in wisconsin you have the same problem with mandela barnes and i think outside of maybe the universitythat wisconsin is a very tough state this year. >> sean: let me ask you, you really have a gift in terms of being able to see wave elections and all the years that i've been interviewing you usually turn out right. i know a lot of people are optimistic that believe that this will be a wave election year. would you see the house going, and when you look at all these senate races, florida, georgia, north, south carolina, pennsylvania, wisconsin, ohio, missouri, colorado, washington state, arizona, nevada, what you see the senate coming down in terms of at the end of the day who will be the winners in the selection? >> sean i do 3 newsletters a week. i did one on the long term structural analysis of the election, the two most successful models use historic data to partake the came in at about the same number they predict 44-46 gained seats for the house. i just did this last week analyzing the polling numbers. remember, the democrats get places like california by such huge margins if you

we have seen a lot of democrats like mandela barnes saying he's too busy.couple times. the reality is you're labeled a democrat so you might as well get the plus from that, perhaps a picture with air force one and the president as well as the downside, which comes with being in the president's party. >> explain to me the mandela barnes calculation because he's to the left of president biden. tim ryan is trying to run to biden's right. as a centrist, but mandela barnes is very progressive. >> absolutely he is. and so, you know, he is one that has come out and said that he supported getting rid of the filibuster to protect a lot of critical rights up for debate right now. i think mandela is one of those candidates who is young, progressive, he also knows how to not only talk to the progressive base but he also knows how to talk to rural voters in wisconsin. he won lieutenant governor, so he knows how to, kind of like stacey abrams who has a progressive record but is able to talk in these swing districts and these places that might have more moderate democrats

i'm talking about mandela barnes.emocratic incumbent governor tony evers is fighting for his second term against tim michaels. it's a lot, here to discuss is our political panel. bill burrow is a national reporter for the associated press. jesse moore is a democratic strategist and founder of common threat strategies. and marina shaw is a former republican strategist. welcome to you all. i would like to say that i have known -- it is barrow you need to start collecting people out here in the streets about your name. let's start with -- thank you for being here. let's start with my least favorite topic. former president donald trump. he held his first rally since the fbi search of his mar-a-lago home last night. he was in pennsylvania and he gave a scathing speech. he was supposed to be having this rally to support governor republican candidate -- and like i said he's running for senate. but in the full two hour speech, he only mentioned the food of them a handful of times. what is the point of a trump endorsement if h

i need you all to join us, and this mandela barnes is here to talk you out. >> i'm gonna ask you thisgh, when you talk to people in wisconsin, you and i talked about this a week ago or something, there is a small, small issues that our big for people. and then there is big issues that are about democracy in the future of it. we heard from the president last night about some of those big issues. is that stuff present with people you're talking with? >> of course social security, we're talking with the benefits that people worked their dialogue for. my grand dog moved to milwaukee after, he was able to get as job as a steel worker. he was there for 30 plus years. i found a foundation for my dad to follow in his footsteps. there were so many others like him across the state and across this country, who have worked hard their entire life, an idea that they can be sold out by politicians like ron johnson was to call social security a ponzi scheme, it is appalling, every person deserves to be able to work on a retire with dignity. one johnson wants to take that dignity away from people. >>

you have these candidates out there and talk about fascism, mandela barnes in washington running against ron johnson talking about releasing 50% of the state's prisoners. fetterman, your buddy in pennsylvania, sean, is talking about releasing 30% of the state's prisoners. it doesn't get anymore wild than that. and finally when joe biden comes to wisconsin and pennsylvania, s as nuts as that platform sounds, those two candidates didn't want to go by joe biden because he's unpopular and the economy is in the tank and people know it. >> sean: charlie, if this election becomes about record high inflation, record high gas prices, record high prices for everything you buy and every store you go to, if it becomes about law and order and safety and security, if it's about education of our kids, if it's about all of these things and not about the attacks and name calling and demonization of any conservative or republican, i say republicans win if that's what they run on. now the question s which side will win the narrative? >> yeah, i think you're exactly right about that and that's exactly why y

yet mandela barn since pulling within the margin of error.rvation of democracy and abortion rights are ones that pull in mandela barn's favor. this is a guy who wants a national abortion ban and someone who defended january 6 rioters and has opposed any sort of investigation into them. they are strikes against him as well as his record against social security and medicare which has not been aired. you go down the path, you will see things change when ron johnson's own statements will come out saying he wants to repeal social security and medicare and he's not a champion for working people health care and the issues that affect wisconsinites. >> trace: won the football team goes south, the head coach in the quarter back in the offense of corners are the one to blame. the country seems to be and a little bit of a right and then democrats control the presidents and they control both houses of congress. they get the blame in these types of situations. >> they've got all three levers of power so if you're concerned about inflation and the price of

meanwhile, pennsylvania senate candidate john fetterman and wisconsin candidate mandela barns they're both calling for america's prisons to be emptied. emptied. take a look. >> do you believe that some of them did that we could over a period of years cut our inmate population but one-half, mandel? >> absolutely. that's stuff that happens over time. it's not something that happens over night. if you stock more people back to prison, if we reduce our recidivism rate f we address the way that we not allow offenders, over time the prison population will be half of what it is now. >> i was on the panel with secretary wedsel earlier before the pandemic hit and he said something remarkable that i agree with. he said we could reduce or prison population by a third and not make anyone less safe in pennsylvania. that's a profound statement. >> sean: they're not talking about pot hots and tax cheats. they want to release murderers, raini rapists. we're hiring 87,000 new irs agents. that's way more important, right? let's be clear. if you want your family living next door to a career criminal, ju

