and as you point out, bill burns, who was then the american ambassador in moscow, he told condo, lisa rice, who of course, was secretary of state that ukraine and nato was the brightest of red lines for the russian foreign policy elite. he made it very clear that this is not just include vladimir putin, virtually everybody he talked to in the russian. a lee was adamantly opposed to ukraine, becoming a member of nato. nevertheless, we continue to push to include ukraine in nato, and that led to the message that we're in today. and this is why i say that the united states and nato more generally, is principally responsible for creating this crisis. had we not pushed to include ukraine in nato in april 2008. if that issue had been taken off the table, then we wouldn't have the trouble today. in fact, ukraine would still be intact and i believe it would even include crimea. now you are a famous realist and realists are have an adage which is you've got to see the world as it is and not the world as you want it to be. and the world as it is today is millions of ukrainians have been displaced. m

rice and corn effects, billions of people across asia, africa, and the america's. no country will be immune to the social and economic repercussions of such a catastrophe. lisa hel, region that crosses central africa is expected to be one of the hardest hit with more than 10 and a half 1000000 people facing potential salmon. their conflicts in the vast area have left millions displaced. agency save that, it is extremely difficult to get help in while an unprecedented drought has led to water shortages. we spoke to al yona chenango, a regional representative of the red cross in kenya, who says that the impact of climate change and of the global situation in general are making it harder for the african continent every day. well, working on the ground to support the people, it is true that the situation has been difficult for a long time because there isn't on there. the region has protract protected, conflicts that calls to displacement. like for example, if we speak about booking of a saw alone there, some are almost 2000000 people that are displaced within the country. and although also some 2000000 people that are that have a right to the country from other

lisa: the idea that you have corporations that are strong. how far is the distance from now to a lesser now, one that people are forecasting in the rices of stockss of stocks? steven: some of the lagging indicators like inflation take a long time to roll over but it doesn't mean we have to assume that inflation will rise forever and that's because consumer fundamentals are firm in many ways, a lot is tripping against it. we would expect, for example, the slow down in goods consumption to result in lesser need for employment. employment growth will be slowing down by later in the year. i don't want to seem ultra-bearish, but these are the reasons why i think from a foreign-looking perspective in terms of monetary policy, you can't say we need to raise rates until inflation is low. by then, you have created a forward-looking condition for a much, much deeper declined in the economy. lisa: the former fetid vice chair came out over the weekend and said the chair of the bed doesn't want to let the r-word slip out of his mouth in a positive way, but we need a recession, but there are a lot of euphemisms, and he will use them. what are we going to hear