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but it looks like the dow has gone to green and the nasdaq is down 150, more than 1%, lou basenese leaseith me this morning. aztec goes so goes the bull market. >> that is gospel truth we don't get a picture family members were the stocks that determine where the market goes in the five biggest companies in the s&p 500 architect companies. we see microsoft rally on good results in alphabet falling on weak results. it's coming down to a.i. that led to re-acceleration for microsoft cloud business, the scary thing is the most love stock was nvidia forever and it'll have the most influence on the earning season. if we strip nvidia out from the s&p 500 earnings would decline 2.9% for versus the 5% rise it's crucial, nvidia's report november 21, a little bit later. stuart: stayed there, with me for the hour i have to move on from something else, movers, boeing is definitely moving they reported earlier this morning. >> they were up and now lower we know that they trim their full year delivery target for the 737 which is the cash cow because of the quality control issues at the supplier spirit

lou basenese is with us for the morning, for the hour, as a matter of fact. >> i am.art: this cpi number, up 3.7% in the last 12 months, kind of neutral, isn't it? >> i'd say neutral, mixed bag. everyone's looking for a direction strongly one way or the other. i think the fed still has its work cut out for them. i've been on the record saying we're going to get one more hike, and i predict it'll be in november. i think the rise in yields has kind of done some of the work for the feds -- for the fed, so i think it's more likely in december. and interest rate futures are betting on a probability of a 36% rate hike in december, and that's up from 26%. stuart: that would not help the stock market, would it? >> definitely not. you've been very adamant about in this and rightly pointed out as these yields go up, the stocks are going down. stuart: that is what's happening. talk to me about birkenstock. it was a flop, budget it in. >> yeah,, ugly shoes -- [laughter] they were popular back in the early '90s when i was in high school, they've been around for 250 years. i'm sure

the conversation initiative president daniel garza, public president and chief market strategist lou basenesenings with maria" is live right now. ♪ >> time for the hot topic of our former president trump expected back in court for the second day of the civil trial, trump leaving the near courtroom on monday proclaiming that the judge actually made a fair statement concerning the statute of limitations. watch. >> the judge seated the court of appeals. therefore 80% of the case is over. there is no case there is no victim. everybody got paid it's a terrible thing, it's been very successful because they to get to the campaign trail and david sitting in a house all day long instead of being in iowa, new hampshire, south carolina for a lot of other places i could be at. this is a horrible situation for our country and it's never happened before his election interference. maria: that is the point keeping about the campaign trail leaving him of money, your reaction. >> i'm not couldn't disagree with the president on this one. if true about 80% of the case being touched out, this is a reflection of s

president biden not putting his name on the new hampshire democrat presidential primary ballot, lou basenesethat some jewish americans are arming up as anti-semitism urges surges, the 11:00 o'clock hour is next. ♪ if your child has diabetes, you'll want the most accurate cgm, dexcom g7. it's on. and, he's off. you can see his glucose numbers right on your phone, so you can always be there for him with dexcom g7. ♪ ♪ this is spring semester at over 13,000 us school districts, which have become top targets for ransomware attacks. but there's never been a reported ransomware attack on a chromebook. which is why thousands of schools like the fairfield-suisun unified school district switched to google tools for education. so they can focus on teaching and 22,000 students can focus on learning, knowing that their data is secure. ( ♪ ) hi, my name is damion clark. and if you have both medicare and medicaid, i have some really encouraging news that you'll definitely want to hear. depending on the plans available in your area, you may be eligible to get extra benefits with a humana medicare advantage

lou basenese joining us for market coverage this morning. think the chaos, matt gaetz fee fiasco having any impact on the markets? is that why it's done? >> no, it's focused on the fed and interest rates and the fiasco is continuing and no clarity between too many candidates running and lack of leadership. that's not going to resolve any time soon. stuart: got it. lou, i want to talk about sam bankman-fried and his trial. why do you think so many relatively sophisticated investors, i thought they were sophisticated and gave him tons of money? >> this is what sill von valley keeps doing. look at elizabeth holmes and theranos and look at how they do the deal and no due diligence is done. the marquee investor is in the deal and put your money too . everyone falsely assumes someone else did the diligence and saw it in theranos and with sam bankman-fried who everyone thought could be the next jamie dimon and he was the next bernie madoff. we do the diligence first and share with investors and say here's all the work and why you should think about

also with us is lou basenese l.e elements that are driving market sentiment, take a look at futures, indicating a decline at the start of trading. i was expecting stocks to go lower as yields go higher and we've got another spike in the 10 year this morning. check this out. sarah, the 10 year is now surging to a level of 4.726%. this is on the move. the yield is now at a 16-year high and then you look at the two year, nearing a 17-year high at 5.136%. this is what's turning these stock market lower, the fed's chairman, jay powell, heard from fed up small business owners yesterday in pennsylvania about the impact of higher rates, about higher prices overall, inflation, he reiterated that the fed will take down inflation but sarah, what's your reaction to this move in rates right now? >> the rise in bond yields has just been relentless. when we rewind and look at the third quarter, 10 year treasury yields were up 7 basis points. we -- 74 basis points. we continue to see them move higher. break down why we're seeing it