2002 where in second round of the election it was sheer rock -- it was chiraq le pen,jean-marine marinee pen's father. there were protests in the streets. is that going to happen this time? i would think so. if it is a duel between macron and marine le pen, i would think most people, it does not matter which color, would vote for macron just to block the way for mamarine le penn. that he is very young and has been part of the government and promoted some quite unpopular , which wereork very, very unpopular. thousands of people in the streets for weeks and weeks. has he got enough, you know, political base even supporting him? peter: that is the question. has he got a political party really backing him? compared, it's fair to say, to barack obama or justin trudeau in canada. is that fair? does he have enough susubstance you have to consider he has 160,000 followers -- at least that's what he pretends. in france, the party system, part of the communist party and socialist party is very volatile. you can found in new party within weeks. i do not think this would really be the problem. if e

well, as we heard there marine le pen is officially launching her campaign later today. founder of the national front, jean—marie le pen, who is estranged from her daughter because he made inflammatory statements about the holocaust, including saying that he thought the nazi gas chambers were a mere "detail" of history. he spoke to bbc arabic. translation: during the election period we have no enemies, only friends, and we try to bring people together to forget all the quarrels, all the wounds, to get the biggest number of voices possible. by eliminating the founding president and those favourable to him, i think marine has undermined her ability to make it into the second round, even to be elected. translation: but you said in the same interview that you get in touch with her from time to time? i have no direct contact with her, but everyone knows that the treasurer of the fn has made a loan to them, and i am the president and i consented to this but i have not had any contact with marine le pen, neither direct nor indirect. are you going to vote in the presidential elec

give us details on what marine le pen is accused of. >> the thing is, marine le pen is the cochair of the freedom political group, a group set up and is one of 2015 the far right of the chamber. she is accused of using some of her funds during the year 2011 that she should have been using for her work here over in stratford where monthly sessions are held. giving been accused of them for her work here in brussels and strasburg. in march 2015, european parliament civil servants had a bit of suspicion about the use of this money and they called on an eu body based in brussels to investigate fraud against the budget and corruption and misconduct of members of the european parliament and the other institutions. they are the ones who came to penconclusion and marine le said during this. headquarters -- allegedly they did work in brussels and and strasburg and where she should have been and really focusing on those that were being pushed through by the european parliament. showing up early for work every single day it is not the first time members have been accused of misusing eu funds. the

but there is a lot of marine le pen instead. here she is.ppearing in lyon today as she launched her campaign. vive la haine, which i think long live hatred. yes. it was the rage of the banlieues, which they do every ten years, badly. and those are the suburbs? that's right. the interesting thing is that is her constituency. i am worried about you and mrtrump. we constituency. i am worried about you and mr trump. we are not having him 40 and mr trump. we are not having him a0 already, are we? and mr trump. we are not having him 40 already, are we? ijust thought he would feature more. —— for tea. the papers say marine le pen is going in and she has a roaring start in the presidential election race. she'll win the first round but definitely not the second. you don't agree. i don't because we heard all of that about mr trump. what's been interesting since reporting last week from really depressed parts of france, very much the kind of rust belt area that trump appealed to. they say we are behind one of the big union configurations, the cgt, but

marine le pen has hard-core supporters. they will follow her to the very end. when you ask those people who would vote for marine le pen are you still going to vote for her, 90% are certain to vote for her. this is not the case for other candidates. when they have legal trouble or misspeak, they are hurt immediately in the polls. that is not the case with marine le pen. that said, this could hurt her for the second round because fringe ovoters are going to think she is just like the other politicians. she has corruption issues. there is suspicion, so i might not vote for her. it will not hurt her with her core supporters but it might for those she is hoping to attract to win the presidential election. anchor: thank you very much for on the far right in terms of the national front. the latest polls indicate marine le pen would ask the first round in front, however, she would lose in the second round. that is according to ongoing polls coming in. today, the independent candidate unveiled his economic program. former bankerce's turned presidential candidate fitting

