campaign is on the ropes or hedge fund has too many shorts, people go after, they exploit vulnerability, and vulnerable extended is the opposite you are the champion and everyone's coming for you, the most popular kid in the class and people turn on you the sports season that can't end. so we have the circumstance where certain areas within consumer are vulnerable extended, restaurants all-time highs, home builders all-time highs but retailers basically at all-time lows. so here you see a comparative chart, and the three li

lee. this is "options action. on the desk tonight, mike khouw, carter worth, and brian stutland we begin with a wild week for the regional kre rebounding more than 6% today, but the group i still down 10% this week some of the biggest losers, pacwest, first horizon, western alliance and more. mike is starting to see some options traders nibble at these names. mike, what are we watching >> best thing to take a look at if you're trying to get a sense of where investors' sentiment, try to take a look at the proxy for the entire space, and that is kre, the etf that tracks regional banks one of the biggest options we saw yesterday, traded over a million contracts. of course in a lot of the single names, the constituents, some of the stocks you just mentioned, during the course of the week we saw bearish bets especially early in the week, and some of those turned out to be quite prescient. actually yesterday on all of that volume the sentiment on balance and kre was actually positive calls did outtrade puts but actually we measure positive sentiment two ways one is with call buying and the other is with put selling. what we ar

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lee: mr. chairman, my time has expired. i yield back. mr. garbarino: the gentlelady yields back. i now recognize the gentleman from louisiana, mr. carter, for five minutes. mr. carter: mr. chairman, thank you very much. director easterly, thank you very much for being here. thank you for the incredible work that you do. in my home state in louisiana and around the nation, far too many higher education institutions are experiencing data breaches. what steps does cisa taking to protect the privacy and integrity of our institutions and combat critical infrastructure cybersecurity issues? ms. easterly: it's a real scourge across the country. one of the focused areas we did based on being asked by the congress to take a look at the k-12 cybersecurity act, was we spent a lot of time putting together a guide for k-12 schools and school districts across the country and we worked with a lot of experts to ensure it was a guide which schools that were resource poor could take advantage of. so we created this guide. very simple steps about things that can be done to prevent data breaches and ransomware attacks. we've seen a lot of that. and then w