mastercard or visa. >> i thought visa was better than mastercard, but people love mastercard. >> whichne would you buy? >> visa. a little better growth. >> there is name, we have casinos go bankrupt. then wind comes out and it has 15% on earnings. >> we recommended wynn at 41 and again at 42. this is the best in show by far the best in breed and all new casinos and you are not even getting it. i have been using a $70 price target and it is the best run company and the destination. when they split that off will be worth 2/3 and it is crazy that this stock is not up even more. >> magnificent. >> yes. >> and of course personally charitable and a lot of people work for him and he reaches out. he's an amazing guy. >> let's talk about the mortgage portfolios. this was the thing that was the big achilles heel for a while. >> they are so big. >> ken lewis said and i want to get the headlines, ken lewis is in chicago and he gave a speech and he said and used the word shoot. he used a word about getting dead serious about modifying the mortgages. who knows whether he will do it or not and shows

and mastercard are transaction processors as opposed to american express an actual issuer.we have breaking news, back to headquarters. what's going on? >>> thank you very much. at 5:28 eastern time do you know where your roubini is? nouriel roubini is still bearish. back to you. >> just a recap. he said nouriel roubini is still bearish. >> he's still short.t. >> that's a long short. >> axp and the options, we saw a lot of risk reversals, buy, sell, call, and the line in august. if you own stock you can buy -- finance it by placing a call and it locks in your stock in a certain range. very popular strategy. >> let's move on. you've been patient holding out for today's stock of the day. pete? give it to us. >> we're looking toward next week and talking about earnings and those coal names have been on fire. they did pull back but now you're starting to get a few more folks getting excited. if you're betting on the consumer at all over in the asian markets you've got to like somebody like this. their exposure to china and the asian markets is phenomenal. earnings are next week.

mastercard is number two. capital one would be theottom of my list. >> anoer area working today, consumer staples, procter & gamble, clark, colgate all closing higher. consumers looking to a bit re defensive here. do we like these names? >> a lot of news out of russia we heard aut kraft last week and pepsi and so of these guys. there'growth in emerging marks, a place for a consumer base that a lot of theuys haven't taed the big issue for these gu is not on doing business on the grou in china and russia, but building out distribution networks, ich is a big part of logistics chain. i worry about at for people like pepsi and coke as there trying to gr in places like russia. however, it's very positive playand i'd be buying coke on this play because of the growth in easteurope and tiamerica. >> next trade here, tradinthe globe. obama is in russia. timmy made reference to is. companies maki big stakes in th country. pepsi anuncing a $1 billion investment in a bottling pla intestingly, because companies are investin

we'll talk about mastercard later. that stock had a huge run early, basically gave it all back. i understand what timmy is saying about tomorrow. you don't want to deal with the last day of the month, but today wasn't as impressive as it might be. >> are you going to pile on or make it a tie? >> i'm not going to tie it on. services names, fantastic quarter, great job, but up $9? it's hard not to sell a little into that. >> 3-1. >> i can't believe i am fighting back, because you can't be too cute with this tape, and people have tried to trade this. the pull-backs have been overshallow, and if you try to overtrade this thing, you get screwed. it's not a market term, but it's a term people have felt when they've tried to overtrade this thing. so be careful, if the fundamental are telling you bell weather stocks that are trying to turn the corner, we got an outlook on g.e. today, even exxon, if you tried to overtrade this thing and sold on their numbers, you got hammered because the stock finished up on the down. >> we've had significant upward momentum. now, what's ahead of the mar

what's your position on mastercard? >> i don't have one except longing, wishing i had owned it up to this run $193 or wherever it is. but at this price it's starting to get, i think i a little expensive at 23 times earnings. i'd rather own visa, but i don't own either. i feel like the run-up has gotten -- >> the thing i like about earnings, these guys are going to tell you they're seeing revenue growth around the world. they've gone from 40% of revenues internationally to about 60% in the last five years and that's only getting bigger. as we saw the deals around the world, their sister company down in latin america owned by citi, sold this year. this is is is a company that's growing rapidly and that's what we need to see. get excited about the revenue growth. we think they're going to guide and have guided. >> and also year-on-year numbers, last year's fourth quarter looked phenomenal and this year's fourth quarter, payment processing business continues to grow. i think visa, mastercard, take your pick, you can own eit

