joe: for more, let's bring in bloomberg columnist matt mason. thanks for joining us. the numbers looking pretty bad in the u.s. a peak numbere to of daily cases. what is it translating into hospitalizations and deaths? this is the same pattern that we saw over the summer. how the course of the disease works. time for the virus to spread. eventually when you have enough community spread, it hits enough people or breakthrough to more vulnerable populations. we are already there. when you are adding 70,000 cases a day, they are going to take up further. i would be shocked if we don't significantly surpass some of those records of the summer. outbreak,t summer where it was pretty heavily concentrated in a few states, now you have more than a dozen states with test positivity rates over 10%. way of earlyin the major policy adjustments that are going to bring that under control anytime soon. so further growth is inevitable. caroline: policy adjustments is an interesting theme. we look at the car crash that seems to be going on in the united kingdom with the confusion over t