. >> also, tonight wisconsin candidate mandela barnes was caught on camera trashing capitalism. this, after he called for violently criminals to be released from prison. we're going to play that tape and vet him tonight. >> first, the countdown continues. we are only 55 short days away from these pivotal midterm elections and democrats have lost all touch with reality. now, yesterday we showed you the new devastating economic numbers, inflation went up, food, rent, energy, all the way pick up. the stock market plummeted. it dropped significantly. the biggest drop since the height of the pandemic. this but one month after the democrats passed their so-called inflation redux act or as i -- reduction act. it doesn't actually do anything to reduce inflation. it will increase inflation. it is just a massive green new deal spending bill that, as predicted, is making inflation far worse, making everything more expensive than ever. and now, by the way, to add insult to injury r biden's competent transportation secretary has been unable to hammer out a deal with america's railroad unions

fox poll's back out for the midterms, a wisconsn republican senator ron johnson leads democrat mandela barnte in the governor's race in wisconsin, incumbent democrat tony evers is tied with republican tim michaels, 47% in that race be a fun, democratic senator mark kelly has a five-point lead in arizona over republican blake masters in that senate race, among those saying there are certain to vote. in the governor's race in arizona, democrat katie hobbs has a one point lead over republican carrie lake. tonight's "special report" spotlight, we start in oregon, where the incumbent governor kate brown's term limited, cannot run for reelection, democrat tina cotech, republican christine drazen, independent betsy johnson are locked in a battle to replace her. all three previously served in the oregon state legislature. separated by just one point in the new oregonian poll. inflation, homelessness, crime and major issues after portland saw a record high 90 homicides in 2021. our latest fox power rankings, you can see these online, move that race from lead democrat to toss up. let's take you to io

>> one thing mandela barnes wants to do, he wants to sometime any capitalism.fantasy, that is what it is will impoverish people. we've seen it in sri lanka. it doesn't work. we don't have rare either minerals to produce batteries. we don't have enough electricity to charge what electric vehicles on the road today. gavin newsom basically the same day he announced getting rid of all gas powered cars, he said, by the way don't plug in your electric vehicles because we don't have the capacity. these are self-inflicted wounds. $369 billion in the inflation reduction act dedicated to boondoggles like solyndra probably what it will turn out to be. this just doesn't work. elizabeth: they want 87,000 irs agents to collect the money for that. the other thing, california unanimously approved a ban on gas-powered heaters and furnaces. space heaters are notoriously dangerous to cause fires. electric grid, during blackouts in california, they can't handle all the extra electric vehicles and appliances plugged into it. senator, you have things like "the daily mail" reporting

dead even wisconsin senate race, republican, ron johnson, and democratic lieutenant governor, mandela barnesged in a fierce debate over public safety. >> dangerously liberal on crime. >> our folks are completely motivated. >> brian is a conservative strategist, and wisconsin. >> there are people concerned about their personal safety. >> it is not just a core city problem. it is on a much larger scale, the awareness of it. >> wisconsin did see more than 70% jump in homicides from 2019, to 2021. like many states did. red, and blue. driven by a number of factors, including, the covid-19 pandemic. in august, republicans, nationwide, spent $11 million on ads about crime, but, 25 million on ads about inflation. then, in the first two weeks of september, 9 million on inflation, but also, now, 9 million on crime. in wisconsin, jumping on comments made by lieutenant governor barnes, weeks after the murder of george floyd, in 2020. >> we need to invest more neighborhood services, and programming. where that money come from? well, it can come from over loaded budgets and police departments. >> but, he

me is johnson's democratic opponent in this close senate race, wisconsin lieutenant governor mandela barnes, one would think this race wouldn't be that competitive. because this tea party senator has shown himself to be a really odd man. and yet, the polls show that not only is this race razor thin, in some polls he's ahead. what's going on in wisconsin? >> well, i tell you, we have seen an unprecedented amount of dark money coming into this race. they're lying to this track of his failed record. he's a person who says all kinds of wacky things, but the reality is what he's doing in washington is no joke. he's seing out the people of wisconsin left and right. he's putting women's lives at risk with his dangerous positions on aborg. he's too extreme for wisconsin but there's a whole lot of money that wants to keep him in office to continue to take us backwards. we're running a real grassroots campaign despite the fact we're being mashively outsend. some of the most ridiculous ads you have ever seen. >> you're both state-wide elected officials. people have elected you both state-wide. it's no

