exits and italy, i don't think italy is ever going to exit the euro, we spoke with prime minister mario monte a couple of weeks ago and he's adamant that italy is not going anywhere. >> any of them might require a currency restructuring. and any commission of them, eventually some of them might exit. restructuring after greece, i think portugal is going to require that restructuring and maybe eventually exit like greece. italy and spain right now, they're stabilizing their spread. i have fiscal austerity, the strength of the euro, if they have a recession, if it doesn't bottom out, the market is now worrying about growth and unemployment. and the spread will widen again. >> so you're still bearish on the global economy. you've been talking about a hard landing, or, you know, not such a soft landing in china for a while. and an expected slowdown. what are you expecting in 2012? you're headed there next week. >> our estimate in the first quarter of this year, quarter over quarter growth of china could be less than 6%, between 5% and 6%. export growth is slowing down sharply. residential investm