let's bring in leland miller great to have you with us. >> thank you. >> this is a consumer that has effectively been locked in for a few years now. we were locked in for a year plus and got unleashed and spent all sorts of money so how do you think about what this will do to not only chinese gdp but also to other countries that rely on china, you know, as trade partners >> well, there are two potentially very different stories, you know, you've had terrible data, growth data, every other data for 2022 so as covid zero has ended and the economy reactivates you'll see a bounce in everything china cyclical bounceback so you're going to see people traveling again, spending again, you'll see investment spending again. temporarily but you'll see consumers jump back in again you'll see a jump in china the question is, will that have the same effect for the world and, you know, the caution here is that most of china growth has traditionally been output, building out of property these things will not help global growth. it will not help global, you know, gdp. so i think the question here is,

drawn in the process of ending the war -- preventing the war from escalating, and causing damage leland-- beyond. i think again that a cease-fire along the lines of invasion use a reasonable outcome of the military actions but not necessarily the outcome of a piece negotiation -- peace negotiation. the u.s. has supported ukrainian resistance and will continue to support, and if necessary, intensify its military support until a cease-fire is either reached or accepted in some preliminary discussions. the objective is to keep the war from becoming a war against russia itself. to give russia an opportunity to rejoin an international system. this may seem very hollow. but under new conditions, this could cause russia to really get -- to reevaluate its position. -- to the culture of your -- of europe where they fear termination -- or they fear termination. to provide a possibility or to reassess the lines. to change military force efforts because the destruction of russia as a state can -- its own politics. it will open up a vast area of it with internal conflicts and to outside intervention

i did a three painting series of visitation valley and the businesses on leland.lt good to drop off the paintings and hung them. >> my business is picking up. the city is opening up. we have mask requirements. i check temperatures. i ask for vaccination card and/or recent test. the older folks they want to feel safe here. >> i feel like there is a sense of unity happening. >> what got us through the pandemic was our customers. their dogs needed groomed, we have to cut their nails so they don't over grow. >> this is only going to push us forward. i sense a spirit of community and just belief in one another. >> we are trying to see if we can help all small businesses around here. there is a cannabis club lounge next to the dog parlor to bring foot traffic. my business is not going to work if the business across the street is not getting help. >> in hit us hard. i see a bright future to get the storefronts full. >> once people come here i think they really like it. >> if you are from san francisco visit visitation valley to see how this side of the city is the same b

i did a three painting series of visitation valley and the businesses on leland. it felt good to drop off the paintings and hung them. >> my business is picking up. the city is opening up. we have mask requirements. i check temperatures. i ask for vaccination card and/or recent test. the older folks they want to feel safe here. >> i feel like there is a sense of unity happening. >> what got us through the pandemic was our customers. their dogs needed groomed, we have to cut their nails so they don't over grow. >> this is only going to push us forward. i sense a spirit of community and just belief in one another. >> we are trying to see if we can help all small businesses around here. there is a cannabis club lounge next to the dog parlor to bring foot traffic. my business is not going to work if the business across the street is not getting help. >> in hit us hard. i see a bright future to get the storefronts full. >> once people come here i think they really like it. >> if you are from san francisco visit visitation valley to see how this side of the city is the

leland miller says they do better and then pull back. i don't know.you want to do research now? you are ahead of me on that one. it's another trip we won't be doing. from new york, this is bloomberg. ♪ when you automate sales tax with avalara, you don't have to worry about things like changing tax rates or filing returns. avalarahhh ahhh every day, millions of things need to get to where they're going. and at chevron, we're working to help reduce the carbon intensity of the fuels that keep things moving. today, we're producing renewable diesel that can be used in existing diesel tanks. and we're committed to increasing our renewable fuels production. because as we work toward a lower carbon future, it's only human to keep moving forward. (jennifer) the reason why golo customers have such long term success is because we focus on real foods in the right balance because as we work toward a lower carbon future, so you get the results you want. when i tell people how easy it was for me to lose weight on golo, they don't believe me. they don't believe i can