there is good and bad things with marine le pen. arine le pen scares people a little, so let's see. these days old french traditions do not stay in the villages. accordions made here find their way to china. globalisation is now the great dividing line in french politics, seen as dividing line in french politics, seen as stealing or delivering france's future. translation: we sell to china even though our accordions are taxed at 35%, because they want to protect their market. i say yes to globalisation, because we have to compensate for shrinking sales in france, and a fall in buying power and competency. farmers here say that politicians like their countryside traditional, but want the benefits of globalisation to. marine le pen's chance of victory is still slim, but for some, the m essa g es still slim, but for some, the messages are lowering dash that europe is the problem, and france's model doesn't need to change. david balli is named the —— david —— mac david bowie is named the star of the year. prince charles has chosen his br

does that support go over to marine le pen? maybe. probably not. e who has been gaining a lot of popularity. but it goes to the message that marine le pen has been very good at putting out there, that french politicians are very stale, the fill their pockets and slap each other‘s backs and are far removed from the problems of ordinary french people. this is the scene just now in lyon, where marine le pen is formally launching her presidential campaign, the national front manifesto promises to offer france a referendum on membership of the european union, reduce immigration, and cool france out of the euro. —— full france. but she would have to face a difficult second round, where those opposed to the national front might coalesce around her opponent. that is the scene in lyon. an 18—year—old man has been shot dead in a pub car park at llanbedrog, in gwynedd in north wales. police says the man was in a vehicle outside the ship inn when he was attacked. four people have been arrested. britain's most senior police officer, sir bernard hogan—howe, warne

there have been suggestions that marine le pen will come top of the first round. reynolds for more about marine le pen‘s she has been talking about foreign policy. we know a lot of her positions. she would like an alliance with russia's president. she wants france to leave nato. she wa nts to she wants france to leave nato. she wants to hold a reference mick —— a referendum about france's membership of the eu. and she also wants to talk about deporting criminals. we know a lot of her positions. she's faced problems recently in her campaign. the anti—corruption police have placed under formal investigation one of her senior aides. investigating whether ron not that aid did a job —— whether or not that aid did a job —— whether or not that aide did a job for marine le pen. the anti—corruption police are looking at the inner circle which may provide a lot of attention in the coming weeks. that is the far right candidate. if we look at emmanuel macron, who is more centrist, what is going on with him and his prospects? he's a centrist, running as a centrist and outsider.

let's start with marine le pen, one of several french president shall hopefuls who launched their campaign be the city of choice. marine le pen joint election race by attacking globalisation. hersupport joint election race by attacking globalisation. her support base have made her so popular and put the and enviable position and it reminds us of how you keep managed to appeal to a desperate group of people. —— ukip. she is saying she is freeing them of globalisation, islamic fundamentalism and european union. what is at stake in this election is that the continuity of france as a free nation, the very existence of oui’ free nation, the very existence of our people. she is reaching out, you we re our people. she is reaching out, you were saying, you have a sense of what is going on on the ground whereas i reading what is on the papers. people say she will win in round one but not round super you are saying in the central parts of france people feeling more connected with her? the equivalent of the rustbelt where the old industrial park, new industries came in at the end of the wall, an inte

that speak exclusively now to the project coordinator for marine le pen's presidential campaign. m paris. good morning to you, sir. marine le pen has a task this morning, which is being led by -- leading the task force taking france out of the single currency. how advanced are your party's plans to give france back its own currency? actually working many years on this topic, which is a very topic of ours. this is one of our priorities. the task force is working very hard for some years, but recently we have been joined by many high-ranking civil servants, economic experts, people from private sector, basically a circle who is a new task force, much more related with public affairs, and with whom this task force is preparing code greatly regarding -- concretely, regarding our ministry of finance, the technical aspects of this frexit. we have the ideas in the theory, but we also have a few concrete plans. guy: have you spoken to french business about this? have you spoken, for instance, to airbus? a huge employer in france. it, sells planes around the world and has a very, very comp

french judicial police questioned marine le pen's bodyguard. marine le pen was quick to draw a distinct and the fraud probe against francois fillon. >> the french know exactly the difference between real business and political cabal. despite everything you try, they know very well how to make a difference. >> we will take a look at a new report on life expectancy. inple are moving much longer many rich countries around the world except the united states. >> at the beginning of the 20th century, scientists dismissed the idea as fantasy. in many rich countries around the world except the united states. but, a new study predicts average life expectancy in the developed world will begin edging up of 90. most p people in rich countries will live significantly longer by 2030 with south korean women leading the charge. in average female baby born the country 17 years from now will live to an impressive 91 years old. francerls born in japan, come a spain and switzerland can expect to live to 88. women's life expectancies outstripped men in every country

