the big caveat, and this is in marc molinaro's statement. i was mentioning it yesterday because republican strategist were telling me not to read too much into the results because it's scheduled as the other day of other primaries. this is a blue state and the republican turnout will be comparably better this fall. if so, the republicans still have a decent shot by claiming control of the house. >> we know you'll be watching closely. we want to head south to floor where shaq is. let's talk about former governor charlie crist. we just heard from him in the sound i played coming to you guys, essentially saying he's going to talk about more love, love wins, he says. he's not going to make this a hateful campaign, as he says the current governor is making it. he's not necessarily worried about the $130 million, i believe, war chest the current governor has as well. can this work? >> reporter: well, that will certainly be tested. let's be clear, charlie crist, even during the primary battle with nikki fried, he went after desantis on both persona

he defeats republican marc molinaro. >> there it is, steve kornacki at the big board. the night that nbc news called a hotly contested election. a swing district that went to trump in zweent and then joe biden in 2020. steve joins us in just a moment to break down how democrats' messaging on abortion rights is now recasting the conversation about that once expected red wave this fall. >>> also from new york, a victory for two key figures since the impeachment of donald trump, jerry nadler handily defeated caroline maloney after powerful allies were forced to run for the same seat. and in a crowded 10th district, federal prosecutor daniel goldman won unseeding mondaire jones. and in florida, democrats have placed their debts on charlie crist to challenge the state's current republican governor ron desantis in the general elocation. and it will be former orlando police chief congresswoman val demings trying to unseat marco rubio in the united states senate. both charlie crist and val demings will be our guests on the show a short time from now. good morning, welcome to "

marc molinaro is a strong republican opponent. our candidate pat ryan was outspent 3-1.spent in this race. we did it quietly. we didn't want to broadcast it. we wanted to snea up and take it. we had an excellent candidate. he won by almost four points. that is an earthquake and should send shivers down the spine of kevin mccarthy and tom emer, because their dreams of a big republican wave just went up in flames. >> in terms of issues, in terms of focus, what should candidates now looking over the horizon to the fall, to the midterms, what should they take away not necessarily just from that race, but more broadly what we've seen in kansas, for example, about where the focus should be in these democratic races? >> what's clear is if you do trump toxicity without trump turnout, you have a problem. if you rip away 50 years of reproductive freedom from americans, if you ignore the gun violence in our schools, on our streets, if you ignore the attacks on our democracy, both on january 6th and the extraordinary actions by the president now in spiriting away classified informat

we see pat ryan in a little bit of a surprise beating marc molinaro. joe biden won it by 1.5 points in 2020 which means that pat ryan slightly outperformed joe biden in the district which is quite a surprise in a special election, especially when there is a democratic president. that's not the only special. here we're going to go to new york 23rd on the southern tier, this district is getting rejoined just like 19 is. yes, the republican wins here but this was a district that donald trump won by 11.2 points and look at the margin, well less than 10 points, much closer to 5 points. we see an outperformance for the democrat in new york 19 and an outperformance over joe biden's baseline in new york 23, not the thing you would expect in a midterm election. >> democrats are doing better than you might expect heading into a midterm election, particularly since a certain thing happened. >> that's exactly right. so obviously roe v. wade was overturned in late june. before roe v. wade was overturned the democratic margin in the special house elections they were

. >> reporter: his republican opponent, marc molinaro, acknowledges national political forces are mobilizing here. do you see outside interests coming in here, trying to fire up the voting base? >> yeah, listen, without question, obviously, everyone has a degree of interest. >> reporter: which means tonight's results could be a harbinger of things to come, including of the potential impact of abortion rights on the november elections, which are now just 77 days away. norah. >> o'donnell: scott macfarlane, thank you. all right, a twitter whistleblower accuses the social media giant of hiding major security flaws. that story in 60 seconds. ry in c . you weren't made for uc or crohn's, but gut focused entyvio is. entyvio works at the site of the problem to block certain inflammation-causing cells from entering the gut. infusion and serious allergic reactions can happen during or after treatment. entyvio may increase risk of infection which can be serious. although unlikely, a risk of pml, a rare, serious, potentially fatal brain infection cannot be ruled out. tell your doctor if you have an inf

district that voted for presidents obama, then trump, then biden while his republican opponent marc molinaro leads on a gop message of inflation and crime ryan remained laser focused on abortion rights. >> when fundamental rights and freedoms are under attack, we have to stand up we have to fight we have to be strong and clear. >> reporter: still, democrats are also facing their own internal duels, intensified by redistricting. in new york, jerry nadler cruising past long-time congresswoman maloney to battle for a single seat. other results may impact the race for the white house in florida, ron desantis who is believed to be eyeing the 2024 presidential bid will first have to defeat former republican governor turned democratic congressman, charlie crist, to keep leading that state. >> his blind ambition for the presidency of the united states of america has taken his eye off the ball. >> reporter: but with desantis remaining popular in florida, to win, crist will have to pick up moderate votes many strategists acknowledge what was looking like a republican wave in this fall's midterms may n