even wisconsin senate race incumbent republican ron johnson and democratic lieutenant governor mandela barnes a fierce debate over public safety. >> dangerously liberal on crime. >> our folks statewide are extremely motivated. >> reporter: brian schemming is a conservative political strategist in wisconsin. >> there's a lot of people concerned about their personal safety. it's not just a core city problem. it's on a much larger scale the awareness of it. >> reporter: wisconsin did see a more than 70% jump in homicides from 2019 to 2021. like many states did, red and blue. driven by a number of factors including the covid-19 pandemic. in august republicans nationwide spent $11 million on ads about crime but 25 million on adds about inflation. then in the first two weeks of september 9 million on inflation but also now 9 million on crime. and in wisconsin jumping on comments made by lieutenant governor barnes weeks after the murder of george floyd in 2020. >> we need to invest more in neighborhood services and programming. where will that money come from? well, it can come from overbloated budg

mandela barnes, he stands with them, not us. >> we knew the other side will make up lies about me to scare you. now they're claiming i want to defund the police and abolish i.c.e. that's a lie. i will make sure our police have the resources and training they need to keep our community safe. >> now, while those are the two ads that voters are seeing here. it's important to note that republican outside groups are outspending democrats in a state like this. so voters here are seeing that first ad attacking the democratic opponent here more than they're seeing that rebuttal from mandela barnes. but one sign that you're seeing right here, outside of the event that ron johnson is having with the round table discussion with members of law enforcement, with members of the community, there are demonstrators here calling that first ad that you saw racist, asking ron johnson to take it down, and you get a sense of how that issue, crime is playing out, even as voters say, other issues like abortion and inflation may be their top issue when they go to the polls. >> shaq brewster live for us in mi

. >> senator johnson's democratic challenger mandela barnes did not appear with the president yesterdaylabor day events to attend. later today, the president made his third trip to pennsylvania in less than a week. alongside the state's democratic nominee for senator, john fetterman, biden touted his administration's accomplishments to a group of union workers just outside pittsburgh. he also looked to draw contrast between republicans and democrats, ahead of november's midterms. >> democracy is really at stake. you can't be a democracy when you support violence, when due like the outcome of the election. you can't call yourself a democracy when you don't in n-fact count the votes of people who legitimately cast and count who you are, and you can't be a democracy and call yourself one, if you continue to do what they are doing. so folks, look, we have a choice, and trump and the maga republicans have their choice. we can choose to build a better american or we can continue to slide slide down this path to oblivion to where we don't want to go. >> and the president stopped at a table of

we have candidates like federman , mandela barnes, in wisconsin who is a great working families debates. stacey abrams in atlanta. we think that the federman campaign has done a excellent job. host: michigan. this is janet. line for republican. good morning. caller: good morning. i am a 77-year-old white woman. therefore, in your eyes we have nothing in common. we are both human beings who live in this wonderful country of the united states of america. let me give you advice, you will never succeed in your goal by insulting half the country and calling them facist, racist p or you will never win your argument by saying you want to have a conversation, or less debated. e it appeared when you start out with the premise of i am wrong, i am your enemy, i am violence because i am a republican and voted for donald trump twice. this political violence that you are talking about that republicans and ultra maga's are doing does not exist, it is a lie. the summer of 2020, when antifa and black lives matter burned cities, hundreds of people were killed. nothing happened to any of them. this incide

in the case of mandela barnes, the democrat running in wisconsin, he came out against bail after thatl christmas parade attack that killed a half dozen people. he came out with that position after that happened, and given the public outcry about criminal being released on bail, a low amount of bail. so that is a huge political issue in wisconsin. it may tip the race to ron johnson in that big senate battleground. and john fetterman is also running against dr. oz, and most of the republican advertising is focusing on his very liberal positions on criminal justice and law and order. and the numbers are moving very fast in pennsylvania to the point where that race is now a toss-up, a statistical tie. crime could end up handing republicans the senate because of these two very important races where democrats nominated candidates well to the left of where the voters are. >> can i add something very quickly? james: sure. >> the republicans cannot be shy about this because this is a real issue. it's not hyperbole, it's not a partisan issue, it's not a race issue -- james: yeah. >> it is an am

mandela barnes, she stands with them, not us. the senate leadership fund -- host: mandela barnes is the democratic senate candidate. here is his response. >> we knew the other side would make up lies to scare you. now they are claiming they want to defund the police and apologized. that is a lie. i will make sure the police have the resources to keep our communities safe and our communities have the resources to stop crime before it happens. i will bring back manufacturing and past middle-class tax cuts. if this is scary for washington, so be it. i am mandela barnes and i approved this message. host: your thoughts on police funding and public safety. democrats effort to counter republicans messaging on this issue. bill in new york, independent, what do you think. caller: good morning. i think there are two areas that should move from the police and replaced with agents that do not have guns, the two areas are dealing with mental problems and also traffic control. if you take those areas and give them to a special agency that have

