hoy, por primera vez, los fiscales y el abogado de guzmÁn, jeffrey lichtman, han reconocido que existenlay negotiations are going on which isn't all that shocking because plain emotions go on in every case including many that eventually end up at trial. >> durante la audiencia, la jueza preguntÓ a ovidio por el nombre de su hermano, a lo cual respondiÓ joaquÍn guzmÁn lÓpez e informÓ en espaÑol que sabÍa que Él enfrenta los mismos cargos que Él y no habÍa ningÚn conflicto con que el abogado lichtman representara a los dos en la sala. tambiÉn se notÓ una presencia amplia de alguaciles de estados unidos. cuatro agentes estaban a una corta distancia vigilando a guzmÁn can certainly be an arms point, please. el abogado asegurÓ que aunque se llegue a un acuerdo, no necesariamente significa que ovidio tenga que dar informaciÓn sobre otras personas de interÉs para el gobierno estadounidense. >> resolution of the case where we bargain away some of the counts and oftentimes is reflected in how much time they're facing. >> mucho se especulaba que los chapitos habÍan sido puestos en libertad a camb

. >> what are your thoughts on our lichtman -- on alan lichtman, academics like him who have these, what, 13 bases, or? dr. young: his keys? it's a model. it's a model that i don't understand 100% but i think it is a bit of take about how he measures things. there is a measurement issue. only he knows how to use the keys, it seems. if he can't open up the method from a scientific perspective and locate it then we have a problem. just as an aside i teach another class at some other places i am forecasting. what we do is we take the last electoral cycle and decompose all the models and recompose them. because they are transparent so we know how they are put together. we can take them apart and put them back together and figure out is wrong. there's not a lot of transparency there. i don't know how he is measuring variables. but he has some sort of probabilistic model so it is no different. there is no special sauce. it is like any other model that exists. it has an outcome which is the election and a series of other variables. his are mostly structural. but i do not think there is a lot of

tambiÉn abogado, hablamos con el abogado jeffrey lichtman sobre este tema y esto fue un poco de lo queh isn't all that shocking because cleaning motions go on and every case including many that eventually. >> bueno, dijo que bÁsicamente divulgaron que hay negociaciones en este caso, y algo que no deberÍa sorprender porque hay negociaciones en todo tipo de casos. asÍ que Él espera tambiÉn poder resolver este asunto antes de la siguiente audiencia. el prÓximo 7 de enero. como bien sabemos, los movimientos de ovidio guzmÁn y joaquÍn guzmÁn lÓpez fuera del centro correccional metropolitano de chicago, dio pie a muchas especulaciones de que habÍan llegado a un acuerdo con el gobierno de estados unidos a cambio de su libertad. hoy el abogado tambiÉn volviÓ a reiterar que sencillamente esa es no es la verdad y que bÁsicamente hay mucha informaciÓn falsa que estÁ rodando en torno a este caso. asÍ que, por supuesto, estaremos muy pendientes a lo que ocurra en las siguientes semanas. es posible que se llegue a un acuerdo antes de esa audiencia del 7 de enero. octavio. >> muchas gracias, nicole.

allan lichtman. my my great pleasure.k of independence in the 2014 referendum — has died at the age of 69. he reportedly collapsed after speaking at an event in north macedonia earlier on saturday. this is one of the last pictures taken of him at that event. mr salmond was a formidable campaigner for independence in scotland, and led the snp to power there in 2007, becoming the country's first minister for seven years. among the dozens of tributes, the king said in a statement: "my wife and i are greatly saddened to hear of the sudden death of alex salmond. his devotion to scotland drove his decades of public service. we extend our deep condolences to his family and loved ones at this time." 0ur scotland correspondent lorna gordon looks back at alex salmond's life. in 300 years, no—one came closer to ending scotland's union with england than alex salmond. this, in my estimation, has been the greatest campaign in scottish democratic history... a formidable political figure who guided a party that for decades was on the fri

hoy, por primera vez, los fiscales y el abogado de guzmÁn, jeffrey lichtman, han reconocido que existennegotiations are going on which isn't all that shocking because plena emotions go on in every case including many that eventually end up at trial. >> durante la audiencia, la jueza preguntÓ a ovidio por el nombre de su hermano, a lo cual respondiÓ joaquÍn guzmÁn lÓpez se informÓ en espaÑol que sabÍa que Él enfrenta los mismos cargos que Él y no habÍa ningÚn conflicto con que el abogado representara a los dos en la sala. tambiÉn se notÓ una presencia amplia de alguaciles de estados unidos. cuatro agentes estaban a una corta distancia vigilando a guzmÁn can certainly be an arms length, please. el abogado asegurÓ que aunque se llegue a un acuerdo, no necesariamente significa que ovidio tenga que dar informaciÓn sobre otras personas de interÉs para el gobierno estadounidense. >> resolution of the case where we bargain away some of the counts and oftentimes is reflected in how much time they're facing. >> mucho se especulaba que los chapitos habÍan sido puestos en libertad a cambio de su co

. >> yesterday on my sirius xm radio program, professor allan lichtman, he with those 13 keys that allow them to predict the election winner this year, he says it's harris well, here's what he said about an october surprise one of the greatest myths of american politics is the october surprise. >> i have never changed my prediction in response to october surprise because the keys gauge the big picture of incumbent governance and strength and don't sway by the events of the campaign right? >> in 40 years, he's never changed a prediction and he's called them correctly. and nine of the last ten elections the october surprise is that there will be noise, but there will be no surprise the gop strategist and cnn senior political commentator who advised the trump campaigns of 2016 and 2020. and the rage and cajun james carville the legendary democratic strategist who ran bill clinton's 1992 winning campaign. and is the focus of a new cnn film called carville. winning has everything stupid. it premieres tonight at 7:00 p.m. james big jobs report yesterday, robust stock market declining interest

i believe things get very serious of course when haldeman and r lichtman, the chairman's, some of nixon'sdvisers i talk about in the book, when they are finally fired, pat had no love for either of them and particularly for halderman, there's a real dislike and distrust there. when they are fired finally, then what i call the old nixon team comes back together to fight what they call the last campaign, which is watergate, in trying to redeem things. so i think she knows things are dire, but if i tried up into the very end ande she is one of the very last to agree with her husband that he should resign. >> a lot of the reporting was about her seclusion, or drinking during this time toward the end. >> right. i would say that reporting is flawed and baseless. there's a lot in the final days by carl burstein and bob woodward about first the drinking, she was drinking heavily and then walking by the white house at night with a tumblr of bourbon. there's absolutely no evidence for this. i've interviewed scores of people inside and outside the white house, friends, family, you know, others. not

. >> what are your thoughts on our lichtman -- on alan lichtman, academics like him who have these, whatit's a model. it's a model that i don't understand 100% but i think it is a bit of take about how he measures things. there is a measurement issue. only he knows how to use the keys, it seems. if he can't open up the method from a scientific perspective and locate it then we have a problem. just as an aside i teach another class at some other places i am forecasting. what we do is we take the last electoral cycle and decompose all the models and recompose them. because they are transparent so we know how they are put together. we can take them apart and put them back together and figure out is wrong. there's not a lot of transparency there. i don't know how he is measuring variables. but he has some sort of probabilistic model so it is no different. there is no special sauce. it is like any other model that exists. it has an outcome which is the election and a series of other variables. his are mostly structural. but i do not think there is a lot of mystery. it is just a mystery of wha