himself between left and right and does not make an appeal to the kind of identity politics that marine le penfillon scandal sheets up. he insists that he is not standing down. this was a strong start for marine le pen. supporters in lyon will very much all we fired up by her words. romania's government has withdrawn a controversial decree that would have reduced some penalties for corruption. prime minister sorin grindeanu said he did not want to divide the country after days of huge street protests. earlier, our correspondent nick thorpe in bucharest told ben brown about the impact the government's climbdown is having. i think we're going to get news any time that the government has no revoked that decree. they will have to then engage in some kind of damage limitation, they will have to try to tell their own supporters, they were elected with about 5 million votes between the two parties, they will have to try to convince the voters that this is a setback and not a surrender. more importantly, they will have to try to persuade romanian society that this was not a simple black and white batt

and the fillon disaster is fueling worry le pen. .- is fueling marine le pen in white, we see the ratiomall caps to french small caps. where do you think we will see this post a french election? election?ench >> we think marine le pen will be defeated by macron. but ultimately, the consensus was convinced that there would was convincednd that mrs. clinton was going to be the president. we have seen some surprises and if you look at international polls, elections are about the key battleground in the past and future. the stance on globalization. all international polls are indicating that there is so much distressed among -- distressed among the french -- distrust among the french electorate and that is the pitch that marine le pen will make. this will make things more asymmetric. win,se of a marine le pen there will not be a greek euro exit but there will be much more uncertainty. you have seen the news about redenomination of french bonds. there is a difference between voting for marine le pen and voting to leave the single currency. thisjust trying to put into the distribution of outc

national front leader marine le pen will begin her bid later.ugly victory for england over fa ns an ugly victory for england over fans in their opening six nations match at twickenham. —— england over france. and in half an hour, click takes a look at the latest developments in ‘artificial intelligence‘ as scientists continue good afternoon and welcome to bbc news. donald trump has suffered a setback in his plan to reinstate his controversial order banning immigration from seven countries. a federal appeals court has rejected a request to immediately reinstate the restrictions that were imposed by executive order last week. the ban was blocked by a federal judge on friday, and the initial appeal by the government to get that block lifted immediately has failed. the washington state attorney general tweeted this morning that the request was denied — there it is — that's the document saying the emergency motion is rejected. it says a reply from the department in support of the emergency appeal is due tomorrow — so president trump's battle is not o

as president, marine le pen would have a lot of power. but it's worth putting this in context. if you go back two, three years ago, marine le pen was polling about 32% in the polls. she's now polling about 25%. while insurgent movements have gone forward in america, the uk, netherlands, in france they have gone backwards. there's no sign of momentum there. >> let me ask you about the domestic story in europe, we've had a whole bunch of surveys that have come through in recent weeks. other european data suggests there is some recovery, even on the inflation numbers which have been so stubborn in recent years. do you think investors are glossing over what could be a recovery story and are so focused on the unknowns around politics they're not trading europe on fundamentals? >> that's absolutely right. if we take the most widely watched economic data points, the pmis, purchasing and management indices, those across europe are at five or six-year highs. the only time in the last decade they've been above these levels are in the immediate aftermath of the global financial crisis. thi

this election offers new faces but also new political divisions and new kinds of voters for marine le penfer from uncontrolled immigration, islamic aggression, insecurity, unemployment and for us, marine le pen is the answer. the front national is running in the name of the people, it says, and in this election, there are many candidates from many different parties claiming to do just the same. large anti—government protests are continuing across romania, despite a climb down by the government. earlier the authorities scrapped a controversial decree that would have decriminalised some forms of corruption. but tonight hundreds of thousands of people are back on the streets. some protesters are calling for the government to step down. from bucharest steve rosenberg reports. here at the centre of bucharest, these protesters have got what they wanted. earlier romania's government cancelled its controversial decree that would've shielded some public officials who'd abused their office from prosecution. and it was these crowds, pressure from the streets which forced the government into a u—turn