pennsylvania, ohio, georgia, nevada, and the ron johnson race, the incumbent republican against mandela barnes. any of those you want to talk about? guest: in a 50-50 senate, every race matters here. what is important is the field of gop candidates running against vulnerable democrats, particularly arizona and pennsylvania, where there has been a lot of hammering on the republican side over candidate quality. you'll get arizona for example. like masters has been outraged by mark kelly by about 14-1 right now. about $50 million in getting masters across the line in the primary, but has turned off the spigot now in the general election that has minority leader mitch mcconnell and others sweating bullets right now. host: tell us a little bit more about that. there is reporting that there is real tension between senator mcconnell in the head of the senate campaign committee, and obviously the leader of the senate from -- for republicans. they should be on the same page. guest: they want to get that magic 51 seats here. the way they are going about it has different intentions. the chairman of the n

. >> also, tonight wisconsin candidate mandela barnes was caught on camera trashing capitalism.his, after he called for violently criminals to b

senator ron johnson who was supposedly in a weak position a few weeks back is now up 5 against mandela barnes. or tim mitchell who is an essentially a dead heat with incumbent liberal tony evers and the governor's race there. then dr. oz -- she's closing in on mr. hoodie without a clue john fetterman, he is only down by four. people are waking up, not just to the wreckage that the democrats and their policies have left behind but i think now more of you are starting to ask: is all of this intentional? or as texas ag ken paxton called a planned disaster. even before biden's inauguration, they began to flash the green light to central americans. we knew how to restore the border, how to restore order there and close it down because trump did it, but biden did the opposite. he ditched the remade in mexico policy and put kamala harris in charge -- is there ever a sign that the white house never intended to enforce our border, that was it. another clue this was intentional, biden and his crew have made it abundantly clear they think america has a terrible past that informs our present. >> racism g

. ♪ >> todd: wisconsin democrat senate candidate mandela barnes be a sphrent president biden's speechdemocrat to avoid hope from the president. >> the candidate's team released a statement saying the lieutenant governor appreciates the president coming to wisconsin to appreciate the labor into. in our state. mandel walked in the milwaukee parade and wisconsin workers across the state. he was busy whether the president was in wisconsin. former arkansas governor mike huckabee joins us now to react. governor, good morning to you. the president's message has been for the last few weeks has been that maga republicans are terrible but at the same time people in his own party are staying away from him. >> yeah. you know, it's like joe biden has political cooties right now. nobody wants to get near him because they are afraid they will catch it. i think that that speech he gave at independence hall last week was such a disaster that people now are fearful that they are going to get tagged with something if they show up with joe biden. that's normally a very unusual situation because, tomi, if

pennsylvania, ohio, georgia, nevada, and the ron johnson race, the incumbent republican against mandela barnes. any of those you want to talk about? guest: in a 50-50 senate, every race matters here. what is important is the field of gop candidates running against vulnerable democrats, particularly arizona and pennsylvania, where there has been a lot of hammering on the republican side over candidate quality. you'll get arizona for example. like masters has been outraged by mark kelly by about 14-1 right now. about $50 million in getting masters across the line in the primary, but has turned off the spigot now in the general election that has minority leader mitch mcconnell and others sweating bullets right now. host: tell us a little bit more about that. there is reporting that there is real tension between senator mcconnell in the head of the senate campaign committee, and obviously the leader of the senate from -- for republicans. they should be on the same page. guest: they want to get that magic 51 seats here. the way they are going about it has different intentions. the chairman of the n

i was just with mandela barnes, our candidate in wisconsin. some incredible candidates all across the country. >> senator, thank you so much. we appreciate it. that is all in on this tuesday night. >>> the president took off his jacket and gave the white house version of a pep rally. >> exactly 4 weeks ago today, i signed the inflation reduction act into law, the single most important legislation passed in the congress and one of the most

mandela barnes operated out.with biden last week with this. >> he dodged a question whether the president should run in 2024. >> i think generally, you know, new generation of leadership is needed. not anything different the president said himself. he said from the very beginning he would be a bridge to the next generation of leaders. i think it's consistent. >> harris: really? i mean, if he wanted to be a bridge, wouldn't he also help others get on the bridge? power panel, david avella, gopac chairman and david nichols. professor of african-american studies. jason, the list the getting longer of democrats saying my schedule is full, so on and so forth when the president offers to help. >> well, i think just to refer back to tim ryan's statement, he also was pretty clear it was up to the president whether he would run again. and many of us, now he, think and thought that biden is a bridge to a new generation, that's not a surprise. but i guess he will determine how long that bridge is. democrats are -- >> voters