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>> paul: suzanne we'll see how mastercard is doing tomorrow when it reports quarterly results. now let's take a look at some stocks in the news tonight. >> paul: tonight's "street critique" guest says being careful and conservative is still the way to go. she's hilary kramer, chief market analyst at greentech research and author of "ahead of the curve." hilary, welcome back to n.b.r. >> thank you, paul. pleasure to be here. >> paul: you've been saying that cash is king for months now. with stocks up some 40% from their march lows, do you still like the sidelines, and if so, why? >> paul, i think it's important, more than ever, to be very, very careful when it comes to your money. the reason is that we have negative influences that will eventually bring down the market eye mean, we will have a recovery five to 10 years down the road, but you have unemployment which is very serious. it's much higher than 9.4%. it's in the 15% range because we're not even including those who have-- are no longer eligible for unemployment benefits. and then the bigger problem, even besides consumer

>>aul: suzanne we'll see how mastercard idoing tomorrow when it reports quarrly results. now les take a look at some stocks in the news tonht. >> paul:onight's "street critue" guest says being careful and conservave is still the way to g she's hilary kramer, chi market analy at greentech research anduthor of "ahead of the curve." hilarywelcome back to n.b.r. >> thankou, paul. pleare to be here. >>aul: you've been sing that cash is kingor months no with ocks up se 40% from their march ls, do you still like the sidines, and if so, why? >> paul, i think it's imrtant, more thaever, to beery, very careful whent comes to your money. the reason is thate hav negative influencethat will eventuallyring down thearket e mean, we will have a recovery five to 10 years down the road, butouave unemployment which is ver seris. it'such higher than 9.4%. 's in the 15% rangeecause 're not even including those who have-- are n longe eligible for uneloyment benefits. and en the bigger problem, ev besides csumers not being able to spend because they don't have jobs, is that there's no available

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mastercard is number two. capital one would be the bottom of my list. >> another area working today, consumer staples, procter & gamble, clark, colgate all closing higher. consumers looking to get a bit more defensive here. do we like these names? >> a lot of news out of russia, we heard about kraft last week and pepsi and some of these guys. there's growth in emerging markets, a place for a con suler base that a lot of these guys haven't tapped. the big issue for these guys is not only doing business on the ground in china and russia, but building out distribution networks, which is a big part of the logistics chain. i worry about that for people like pepsi and coke as they're trying to grow in places like russia. however, it's a very positive play, and i'd be buying coke on this play because of their growth in eastern europe and latin america. >> in terms of growth interin thely. yum brand is what we talked about. look at the stock today, $35, up 1.5%. that's a great day on a pretty benign tape. i still like

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>> jeff: stocks jumped to nine- month highs thanks to the latest jobs data, strong results from mastercard and an upgrade of ge. while new weekly jobless benefit claims rose slightly, the number of people filing for an extension of benefits fell to a three-month low. that helped the dow rally to a 170 point gain in the first 90 minutes of trading. while the market remained higher through the afternoon, some late-profit taking trimmed the gains. >> breaking news from the department of transportation, after less than a week of its crash for clunker's program, it's being suspended. got officials believe the billion dollars set aside for the program has already run out. cash for clunkers had offered up to $4500 for consumers who scrap old gas guzzlers for more fuel efficient cars and trucks. >> suzanne: mastercard reported better than expected quarterly profits today as it cut expenses and raised fees charged to banks. still, the world's second largest credit card processor said the downturn in consumer spending would make it difficult to meet its revenue targets over the next few years. as we

