he's ready let's welcome lloyd blankfein. and crazier and wilder the party is, the worse the hangover is, have we put in that type of two- or three-year period as grantham said we're looking at the end of a superbullish cycle that could take us down much further than people think a as a risk guide, do you think -- >> that drunken met for is yours. i have less experience i would say that -- well, perhaps. i'd say one of the big issues in the market today is how far the fed -- because of the uncertainty, you know. the fed has been pretty good at giving the market advance notice of the pace of change, how far change might go, and people have come to rely on that we're in a situation now probably wihere the fed itself s pretty insecure in that, and so people instead of having some certainty in that, not that there's ever really certainty, but a feeling of certainty, people are kind of extrapolating, you know, big cars and risk, you know -- the riskiness of the situation is quite great. those of us of a certain age are having a li