mandela barnes skipped out on the event yesterday.treet journal" poll with all due respect a lot of these polls are registered voters. that doesn't actually give you a real snapshot of what the midterm elections are going to look like. look at likely voter surveys which is what these polls should be actually accurately reflecting who turns out and how those people want to vote. those polls look a lot more favorable to republicans. thgibraltar group up by six. not getting a full truth from registered voters polls. joe biden's message if he was so popular, if he was doing so well, why does he resort to basically calling 75 million americans as enemies of the state with the military behind him? if his policies were so popular, wouldn't he be touting those instead of condemning 75 million americans? his actions, his rhetoric are ones of a desperate person who is potentially losing power. which is think is ultimately going to happen in november. >> ainsley: all right. lisa. always good to see you. thanks for coming on this morning. >> good

when you see these democrat candidates like mandela barnes and fetterman saying we want to release criminals on the streets it is frightening to a lot of voters. >> dana: yesterday dr. oz visited with addicts. he seemed really taken aback and very moved. he even took some people to an addiction center. crime, are you seeing it in the smaller towns even in rural communities are they worried about crime? zbloout >> absolutely. i'm in suburban detroit. everyone is afraid of crime. we see what's happening in new york and other major cities across the country and worried because democrats are doubling down on this defund the police, reimagine the police. demoralized. i talked to a local sheriff saying we can't hire anybody. nobody wants to be a police officer anymore. we're seeing the impact of their negative speech and negative narrative against our police officers. it is demoralizing and diminishing our police force across the country. >> bill: democrats are hopeful they might hang on to this. if you run the table in the house you can keep a slim majority of two house seats. on the issue of abo

what wisconsinites needs to know about mandela barnes is he's a radical leftist. he's a guy who thinks the founding of america was awful. he thinks national parks are racist. what's racist about old faithful? he supports all of the radical policies of the biden administration and is causing so much pain for wisconsinites. 40 year high inflation, rising gas prices, crime, the open border flooding our states with deadly drugs and killing our substance. he supports all those things but he is in hiding, sean. he will not answer questions from the press. he wants to pull the wool over wisconsinites' eyes while he's lying, sneering, lying about me, smearing about me, assassinating my character. that's all he has. he can't defend democrat policies and he can't defend his past positions on these issues. >> sean: same issue going on in states like georgia. her will talk to herschel walker. states like pennsylvania with dr. ross. this guy, fetterman, he's campaign for a whopping 20 minutes the entire general election. your race is important. we will continue to monitor and

tim ryan, mandela barnes, warnock, fetterman, cast treatment they all support 100% of biden's radical policies and they caused record high inflation and record high inflation and disaster at the boarder and disaster in afghanistan and a disaster with law and order and a disaster in your kid's schools. great job, joey. now, the same policies that more than double the size of the irs so you can enjoy your annual audit. the same policies that abolish cash bail, de-funded the police, emptied out mesh's prisons and made us -- america's prisons and made us less safe and less secure. we have more from author of "here's the deal" kelly anne. steve, we'll start with you. you're the economic expert. what is today's news mean? >> it was an abysmal day for the economy and much higher inflation than anybody expected, i was shocked by the number and gas prices have fallen and everything else is rising. food pr prices are rising and medical health insurance and transportation cost, cars. everything you buy at the grocery store and you're right, people feel like the real inflation rate is much higher

. >> mandela barnes, of my god. >> absolutely. absolutely. x this is a do not have a message. talked about defunding the police seven times. >> questions? [laughter] i think tony sent out a message to republican candidates across the state. >> i will open up to questions. first of all, i will remind you that a question is in fact a question it actually has a? in the end and it should not be as long as any of the answers you are expecting from the russian. raise your hand there is a microphone up front and in the back -- if people watching on youtube want to send in a --? . you can raise your hand to send a question. -- >> this has a description of the right wing in the primaries. and we been talking a lot about the michigan state in particular which is interesting because the candidate that came out of the primary was not one that anybody expected because one got arrested by the fbi and one got disqualified. it was quite a tumultuous campaign. and you also have things like -- the supporting ring. >> i will interrupt you very briefly. not making you stop at making you stand up

what they disagree with and draw distinctions with their opponent particularly good people like mandela barnesthe people want to know what is that they will do if they get sent to washington. paul: thanks. appreciate it. president biden setup attacks on the gop in a primetime address targeting so-called data republicans. swing voters how will republicans respond? the panel ways in next. 'sas i stand here tonight, the quality and democracy are under assault. too much of what's happening in our country today is not normal. donald trump and mega republicans represented extremism, the threat is the very foundations of our rep republic. paul: president biden thursday at independence hall and sylvia stepping up attacks on the gop and former president donald trump in the white house built as his soul of the nation speech, president taking aim at what he calls maga republicans saying that the country's institutions at risk and undermine democracy. the primetime speech review of the president's campaign message ahead of the november midterms. will it persuade swing voters democrats need to keep control

in wisconsin, the incumbent republican ron johnson facing a re-election challenge from mandela barnesto fend off republican challenger blake masters. there is still a lot of uncertainty in the pennsylvania senate race between lieutenant governor john fetterman and dr. mehmet oz. fox new sunday anchor shannon bream. good morning to you. i want to show the viewers at home first wisconsin. this is good news for ron johnson. let's just put it out there. 48-44. quite a change from some polling back in august. here is arizona, blake masters had been trailing. he still trails mark kelly by a thinner margin. pennsylvania, fetterman and oz, so much national attention. that race has tightened. what do you make of that as the voters start to think about their choices? >> it seems that polling always gets tighter including on the generic congressional ballots for the house and that kind of thing. it tightens up as you get closer to having to make a decision. it is interesting when we break down likely voters who those who say they are absolutely going to vote. tightening between those two groups.

