losing iowa does not hurt his hopes. iowa and new hampshire, he gives a narrative word trunk has been the winner all along, and all of a sudden he is not winning. mark: did you have a lot of followers added today? sahil: i have not checked. i try not to look at my mentions. mark: you quoted a strategist thinking that people -- saying people should stop thinking that trump could not be nominated. are there still a lot who say in the end trump can't be nominated or in general now believe that he can be? there are still a lot of them who think he cannot be nominated. i think the fact that he is been in the polls for a 100 days, people are starting to look beyond the denial stage. i do not think they are anywhere close to a point of accepting or embracing him if he is the nominee, but i think there has been a reality check that has happened of the last few weeks when he just keeps going up and up nationally. john: if ben carson is not the biggest potential disrupter of the trunks the narrow, who is? is it ted cruz, or is it

iowa? >> isn't she losing in iowa? if you look at one poll. >> the most recent. >> no. >> she's losing to bernie in iowa and new hampshire. >> thing about the biden issue in terms on what is motivating him to run. i think there are worse things than being motivated by your family and trying to do well by them. what motivates her to run. nobody questions that, except for right here on this show. >>> ahead the title of america's first family has always applied to the family that lives in the white house. should the obamas relinquish it to the kardashians? >>> did you hear america has a new first family? the kardashian/jenners, how they're billed on the new cover of "cosmopolitan." sparking outrage in the twitterverse, like them or not, the reality tv family has a massive following. the question is has celebrity replaced religion in america? that's what spider-man andrew garfield thinks. what do you think? >> among celebrities is considered a revelation? although it's been said for the last 30 years. when it comes from a

not because iowa's losing, the hawks are undefeated, but because iowa is so banged up. new kirk knows he'll need some football to win this one. and it starts poorly for iowa. guy iowa can't lose, quarterback c-j beathard, aggravates a leg injury early, and comes up wincing. then this. jordan canzeri, the national player of the week, goes down with an ankle injury. looked bad, but it's a sprain, not break. next man in. and that man is akrum wadley. you'll hear his name again. first play of the second quarter, 35 yard turn the corner touchdown. hawks lead 9-nothing. more wadley. this time from four yards, and iowa's lead is 16. love it. northwestern pulls within six, and the hawkeye defense slams the door. josey jewell with a big third down stop. stays 16-10. third quarter, the akrum wadely experience continues. wadley's third score, and it's 23-10, iowa pulling away from stunned northwestern. this iowa offensive line, down two starting tackles, keeps making big holes, fullbacks helping too, a fourth touchdown for wadley, ties canzeri's school record. wadley rushes for 20

just because he loses in iowa or doesn't win iowa, it doesn't mean he's going to lose in iowa. it will be interesting for another candidate to have full scrutiny on him if, in fact, carson wins. now we're good to have to really learn what his policies are. >> but you have to admit, though, from a donald trump perspective, when winning is everything all the time, he set the bar higher than any other candidate in modern political history to wipe the floor with everyone else. when you talk about other candidates, about how they have to go talk to their mom and dad, by the way, former president of the united states of america, not a bad person to get advice from, and you mock him, when you mock ben carson who may beat you in the first state, when you do those things, you set yourself up for the other headline to be, donald trump's campaign is unraveling. donald trump cannot finish the game. donald trump runs out of steam or gasoline. that is the headline. and there's no one he can blame for that but himself. if he was smart, he would have limited himself and said, i'm shocked by th

now if i lose iowa, i will never speak to you people again. that i can promise. steve: trump will be back on the national stage tomorrow at the 3rd republican presidential debate. it's set for the coors events center at the university of colorado in boulder at 7:00 p.m.. you can watch the 2-hour contest on cnbc. the top 10 polling candidates will participate. debate. as for the democrats, new numbers show that hillary clinton has developed a commanding lead in iowa. the monmouth university poll shows 65% of likely democratic caucus-goers are backing clinton while senator bernie sanders is now a distant second at 24%. you can catch clinton tonight in her "late show with stephen colbert" debut. that's coming up right after this newscast right here on , kcci. stacey? stacey: big changes for southwest airlines customers flying out of des moines. todd magel is live at the des moines airport with more on a new flight schedule just announced. todd: say goodbye to chicago and hello to st. louis. southwest is moving its twice daily flights from here at the des moines airp