marine le pen says the euro is killing periphery nations.from her interview on french tv, still to come. this is bloomberg. ♪ matt: welcome back to the european market open. i am matt miller in berlin. i johnson in london. markets in across the board after rallies to all new highs in the u.s. and big, strong gains in asia prompted by donald trump's top tax reform. reform, of tax o switzerland's future as an attractive base for companies hangs in the balance. swiss voters will decide whether to accept or reject a government plan to replace the special tax brea, multinational companies enjoyed. a yes vote would bring and tax cuts -- tax break multinational companies enjoy. a yes vote would bring tax cuts. is the chiefw economist at a bank. still with us in london is bnp ' steven saywell. it is complicated, but tom he -- tell mevote means what a yes vote means this weekend. >> a yes vote first would mean that switzerland again complies with e.u. rules that they do not have to complain against, so that would be a positive thing. yessecond thing

national front leader marine le pen will begin her bid later.lso, a fatherfrom scarborough, who has motor neurone disease, becomes the first person to use a computer—generated voice with a regional accent. it's amazing to know now that my girls, lilly and poppy, and my wife, will be able to talk to me and hear my voice back. and coming up in half an hour, dateline london looks at donald trump's controversial travel ban and whether he should be welcomed in britain. good morning and welcome to bbc news. a setback for president trump. a us federal appeals court has rejected a request from donald trump's administration to immediately reinstate his controversial order banning immigration from seven specified countries. mr trump signed an executive order to put the ban in place last week. the ban was blocked by a federaljudge on friday. now the administration's bid to get the block lifted immediately has been rejected. here's a tweet from the washington state attorney general saying the request has been denied. the judgement read: appellants‘ request

marine le pen is very much aligned on donald trump's ideology. rine le pen is very supportive of -- maybe not very supportive, but she has nothing to say against the regime of vladimir putin. she considered that crimea was not invaded -- it was the people of crimea who wanted to be russian. because they feel rushing, that is what she said recently on an interview on cnn. marine le pen sees the notion of "america first" as basically the awakening of the people, the awakening of the nation against the elite, against international institutions. marine le pen represents right now, 20% of the french voters. host: clearly the same is true with other populist movements. there are plenty of people in britain who supported brexit for example, who also see this populist wave -- actually, they would like to claim the credit for starting the populist wave, not donald trump -- but divided opinions throughout europe. elite, if you want to call it that in thiso feel new era of american foreign-policy it is the europeans who are perhaps on the losing end. with th

reassuring fory the markets because the policies would not be market friendly and the chances against marine le penrunoff, the second one of the presidential election , the chance of the left-wing candidate would be smaller than a different candidate against marine le pen. vonnie: that is why we are seeing french bond yields rising today. is you broader context, macron still ahead in the polls when you put them head-to-head with that him head to head with fillon? >> the day the -- daily opinion lon looks infil the connection in the first round. fillon wouldn or win against marine le pen in the runoff and reactions on the bnp andbanks stocks, others are down following the news of a possible joint left-wing ticket. even though all the french makers we have been speaking with on bloomberg over the past have told us bnp they are ruling out marine le pen victory in the presidential election. they are not even considering a contingency plan if that happens. ,he latest we have from macron he is concerned that he thinks he has evidence that he is the victim of cyberattacks from ukraine at the russian borde

marine le pen is very much aligned on donald trump's ideology. rine le pen is -- she has nothing to say against the regime of vladimir putin. she considered that crimea was not invaded -- it was the people of crimea who wanted to be russian. that is what she said recently on an interview on cnn. marine le pen sees the notion of america first as basically the awakening of the people, the awakening of the nation against the elite, against international institutions. marine le pen it represents 20% of the french voters. >> clearly the same is true with other populist movements. there are plenty of people in britain who supported brexit --ch see the populist wave divided opinions throughout europe. establishment seems to feel that in this new era of american foreign-policy it is the europeans who are perhaps on the losing end. with that mean, if this is a zero sum game, if europeans are losing, then russia is the winner? >> europeans are concerned that the russians have an attitude towards them of wanting to split up the eu and split up nato and split

marine le pen is being investigated for allegedly breaking the rules on the use of european parliamentary funds. the national front leader implied the police and magistrates would face consequences if she is elected. >> marine le pen's comments are deplorable. to make people think that police officers are organizing corrupt schemes and plotting is unacceptable. being we are fed up of defamed and attacked. >> the magistrates union says le pen is using techniques of destabilization and intimidation. these are remarks that should not be coming from a candidate in the presidential election. you must remember that the president should be the protector of the justice system. so to question the independence of the court even before the elections is extremely dangerous. >> ring le pen is the front runner for the first round presidential vote in april. despite recent gains, she is still expected to lose in the runoff a month later. >> meanwhile, european lawmakers have taken the first step to lifting marine le pen's immunity. -- thender investigation decision by the eu legal affairs committee now

