, first of all, lord goodman, first of all, lord goodman, first of all, lord goodman, your reactionno longer being either first or second place in this one poll? >> of course, you were referring to margin of error. and i think the important element here isn't really that reform have overtaken the conservatives. it's that in poll after poll, if you prompt , they're quite close you prompt, they're quite close together. if you don't prompt the conservatives share of the vote is still quite small and reforms is coming up. vote is still quite small and reforms is coming up . so the big reforms is coming up. so the big lesson here is at the moment, everyone seems to want to kick the conservatives. but if sections of the right vote tory other sections vote reform, you're looking at what happened in canada , which was 15 years of in canada, which was 15 years of left wing government , in canada, which was 15 years of left wing government, and i think people have not really got their minds around that yet because there enjoying the party of kicking the tories. but we're heading towards a ver

thank you very much for joining lord goodman.ining me, as well as william kedjanyi and going through those odds. and please do, if you're interested in political betting or indeed betting of any kind, remember to gamble responsibly, thank you very much to my panel and indeed to william. that's all from me this evening . coming up next is this evening. coming up next is the one and only patrick christys patrick, what's on the bill this evening? >> well, i've got a heck of a lot on tom and ellie. a candidate has been caught on camera saying that women will burn in hell. we should keep them indoors and it's funny if they feel the back of a man's hand.so they feel the back of a man's hand. so we'll be talking about all of that. and whether or not they should be standing at this election is mass immigration to blame for the housing crisis? and our reporter is in tenerife. as the hunt for missing jay slater continues, has he been kidnapped? we're hearing from david davis wes streeting and a lib dem as well. >> all go david davis wes st

i'll also be joined by my panel, the journalist and conservative peer lord goodman, and the gb news seniorentator nigel nelson, plus a host of other experts and head honchos. all that's coming up after your very latest headlines with tatiana sanchez . with tatiana sanchez. >> tom, thank you very much. the top stories this hour. sir keir starmer set out labour's manifesto today, reaffirmed his commitment to no rises to income tax or national insurance. the labour leader put economic growth and stability at the core of his party's plan, promising to end what he called a desperate era of gestures and gimmicks . desperate era of gestures and gimmicks. back on the campaign trail in crewe, he rejected rishi sunak suggestion of higher taxes and said britain will do better under labour. >> it is a manifesto that rejects fundamentally the proposition that britain can't do better than this, that we have to go on in the way we've been going on in the last 14 years. it is a rejection of that

i'll also be joined by my panel, the journalist and conservative peer lord goodman, and the gb news seniorentator