marist college, "pbs newshour" and npr >> which is why i said "our."eard you is i that and'm glad you didn't let me get away without identifying whose poll it is. now let's talk about the debate coming up and the 2020 candidates. labor dispute.hat there is ths we reported tom perez the chair all he can, but it is out of the hands of these candidates and the part clearly all s want this debate to take place, a debate hosted by the "newshour" in partnership with politico, but the saints candidates have made their position clear, they're not crossing the picket line. t >> they ne and for a democratic primary, there's absolutely no wayou y would see democrats going against that if there's any sort what i do think for the folks who would really benefit for having this debate -- it's the second-to-last onesefore vot start voting in iowa, and for many of these senators, it's likely they will be stuck in washington through this hearing, for the impehment hearing. we don't know how long it wil be, maybe it won't be that long, but this is sort of their last best

his approval rating in the latest marist is 75%.he's won their votes and they are morally supportive of him, so he doesn't want to lose their ground in this base. i don't think this will make any impact, and the reason that is the case is there is no new information in it. evangelical christians, they already know about this about president trump, and what matters to them the most is what they're getting from him in terms of remaking the federal judiciary. his 50th appellate court pick was confirmed a week ago. that's 50 in three years. barack obama only got 55 in eight. and he is appointing lockstep conservatives to the federal judiciary, and in the end, that will matter more. >> i do want to note the president's criticism of this magazine. it's a prominent evangelical magazine. like i said, it was founded by billy graham. but it gets this backlash from him. he calls it a leftist magazine when really it's a centrist magazine. what do you think about this, that he courts evangelicals, but when he gets even this whiff of criticism fr

we've seen undecided voters, that number shrink, but there was a marist poll not long ago that had ank it was 80%? it was still a very fluid race. it stops becoming fluid when you have to vote. these folks are all wrangling for that last-minute, maybe i can pull some people away, maybe the 10% undecided will come to me if i have a strong show. >> i don't know the answer, what is the impact of impeachment? the first question is on democratic voters in the short term. 46 days until iowa, rhode island and new hampshire, the big election after that. maybe they think this could help trump. who knows what could happen ten months from now. in the short term, does it help joe biden if you ask the democratic supporters which candidate has the best chance to beat trump, and that is an overwhelming lead. 40%. and is he still viewed that way? i guess he has to prove it in the debate tonight. >> the timing, the exact timing of the senate trial is a little bit in question given what we've been talking about today. but assuming the senate trial were to happen and that the acquittal, essentially, we

quinnipiac poll, 45% say impeach and remove. 46% say so in the npr, pbs marist poll. 50% in a fox news see a narrow band between 45 and 50%. that's where we have been in the story on impeachment. it is nearly half the country that wants to see the president removed from office. but it is not a growing number. the president's team takes solace in that. >> what does it mean for the president's re-election campaign? >> it is dangerous to think there's a huge impact. that presidential election campaign is nearly a year away. news cycles move really fast. it will be curious to see if voters have this top of mind. one clue that it is not having huge impact now, look at the general election matchups fox did in their poll. this election is not until next november. you see donald trump is from 40% of vote to 45% of vote, depending which democrat he's up against. that's about where he has been throughout this entire 2019. his number hasn't moved that much before impeachment, during impeachment, right now on the precipice of the vote. >> the president sees this is a fox poll, he is not happy. >>

the 75 number is his current approval rating in this group according to the latest marist survey.y important. i can't think of a more important part of his core constituency. but i'm dubious as to whether this editorial is going to move the needle. we had a conversation just a couple of days ago about what president trump has been able to accomplish in terms of repopulating the federal bench. this editorial makes reference to the supreme court. it doesn't make reference to the other picks. but it essentially says don't be swayed by what he's been able to accomplish with regard to the supreme court because his moral failings, i'm paraphrasing, outweigh that. i don't know if that's going to cut it in the mind of evangelical christians. is there someone on that democratic stage last night that they would gravitate toward? i don't see that individual. >> here's the argument that they're making, michael. about what the magazine is making about how the president they believe is morally bankrupt. and about how what he did in terms of coercing a foreign leader to harass and discredit one

