but i tell ya, he may have but i agree with matthew dowd. he'll be a tough general election opponent. >> david muir, this idea if you look at those voters who make up their minds in the last several days, donald trump doesn't do as well with them. >> yeah, that's fascinating them. i was watching your interview with ted cruz there. we wanted to know if the mud slinging in the last couple of days really worked. look at this, among republican voters who decided just within the last couple of days, rubio and ted cruz evenly split at 28%. 24% for donald trump. so that mudslinging that we have seen the size of the hands, some of these incredible comments made by marco rubio seem to have some impact in these final days. but 11th hour it wasn't enough. >> david muir, thank you. >>> rebecca jarvis with john kasich, he hasn't won a state tonight, but he's staying in. the way that the campaign is putting it tonight, they have been playing an away game for the last month, now they're getting onto home turf, the midwestern states, they go to ohio, in fac

. >> which is why, matthew dowd, john kasich and marco rubio are sticking in. if they win their home states they might be able top block donald trump, get this to a brokered convention. >> the republican party which donald trump is now taking over way he wants it, they started with plan a, ignore donald trump and he'll go away a. that didn't work. plan b was, find a candidate, beat donald trump and win before you get to the convention. that didn't work. the plan c is prevent donald trump from getting a majority of delegates by the time you get to cleveland and then take the nomination eye way from the plurality victor which is likely donald trump and substitute someone else in and that is fraught with risk. >> donald trump has said from the very beginning if he doesn't think he's being treated fairly by the party, he'll run as an ind e pendent. >> right now, he's holding the cards. he's using that as an option. he doesn't like the establishment ganging up against him. he doesn't like the other candidates ganging up against him. >> bill kristol, one of the repub

but i agree with matthew dowd. he'll be a tough general election opponent. >> david muir, this idea if you look at those voters who make up their minds in the last several days, donald trump doesn't do as well with them. >> yeah, that's fascinating them. i was watching your interview with ted cruz there. we wanted to know if the mud slinging in the last couple of days really worked. look at this, among republican voters who decided just within the last couple of days, rubio and ted cruz evenly split at 28%. 24% for donald trump. seen the size of the hands, some of these incredible comments made by marco rubio seem to have some impact in these final days. but 11th hour it wasn't enough. >> david muir, thank you. >>> rebecca jarvis with john kasich, he hasn't won a state tonight, but he's staying in. >> he's staying in, george, and the way that the campaign is putting it tonight, they have been playing an away game for the last month, now they're getting onto home turf, the midwestern states, they go to ohio, in fact

i want to bring that to matthew dowd. one of the things we have seen from donald trump, he's proven to be resilient. over the course of this campaign. to take a hit and to come back. and this is -- this will be another test right now. there's been a pile on. do his voters bring him back? or is this the beginning of a spiraling down? >> i don't think it is a beginning of a spiraling down. donald trump has been a powerful candidate. he's a deeply flawed candidate. i think donald trump, at every moment in this race, has had an opportunity to rise faster, he's had an opportunity to gain momentum and start winning going away. but because of his own mistakes, his lack of discipline on certain things, his veering off that's a problem in the course of this. i think if donald trump had conducted himself and spent time learning policy and maybe didn't say some crazy things in the course of this, donald trump would be running away with this. he's beginning to cap himself. but, in a race that look like the way it looks like, he can p

matthew dowd, let me begin with you, you look at the sweep of that victory, donald trump is re-creating the republican party. >> this is, i think, an extraordinary development of what's happened. every one, so many people summer. he would fall in the autumn. frozen out when the votes in wimpbter started. now we're in spring, he's the dominant force in the party. he's gone through a hostile takeover of the republican party. he's basically beginning to fire the senior management of the republican party and and it's going to be very difficult for the republicans to be in the same place they were as a party in aftermath. >> jon karl, one thing he's been served by this entire campaign, divided opposition, going to remain divided, stunning every single one of these candidates say they're going to stay in. >> absolutely. this super tuesday is trump tuesday. not just because he comes out with a win huge delegate lead, but because every one of his main opponents -- kasich, rue owe, cruz, they all see a reason to stay in this race so donald trump, tonight, is stronger than >> tom llamas, you have

explain how all the experts, with the possible exception of matthew dowd, completely missed donald trump. >> i think there's nothing like donald trump in many decades of every 40 years or so, a party realignment where the coalition doesn't resonate with the voters anymore. i don't know if you call him a black swan or not. this isn't politics as usual. he's on track, he had a good night to win the republican nomination. >> nate silver, thanks very much. >>> when we come back, ted cruz. he he's won two victories tonight and more on the possible matchups in the fall. our next item is a genuine "name your price" tool. from progressive twenty grand? -no! we are giving it away of $4.99 plus tax! the lines are blowing up! we've got deborah from poughkeepsie. flo: yeah, no, it's flo. you guys realize anyone can use for free on progressive.com, right? [ laughing nervously ] [ pickles whines ] i know, it's like they're always on television. what? 85% of men say eating right helps prepare them for a healthy future. but up to 90% fall short in getting key nutrients ... ...from food alone. let's do m