. >> reporter: his republican rival, marc molinaro, reading from the gop campaign playbook, urging voters to focus on inflation and crime instead. >> it does a disservice to the people in this district to be focused on anything other than they're concerned about the cost of living. they're concerned about safety in their communities. >> reporter: that message falling short. ryan securing a victory in the swing district president biden won by fewer than two points. >> republicans should be very, very, very scared this morning. >> reporter: it comes after voters in kansas, a conservative state, overwhelming rejected a move to strip abortion rights from the state's constitution. in the weeks after the supreme court overturned roe v. wade, 70% of newly registered voters in kansas were women, according to target smart insights, a democratic data firm. the group says there are similar surges in key battleground states. wisconsin, michigan, and pennsylvania, where the percentage of women registering to vote for the first time outpaced men by about 12 points. and back here in new york, the democr

district where democrat pat ryan won by putting abortion front and center in his campaign to beat marc molinaro who was running on crime and cost of living. >> when the supreme court ripped away abortion rights, we said this is not what america stands for. >> can we really make broad predictions about how abortion will play from what happened in a blue state look new york? well, yes, as one of the best political prognosticators out there, dave wasserman, will explain later on. it was also a good night for the mainstream candidates. jerry nadler bested a self-style progressive change candidate. and it seems like potentially daniel goldman might as well, though that race is still too close to call. while on the republican side, ultra maga candidates calling for the arrest of anti-maga candidates all lost. charlie crist is now the democratic challenger to ron desantis. and val demings will take on marco rubio. it's all happening and it all getting very interesting indeed. let's begin with that special election up there in new york's 19th. dasha burns is in kingston, new york. ryan put abortion fro

some hope across the country for the up coming midterms pat ryan defeated his republican opponent marc molinaro for a seat in congress and swing district was was a bellwether for november ryan made abortion rights and overturning of roe v. wade the centerpiece the campaign he said it is a winning message for democrats in the midterms. >> i think the message is when fundamental rights and freedoms are under attack that we have to fight and be strong and clear. when you do that, people rally we saw that in kansas, we saw it in new york. we will continue to see it >> the republican, molinaro, focused his campaign message on crime and inflation. he is vowing to run again in november for a house seat in a new district against a different opponent pat ryan out performed president biden's numbers in 2020. that is gives democrats op optimism we have ylan mui with us more. how much are democrats reading into this? >> shep, this is important for democrats. they have optimism it is real and it is there the big story, of course, the victory in the new york 19th democrats also did better than biden in the t

in new york, democrat pat ryan defeated republican marc molinaro in a race experts are saying could be

and in a special election in new york's 19th, democrat pat ryan is running against republican marc molinaroa crucial campaign point. many are looking at this race as a possible barometer of how the court's decision to overturn roe v. wade will sway voters in the midterms this november. meanwhile, today floridians are also heading to the polls. both republican governor ron desantis and republican senator marco rubio are up for reelection this november. in the governor's race, either charlie crist or nikki fried hope to unseat the republican favorite in the fall. and four hopefuls, including congresswoman val demings are running to take on rubio this november. and in florida, the polls close at 7:00. in new york, they close at 9:00 p.m. here in new york's 12th district on the upper west side, lots of questions about, as you can imagine, who is leading the pack, but the problem with that is the polls are so unpredictable, it's really hard to say with any sort of amount of certainty who is leading the pack, but it appears as if nadler is the man to beat. guys, back to you. >> okay. jason carrol

that ryan beating moderate republican marc molinaro and a special election for the states 19th congressionalreme court decision to overturn roe v. wade. his campaign team releasing this at and just hours after the court decision. here it is. >> pat ryan graduated from west point and risk his life in combat. he fought for our families, for our freedoms -- >> and freedom includes a woman's right to choose. how can we be a free country at the government tries to control women's bodies? that is not the country that i fought to defend. >> he is here, democratic congressman elect, pat ryan, joins me. thank you very much, how you doing? how do you feel? >> exhausted and exhilarated and really proud, to the proud of the community. >> congratulations. do you think that your campaigns focus on abortion rights, you think that played into last night's victory? >> we centered this campaign on choice and freedom and standing up and existential moment and our democracy, and we saw the results. it is just like what we saw, or very similar, to what we saw in kansas, when these guardrails of democracy are hit