the country's national front leader marine le pen launches her campaign to become leader.e‘s on for wales as they take on italy in their opening six nations match — we'll have the latest from what's been a soggy match so far in rome. and in half an hour, tanya beckett explores five extraordinary moments in history — including an astronaut who survived an accident in space. that's in witness at liz30pm. good afternoon. the us appeals court has delivered another blow to president trump's travel ban on people from seven mainly muslim countries. it has refused to reinstate the ban, which was suspended yesterday by a federal court in washington state. travellers from the affected countries who had been prevented from travelling have been arriving in the the united states. jane frances kelly reports. passengers arriving in the us while they can. for now, at least, the lifting of president trump's travel ban denying entry to people from seven mainly muslim countries remains. this iraqi family are heading for new york while they can. we are very excited, we are very happy. finally

anchor: marine le pen is visiting lebanon where she has been meeting with the nation's president.he national front leader is hoping to burnish her differentials ahead of the french april presidential election. my correspondent has been speaking with some of supporters. >> at the entrance, you can't miss the statue. it comes from an established local tennessee. originally, the idealism of the sponsored by fascism. >> this symbolizes the idea of preserving the dominance of the christians from the economic point of view. it is a bit like that. a national front supporter lebanese. a she has acquired lebanese nationality. as a journalist for the catholic far right newspaper, she is delighted to see marine le pen scoring points. >> it is very favorable terrain. people are attached to france and the values of the defense. under their history, they understand that the national front is the obvious preference for us. the christians of lebanon, it is also obvious. >> supporting marine le pen isn't always easy, especially with a proposal to prohibit dual nationality. son, who wants to join t

anchor: marine le pen speaking there.ebanon may be thousands of kilometers from france, that the tiny asian is a bastion of national france. it has a significant number of french expatriates. our correspondent spoke to some national front reporters. -- supporters. reporter: you can't miss the lebanesee founded the party after returning from the own the big games in 1936. the ideology of the party was largely inspired by european fascism, something the logo does little to hide. >> it symbolizes the idea of preserving the dominance of the christian world. a nationalophie is front supporter married to a lebanese beard she has lived here 20 years and speaks fluent arabic. she has even acquired lebanese nationality. as a journalist of a far right newspaper, she's excited to see marine le pen scoring points here. >> it is very favorable terrain. these people are attached to france. through their history, they understand very well that the national front is the obvious preference for us and for the christians of lebanon, it is a

in the second round he will readjust himself and pick up a set of policies designed to show marine le pen is, french nationalist. i am giving him a 65% to 70% chance of winning. le pen, a 35% pale -- tail risk is still pretty big. francine: economies -- economists are coming on and saying the situation is getting better. you have huge unemployment and so little commonality amongst leaders. what are the chances of a recession hitting the eurozone? peter: i find the timing of the question is a bit odd, because if you look at most of the forward-looking indicators they are getting stronger as we speak. the pmi's, all these releases are getting stronger. francine: but unemployment is so high. peter: no doubt, but we have to keep perspective because unemployment in europe structurally is higher than in the u.s. or u.k. the unemployment benefits, social security benefits are higher which means the people, unemployment, they are not facing the same economic hardship as they might in the u.s. it helps us keep perspective. if you look at how unemployment is falling from the peak about two years ag

this election offers new faces but also new political divisions and new kinds of voters for marine le penof uncontrolled immigration, islamic aggression, insecurity, unemployment and for us, marine le pen is the answer. the front national is running in the name of the people, it says and in this election, there are many candidates from many different parties claiming to dojust the from many different parties claiming to do just the same. the conservative party may no longer be encouraging home ownership for all. a guiding principle for more than 30 years, the housing minister, gavin barwell, now says buying a home is no longer affordable for some, there should be a new emphasis on renting. labour argues more council houses are needed, to deal with what it says is a ‘housing crisis'. here's our political correspondent iain watson. mrs thatcher defended the council sales policy. mrs thatcher expected that would be her legacy when she gave tenants the right to buy her council homes in the 80s. but the current conservative prime minister faces a different challenge with house prices soaring i