. >> and matthew dowd, she's got a bit of a balancing act right now. she hasn't put bernie sanders away yet. she has to keep one eye on him and one eye on donald trump on the republicans. well -- we are moving toward a fascinating clash of titans. if donald trump connues to roll and hillary clinton continues to roll, you have the ultimate outsider, no political experience against the last political dynastyty with a political resume that would be the envy of anybody. >> that's incredible. i want to bring that to nate silver, you have been going through statistics. you calledd the 2012 election on the nose. explain how all the experts, with the possible exception of matthew dowd, completely missed donald trump. >> i think there's nothing like donald trump in many decades of american politics. every 40 years or so, a party realignment where the coalion doesn't resonate with the voters anymore.e. ion't know if you call him a this isn't politics as usual. he's on track, he had a good night to win the republican nominationon. nate silver, thanks very much. >

i'm here with our political analyst matthew dowd. another impressive win for trump. he gets 99 delegates. the end of the road for marco rubio, and all eyes now on ohio. >> absolutely. a huge win for donald trump. i think florida puts an exclamation point on how much the gop has changed. this is a magazine cover from "time" saying that marco rubio, the republican savior, from just a few years ago. and now donald trump just won his state. and keep in mind, marco rubio last week said, whoever wins the florida primary is going to be the gop nominee. we don't know what's going to happen in ohio, but if ohio doesn't go for trump, where we are in unchartered waters. >> no question about that. we're going to be here as soon as the results are in from ohio. the night begins, though, with big wins for donald trump and hillary clinton in florida.

let talk about it with matthew dowd, cokie roberts, van jones, and ana that vary roe. a big donald trump sweep on super tuesday. he was piled on. mitt romney came out. last night, ted cruz seemed to make headway. where do we stand? >> i looing think the biggest loser last night was the republican establishment. they lost badly. marco rubio finished third or fourth. they put all the money and chips in jeb bush. he's gone. then marco rubio. he's on the verge of being gone. you look at this, the voting haze taken place. the establishment, the outsider kptds have gone from 50% of the vote to 60% to 70%. in louisiana, they were 80% of the vote. i think this race is becoming right now, a 1/2 person race. >> who is the half? >> no, i don't think rubio is. i think john kasich is the half. i think he has a better chance of winning ohio than marco rubio does of winning florida. >> i agree. >> i agree with you that last night was a bad night for marco rubio. i think getting in the gutter with donald trump hurt him. you don't outmud-sling donald trump. you took the most optimistic

and matthew dowd, this really it was also trump tuesday. >> a big, big day for donald trump in the course of this. i mean, he had won new hampshire.lina. but this was the big day. this was the delegate haul in the course of this. and he basically met expectations for himself. >> this has been an amazing evening.ve won five major states, and it looks like we could win six or seven or eight or nine. >> the great thing for donald is he accumulating delegates but because the other candidates in the course of this won a certain share, marco rubio and ted cruz, it makes them live another f four candidates live another day, it's helpful for donald trump. >> who's to say that marco rubio is going to win his home state of florida? >> absolutely. so far he's behind in the polls. home state of ohio. but -- >> he's behind in the polls there. some of them. >> this could go to the convention. >> okay. so bill e been trying to stop donald trump for some time. first i guess you were a little bit in denial. >> right. >> but can he be stopped? >> i kind ofdenial. it's generally a healthy psychological stat

once you've got that going in a dangerous. >> i want to bring that to matthew dowd. one of the things we have seen from donald trump, he's proven to be resilient. and this is -- this will be another test right now. there's been a pile on. do his voters bring him back? or is this the beginning of a sprirling down? >> i don't think it is a beginning of a spiraling down. he's been a powerful cant ful ful candidate. he's a deeply flawed candidate. think at every moment this the race, he's had an opportunity to rise faster and gain momentum and start winning going away. but because of his own mistakes, his lack of discipline on certain things, his veering off keeps his cap down in the mid 30s or maybe even 40. that's a problem in the course of this. i think if donald trump had conducted himself and spent time learning policy and maybe didn't say crazy thinks in the course of this, he would be running away with this. he's beginning to cap himself. but, in a race that look like the way it look like, he can pick up a lot of delegates. >> is he still the favorite? >> he's sti

to matthew dowd in austin, texas, you saw in the debate last night that donald trump's opponents did not lay this at his feet. but is this any kind of a danger, these incidents of violence to donald trump's campaign? >> well, it seems like a danger to a lot of people at the rallies. i don't think it's actually going to be a political danger in the course of this. i think donald trump said last night, listen, i discourage this. i don't want this. i think there is some accountability he and his campaign have for creating an environment around these things happen. i think going forward they have to do everything possible to stop this kind of thing from happening. sometimes it does, george, as you know, these things happen but politically it's not going to hurt donald trump right now going into tuesday. >> he praised that debate as an elegant debate, remarkably civil. his opponents mostly pulled their punches last night and i guess they're responding to the criticism of last week's debate. was it an overcorrection? >> i was fascinated. we went from some combination of "game of thrones" a