donald trump in iowa on the eve of the debate, as a cbs/"new york times" poll, shows him losing the lead to ben carson. >> got a little shake-up in iowa. i don't know what's going on. >> reporter: in the poll 26% of republican primary voters said they back carson. four points ahead of trump. with the rest of the candidates far behind in the single digits. numbers have moderator john harwood said could impact the debate's tone. >> we saw when ben carson pulled ahead of trump in iowa in polling there, donald trump really started going after ben carson. so, this is only one national survey that's showing this. but it does introduce an unpredictable dynamic to the stage. >> reporter: carson staffers say he'll defend himself at the debate but will remain low key. >> you know, some people think that he's laid back. i don't think that there are very many people think that he's too laid back to be president. i think that people really, really appreciate his temperament. >> reporter: here in boulder, as in much of the country, many are undecided. >> i'm looking for somebody who's intelligent, suc

now if i lose iowa, i will never speak to you again. that i can say. elizabeth: trump will be back on the national stage today at the 3rd republican presidential debate. it's set for the coors events center at the university of colorado in boulder. you can watch the 2-hour contest on cnbc. the top 10 polling candidates will participate. the bottom 4, same as last time, will take part in an earlier debate. as for the democrats, new numbers show that hillary clinton has developed a commanding lead in iowa. the monmouth university poll shows 65% of likely democratic caucus-goers are backing clinton, while senator bernie sanders is now a distant second at 24%. eric: it is now a quarter to 5:00 as you wake up this morning. it has been a drizzle overnight and that has been happening for the last several hours. working to 50 degrees and metinka slater says it will not >> weather is never more than 5 minutes away only on kcci 8 news this morning. metinka: good morning. out there with a lot of wind and pockets of light rain from des moines southeastward towards

if i lose iowa i will never speak to you people again. >> he added but if i win, i will never speak to you people again. >> donald did openly attack ben carson on something he holes far more sacred than someone's religion, their level of pep. >> ben carson is super low energy, right? super. he's super low. >> he doesn't seem low energy to me. he seems high. not high energy, just high. >> many people know the story when i was 14 and i tried to stab someone. >> sure. sure. 14. i mean, that's when you're in your stabbing prime. when i was 14 i was on my high school stabbing team. >> but before i could stab him, i fell asleep and he fell asleep. >> the candidates will hold another debate this week. it'll take place in colorado. [ cheers ] which will get when stoners see ben carson speak and they'll be like, whoa, what is he smoking. >> the good stuff. >> daylight saving time this weekend. >> yes, an extra hour of sleep or if you're at the bars partying you get an extra hour. turn back those clocks at 2:00

their theory is hillary clinton loses iowa and new hampshire and white night. >> yeah. and i think biden has the authenticity that exposes hillary clinton's biggest hurdle at this point. she had a great debate. mitt romney had a great debate in 2012. and, you know, it catapulted him for awhile but didn't change the fundamentals of the race. i think joe biden looking at the race is hoping hillary clinton had a mitt romney-like debate performance and the fundamentals of her campaigns have issues. >> you mentioned hillary clinton and mitt romney coming up in the next half hour. also, jeb bush. the question is after the debate if biden is making the conversation he did watch. hillary clinton got rave reviews for the debate. bernie sanders turned into a high performance. the rest of the country got to see him. one of the questions about it is, you know, even listen to donald trump here kind of biassed when it comes to the democratic race. one of the questions about republicans is the democratic family they have a strong debate. is bernie sanders polling not just himself but

now, if i lose iowa, i will never speak to you people again. that i can tell you. >> reporter: tonight, trump tweeting he's "looking forward to what i am sure will be a very unfair debate." also sounding frustrated these days, jeb bush. >> i got a lot of really cool things that i could do other than sit around and being miserable, listening to people demonize me and me feeling compelled to demonize them. that is a joke. elect trump if you want that. >> reporter: but bush is hoping a strong performance tonight will jumpstart his struggling campaign. one of his likely targets? senator marco rubio, his former protege, who the bush campaign now calls the gop obama. attacking him for missing more votes than any senator this year. today, one of rubio's hometown newspapers, "the sun sentinel," which endorsed him for senate, calling him to resign over those missed votes, writing, "you are ripping us off, senator." rubio promising to address the issue. >> tune in tonight, you'll see it. >> and tom, we know there are really two battles playing out tonigh