you see mandela barnes attack ron johnson. we're seeing fetterman manging the pace if he's aelected. the data definitely shows there's a lot. whether that outweighs the concerns about the economy, which historically has been a big driver for voters, i don't think we know yet. >> the president is always the north star in a major election. he just is. a lot of donald trump's supporters are a threat to democracy. you look at his strength. it's up. you want to be going up. we'll see if it continues to go up. this is one interesting thing for me from "the wall street journal" poll. if you go back to denver, it was essentially tied. it in march it was tied. again, biden's numbers are going up. you could argue he's relatively weak but he's trailing. >> there is. there's almost a recalculated strategy messaging that dates back planning-wise to early this summer. that's looking at the dobbs decision and looking at the constitutional right and putting that under the umbrella as you were saying of this choice. it's not a ref random from

lieutenant governor mandela barnes is running in miss wisconsin. he's not as of yet expected to appear with the president, though the governor toniers running for re-election, is and then in pennsylvania you have john fetterman who is running against dr. mehmet oz for a seat previously held by a republican, so another very key seat here. president biden and the white house certainly believe that they have the wind at their backs heading into this final two-month stretch of this mid-term campaign season of the they have seen inflation slightly tick down. they have seen these legislative successes, and they also believe that a very clear contrast is being established between president biden and the democrats and the republicans led by former president trump. erica? >> jeremy diamond, appreciate it. thank you. >>> well, of course, as we talk about the road to november, also a change for republicans now facing their own challenge in the buildup to the mid terms, including fears that the former president's return to the headlines could actually be hurti

and on that stage you did not see mandela barns who is running there. i will say this is something that has happened a couple times as president biden has hit the campaign trail. it's awkward because the white house and campaigns say it's a scheduling conflict but as we know when the president comes into town it's usually you want to be seen with that person and you can move some things around, but whether or not people are hugging joe biden when they go on the campaign trail and running for themselves, he is still presenting this message that seems to be resonating in wisconsin and pennsylvania. >> chris, what do you make of the stakes that joe biden has laid out here, that these are fundamental questions of democracy? he got a bunch of legislation through. abortion will be a motivating factor as we've seen among suburban women towards democrats in these primary races as well. but his argument is bigger than that, it's that we have to win these races to save the country effectively. sounds like a pretty -- it's a pretty lofty argument, but in many ways

i was just with mandela barnes, our candidate in wisconsin. we have some incredible candidates all across the country. >> senator, thank you so much. we appreciate it. that is all in on this tuesday night. alex wagner coming up. good evening, alex. >> good evening, thank you christopher, and thanks to -- tonight. today, president biden popped on his signature aviator sunglasses, walked up to the south lawn, he took off his jacket and essentially gave the white house version of a pep rally. >> exactly four weeks ago today, i signed the inflation reduction act into law. the single most important legislation passed into congress to combat inflation, and one of the most significant laws in our nation's history. we've got a lot of -- lower prescription drug costs. lower health insurance costs. lower energy costs for millions of families. i want to take the most aggressive action ever, ever, ever to confront the climate crisis and increase our energy security. i want to build the future, the future, here in the united states of america. with america

and will he be appearing with the respective senate candidates -- fetterman and mandela barnes in wisconsinn-pierre: so, i don't want to get ahead of what the president is going to say. as you -- as you just mentioned, he'll be in wisconsin and in pennsylvania on monday for the labor day activities that he'll be participating in. i'm sure we will be hearing from the president. don't want to get ahead of what he will say. and we'll have more to share on who will be attending, as we normally do. i don't have anything to share at this time. okay. go ahead. reporter: hey, karine. thank you. on social media companies. did the administration give twitter and facebook talking points over flagging what the president describes as misinformation? sec. jean-pierre: talk -- say that one more time. reporter: has the administration helped twitter and facebook with talking points about what the administration believes is misinformation? or how much coordination is there between the administration and social media companies? sec. jean-pierre: so, i don't have anything to share with you on that. i'm not goi