i did a three painting series of visitation valley and the businesses on leland.felt good to drop off the paintings and hung them. >> my business is picking up. the city is opening up. we have mask requirements. i check temperatures. i ask for vaccination card and/or recent test. the older folks they want to feel safe here. >> i feel like there is a sense of unity happening. >> what got us through the pandemic was our customers. their dogs needed groomed, we have to cut their nails so they don't over grow. >> this is only going to push us forward. i sense a spirit of community and just belief in one another. >> we are trying to see if we can help all small businesses around here. there is a cannabis club lounge next to the dog parlor to bring foot traffic. my business is not going to work if the business across the street is not getting help. >> in hit us hard. i see a bright future to get the storefronts full. >> once people come here i think they really like it. >> if you are from san francisco visit visitation valley to see how this side of the city is the same

my name's unit leland, you're welcome to then use our the former leader of brazil. yeah, you both scenario has been hospitalized in the us state of florida with abdominal pain. it comes amid violent protests in the south american country where his supporters have demanded new presidential elections. maldonado has condemned a violent saying, he only supports peaceful demonstrations or protest her took to the streets of foul polo blocking roadways on monday. this is betty we've received from the country's largest city. several cars were torched by the protesters, while brazil supreme court has suspended the governor of the capital, but as little yeah. after crowd storm the presidential palace and other government buildings had diarrhea. ah, amid the heavy clashes law enforcement use tear gas sun detained some 1200 involved in the rallies. according to police, radley 70 people were reportedly injured with several in critical condition. president little the silver house that 3rd a state of emergency for the rest of january, and is deployed the military to try and stem t

my name's unit leland, this is art t international. hello and welcome. there's a new commander in charge of russia's military operation and ukraine and don boss. the role is now in the hands of general valeri garris. some of the previous leader of the operation sergei sort of vacant, has been assigned as garage m offs. deputy earlier deny former chiefs efforts were recognized by president putin who awarded him the order of saint george brush, his highest military decoration. russia's defense ministry said it had given the rule of commander directly to its chief of staff. as the wide scale of the current operation needs improve coordination between the different branches of the military . onto the dumbass frontlines where the russian private military company, wagner said it's completely taken. the strategic city of solid are under its control. the area is crucial for control in the done yet republic, and has been the scene of intense fighting with ukrainian forces who are mixed in with numerous western mercenary functions. this exclusive footage shows the

the bug and those high—profile things, he really designed all sorts of everything, from lorries for leland for four decades but really struggled to retire. he described himself as having a butterfly mind that never stopped. a huge body of work under and a real legacy there. another one of his designs you certainly will probably remember, the 1970s marble run — a toy that, 50 years on, continues to delight children even now. helen mulroy, bbc news. time to have a look at the weather with stav danaos. hello there. the start of this weekend has been unsettled, thanks to low pressure, wet, windy, followed by blustery showers and sunny spells. part two of the weekend also unsettled with the same area of low pressure close by, it's going to stay pretty windy with plenty of showers rattling in from the south—west. here it is, this deep low, the centre sitting just the north of scotland on sunday, some fairly strong winds close to it's centre over the north and west of scotland. elsewhere, plenty of isobars so it is going to be another blustery day, maybe not quite as windy across inland areas tha

i did a three painting series of visitation valley and the businesses on leland.off the paintings and hung them. >> my business is picking up. the city is opening up. we have mask requirements. i check temperatures. i ask for vaccination card and/or recent test. the older folks they want to feel safe here. >> i feel like there is a sense of unity happening. >> what got us through the pandemic was our customers. their dogs needed groomed, we have to cut their nails so they don't over grow. >> this is only going to push us forward. i sense a spirit of community and just belief in one another. >> we are trying to see if we can help all small businesses around here. there is a cannabis club lounge next to the dog parlor to bring foot traffic. my business is not going to work if the business across the street is not getting help. >> in hit us hard. i see a bright future to get the storefronts full. >> once people come here i think they really like it. >> if you are from san francisco visit visitation valley to see how this side of the city is the same but different. >>