if, however, he makes that bet and loses iowa and takes his eyes off of new hampshire and then loses iowa and then somebody else knocks him off in nam, a bush, a rubio, a cruz, then suddenly he's bleeding out. i think the calculus right now if trump wins iowa he wins the nomination. trump loses iowa but ends up winning new hampshire big he's still on the way because trump is a south carolina candidate. they love him in south carolina. gene, you're from south carolina. trump is up by 20, 25 points right now. i've said it all along, if he has any momentum going into south carolina, he'll blow everybody away there. he'll blow everybody away in nevada. then blow everybody away in the deep south. this gene and to the table is the establishment's problem. there's always an establishment candidate that has money to endure iowa. even new hampshire. once you go south and come back to the northeast states where you have to write checks, both sides can do that. there's not one this year, nobody coming to the rescue for the establishment. the establishment candidates are going to have trouble fun

and if lose iowa and you lose new hampshire for hillary clinton, that's two weeks of horrific bleedingtually get to a point here, and this is what halperin and i talk about, it's going to be hard for any republican to catch you because then you turn south. donald trump is going to sweep through the south. he's going to sweep through south carolina if what's happening now is any indication of what's going to be happening next spring. >> we're talking about it right now. it's october 5th. iowa and new hampshire are boom, boom. boom, boom. if you take two shots to the jaw in iowa and new hampshire, the referee is going to stop the fight. you're done. because of your expertise, the money. he'd chop his arm off and his leg off and leg off, it's a flesh wound. no, it's not. you're dead. >> the reports that authorities foiled another school shooting plot, this time in california. and still to come on "morning joe," congressman jason chaff el chaffetz is looking to grab the gavel. >> bill karins. >> the pictures are incredible. colombia colombia, south carolina had the most rain ever had. beca

place else so in that situation, you have to start accepting the fact i hate to say trump could lose iowa and win the nomination especially when you look at the fact he's dominating in this new way of politics. i don't agree this is not new. his tone is very unpresidential. even in the past when you had attacks they weren't in this tone. why is it working for him? it's working for him because in a new media era of reality tv and social media where being a bragger doesn't hurt your ratings in reality tv. being controversial doesn't hurt your following on twitter. so the old rules prereality tv, preessential medimmedia presocial media are falling away. he's playing a new set of rules. >> jeffrey, to van and amanda's point, if there is a long game, how do you see that playing out if they figure dr. carson is going to get iowa just as huckabee and santorum got before because the large evangelical turnout and then trump looking for new hampshire, south carolina and other spots later on. >> he's right. he's way ahead. trump is way ahead in south carolina and new hampshire, as well and van has o

. >> now, if i lose iowa, i will never speak to you people again. >> reporter: no longer the undisputedront-runner donald trump scolded supporters in iowa for letting him fall to second place in the key voting place. >> i am second. it's not like second. i don't like being second. second is terrible to me. >> reporter: ahead of trump for the first time ben carson stepped into the ring and picked up endorsement from a martial arts fighter. >> when you get blood on these, you can't tell. >> reporter: rand paul and marco rubio announced their opposition to a two-year budget deal now set to sail through congress. paul vowed a filibuster. >> i think it is a horrible. it's hard for me not to use profanity in describing it. >> reporter: it was hard for ohio governor john kasich to avoid avoid avoid. he blasted trump's call for deportation and carson bid to replace medicaid and medicare. >> what has happened to our on party? what has happened to the conservative movement? >> reporter: hillary clinton will try to use this gop infighting to her advantage when her campaign airs commercials during