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masterca eer mastercard beat expectations. they beat the top and bottom line. 25 cents ahead of expectations. that stock has been on a tear every since. the credit card company looking at higher process tran action. unit spending declines. get this. the assumptions on the economy, carl, are unchanged. they say they still stink. they don't look for the economy to improve until sometime next year. the spending forecast is stable for the second half of this year. >> interesting. a couple of consumer staples. colgat erke palmolive grew toda. goldman says the growth came in below forecasts and investor anxiety about the company's pullback on ad spending as a percentage of sales over last year. from q-1, they spent more on ads this quarter than q-1. they did so in toothpaste, hand soap, and dish liquid. consumer trading is down, it's a lot on paper products which affects like p&g but not so much colgate which is not in the space. >> they gained a lot of market share. >> the rates have come down, they can afford to spend a little mor

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and you could win the perfect pair of jeans and a trip in mastercard's break in your jeans promotion♪ [ cheers and applause ] >> jimmy: we got a huge show, huge show tomorrow. comedy icon, my favorite, steve martin is going to be here tomorrow night, and music legend paul simon will be here playing some tunes for us. beautiful actress and singer vanessa williams will join us as well. i love her too. it's gonna be a great show. see you here tomorrow night. but first, we're super excited for our next guest. we are going live via webchat to the top secret set of next summer's blockbuster, "iron man 2," for a sneak peek. i can't believe we're getting this. here we go. jon favreau is here, everybody! [ cheers and applause ] the actor, the writer, as well as the director of the awesome first "iron man." how you doing, buddy? >> i'm doing great. how you doing? >> jimmy: doing great. are you allowed to tell us about the set? where are you? >> well, we're out here in manhattan beach, and we're shooting in hammer industries, that's tony stark's rival, played by sam rockwell. it's our first tim

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visand rival mastercard are insulatefrom rising credit card delinquencies, beuse they process ansactions without taking on the risk associate with making loan paul? >> paul: suzanne we'll see h masterca is doing tomorrow when it reports arterly results. nolet's take a look at some stocks in the newsonight. >> pl: tonight's "street critiq" guest says being careful and conservati is still the way to go. she's hilary kramer, chief market analystt greentech research and ahor of "ahead of e curve." hilary, lcome back to n.b.r. >> tnk you, paul. easure to be here. >> paul: you've been saying that cash is king for monthnow. with stocks up some 4 from their march lows, do you sll likeheidelines, and if so, why? >> paul, i think it'simportant, morehan ever, to be very, very careful en it comes to your money. the reon is at weave negative influces that will eventuly bring down the market eye mean, we will he a recovery five to 10 years down the road,ut you have unemployment which isery rious. 's much higher tha 9.4%. it's in the 15% range because we're not even including tse who have-- are no lger

increased humidity this weekend and some all that weather was brought to you by mastercard.ng out in the park. but now, it's back to -- >> robin. >> i'm coming out there, sam. i'm going to join you in a hot second. >>> coming up next, financial advice from a financial giant. warren buffett's tips toel h you survive this tough economy. grab a cup of coffee. come on back. (announcer) one pair of pleated slacks: i don't think so a pair of capri pants: never in a million years one pair of khaki shorts: ain't gonna happen the perfect pair of jeans: priceless use your mastercard and you could win the perfect pair of jeans and a trip in mastercard's break in your jeans promotion. featuring our all-new eal sliders. give your taste .buds a little tlc. with our real french dip or crisy southern chicken. plus, over 75 .other combinations starting at just $5.99. pick 'n pair. it's a whole new neighborhood. here are the cozy beds where the kids slept in... the pool where the family cooled off... and here's where they enjoyed ! their free hot waffles for breakfast. but where are the coope