npr, public broadcasting system, marist poll. 45-45. in favor of impeachment independents. against, 43.3. they're stilted against it. connell: you wrote about impeachment. triballization of politics becoming almost complete, gerry seib mentioned in his "wall street journal" piece. when i was reading through jerry's piece, i guess this morning, one of the things stood out, there is almost no space for two parties dissenting views, polarizing the president, the latest journal he cited in the journal poll, we know this already 91% of republicans self-identify approve of president trump. 6% of democrats approve. 85 point gap. as he points out 20 points wider than at this point in the obama presidency, many people said, that is polarizing, not compared to this. people really are so dug in, huh >> they really are. i have never seen numbers like that. you can go back to the nixon era, you won't see numbers which the parties are so polarized. we're where we are in this moment of tribalism. it started, around in the late '90s. 2000 election bein

this summer, there was a poll, the marist poll asked, is the economy working for you personally?hirds of americans and said yes. in every democratic group super majority, nonwhites, people without a college education, independence, urban voters, small-town voters, rural voters, the only people who disagreed, the majority disagreed? were democratic women and people who are super liberal. inside the liberal bubble which the democrats have it, the economy is doing badly. for everybody else, it's doing great. when you are campaigning against the experience of the voters, you probably are not going to win. >> shannon: quick answer for you both, who's the next to leave the field question mike leslie, you first. >> the next to leave the field? i would say... who showed who should? i'm going to say tom steyer. because if you look at percentages, he's not there. he keeps writing a check. >> shannon: and marc? >> the one who is not is andrew yang. i'd love to have a beer with him. >> shannon: he looks like he's having a great time. just like you to go, leslie and marc. the most-watched, mo

you had 80% of white evangelicals back trump in the 2016 elections and a recent marist poll saying hel of 75% of evangelicals approval whereas it is hovering in the low 40s overall. evangelical voters have largely looked to if not the behavior, the policy of this administration and what we saw from the campaign statement released by the trump campaign on this editorial, they've emphasized his support for israel and support for judges who uphold religious liberty and abortion policies and for now those policies are the ones that that section of voters have looked for. >> and here is a campaign statement that we had. this is something that the president is tweeting about a ton. the son of the late billy graham slammed the magazine and now the campaign sending out this statement. ip -- i wonder how much this shows you how nervous they are about this, melanie, especially because they're trying to get the backing of graham family members here with that statement. >> this is a key voting block for trump. this is a key part of the coalition. he needs to hold on to them to win re-election in

percent and we found the labor party around $3067.00 now if you that gives me a 4.7 of late that is the marist of all pollsters going into the last election i think there is still one to come out tomorrow maybe one more saving but what we're likely to see with that is it does reduce boris johnson's chances of a large majority but it does increase potentially the chances of there being a hung parliament come friday morning and interestingly there were 3 other opinion polls that were published on wednesday and they seem to show a larger leads for for the conservatives so why do you think that we've seen now a narrowing of the labor lead. i think we've seen and the ring of labor leader across all pulses over the election we started out with with a slightly conservative lead and other stars who were very big ones so i think irrespective of polling we have seen the labor party you know make some progress here what they have managed to do throughout the campaign is to squeeze the liberal democrat vote where found you know 2060 remain voters were initially considerably more split over whether they wo

two polls out this morning, one from npr, pbs/marist, the other from nbc news, show less than half ofupport the senate impeaching and removing the president. i want to bring in nbc news correspondent heidi przybyla and adrienne elrod, former adviser for the hillary clinton campaign, she's also an msnbc contributor. heidi, let me start with you. i want to drill into an interesting part of this fox poll, first of all. independent voters, specifically here. a new high of 45% of independents say they favor impeachment. that's up from 38% in late october. how should lawmakers are from both parties be looking at that jump in particular, in this key segment of voters? how should they be looking at that jump? and does it change in any way shape, form, or fashion, the calculus between republican and democratic lawmakers looking ahead to 2020? >> sure, typically, looking at one poll and drawing conclusions is not a great idea, but in this case, this is a fox news poll, and it's going to get attention from some lawmakers. what they take away from it, how it affects anything for republicans, doub

on other polls the q poll and marist pool changing a little bit. talked to a thousand registered voters. i think something like 7, 8, 9% more democrats. more people voting in the democratic primary than in the republican primary. so perhaps that speaks for the demographic. look at the focus group in saginaw, michigan. people are steamed that the democrats are going through with this. brian: other thing is report too. you will not believe this. hold on tight to something. the houses they are going to continue to investigate even after the senate votes on impeachment do you believe this? they are going to have ongoing impeachment investigation for as long as donald trump is in the white house. steve: in case he sur vice. ainsley: 31 democrats that only one of them has said in the house that he will not vote to impeach that's jeff van drew, of the one from new jersey thinking about becoming a republican because he is fed up with what's happening in the democratic party. one of the democrats who says she will -- she has just decided she is going to vot