now, if i lose iowa, i will never speak to you people again. >> his modesty is something. he's a very confident young man, donald trump. donald trump also says this, it's a good thing that people think he's unpredictable, and that he is. >>> prince harry makes a whirlwind visit to the u.s. today, including a stop at the white house. he's getting ready to bring the invictus games to orlando next year. harry's event gives wounded troops a chance to compete. julianna goldman is at ft. belvoir in virginia where harry is teaming up with some powerful mes. goododorning. >> reporter: good mornrng. in just a few hours prince harar will be joined here at ft. bebeoir by firir lady michelle obama and dr. jill biden. thth'll meet withounded a game of wheelchair basketball. it's a quick trip for the prince but just enough time to highlight the invictus games. >> for me the 2014 games were just the beginning of the invictus story. >> reporter: prince harry is spending his one day in the nation's capital drawing attention to a cause close to his heart. the invictus games is an olympic-st

donald trump has a lot to lose, second in iowa. ole campaign is predicated on i win so if these numbers keep dropping that's a problem and these are the ys that have a lot to lose with so much at stake and jeb bush is the green down here and he needs to move up whether it's in iowa or new hampshire. how long can you stay down here with everybody else, including the guys on the second-tier debate. that's one way to look at it. i wanted to come at it the this way because as you watched the republicans debate tonight, 75% of republicans say their party is divided. you saw that in the debate tonight. not just about who should lead the republican party, it's about what the party's posture should be on issues and how it should approach its strategy. 74% of republicans say the system is not working because of infighting. this is a very interesting number. remember, republicans control the house and the senate. 70% of republicans, republicans, when you add it up, say the republican congress gets some of the blame for the dysfunction and the

. >> if i lose iowa, i will never speak to you people again. [ laughter ] >> reporter: donald trump sco scolded voters. >> i'm in second place. that's not terrible. but i don't like being in second place. that's terrible to me. >> reporter: ben carson picked up an endorsement from a mixed martial arts fighter. >> it's red, if you get blood on it you can't tell. >> reporter: rand paul and marco rubio announced their opposition to a two-year budget deal set to sail through congress. paul vowed a filibuster. >> it's hard for me not to use profanity in describing it. >> reporter: it was also hard for john kasich to avoid profanity when considering his gop opponents. >> i've about had it with these people. >> reporter: he blasted trump's call for mass deportation and carson's bid to replace medicaid and medicare. >> what's happened to the conservative movement? >> reporter: hillary clinton's campaign will air commercials during tonight's republican debate. >> join the fight for higher incomes. i'm hillary clinton and i approved this message. >> reporter: even more unusual than clinton ads du

at this point you're spending a million dollars a month and you're losing ground in iowa? there's that side of it. i think for jeb, and this is something people need to be mindful of. and i give the campaign a lot of credit for it. and i have some concerns about the people that are around him and what they're saying to him because the jeb bush i've gotten to know over the years is not the guy i see right now. i'm still waiting for him to show up and actually run for president. but set that aside. what they're doing is the smart stuff of laying the ground where it matters to get the delegates they're going to need to lock down the nomination. let me give you a little push into the future and tell you what's going to happen. you right now have a situation that's been created by the change in the schedule that comes between february and march 15th. all of those delegates that are being selected are proportional. what incentive does anybody have to get out of this race? notwithstanding what happens in the first four states. but super duper tuesday with an s.e.c. primary thrown

if he loses iowa, that is loser. those are people trump derides. they are losers. liz: hang on, the term losers is somewhat pejorative. >> that is exactly how he uses it. he is leading all over the place. i grant you that. i'm just saying i'm a winner. once he starts losing he is a loser. we know what he thinks about losers. liz: here arrest the thing, kirsten, mr. trump is going after ben carson just like jeb bush. that was the storyline all day, saying, recall, said to mr. bush, you're so low energy. using same tactic against ben carson. but ben carson is not coming back, counter punching. >> right. ben carson, last couple of debates he has been lower energy. i think people have noticed that, but it hasn't hurt his poll numbers. what is really interesting about these two candidates they're at complete opposite ends of the persona perspective, right? trump is braggadocios and loud, not very humble and ben carson is affable and soft-spoken. trump is going after someone so likeable, his favorability ratings are 84%. this is where you might see weakness in trump. >>