france's far right leader, marine le pen, attacks globalisation and radical islam as she launches her presidential campaign. hundreds of thousands take to the streets again in romania, saying they don't trust the government. and one of the world's biggest sporting events, the super bowl, is underway with millions of americans and many more around the world tuning in. president trump has become embroiled in a bitter battle with the american legal system. a federal appeals court on sunday refused to reinstate his controversial travel ban preventing people from seven mainly—muslim countries from entering the united states. it was a judge in seattle who'd originally put a temporary stop to the policy, and the president has accused him of putting the country in peril. our north america correspondent nick bryant has more. the rush to reach america — arrivals from mainly—muslim countries making it through immigration after an appeals court rejected a move by the trump administration to reimpose its travel ban. so, impromptu celebrations at us airports, and relief for those looking to head ac

amongst them, far right leader marine le pen, whose supporters gathered on sunday. correspondent has this report. >> putting france first, that is the cornerstone of marine le pen's campaign strategy. hoping to ride the populism right to the elysees as she launches her bid for the presidency. >> i am the people's candidate for france. >> she is propelling herself as a candidate among crooked politicians, but she has also been embroiled in scandal, accused of paying her party euros that she confiscated. her antiestablishment resident -- rhetoric is in stark comparison with donald trump, particularly with them focusing on a perceived threat from muslim immigrants. she is not speaking to the core foreigners having links with radical islamist groups. she wants to close mosques under similar suspicion and is opposing a strict migration cap as well. the frencho modify relationship with e.u. she wants to substitute the yield, that for the euro, with a possible departure from the e.u. altogether. she said any proposed frexit would be highly controlled, unlike brexit, where t

the leader of the far—right national front in france, marine le pen, has launched her presidential campaignh a twin attack on globalisation and islamic fundamentalism. she told a party rally in lyon that globalisation killed communities. time for sally and world business report. going going gone — the chinese investor is hungry for business in europe and the us but billions of dollars worth of deals are cancelled — we reveal why. a new white knight for takata but investors are not impressed so what now for the japanese airbag maker? welcome to world business report. i'm sally bundock — also in the programme more us tech giants submit their legal documents condemning trump's labour restrictions. the political events of 2016 may have ignited an unprecedented period of uncertainty for the global economy but one thing that appears to remain unaffected is the growing appetite of chinese investors. last year inflows into the us increased by nearly 190%. meanwhile, chinese investment into europe grew by 90%. all of this gives the impression 2016 was a good year for western economies when it comes

including the independent which reports on the french far right leader, marine le pen launching her bido become president what you doing in bed with that woman? i'm his wife. and in the film review — mark kermode and ben brown look at this week's top releases including loving — the true story of one couple's fight to change interracial marriage laws in 1960s virginia. good evening and welcome to bbc news. president trump has become embroiled in a bitter battle with the american legal system, after a federal appeals court refused to reinstate his travel ban, on people from seven mainly muslim countries, entering the united states. it was a judge in seattle who had originally put a temporary stop to the policy, and tonight the president tweeted saying ”just cannot believe a judge would put our country is such peril. if something happens, blame him." our north america correspondent nick bryant has more. the rush to reach america. arrivals from mainly—muslim countries making it through immigration after an appeals court rejected a move by the trump administration to reimpose its travel ban.

marine le pen want to take france out of the eurozone. ctoral cycle. that? euro survive yes, it could. but if you see marine le pen winning the election, that changes the game completely for the euro. francine: what is your take on the french elections and looking at the three top candidates. marine le pen is gaining ground. chances that the polls are completely wrong and she becomes president? huw: there is a chance of that. there is consumption in the the odds are that she would lose the second round. i must admit that i am probably more focused on italy than france. spreadening out of the in france is troubling. the one thing that has held to an together is -- extent, the ecb wants to ease off from that, it may create a lot of fractures. we talked about the chart of the year, one of the charts was the imf one on the greek report showing that the greek performance was worse than the u.s. post-great depression. and looking at that with the 25% fall in the industrial capacity, it is really the failure to grow and how we can resolve the lac

