there's no greater window into that than macomb county. >> brangham: macomb county is famous in politicalles because for decades this area overwhelmingly voted for democrats. but then in the 1980's ronald reagan campaigned here and he turned those voters to the republican side. this area became known as the home of the reagan democrats. >> you are right now, at this moment, sitting in the birthplace of the reagan democrats. >> brangham: state senator jack brandenburg says he was the first elected official in michigan to formally endorse donald trump. and he believes that following reagan's path through macomb county, which had gone to president obama in both 2008 and 2012, was key to trump's success. trump won macomb county by more than 48,000 votes, but carried the entire state by less than 12,000. >> if you do the math macomb county put him over the top in michigan and quite possibly gave him the presidency. >> brangham: closer to downtown detroit, the lingering scars of the area's economic crisis are everywhere. >> just about everybody in this neighborhood has basically voted democrat

and macomb is at 24%. in the run-off, this is from yesterday, we have a more recent number exactly. le pen is still leading. fillon is below 20%. also francois fillon is not benefiting from some of the electorate of sarkozy, the former french president. a big portion of sarkozy's base has gone to ma home or le pen. you're seeing all of thisexodus of lawmakers, republican lawmakers who used to support fillon who have now decided to resign. now you have the campaign treasurer. everybody is calling for -- to come back. anything could happen. matt: he said he doesn't want to be the runner-up here. do you think he will step in, if needed? >> he would probably -- only on one condition. if francois hollande agrees. basically he doesn't want to put the party, the process of francois fillon's nomination, the republican primaries that were held in november and he came in second. he has repeatedly said he doesn't want to be a backup plan. but that could change of course to rancois fillon asked him replace him. guy: thank you very much indeed. the beautiful paris. up next, key economic targets.

i said yesterday i was the campaign manager, speaking to people in macomb county, michigan, not moscow. we have dni, former director jim clapper saying no one under my purview would have anything to do with that. he couldn't discount local and state. >> he said there were no fisa warrants. the suggestion was there was a fisa warrant taken out on the president. the president essentially blaming a former president of a felony, calling him a bad or sick person and offering no proof. that is a very different suggestion than what is the extent of contacts and communications between the trump administration and russia. >> i would also say in the same article today, the screaming headline that just is false, is not what i was saying, it also says my husband is in line with the solicitor general job. that job went to somebody else. >> all right. that's wrong. >> where is the screaming headline, retraction? >> i never said it. that would be really bad if i did it. >> you're quoting from an article. now you're selectively quoting. >> i'm saying i never said that. >> i was talking about surveilla

as you can see in the second term holes, she would be defeated by macomb by 63%-30 8%.icolast sarkozy in 2012, that should vote today for for the field, between 15-20% of them, this expense why she is at a high , but we the first term also have 20% of the former voters of nicolas sarkozy. thank you very much. a point well made. joining us there from paris. up next, more about the fed and all eyes on janet yellen in chicago. odds of a hike this month near 90%. this is bloomberg. . . manus: investors receive clues from yellen's speech today. odds for a march hike around 90 pebble beach. anna: more than 60 french politicians say they can no longer support the presidential account as the embezzingment scandal engulfs her campaign. manus: it is day break, europe. it is our flagship morning show. i'm manus cranny. anna: i'm anna edwards. manus, you have some numbers out of germany? manus: i do. retail sales declined .8 pblet. the market was looking for a rise of .3%. that is a month-on-month figure on the retail side in germany. could it be the little bit of confidence with v

macomb, daily, trump carries mucome. millions to lose coverage under gop bill. the arizona republic, a red state for trump. millions could lose coverage. these headlines, they add to the political debate because, guess what, this is personal to people out there. they don't care about scores and reconciliation. they care about their wallet and their health care. >> what does it mean for then. the interesting thing about this bill is there's still a question of whether or not this document matches with the populist movement of, that donald trump ran on. he promised no cuts to entitlements. he essentially ran and used rhetoric that was familiar to liberals, which is what republicans were so skeptical about. so when people in these particularly small towns, when they hear about the cuts that are going to be made to medic d medicaid, when they hear about the rhetoric from democrats particularly, this idea of war on seniors, though are the voters that voted for donald trump. they thought they he was going to make their lives better. so now it's up to him to figure out