joining me now, mark get gauge managing director, michelle schneider. we got the s&p 500. right in the shadows of 4200. you see with the arrows, used to be stock support, now it is resistance. it sets up a pullback you think could be driven by a number of sparks. what are you concerned about here? >> well mainly i'm concerned about the type of headlines we're seeing over the weekend like, for example, just looking at from a geopolitical standpoint tensions with china. putin is certainly seems like he is awfully quiet but getting ready to attack even more, so the press says. we obviously have weather issues, what happened with the earthquake, unfortunate incident in turkey, syria and then we also just have generally right now a lot of unknowns about what is going to happen in terms of social unrest and food prices have come down a little bit but they're still very elevated so these are the concerns but, you have to look at what the market's doing, charles, and right now it is following beautifully cycles. it held at six to eight year cycle at the lows in october and it is g