we're lease than 100 days to iowa, and candidates who think the might lose/ñl or run behind start toake moves and you see voters thinking more clearly about their choice. so you usually see a little bit of a shift from summer poll to fall polls. >> during the process, often the winnowing happens within one party. we were a week to week sort of thing last year but for the moment the two outsiderred are trump and carson. >> that's correct. and they've held sway through most of the campaign but i wouldn't be surprised to see things shook up even more, and let's talk about iowa for a second. as much as the winner of the caucuses over the past couple of presidential cycles hasn't done much, iowa can play a really important role this time, and that's about the winnowing. imagine donald trump, the whole premise of his candidacy so far has been about strength and about winning, and for no other reason, that's what trump talks about. i'm ahead in all the polls. what die need a pollster? i'm winning in the all the polls. he's no longer winning in all the polls and if he loses iowa it could pun

now, if i lose iowa i will never speak to you people again. >> jimmy: he is being honest, i guess. trump also told the crowd in iowa, i am -- this is a quote. "i am a great christian." if you have to tell people you're a great christian? you might not be a great christian, i'm just saying. jesus said it is easier for a camel to go through the eye of a needle than for a rich person to enter the kingdom of god. which is why donald trump is now currently working on plans to build an enormous needle. [ laughter ] [ cheers and applause ] i don't know who won the debate tonight. because the debate is happening right now. it just started. this afternoon, hours before the debate started, we went on the street as we do and asked people how they thought donald trump did. again, well before the debate even happened. in this special "donald trump debate edition of lie witness news." >> tell me about how you think donald trump did at the debate last night. >> you know, i think he did well. i think a lot of the things he says are unconventional, but then i don't think we've seen a politician who

if she can win in iowa she is on a glide path to the nomination. we can write off new hampshire. if she losesn iowa and he beats her in new hampshire, it will be a much more difficult scenario. she will still probably be the favorite. but it will become located mark: a lot of republicans -- but it will be complicated. . mark: i heard from a lot of smart republicans today who said thanks for writing that piece. we need to get ourselves a nominee who can beat her because she will be the nominee. john: she is a general election candidate and the advantages she has, the possibility that she could get through this primary relatively unscathed while republicans fight for months, she can. be very formidable. mark: there once was a front runner named jeb but today he is down to 5% in iowa according to the latest poll. he is literally tied with rand paul, two bullet points under not sure. he seemed to be frustrated and i will use the cliche -- not to be fighting for his political life. >> i got a lot of really cool things i can do other than the at around being miserable, listening to people demonize

iowa caucus. donald trump remains the focus. perhaps he has the most to lose. behind ben carson in a few key polls. he's a leader in iowa and one national poll. what will happen on the debate stage tonight? dana bash is "outfront." >> this crap stops. >> reporter: four republican candidates who won't make the main stage already debated and tried hard to break through. >> i am tired of losing. good god, look who we're running against. the number one candidate on the other side though she was flat broke after her and her husband were in the white house for eight years. the number two guy went to the soviet union on his honeymoon and i don't think he ever came back. >> reporter: certainly not the way the candidate who talked constantly about winning wanted to go into tonight's debate. >> iowa, will you get your numbers up, please? >> now, if i lose iowa, i will never speak to you guys again. that i can tell you. >> reporter: for ben carson being on top, that means he has more to lose. aides say carson prepped hard on policy, in-depth q & a on economy and jobs. the

if i lose iowa, i will never speak to you people again. >> candidates oftentimes ask for votes, they very rarely threaten to speak to the whole state of iowa again if they don't win the iowa caucuses. all the standard rules are kind of out the window this year. that just happened tonight in the sioux falls. more ahead. >>> carli's performance was so good that by the time the game was over someone had changed her title on wikipedia from midfielder to president of the united states. which by the way, the job's about to open up. what's another candidate in the mix? i guarantee you carli knows more about being president than some of the folks who are running. but that's a whole other -- >> president obama hosting the u.s. women's national can soccer team at the white house today, praising star midfielder carli lloyd and throwing some shade at the current crop of presidential candidates. one might expect that he meant most of that shade for the republican candidates who are starting to gather now in colorado ahead of tomorrow night's debate in boulder. joining us to talk about how the camp