the republican candidate here, marc molinaro, wanted this to be a campaign about the economy, rising inflation, rising crime. on the flip side of that, you had the democrat pat ryan who made it very clear that this campaign was about a woman's right to choose. early this morning, i spoke to the communications director for the campaign, she told me they did notice a surge in energy in the district as of late. she said, though, heading into the final days of the campaign, they still felt somewhat cautiously optimistic, but she said in the end, what they were putting forth really resonated with voters. last night ryan was speaking to those who came out to support him, saying that the campaign was about securing fundamental rights. >> when the supreme court ripped away reproductive freedoms, access to abortion rights, we said this is not what america stands for. >> reporter: so, again, big surprise there, the 19th, not so much of a surprise what happened here in the 12th district, where jerry nadler came out on top, handily beating carolyn maloney during that primary race where they went

watch the special election in new york's 19th district democrat pat ryan is up against republican marc molinarokely to control the house after this november's mid terms that buffer that the democrats have right now is only 5 seats. and so it's going to be very close and outside of congress and florida state agriculture commissioner nikki fried and former republican governor turned democrat congressman charlie crist are duking it out to see who will take on republican governor ron desantis. it will be interesting to see who's going to go up against ron desantis has been a very polarizing figure. >> now, it is important to know that some of these elections are happening later than typical. and there is concern that that could impact voter turn out, which party stands to benefit. that's yet to be seen. but on washington, raquel martin, back to you. former president donald trump is trying to stop the fbi from reviewing the classified documents recovered from his mar-a-lago home. >> in the federal suit, the former president wants a judge to appoint a neutral special master to review all the material

[applause] and we are here to say that the arrow of trump and lee zeldin, and marc molinaro, jump onus and head down to florida. you don't represent our values. you are not new yorkers. >> kayleigh: wow! >> these are not the words of a leader. i'm stunned, shocked and insulted as a new yorker. only this rhetoric horrible for republicans, but also independents like myself and two americans. you can't speak like this i have news for you, guess what 350,000 new yorkers leapt to florida. that is why they call it the sunshine state. it is because of high crime rates and uncontrolled crime in new york with the highest combined taxes in the entire nation, city and local taxes. it is just ridiculously high. and then we look, always at the epicenter of disease here in new york whether monkeypox, ebola, the flu. it is always here because of the poor leadership. so we need to focus on what is going on at the foundation and the new york office as governor versus kicking us out. we are hardworking new yorkers. we pay our taxes and help keep things going in yet, you want to get rid of us. that is

he defeats republican marc molinaro. >> there it is, steve kornacki at the big board.

you had the republican marc molinaro who wanted this to be a campaign about the economy, about rising inflation, rising crime, on the flip side of that you had the democrat pat ryan who said this is a campaign about a woman's right to choose. once all the votes were counted surprisingly to some ryan ended up -- the democrat ended up coming out on top. he tweeted the following, choice was on the ballot, freedom was on the ballot, and tonight choice and freedom won. we voted like our democracy was on the line because it was. we upended everything we thought we knew about politics and we did it together. so a big surprise somewhat going on in terms of what happened in the 19th. not so much of a surprise in terms of what happened here at the 12th where last night here at nadler headquarters they were celebrating after he was the one who ended up out on top, handily beating his long-time colleague in congress for some 30 years carolyn maloney. the two facing off as you said after their district was redrawn. this was a campaign that at times turned ugly, at one point you had carolyn maloney

wade decision and republican marc molinaro had focused on key republican issues, inflation and crime. in florida it was all about who can slow down governor ron desantis's possible presidential ambitions. >> what a night. >> former democratic congressman charlie crist will get another shot at the governor's mansion. >> this guy wants to be president of the united states of america and everybody knows it. >> reporter: but crist faces an up hill battle against desantis with florida voters shifting to the right since he was governor. congressman val demings won florida's democratic senate primary, hoping to unseat republican incumbent marco rubio in a race recent polls show is increasingly competitive. >> tonight is a good night, am i right about that? >> reporter: back in new york, a bitter battle between two veteran democrats is over. with congressman jerry nadler defeating congresswoman carolyn maloney after a redrawn district map forced two committee chairs to fight for a single house seat. >> those new yorkers get to choose who best represents the people and values of this city. and

and the republican marc mo mol r molinaro. >> what about new york's 23rd district, talking about buffaloounding areas. you have carl paladino facing off with the chair. he has a history of incendiary remarks, he said the attorney general garland, in this moment, using words like that, he at one point said hitler was the kind of leader we need today and he has the backing of the number three among house republicans, elise stefanik and he has a good shot, doesn't he? >> obviously has a good shot. he's a very wealthy man and his name is well known. he ran for governor unsuccessfully in the past. this is the case where the republican party has to figure out what they stand for and who they are. palladino was the co-chair for trump in 2018. he's going against the current sitting chair of the state party, nick langworthy. they're trying to figure out which direction they go in. do you want a wild and unfit candidate like palladino who says whatever is on his mind, makes wild threats and sort of half apologizes for it and says it is all a big joke, do you treat him like the joke he says he's he