. >>> mastercard made a profit of nearly $350 million during the second quarter. of more than $746 million during the same period last year. that's it from cnbc, first in business worldwide. back to msnbc. >>> i'm tamron hall. >> i'm donny deutsch. >> the big picture at this hour, custody deal apparently has been reached in the michael jackson case. katherine jackson will raise her son's three children under an agreement with his ex-wife. debbie rowe, the biological mother of the two oldest kids, will get visitation rights under the supervision of a child psychologist. under the deal she will get no extra money. michael jackson gave rowe a financial settlement when they actually divorced in 2000. she relinquished her parental rights but that has been disputed over some time. she now says she wants to develop a meaningful relationship with her children. meantime, we've learned new details about what happens in michael jackson's home the day he died. his personal chef, kai chase, spoke in an exclusive interview on nbc's "today" show. >> 12:00, 12:10, dr. murray come

to get rewards and offers that matter to you. ñook for world on your mastercard well, get on outof that department store. and into covergirl outlast. no department store longwear gives you so many different ways to last through breakfast lunch and dinner. more choices, more shades, more outlast. ♪ covergirl simple ingredients like soft white winter wheat gathered together for 22 grams of whole grain goodness. it's what makes triscuit worth every bite. >>> welcome back to "the ed show." president said david axelrod would be very visible on health care. that's exactly what we're seeing. tomorrow he's holding a prime time news conference, which we will cover right here on "the ed show" at 6:00 p.m., and a special edition of "the ed show" tomorrow night from washington. the media blitz isn't stopping at the tube or the town hall meetings of. the president is also recruiting bloggers. he spoke for about 25 palestinians on hand with a picked group of progressive bloggers on monday. now, he wants them to keep the heat on congress, and ask them to join the fight against the misinformatio

we've been trying to tell you the better trade is mastercard.ook at what mastercard has done over the past couple of weeks, 190, you can't chase that now, but that was the play. >> bow wow, office depot down. 18%. >> glad you're being long that one. >> i had a few of those. >> same store sales are horrible for office depot, wouldn't touch it. >> down 11%, tim. >> that name alone is bow wow. but again, this is not a good story in the short run even though long-term these guys will be overbooked by the end of next year. >> senate health care, health care keeps propping up and this one, hey, up 13%. >> they did a nice job and a good day for health care across the board. nice pop for these guys. >> guy, what do you think? down 2%. >> but this was an $11 stock now trading $28, and a huge run. valuations sort of fair here, they're speaking at a back to mall, back to school mall walk tomorrow in san francisco. that's going to be interesting, but i don't chase this one. >> back to school mall walk. >> mall wac. up 17.7%, joe? >> speculators? >> there ar

and you could win the perfect pair of jeans and a trip in mastercard's break in your jeans promotionooting video.... this is the new iphone editing video. and this, is the new iphone sharing video. video. on the iphone 3gs... the most powerful iphone yet. >> stahl: now that d.n.a. has exonerated more than 230 men-- mostly in sex crimes and murder cases-- criminologists have been able to go back and study what went wrong in those investigations. what they've honed in on is faulty eyewitness testimony: over 75% of these innocent men were convicted, in part, because an eyewitness fingered the wrong person. at the heart of the problem is the fragility of memory. as one researcher told us, we now know that memory is not like a video tape recorder-- you don't just record an event and play it back. instead, memory is malleable, full of holes, easily contaminated, and susceptible to suggestion, as in the case of jennifer thompson and ronald cotton. before this case, did you think that there were a lot of innocent people put away? >> gauldin: no. >> stahl: you didn't? >> gauldin: no, i didn't

mastercard did the same thing yesterday, visa, those are the names, intraday price action rolled. >> the other side, the stock that hasn't participated in this rally, what is that telling you? there's a reason why it didn't participate. if you're waiting for it to play catch-up, i think you might get scmo smoked. i take the other side on that. >> you need two sides. what do the history books say if you have a strong july, what does it mean in august? chart of the day. chart of the day. bring it up. because when we see a great july -- >> it's coming. it's coming. there it is. >> there we go. we usually see a pretty decent august, in fact, when july gains more than 5% the average august gain is about 2.4%, the average august through december gain is 4.5% according to history. >> they are somewhat meaningless. they are not your numbers, moses, so i'm not coming at you. people try to throw stats at the market that are totally irrelevant to this context. if you look at august, though, again, in the second half of august, you'll lose liquidity and a lot of people going into september and h