i did a three painting series of visitation valley and the businesses on leland. it felt good to drop off the paintings and hung them. >> my business is picking up. the city is opening up. we have mask requirements. i check temperatures. i ask for vaccination card and/or recent test. the older folks they want to feel safe here. >> i feel like there is a sense of unity happening. >> what got us through the pandemic was our customers. their dogs needed groomed, we have to cut their nails so they don't over grow. >> this is only going to push us forward. i sense a spirit of community and just belief in one another. >> we are trying to see if we can help all small businesses around here. there is a cannabis club lounge next to the dog parlor to bring foot traffic. my business is not going to work if the business across the street is not getting help. >> in hit us hard. i see a bright future to get the storefronts full. >> once people come here i think they really like it. >> if you are from san francisco visit visitation valley to see how this side of the city is the

leland: an interview coming up -- an interview coming up with the governor of texas.oe biden talk with the governor, did he want to meet with him ahead of the trip? probably not. carrie lake is dealing with ther of side of the disaster in arizona where you've got the administration forcing arizona to take down the one barrier they had put up there, that is the containers to fill the bluings. we're also talking about the extraordinary speaker of the house race. i've got the rules right here that they've adopted, their rule package. we'll see what happens tomorrow morning when they get to work. byron donnels emerging as an alternative to kevin mccarthy over the last few days. what does that mean for his leadership in the future. he'll join me at the top of the hour. michael waltz, nobody knows china better than him, we'll talk about the adversaries the country faces including china, communist china and the mexican cartels. happy to be back. happy new year, everybody. pete: i have the rules for "fox & friends" in front of me. it says do what we say. maria: i like that. e

leland miller with the china beige book book and you look at leland miller and you say what's so specialhe has a granularity on china like no one. he frames 6.2% gdp. what do you do when you hear six point 2% from competent people? how do you react to that? >> i think you could get some extremely high numbers of gdp next your but it's based on the idea that you are not just going to have a cyclical bounce back which is firms restarting investment after covid zero and consumers jumping back in temporarily and getting the pop off of 2022's low statistical basis but in addition to that, you have to layer on stimulus. you are seeing headlines about stimulus but you have to expect them to be doing all of these things that once. it could happen but it's much too early to be guessing that with any type of clarity. tom: like the electrical grid from shanghai to the west, they put in a fiscal policy, can they diffuse that stimulus faster because of the power of the government? >> it depends on what kind. this is the question of 2023 and we just built a proprietary fiscal index to track the flows

ecclesiastical world that goes all the way back to thomas clarkson and william wilberforce in england, john lelandnd virginia. john excuse me, who believe then that thomas lincoln, his father, had a hand in lincoln's anti-slavery thoughts, even though he had to be a slave catcher by law. sometimes i do. i do. in the sense that it created an ethos in which when lincoln heard about slavery, it is safe to presume that it was anti-slavery, not necessarily because all these folks were morally righteous, but thomas lincoln, poor white farmer, an aristocracy of race against his economic interests. and so i do believe that the sermons are possibly possibly i can't prove this but we know that memorized sermons and repeated them it's not impossible that they included anti-slavery elements. i don't want to be baptized. it was bound. be very clear i'm not posh again. i'm trying to posthumously turn him into some kind of conventional christian or a unitarian crusader. he was not that. but if is naturally something, then it's incumbent on us as historians try to figure out what he meant and the first exposure t

