is madame le pen the most likely next president of france?> i would say at the moment she has a high chance. i don't know that she -- she will make it, but it's true that, you know, when she stood against macron in 2017, she did a pretty good score. then when she stood five years later in 2022, she did an even better score. then macron said at the start of the term, he said the enemy was le pen and hoping to bring him down. i think it is the exact opposite. at the moment, she is in good shape, but, again, if the election were to be held in 2025, then i think a chance would be fairly, fairly high. that's why the others, except for the candidate against her and he believes that gives him at least a 50% chance. many others don't want either le pen or michel. this is the game played. yes, for her, it is an ideal term. 2025 would be ideal time and then this government falling in more political crisis would really be very, very useful. >> andre, does that finally bring about something that many people thought actually would have done france good to

marine le pen�*s far—right national rally is threatening to pull the plug on the coalition government over plans to rein in the massive french deficit. madameswer her demands to amend his government's budget plans. joining me now is charlotte de montpellier, senior economist at ing economic research. charlotte, good morning to you. good morning. this charlotte, good morning to you. good morning.— good morning. this is real pressure _ good morning. this is real pressure on _ good morning. this is real pressure on the _ good morning. this is real pressure on the prime - good morning. this is real - pressure on the prime minister in france. talk us through what's at stake here. basically, the ground is very fragile, as you said, and the left and far—right — they could bring it down this week if they decide to vote together on a motion of no—confidence. the thing is that the government will use a special article of the constitution in order to pass the social economic budget from next year. if the government does that, indeed, there could be a vote on a motion of no—confidence. it means probably on wednesday or thursday, there will be this vote

it was tried against donald trump and is being tried with madame le pen.could happen here, in which case the jury happen here, in which case the jury is our safeguard as it proved itself to be in favour of freedom of speech against prosecutor starmer a decade ago. however, let me know your views via mailmogg@gbnews.com. but i'm very pleased to be joined now by paul britton, founder of britain in time solicitors. well, thank you very much for coming in. it is very worrying that the answer to problems within the criminal justice system is let's restrict jury justice system is let's restrict jury trials, which is the absolute bulwark of our freedom. >> if that is the go to, if that is the knee jerk reaction, then yes, that's absolutely wrong because you have a right as a defendant in this country to be judged by your peers. that's one of the salient principles of criminal justice. and to take that away in favour of what we call swift justice. so swift justice is where you will go before a judge. the judge will hear the evidence and then go on to the sentencin

madame le pen was blamed by christians last week for bringing down the government and being irresponsibleresponsible in theirview, but and being irresponsible in their view, but polls show she has gone up even further. 0utside has gone up even further. outside of paris, no—one has been looking on this at all because they are bemused by the politicians in paris.— politicians in paris. thank you very much — politicians in paris. thank you very much for— politicians in paris. thank you very much for the _ politicians in paris. thank you very much for the moment. i politicians in paris. thank you - very much for the moment. hugh schofield in paris. we are expecting statements to come from there very soon on this new appointment. thank you. let's cross to our chief international editor lyse doucet in damascus. for the evolving situation in syria. it is good to see you and brings up—to—date. yes, we are live from damascus on the edge of umayyad square and you can see the tremendous scenes. a momentous day, a day many thought they would never see. an end to the 50 long years of repressive, bruta

and i rememberwhat madam le pen said on your benches. - you said never- with france unbowed.we're here there today. you pretend you're just - insulting each other, and you are now going to vote... you insulted, and now you're i going to vote together to bring this government down. that's the leader of the centre—right party. many people here really saying that the problem for michel barnier is that he is from the centre right, even though in palm entry elections held over the summer, the centre—right really immerses quite a small political force relatively speaking inside parliament. it was once largely by the left which did not have a majority, but president macron came in and said i'm not going to appoint a left—wing prime minister but a centre—right prime minister in the shape of michel barnier. and even able to bring all the factions apartment behind an initial premiership. one of the parties on the left has voted we understand against michel barnier if the socialist party and here is its leader. translation: the 7th - ofjuly, the women and men in the defence of the repub