like mcsally when she first came. now she's just a trumpite. people like that gotta go. >> you think republicans should fill this supreme court vacancy? >> um, i'm not sure about that. you know, that's kind of a catch-22 for me. >> what makes you say that? what's your fear? >> i don't know. you don't want too much of a majority, right? >> there are some democrats who suggest they would pack the supreme court, meaning they would add on supreme court justices. >> i think roosevelt tried that, didn't he, back in the '30s? that didn't go over too big. no, i don't think so. >> if you guys think that chaos is what we should be seeing over the next month and a half back east, that's exactly the same sentiment on the streets of arizona. as you heard the first gentleman. he voted for president trump in 2016 and he's not voting for him the next time around and believes the next president should have the supreme court decision, and you heard from a democrat, a biden voter, who said he's wary of the democratic idea of court packing, adding justices to the

martha mcsally made a different bet. notwithstanding the fact she wasn't with the president yesterday, she has really tied herself to trump and part of her challenge is on the one hand the phoenix and tucson suburbs have moved away from president trump who did win the suburban vote in the exit polling four years ago but they moved away from trump but arizona's republican base is very, very loyal to trump. so she's trying to thread a needle that may be impossible. she decided to keep herself close to trump and go that route. and i think corey gardner is trying to separate himself from everybody. the challenge he faces is colorado is a blue state for all intents and purposes and any republicans capable of getting a crossover vote and surviving, it would be him because he's skilled and he's in a tough race and it's because the president is not popular in colorado so all of these down ballot republicans are trying to deal with, on the one hand, a republican base loyal to the president, but on the other hand, a suburban votin

senate race between mcsally and challenger kelly may be the most consequential in this supreme court battle. mcsally was apointed and she is running in a special election to hold on to the seat permanently but trailing in the polls. according to the "arizona republic" if mark kelly wins, he could go to washington by the end of november. von winchet is a national reporter and joining us now. thank you for being with us. tell us what is shaping up, how's this race shaping up right now? what's it like from the ground? what are people saying? >> sure. all irndications is that the rae is tightening up. mark kelly as a former astronaut and husband of former representative gabrielle giffords is leading in the polls for months now. martha mcsally appointed following the death of senator mccain is running for the seat and since ginsburg's death she spent time over the weekend talking about how consequential this seat is. i would expect mark kelly to play up how consequential the supreme court pick could have on health care, which is a corn cornerstone to voters and climate change, something t

possibility that the arizona race where the democrat is leading in the polls, if he beats senator mcsally, they would have to see him in a lame

her zone is martha mcsally down six points in her race against former astronaut mark kelly estate president trump one by or points in 2016. david perdue the senator from georgia has only a slim lead in his race within the margin of their in recent polls. perdue won by nearly eight points in his last election. colorado's cory gardner currently losing in his race against colorado governor john hickenlooper by nearly double the margin of president trump lost the state by in 2016. it looks in every instance those candidates, those gop candidates are not running with and in support of president trump and they are making a tremendous

and then later i got to meet him and eventually call him a friend >> reporter: martha mcsally in thet two years since she lost that 2018 race has not been able to separate herself anymore effectively from donald trump than she did in 2018 it's mark kelly running as an independent, much like the time of campaign that kerstin cinema ran. you heard her say chuck schumer is going to have to rip the senate majority out of her cold dead hands she's been consistently down by about ten points ever since she marched this bid against mark kelly last year. >> you were mentioning striking numbers there. we could put one more graphic up that puts in context what you're saying in arizona, what happened in 2016 versus what the poll looks like now the overall poll has biden ahead by four points check out the three key groups 2016 versus now. there you can see it that second line, white voters with a college degree. look at that shift from a trump victory of six points to a double-digit biden advantage, huge shift there down below it, absolutely steady state there, latino voters, clinton why by 30. t

think of susan collins, cory gardner, martha mcsally, three -- maine, colorado, arizona. others say we won't vote before the election. that's romney, mitt romney, for one of them, and also the alaska senator. so you have a couple of things going there that might make it hard for him. of course if he waits until after the election, number one, he might not have the votes. they still would be there but people like collins, let's say she loses, she's likely to say, you know what, now we're going to wait. he has himself a pretty good problem here. he'll know what to do. he's a very smart guy, but either way there are going to be pros and cons on how he goes forward. >> and just to clarify why would voting before or after the presidential election matter since the new congress wouldn't begin until january? >> it's just because he has votes. right now he has the votes. it may be squishy but he has the votes. after the election and in january there's a very good chance the democrats will have the majority. and at that point all bets are off, of course, and the new president, or