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ma as well, mastercard, still looks fantastic and why not go after those that have zero exposure, i mean just zero, transactions, when you have debt and credit. i love it. >> take the other side and i'll ask you a question. >> the reason why you go after american express and capital one and the whole short-short covering conversation, i think there's a whole name behind this thing. it's after the stress test, let's not forget, that was all short covering. if you look at american express and capital one, this is about getting back to normalized earnings which it looks like they will be a lot sooner than the market anticipated. >> i totally disagree. >> let's see how confident you are in this conviction. if it is the case that perhaps we should not be -- >> liking to get very long? >> no, no, no. is the corollary to the argument that you start to get long and constructive in the retail names because all of a sudden you're not as concerned by the credit losses about the consumers, does that make you more constructive about the consumers and be able to go in the stores and buy? >> no, becaus

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there will be reports from mastercard and exxon mobile. we have dow chemical which has reported its results. they had a gain of 5 cents a share. that is better than the 7 cents loss that some analysts were predicting. the transportation department says the trade in department has spurred about 60,000 vehicle sales. they have $1 billion to work with and it may spark to ledger 50,000 vehicles sales. sales have been so strong that the money may run out by the end of the month. program is scheduled to run until november 1. that is your business news. live at bloomberg headquarters in new york, i am linda bell. doug and alison, back to you. >> thank you. >>> 6:38 is your time. 70 degrees. >> today it is a national holiday, but you may not find it on in the calendar. >> adam caskey live in vienna. bright sunshine and a beautiful morning. 70 degrees. dew point of 66. we will talk about the chance of more storms later today. >> çovu?x?z?z?zrrñziçñx >>> hello. i am from maryland, and here with the ocean city beach patrol. the surf is up. good m

eastman kodak is reporting, international paper and mastercard. walt disney will be the highlight after the closing bell along with genworth and metlife. >>> coming up on "worldwide exchange," will stimulus spending at home and abroad pump up demand for cars and electronics in the second half? >> plus, the sales of wii have started to lose some punch. >>> i'm christine tan. in asia, sony posted a smaller than expected loss in the first quarter and said it is aiming to beat its full year forecast. >>> and i'm ross westgate. in europe, it's a big day for earnings with shell, bp all weighing in. >> i'm bertha coombs. investors brace for earnings of exxon mobil, disney and another treasury auction. >> the ftse cnbc 300 has been ticking higher, just up 0.4% at the moments. the ftse 100 is firmer on the back of the news. basf, we just spoke to the cfo a while ago and it's a droog on the xetra dax. bmw was a drag on the market, as well, saying it's very difficult to make a forecast for the full year. on the currency markets, this plays out, dollar/yen in

and you could win the perfect pair of jeans and a trip to mastercard's break in your jeans promotion >>> it's not often i get to actually be close to the seat of power here. >> it's incredible. i'm so honored that you walked over here to say hello. >> well, i'm going to walk away. russ, take it away. >> good morning, harry. good morning to you at home. >>> convicted ponzi schemer bernard madoff has been locked in a federal lockup this morning. madoff is serving a 150-year sentence. it is not clear how long he will be in atlanta. earlier reports said his final destination is a prisoner in north carolina. >>> wall street is looking to build on gains in overseas markets this morning, and goldman sachs is reporting earnings. here with more is bloomberg tv's deed reboldin. >> if the second quarter comes in as expected, the company will report $2.2 billion in profits, and that looks like the company's performance before the credit crisis. wall street is paying particular attention to goldman's numbers because it could suggest the worst of the financial crisis is over. traders say that gold

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