im wisconsin, the latest poll shows democratic lieutenant governor mandela barnes leading incumbent republican by two points. and in pennsylvania, the democratic lieutenant governor there john fetterman has a comfortable lead in the average over trump-backed tv doctor mehmet oz. in georgia, the incumbent democratic senator raphael warnock is holding on a small lead over republican herschel walker, a race that many republicans see as one of their best chances to flip the senate. one race it's not really down the radar, but hopes to get a good chance for democrats to flip the seat, at least according to reporting now, as the north carolina senate race for trump backed republican congressman ted but recently fell in the polling average, and now trails as democratic challenger cheri beasley, as election day closes in five. but all of this comes with an asterisk, a very, very big one, which is the significant polling misses we have seen since 2016. and in the election of the following years, in 2018, 2020, particularly 2020, particularly the greater industrial midwest. now, nate cohen, top poll ana

in the wisconsin senate race, mandela barnes is getting hammered because he was caught on tape sayings sexy. and once to release half of the prison population in wisconsin. and john federman was asked in an interview, if you had a magic wand to fix one issue what would it be? he said life without parole in pennsylvania paired so is number one priority is not fixing inflation, not fixing crime, not fixing the border, it is releasing convicted murderers and to the population and pennsylvania. so this is hurting them at the polls and they know it, so what they are trying to do is they are trying to shore up some of these soft on crime candidates and this is the same thing going on in the house races and try and stop the republicans from taking control of congress and as soon as they -- the election is over they will go right back to the soft-on-crime policy. >> harris: it is so fascinating what you say about veteran against dr. oz in pennsylvania, maybe that's why he did not want to have before they begin early voting debates, maybe he wanted something late in october. yes, i'll bet he d

fetterman expected to appear with biden in pennsylvania, but the democratic senate candidate hear mandela barnesar with the president. he's actually right now marching in a parade here in milwaukee, but has other planned stops at other labor fest events throughout the city. a campaign aide said his focus today is on milwaukee. it's not about catering to any type of visitor, stressing that the wisconsin race in their eyes is a state race, not a national race. it does underscore that the candidates across the board in these midterm races are deciding whether or not to embrace president biden and his agenda and his remarks or to keep their distance and stay a bit more independent. today will be a little bit of a test of that as he stops first here in milwaukee. it is a labor fest union event. he'll been joined by labor secretary marty walsh and another congresswoman. so you really feel the energy here. i talked to a lot of voters as they entered this event, a lot of union shirts. one voter said they're excited for the president to be here and call him the first in many moons to really understand th

look at the lieutenant governor of wisconsin mandela barns wants to eliminate the bail system in wisconsinthe moment after they get arrested and arraigned. joe biden supports him. look at the lieutenant governor of pennsylvania john fetterman. if he could have one wish it would be eliminate long sentences for murderers. joe biden supports him as well. the crime wave you see in this country is a result of failed democratic policies and it starts at the top in the white house. >> harris: you look at the recidivism of criminals in general. those who commit violent crimes in particular. when you hear words like that from fetterman you start to wonder what world are they living in? his world would include philadelphia, all of pennsylvania and areas where crime is rampant. i don't understand why they can't see what's in front of their faces. the president of the united states right now has just wrapped up his talk about labor and avoiding that rail strike. i want to get your idea on where we are in terms of all of the crises that the president is dealing with right now. when we started to read a

tightly contested senate race, of course, going on here in the state between lieutenant governor mandela barnes and incumbent ron johnson. it's unclear if barnes will appear or meet with president biden today, but we do expect to see wisconsin governor meet with president biden. evers in his own race to get re-elected in the state, of course. president biden will be speaking at labor fest, a festival put on by the unions here in milwaukee. he won't just be here today, of course. he has a busy day ahead. he is expected to depart from here around 10:00 a.m. this morning and with remarks scheduled around 12:15 local time. he'll then head to pittsburgh around 1:40, which will end in another speech at 5:30 before he heads back to washington. while he's in pennsylvania, he's expected to meet with john fetterman, who's going for senate in the state along with josh shapiro, the democratic gubernatorial candidate there as well. that will be his third time in pennsylvania in less than a week. obviously, trying to really make a point and be part of what is the beginning of the final push before an electio

senate race shows incumbent senator ron johnson trailing by 1 point to his democratic challenger, mandela barnesthe democrats manage to flip that seat, it would be a significant blow. >>> alex jones back in court today for his latest sandy hook defamation trial it's what he said outside the court that may get him in even more trouble with the judge. >>> meta reporting its first revenue decline ever now the tech giant's reportedly gearing up to cut costs. so what does that mean for workers? >>> and another big downturn for america's housing market what it means for buyers and sellers as we approach the bottom of the hour and the top of the news on cnbc. shipstation saves us so much time it makes it really easy and seamless pick an order print everything you need slap the label on ito the box and it's ready to go our cost for shipping, were cut in half just like that go to shipstation/tv and get 2 months free >>> i'm shepard smith on cnbc. it's the bottom hour time for the top of the news >>> russia frees ten prisoners of war including two americans the surprise deal and how it came together. >>>