martha mcsally is down. you know, they're on the aggressor side here in terms of public opinion. it does seem like they have kind of don't care, right? it does seem like there is a jump together mentality here in terms of getting them to come out, whether it was him or not, publically for this. >> well, i think, you know, again, he's going to be looking at -- mcconnell will look at each of these races. and i think you can almost imagine that he's written off gardener in colorado and mcsally in arizona. so he's not going to change his plan just for them unless he thinks it's going to save them and he probably thinks it won't save them. he's already given collins kind of a bye in maine. the races that will matter in this, it's probably tillis in north carolina, jonie ernst in iowa and danes in montana. if mcconnell thinks those are not endangered by going ahead, he may just gun it, you know, and try to conduct it. i think, though, that in addition to just thinking about each of these races and how it affects each of the races, there is something else he's probably got to think abou

there are some other down in the weeds kind of calculations, for example, martha mcsally's reelection is technically a special election, so they could seat mark kelly if he wins thax would take the number down from four to three republicans needed to thwart mitch mcconnell. all of these things are swirling. the fundamental broad picture here is that president trump is currently losing the election. in no small part because so many americans died due to the mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic. republican senators have control of the senate on the line for a similar set of reasons. this gives president trump an opportunity to try and make the election about something other than coronavirus. it's clear that they're going to try to take that opportunity. of course this is also going to activate democrats who care very much particularly about ruth bader ginsburg's seat. i know pete has more context on all of that. this just turned up the temperature on a campaign season where i don't think any of us thought it could go that much higher. >> i want to ask you about something you just men

martha mcsally, republican frome arizona in a competitive race. she said that they should go ahead and try to fill this seat right away. t if you drop down to say 50/50, you could have haven't mike pence break a tie. we've never had a confirmation broken on a tie with the vice president casting the deciding vote. there was never a deciding vote for any executive branch nomination and the tie broken by the vice president until betsy devos in early 2017. so this is going to be interesting in terms of how thei votes stack up and the -- how fast they can get a nominee, how fast can they do a confirmation hearing and vet the person.fi sometimes they run into issues with these. let's look at what happened with clarence thomas. he was confirmed.t harriet meyers, one was president bush's nominees. her nomination was withdrawn.. you had this with robert bork in the 80s. so just because you have a nominee doesn't mean there's something that means they're guaranteed a slot on the supreme court, especially to do it in a tight turning radius. so the chances of

martha mcsally the republican.e here of a lame duck confirmation potentially if mark kelly wins that senate race, could really scramble what happens after the election. take us through that. >> exactly. forward this confirmation process, steve, they need four republicans it looks like. that's if mark kelly, though, is sworn into office. he won't be sworn in with other senators in january. he would actually be sworn in early because this in arizona is technically a special election to fill the seat that's vacated by john mccain. the senate would have to wait for the official results here in arizona to be certified. that certification day, november 30th. so mark kelly if he were to beat martha mcsally in arizona could be sworn in as early as november 30th which addscconnell and theo get this confirmation prosmoces moving. and that's why this senate race here already had eyes here but now with this added element to it, this is a whole other ball game. i want you to listen to a few voters here who we talked to across p

mcsally was in the lead but 57% of the votes were accounted for. there was still more than 600,000 mail-in votes that hadn't been processed yet so nobody declared any victory two days later on november 8th, more processed mail-in ballots had given the tiniest of leads to sinema. again, no declarations the next day friday, november 9th, the president decided to tweet. in arizona signatures don't match, electoral corruption, call for a new election, we must protect our democracy. the tweet coincidentally came after sinema took the lead but she expanded her lead and on monday mcsally conceded the race sinema won by just over two percentage points. not a landslide but usually a race you can decide on election night. with that i'd like to bring in this morning's panel we have michael waldman, janai nelson and nbc news national security analyst clint watts clint, it's on this topic right there that i want to begin we don't have to speculate whether the president will mess around with the vote count we have evidence that he did it once in 2018, during tha

