matt singh joins us next. ♪ betty: it is 7:30 p.m. new york, where the markets did expecting the rally to essentially carry over into the asian markets. 7:30 friday morning in hong kong, 30 minutes away from the opening of trading in japan and south korea and australia. i am betty liu in new york. yvonne: and i am even on man in -- yvonne man. betty: even though we closed higher here, it is the u.k. you are watching in asia, really dominating trade for you today. the first results are in from the u.k. referendum, amid rising speculation voters opted to stay in the european union. nejra cechic is watching all the action for us in london. nejra, as we are watching ourselves, not only the external reaction, but the internal reaction from our reporters, particularly our global markets editor, putting out some comments here, essentially saying, everyone is kind of oh wait now to some of these -- awake now to some of these initial results and the opinion polls that came out an hour ago, showing it was really a dead heat. much more of a dead

and alongside him, matt singh, founder of the number cruncher politics.reat to have you on the program. matt, let us start with you. we have been transfixed by betting odds, polls, the number cruncher probability that you produced. you have been pretty consistent, the betting odds suggesting that remain is going to win here. why the big discrepancy between what you say and what the polls say? probability and are two different things. they are measuring any given point in time. and the predictions and the probability are forecast of what will happen in the future. and if there is one thing to remember in the referendum, for example, the status quo does do better towards the end. that is exactly what we have seen over the last 10 days or so, remain having previously dropped back ted, it has come back. anna: we did not see very much of that risk aversion move towards remain in the last few days or so. that is notalysis always public, but that which has, has shown from around the point there has been a bit of a move. i mean, i did not hear the exact remark. b