marine le pen is up one point. show each one of them that they got to that second round against marine le pen would be her, the margins are narrowing. it's not quite the blowout that it looked like a few weeks ago. of 42% to 58%, so the latest news is definitely good for marine le pen. macron talking about france, the past being hurt. >> he has been heard. he went to algeria and use words and crime against humanity stuff like that for french colonial rule. it is still a sensitive subject in france. there are people who would say good on you for being honest about france's pass, but many others think it is insulting to the country. they really attacked him. macron is the front runner from the odds point of view because his margin over le pen is considered to be larger than fillon in a hypothetical second round race. oneryone seems to think macr is the man they have to go after, so all the spokesmen were hitting him hard, all the usual criticism, that it is all subduction, no substance behind him, so it is interesting

marine le pen in france has attacked the euro. opean government reporter. also with us, abby joseph cohen of goldman sachs. me about the possibility of a marine le pen win. did she seem presidential yesterday in that debate? ian: she certainly tried to seem like that, and she has a big audience, about 3.5 million people in france watching for two hours last night. she is trying to portray herself as the sort of person who really has france's integrity in her mind, and she can make herself look like she understands economics and finances, appealing to people's parts. last night she was also trying to appeal to their pockets as well, saying we do not like the euro, we will get the franc back, and things will be ok. francine: greece's predators are presenting at basel from -- greece's creditors are -- enting ian: there is a private meeting between the greek finance minister and institutions, trying to get him to agree to package austerity measures in greece that would save 2% of gdp , should greece not meet his budget targets. that wi

we have to be cautious, as you can see, marine le pen still leading in the first round with 27%. 's 23% and andlarity dropping to 20% if we believe the polls, that would mean marcon could beat marine le pen in the runoff of the presidential election. he is the favorite to become the next french president. mark: a very exciting race, if fillon dropped out, what his plan b? >> the first time in the history of french politics, a republican nominee dropping out but a scenario that we now have, we cannot exclude any more, if you look at the front page of le monde, fillon, can he still hang on? at the moment, this is a real question. lawmakers publicly questioning his situation. b's are being discussed, one option would be the runner up in the primaries -- hevember, the mayor said he did not want to step in, but some observers saying he could change his mind. another option is the former president nicolas sarkozy, he came in third in the primaries. other names -- including the former finance minister, and the head of the north region, who already has an advantage, he has beaten marine l

marine le pen formally kicked off her presidential campaign.es the forces that led donald trump to victory will do the same for her. retailert luxury tiffany, they are out after disappointing sales. mark: should colleges with multibillion-dollar endowments beginning more to help middle-class families pay for schools? vonnie: in france, far right leader marine le pen has formally kicked off her presidential campaign. she declared that the same nationalist forces that led donald trump to victory in the united states will do the same for her. she promised a referendum on france leaving the european union. >> who could find satisfaction in inaction in the face of a system that has us in chains? it rules us because of it's not function. that is why, once elected, i the now announce organization of the referendum within the first six months of my mandate, whether to stay or leave the eu. mark: british companies are seeing their profits screens because of the fall of the pound. that is according to the british chambers of commerce. the brexitock since

the voting starts in the french presidential election the polling has consists play shown that marine le pennational front looks to top the first run balance but come second in the runoff that follows. what would a le pen presidency mean for markets and investors? joining me is a key aid to the leader. thank you so much for joining us. what are the real chances of marine le pen becoming french president in two months? >> thank you for having me, francine. me tell you one thing, we win this one. this one is for us. nothing will stop us from winning this one because if the almighty in person had written the script for that election, he would not have written anything otherwise. the odds are great, and what we look at with some enjoyment is that the markets look at our project for the country with a lot of interest. francine: i want to get back to that in a second but i'm still looking at the polls and trying to figure out what are the real chances of marine le pen winning . you said this one is for us and i look at the polls they are not that close you'd she would make it to the first round bu

farmersrench feel about marine le pen? we missed much of the brexit story. we in danger of doing the same thing when it comes to france and marine le pen? all of that, still to come. this is bloomberg. ♪ guy: we are not really generating any sense of direction. i wonder if this is a janet yellen related story. ftse is softer and minors are the losing sector. few stockc has got a movers as well. over to you. nejra: i'm starting with credit of the which is one biggest gainers on the stoxx six we saw a fourth-quarter loss for the bank, but the loss was wider than expected. the second consecutive annual loss for the swiss bank, and the reason for it is that it reached a settlement with the u.s.. up because the legal settlement does provide some certainteed for credit suisse now, and the ceo said it was a game changer for us. what it does is leave us more comfortable to look today at our capital planning and speaking of capital investors, we will be looking at that ct one ratio cet1 ratio.- biggesteurope's operator. we had numbers from the company. it announced it