in arizona we've seen polls with kelly ahead of mcsally at the presidential level a state biden believesn flip it was a trump state by a few points in 2016 arizona critical to the senate math for democrats as well and again, we've seen kelly consistently leading mcsally out there, ali >> yes, listen, so much talk rightfully so about the presidential race but the senate races especially one of the ones you're pointing out are testifily ones to watch. steve kornacki and ali vitale, thank you both tomorrow we have exciting news to share we're getting the road warriors band back together on msnbc for a special report, minnesota becomes one of the first states where people can start voting in person i'm going to be joined after this show by kasie hunt, jacob soboroff katie tur and steve kornacki at 11:00 eastern tomorrow do not miss it >>> after the break, we are headed to the gulf coast where massive flooding has trapped people in pensacola. hundreds of thousands are without power and new updates from the ground. plus with wildfires and toxic air crushing his state oh organize's senator jeff

but she expanded her lead and on monday mcsally conceded the race.ly a race you can decide on election night. with that i'd like to bring in this morning's panel. we have michael waldman, janai nelson and nbc news national security analyst clint watts. clint, it's on this topic right there that i want to begin. we don't have to speculate whether the president will mess around with the vote count. we have evidence that he did it once in 2018, during that arizona senate race, and that's why i wanted to start here. the issue of misinformation and disinformation, i heard it from the board of elections folks we've talked to, we heard it from the election lawyers. this seems to be the greatest concern of this election. >> chuck, it's called the liars dividend, right? once you put the information out there, you set the agenda and then you drive people's perceptions around what reality is. you and i have talked on here a couple of different times. people tend to believe what they hear first and hear the most. you can bet in this campaign coming up on electio

but she expanded her lead and on monday mcsally conceded the race.y just over two percentage points. not a landslide but usually a . not a landslide but normally a race that you can usually decide on election night. we have michael walletman, janay nelson, and nbc news national security clint watts. it's on this topic i want to begin. we don't have to speculate whether the president will mess around with the vote count. we have evidence that he did it once in 2018. the issue of misinformation and disinformation, i heard it from the board of elections folks i talked to. we heard it from the election lawyers, this seems to be the greatest concern of this election. >> it's called the liar's dividend, right. once you put the information out there, you set the agenda. you and i have talked on here a couple of different times. people the end to believe what they hear first, they hear the most. coming up on election night, they're going to be pushing a message of victory, a message of cementing what reality will be for them. this is going to cause such chao

the governor, a popular ,epublican governor of arizona was able to get 180,000 votes that martha mcsallyas not able to get, and they voted for her democratic opponent. it shows your flexibility within the electric that in most states he would not see. david: you mentioned the latino population. ,here are reports some people particularly latinos within the democratic party, are complaining joe biden is not doing enough to win over the vote and maybe president trump is having inroads. do you see that? rick: it is a critically important vote. this may be the first election where latinos outvote african-americans as the largest voting bloc of minorities in the country. certainly in arizona they are becoming more and more influential as their overall per capita number increases as a share of the vote. for sure, it needs to be a primary target for the bided campaign, and also for the trump campaign. we were lucky john mccain always had a close relationship with the latino community and one over 50% of the vote every time he ran in the state, including when he was running for president. it show

independentas an expenditures to lie about martha mcsally.ing that the people of arizona do their own research and do the right thing and elect senator mcsally to the u.s. senate. we lost one of our senate seats, we cannot afford to lose another one. david: what accounts for mark kelly's superior position in the polls? jan: a lot of it comes from his wife, gabby giffords. she was beloved in southern arizona, certainly when i was governor, she was shot in that well notaccident -- accident, purposefully in tucson. she became like a hero. but i served in the legislature with gabby giffords. she is a very nice person but she is liberal. so is mark kelly. you are not going to stand up and be a conservative voice for arizona, for business, for the people. david: we will all be watching arizona in the election for the national election and the senate. thank you for being with us. coming up, balance of power continues on bloomberg radio. we will be talking to catherine baker of the university of chicago about what the problem is with the health unins

susan collins of maine, cory gardner, martha mcsally of indiana.s fall, senate judiciary chair lynndind graham, and graham saying if this scenario were to unfold, the process should wait until the election results. >> i want you to use my words against me. if there's a republican president in 2016 and a vacancy occurs in the last year of the first term, you can say lindsey graham said let's get the next president, whoever it might be, make that nomination. and you can use my words against me, and you'd be absolutely right. we're setting a precedent, republicans are, that in the last year, at least of a lame duck eight-year term, i would say it's going to be a four-year term, that you're not going to fill the vacancy of the supreme court based on what we're doing today. that's going to be the new rule. >> joining me is larry sabato at the university of politics where he's a professor. dr. sabato, that seems to be a new speculation of what the new standard would be. what do you think will unfold? >> oh, they'll find various rationales for ignoring th

