with us today, michael duffy of "time" magazine, liz marlantes of the "christian science monitor," patricia murphy and david leonhardt. six months from the election but the pros know voters are locking in right now, believe it or not the 2/3 are already telling pollsters they've made their final choice and most have the horse race obama-romney, very close. we're looking inside it today. maybe the exee is white voters. when he won last time barack obama got 43% of white voters. in this week's wall street journal poll he got 40%. whites it -- have tipped dramatic throy romney. 42% said they would be pessimistic abandon worried if probe was re-elected but only 22% said they would be if romney won the what's going on? had >> barack obama did not get a big majority of white voters last time and he's not going to get it this time. his main problem is white men. he's running closer to 34%, 35%. he's losing white men both under age 50 and if ne make less than $50,000 a year and it's very hard to imagine he's going to get more than i got last time the chris: is it about jobs, unemployment, more? >>

liz marlantes.t, charles krauthammer. >> first, we have to see the context of the deal. ridiculous deal. renegotiate with pyongyang on the 29th of february. we will give them this for acting nite. they would shut down the uranium program and not launch missiles. in a month they have a violation of it. the best we can muster for the state department spokesman to say it would be inconsistent with the recent undertakings. if that were to happen. it's a gross violation of the treaty. spitting in the face of. doesn't give you responsibility. in light of negotiation with iran in a few days. "b," the whole idea of negotiating with the adversaries. you know won't abide by agreement. second, japanese defense ministry said it would shoot down the rocket if it goes over japan. we ought to say we'll support and assist the japanese in shooting it down. i suggest we could have our own cruisers and shoot it down. the only reason for missile of that sort is hit the united states. one day it will have a nuke on it.

liz marlantes of the christian science monitor.rly strassel of the wall street journal and charles lane. >> the court, it is dangerous to read too much in the questions that justice act. there was a wide spread perception that they did not think much of the administration's arguments and lawsuit to strike down the arizona crack down just as they are skeptical on the met's obama care. how damaging to the president if in june the court were to rule that the former constitutional law was wrong on both. >> it is damaging with particularly health care. it is his proudest achievement and it is struck down it brars the stamp of illegitimacy. it is it unpopular and there is a shot where people say it takes the issue off of the table. i don't buy that. i think the arizona law may be in more trouble with the court than the health care law. it is not as important as the health care law . but it doesn't help him either to have his position in the enforcement of the immigration laws resisted by the supreme court. it is embarrassing and gives th

bill kristol of the weekly standard and liz marlantes for the christian science monitor.an and fox news analyst juan williams. what do you make of the trayvon martin case. are you surprised that more than a month after the shooting that zimmerman was charged with nothing or is this a duke lacrosse case. >> the public is rushing to judgment and they are deciding to make it in a national political matter with a local and state law enforcement matter . we don't know what happened and i hope justice will be served and it is a terrible case. the idea that national politicians and they are rushing to judgment can they don't know what happened is distressing and people playing the race card not in a constructive way. and not in a way that provides justice in this case that is distressing. >> chris: liz? >> i would ad to that. media attention and pressure from activist served a purpose initially and we have a special prosecutor investigating and justice department investigating and arguably none of that would have happened if there was not attention paid initially. we are in the

liz marlantes. kimber lustrousle and charles lane of the washington post. the court wants to say is is tooys dangerous to read much into the questions the justices ask. there was a widespread perception that they did not think much of the administration arguments in its lawsuit to strike down the arizona crackdown just as they seem skeptical of obama care and the individual mandate. let's present a hypothetical. how damaging if in june the court recall to rule that the president was on the wrong side of the constitution both on the arizona law and on obama care? >> i think it is damaging because particularly with regard to healthcare. this is the center piece of his domestic agenda and proudest achievement and if it is struck down by the supreme court it bears the stamp of illegitimacy. it is already unpopular and i would think in the aftermath of that be even more so and i don't think there is now -- there is some three cushion bank shot where people would argue it would take the issue off the table and that would be good for him and so farther, i don't bu

bill kristol of the weekly standard liz marlantes and fox news political analyst juan williams. bill, what do you make of the trayvon martin case and the legs that it continues to have? are you surprised that more than a month after the shooting that zimmerman still has been charged with nothing or is this another duke lacrosse case where the public is rushing to judgment? >> i don't know if the public is rushing to judgment but a lot of people decided to make this into a national political matter when it should be i think a local or state law enforcement matter and we don't know what happened and i hope, i trust justice will be served and it is a terrible thing that this young man was killed obviously. but the idea that national politicians and commentators are rushing in to make judgments where they don't know what happened is distressing and the degree to which people are willing to play the race card, you know, without -- not in a constructive way and not in a way that helps race relations in this country and in a way that helps promote justice in this case is distressing i

bill kristol of the weekly standard liz marlantes and fox news political analyst juan williams. you make of the trayvon martin case and the legs that it continues to have? are you surprised that more than a month after the shooting that zimmerman still has been charged with nothing or is this another duke lacrosse case where the public is rushing to judgment? >> i don't know if the public is rushing to judgment but a lot of people decided to make this into a national political matter when it should be i think a local or state law enforcement matter and we don't know what happened and i hope, i trust justice will be served and it is a terrible thing that this young man was killed obviously. but the idea that national politicians and commentators are rushing in to make judgments where they don't know what happened is distressing and the degree to which people are willing to play the race card, you know, without -- not in a constructive way and not in a way that helps race relations in this country and in a way that helps promote justice in this case is distressing i think. >> chri