waiting in the other side is marine le pen from the national front. she was also in lyon where she will lodged her campaign later on sunday. she wants france to leave the euro and hold a referendum on eu membership and introduce a tax on foreign workers. her election victory would no doubt upset the order. it may fall to in manual —— emmanuel macron. well staying in france — we've had more details about the suspect accused of trying to attack the louvre museum in paris on friday. he's said to be recovering from his injuries after being shot by a soldier. he has been identified as a 29—year—old egyptian, who entered france on a tourist visa. his father has been speaking to a dubai television channel — here's some of that interview. translation: i say this is a story. for men and they don't know how to grab for men and they don't know how to gmba for men and they don't know how to graba man for men and they don't know how to grab a man who is only this small? excuse me. even if they had hit one of them. —— even if he had kicked one of them. so they shot

but this was a strong start for marine le pen.go out very much fired up by her words. over a—hundred afghans have died, including more than 60 within the past day, in avalanches in central and eastern afghanistan. the country has experienced exceptionally heavy snow in the past few days. buildings have been flattened in the capital, kabul, and the international airport has been shut. the catholic church in the philippines has called an anti—drugs campaign, launched by the president, rodrigo duterte, a reign of terror on the country's poor. as david campanale reports, the message was read out during sermons across the philippines on sunday. these are the toughest words yet on the roman catholic church and likely to reach many millions of people who attend church in this devout country. the pastoral letter from the bishops conference was read to congregations across the philippines who heard that it's wrong to treat the killings as if they necessary. an additional cause of concern is the reign of terror in many places of the poor. m

is marine le pen doing better than she was last week? >> marine le pen is doing extremely well.e is five points ahead in the first round. the second round holes are tightening. ory still show fillon macron will win. she is gaining ground. tom: she is gaining ground. check out the chart. this rarely captures it back to 2007, but you see the new leg up. as a political beast, do you care what the markets say about this? do the markets overemphasize when you look at french politics? >> the question is do the french people care. i think they do care. things have not gotten scary enough to make a dent in the political debate itself t. francine: how do you look at this? is the vix fully priced in for a shock politically? >> it is not priced in at all. they will get started with this rush political risk as we enter april. let's remember, markets really only look at thethey will get sy happens. first round is late april, the next is early may. they have significant foreign earnings. if you have some kind of scenario where they reassure the frank. oft will provide some sort index level as

of the implosion of the conservative candidate in a corruption scandal, we are likely to have marine le peni suspect he will win. he is very strongly pro—european, but marine le pen will put in a strong showing. that will really challenge the direction but not fundamentally change it. somebody will happen in the netherlands. maria, from the greek perspective, the crisis is not over. there are rumblings from within the trump administration that... a way of keeping german exchange rates low. yes, i wouldn't get too excited at the latest greek crisis. i may be wrong, but there seems like a recurrence of a set of old symptoms. the imf has never believed the greek debt is sustainable. the european commission for political reasons will not, you know, reduce the debt, and the imf according to its rules can't be party to this. if we can hold on until september, and if angela merkel gets reelected in september, as we hope she will — at least, i do — then i think things will kind of rumble on. there is a lot of uncertainty in the greek government too. they have been sending out contradictory signals.

national front leader marine le pen will begin her bid later.ial decree that would have reduced some penalties for corruption. the prime minister said he did not want to divide the country after days of huge street protests. 0ur correspondent is there. a change of heart? as we speak i believe we are going to get news that the government has revoked that decree as we speak. they will have to engage in some kind of damage limitation, they were only elected months ago with about 5 million votes between the three parties. they will try to persuade their voters that it is a setback, not a surrender. and i think more importantly they will have to persuade romanian society that this wasn't a simple black and white battle between those who are corrupt politicians on one hand and the anti—corruption fight, as the protesters who have been flocking to these squares say, but this is something more complicated, a battle between different branches of the legislators, the secret service and the government, so they want to limit the damage that this public clim