mbia, another huge winner, too. >> yeah, i suspect they know something politically, where perhaps they will keep the agencies in place longer than people expect, despite the rhetoric you're hearing in washington. >> all right. >> an interesting trade. >> yeah, certainly. and so is japan, continues to be a hedge fund fave, with the nikkei headed for the biggest gain since 1972. will one of the best trades of 2013 work next year? paul richards is head at fsx at ubs. is the trade going to continue to work? >> definitely. it's about to go into a whole new leg, actually. it finally got through parity at 100. that's really important to stock watchers, because the correlation to the nikkei is very real. >> why do you call it a perfect storm for dollar-yen? >> because, for the dollar-yen to go higher, the u.s. dollar to go higher and yen to weaken. you need a dichotomy between the two central banks. i think we could see ms. yellen's first meeting in january represent a start of tapering, very small, maybe 10 billion. it will be contingent on three good payroll numbers, so if we get a good one