think it is feasible somewhere like ohio, for instance, but when you see some of these results, mandela barnes points over ron johnson, i don't believe that. i think it is going to be a really close race. i will say, to jesse's point about lindsey graham, just, i guess, waking up and saying, oh, i should go out by myself and say we are going to have a national abortion ban, when i saw it previewed last night on twitter, oh, no, this is going to be terrible because he will be helping out women in these states with these highly restrictive bands, but no, it is even worse than that. the highly restrictive states get to keep their policies and he is just going after blue states, or people with more lenient policies, and there has reporting after reporting about the spike in women that are registering, how angry they are, that is democrats, independent women, add republican women. mitch mcconnell's face said it all when he got asked about it and he was -- [laughter] >> dana: can i say, lindsey graham did not go alone. >> jessica: he does not have the votes behind him. >> dana: that's fine. if he in

have a republican senator, ron johnson, who is also in a tough re-election race against democrat mandela barnes. here in pennsylvania, pat toomey is retirement, john fetterman just passed us by a few minutes ago, running against dr. oz. these are two senate races where democrats think they can pick up seats. just a few months ago, democrats were looking at the likelihood of losing control in the senate, now they are talking about adding to their majority. the president coming to both of these states to try to help democrats up and down the ballot and talk about what the white house views as a record of success. they will talk about what he thinks is the most prounion president in history, but some of those economic successes, especially the bipartisan interceptor plan, the climate, and inflation deal signed into law a few weeks ago, as well as some of the other pieces of legislation that the white house has focused on bread and butter issues as well as larger issues we heard about the soul of the nation being at risk, here, two messages the president is bringing across the country. >> as mike s

mandela barnes, a public school teacher and -- working for families across the state. >> timothy michaelsrong abortion candidate, once the 1849 law to control wisconsin bodily choice. >> this is pre-civil war law when women did not have the right to vote -- >> it's now the law. >> courtney, governor evers said he would clint -- clemency for anyone prosecuted under it. if timothy michaels comes in, this is the law of the state. for the future freedom of wisconsin and democracy of america, it is absolutely critical. go to -- >> the gerrymandering stuff is bonkers, truly exsentially -- ben wikler, thank you. that is all in on this tuesday night. alex wagner tonight starts right now. alex? >> a lot of bonkers out there in the world. thank you as always. >>> thank you for being with us this evening, this breaking news evening. it was three weeks ago when "the washington post" published this bomb shell piece. it is hard to forget a report with a title like this, quote, fbi searched trump's home to look for nuclear documents and other items, sources say. the source fbi agents were classified cla

. >> the same goes for lieutenant governor mandela barnes who couldn't be here but he is going yournext united states senator. >> official in charge of helping democrats keep the house insist democrats don't want distance from biden. >> you better believe we are going to stand with the president and say we passed in a bipartisan way better roads, better bridges, better healthcare for our veterans that maga republicans tried to obstruct. >> republicans argue a new emphasis on the former president miss what is voters are most worried about. >> it's about americans' economic security and about americans' physical security. you didn't hear any of that being talked about on the economic front because of failed democrat policies. >> president biden disagrees. >> there's no questions about hard few years but we have come a long way. >> and he is urging unity among democrats, mainstream republicans and independence. >> hecklers different story. >> no, no, no the let him go. look, everybody is entitled to be an idiot. >> the united states steelworks of america, a labor union 2227 are hosting the

it's a race between lieutenant governor mandela barnes and the incumbent senator ron johnson.biden obviously expected to come here to milwaukee to speak, and the white house says the message on this labor day is going to celebrate the dignity of american workers. president biden left d.c. not too long ago this morning. he's on his way here to wisconsin and expected to make those remarks in the next hour, but, of course, when you look at that senate race, no word on whether lieutenant governor barnes will be meeting with president biden on this. his campaign says barnes will just be generally out and about, and what we do expect to see governor toniers here locked in his own gubernatorial race for his own re-election as part of these mid terms. now, this is part of a state obviously that president biden took by just a little more than 20,000 votes so every vote here is going to be critical, not just here, but in pennsylvania where he'll head up next after this event. boris? >> always fascinating to see who campaigns with the incumbent and who is out and about maybe somewhere el

. >> another big senate races in wisconsin, between democratic -- mandela barnes and ron johnson. shows barnsley gave to percentage on since 46%. that is also outside the margin of error. will johnson be able to hold on to see? >> i think republicans are not particularly worried about ron johnson. wisconsin is, again, one of those states where -- especially if you have an incumbent senator -- that is typically much harder to unseat someone that has been on incumbent. it was republicans -- an incumbent they, are in raphael warnock. but then the the wisconsin, case as with so many of these, a lot of times polls before the election, especially right now where democrats are very fired up, they are showing the surge in momentum. democrats are also really excited to take polls right. i'm not some poll unsecure. i'm not here to tell you that they're all fake news. but i'm here to tell you to take them with a grain of salt. with the track record of polls, and senate races, over the last couple of elections, republicans have tended to be undercounted in a lot of those. that is why you had