i did a three painting series of visitation valley and the businesses on leland. it felt good to drop off the paintings and hung them. >> my business is picking up. the city is opening up. we have mask requirements. i check temperatures. i ask for vaccination card and/or recent test. the older folks they want to feel safe here. >> i feel like there is a sense of unity happening. >> what got us through the pandemic was our customers. their dogs needed groomed, we have to cut their nails so they don't over grow. >> this is only going to push us forward. i sense a spirit of community and just belief in one another. >> we are trying to see if we can help all small businesses around here. there is a cannabis club lounge next to the dog parlor to bring foot traffic. my business is not going to work if the business across the street is not getting help. >> in hit us hard. i see a bright future to get the storefronts full. >> once people come here i think they really like it. >> if you are from san francisco visit visitation valley to see how this side of the city is the

i did a three painting series of visitation valley and the businesses on leland.gs and hung them. >> my business is picking up. the city is opening up. we have mask requirements. i check temperatures. i ask for vaccination card and/or recent test. the older folks they want to feel safe here. >> i feel like there is a sense of unity happening. >> what got us through the pandemic was our customers. their dogs needed groomed, we have to cut their nails so they don't over grow. >> this is only going to push us forward. i sense a spirit of community and just belief in one another. >> we are trying to see if we can help all small businesses around here. there is a cannabis club lounge next to the dog parlor to bring foot traffic. my business is not going to work if the business across the street is not getting help. >> in hit us hard. i see a bright future to get the storefronts full. >> once people come here i think they really like it. >> if you are from san francisco visit visitation valley to see how this side of the city is the same but different. (music). >> i sta

those victims may may not a 65 year old woman, and leland lee, a 63 year old woman. as we talked about how this community is processing what happened over the weekend? i do want to read to you. the statement from that family member of that victim, they say it's still sinking. what happened to may may she spent so many years going to this dance studio behind. me and monterey park on weekends. it's what she loved to do, but unfairly saturday was her last dance. we are starting the lunar new year broken. we never imagined her life would end so suddenly, they was 65 years old. if you knew her, you knew her warm smile and kindness was contagious. she was a loving aunt, sister, daughter and friend. may may was our biggest cheerleader. thank you for all your thoughts and prayers. we appreciate the support of our neighbors and community. the victim's family also saying that maimane in was the first person shot in her car before the suspect. went on his rampage. in the dance studio behind me, and we talked about the grieving community. there is a makeshift memorial around the

well as the one and bond bug and high—profile things, designed all sorts of things, from lorries for lelandlf with a butterfly mind that never stopped. a huge body of work under — mind that never stopped. a huge body of work under real— mind that never stopped. a huge body of work under real legacy _ mind that never stopped. a huge body of work under real legacy there. - of work under real legacy there. another one of his designs you certainly will probably remember, 19705 marble run, a toy that 50 years on continues to delight children even now. helen mulroy, bbc news. there are lots of people going guess! i rememberthat! somebody who remembers it better than most... mike. , ~ mike. marble run? we lived in the same village _ mike. marble run? we lived in the same village as — mike. marble run? we lived in the same village as the _ mike. marble run? we lived in the same village as the current - mike. marble run? we lived in the same village as the current familyl same village as the current family when i was young, my dad was headmaster of the school and i used to go to tom�*5 house. well,

leland project reported graffiti. i can report to the same phenomenon, graffiti and unapproved location on polk street and another large location on polk street would was never realized, and the new boats themselves are wondering what is going on and again. this is not an expression of how neighbors have different feelings about cannabis. yes or no. but when the business is not realized, and turns out to be a negative influence was graffiti and will tool neglect on the street. then i think we need to respond, and i'm wondering what your thoughts on that sure. michael christensen department staff. um you know, vacant storefronts are of course, a very severe issue in every neighborhood. um really, interestingly enough in los angeles when they had this process of shutting down unauthorized cannabis dispensaries, they realized that crime rates in the areas actually increased because they vacant storefront was actually worse than an unauthorized illicit cannabis dispensary. um . and vacancies, of course, an issue throughou