susan collins in maine, cory gardner in colorado, martha mcsally in arizona, also perhaps thom tillis in north carolina. so there's a recognition among republicans that even though they're going to move forward and want to do this in the court, it may hurt them in the election on november 3. >> and peter, i wanted to follow up on something that was heard yesterday from the president, when he was asked about justice ginsburg's final wish, her fervent hope dictated to her granddaughter in the presence of doctors, and this is what he had to say. >> i don't know that she said that or was that written out by adam schiff. >> it was reported. >> or schumer or pelosi. i would be more inclined toward the second. it came out of the wind, it sounds to beautiful, but it sounds like a schumer deal or pelosi or shifty schiff. >> and then this rebuttal from justice ginsburg's granddaughter clara spera in a bbc interview released last night. >> i asked her if there was anything she wanted to say to the public, to anyone that wasn't already out there. and she said there was, and i pulled out my comput

so if mcsally loses and kelly comes in early.t's another piece of the dynamic that could change things, yasmin. >> you also said it's sad to see that this issue has become so politicized so quickly just 24 hours or so after the death of justice ginsburg, considering the legacy in which the justice has left behind. >> it was amazing to see chuck schumer's first tweet was not about ginsburg and her legacy. first was about the nominee and how the process should go forward. much mcconnell, similar, he did start a statement with a tribute to justice ginsburg and her legacy but immediately followed with what it looks like. look. that's politics. that happens. it would have been nice to see a few minutes of an honor to what justice ginsburg leaves with us yochl u don't have to agree, but you have to agree she was a path breaker and aligned with the law. >> it really is incredible the legacy she has left behind especially for women and gender equality. i want you to talk about what can be done from the democrats' point of view, because i

i think arizona even if it helps mcsally, i think it's a problem for her because it's another state where they are clear pro-choice majority. those next states, the politics are much more equivocal, whether it's north carolina, georgia, kansas, and montana. any of those i think it is not as clear how this will play out. i will say that it may matter a great deal, jake, what the debate is ultimately about. if it's about abortion, primarily, in states like north carolina, iowa, georgia, that is a jump ball. if it's about protecting people with pre-existing conditions, i think that is a very different policy. and i think that's why you are going to see biden in particular really hammer at this. because at this point, the virtual certainty is that the court will send this lawsuit back to the district court which will come back with a ruling throwing out the entire aca. and sometimes in 2021, this new justice may get to decide whether the aca and its protections for people with preexisting conditions continue. and i think that is ground on which a theresa green field in iowa or a cal cunningha

you'll recall, mcsally filled the vacancy that was left by the late senator john mccain. because it is a special election, mark kelly has the potential to enter the united states senate as soon as the state of arizona certifies, if he were to win, his election victory. the day the state is set to certify the election results is november 30th. that's why that increases a sense of urgency for senate republicans. of course, susan collins and lisa murkowski are the two republicans at this point who have said, craig, that they are going to vote no on the president's nominee, but it is going to take two more republicans. but if mitch mb ccconnell canno get a vote before november 30th, when mark kelly could potentially be sworn in, it'd lower the number to three. i spent the day yesterday across the greater phoenix area talking to voters about the supreme court. what i heard was an engaged electorate. every individual i talked to was familiar with the storyline of r rbg's passing and the scotus fight that's pending. listen to one young voter here. >> very scared. >> reporter: th

so it could help pull a martha mcsally or joni ernst across the line by bringing in republicans who might have been hesitant to vote for them but who will now turn out because they really want that supreme court seat filled after the election and they know that they have to get martha mcsally in there to vote for their conservative nominee after the leak. that seems to be the big debate going on as far as timing.leak. that seems to be the big debate going on as far as timing. i think as a real actual value lid thing that is being discussed out there among republicans who aren't necessarily aligned with the white house and the trump campaign. >> so judge barrett got her interview yesterday, amy coney barrett. she is seen as the front runner. i was told by somebody that wans the president meets barbara lagoa, he may fall in love with her because of her -- over stylistic differences with judge barrett. what are you hearing inside the white house and when do we expect the lagoa interview? >> well, amy coney barrett has been sold to the president as a solid conservative pick, that will really

martha mcsally loses. maybe, donald trump loses. are all these losing republican senators, then going to be in position? i think that would be even worse. and if you do want the american people to have a voice, it should be decided by the people running that are accountable to voters now. >> amanda carpenter, paul begala, appreciate you. thank you. coming up, a former clerk of justice ginsburg is going to share her memories of the liberal icon. but, first, a flashback. >> so, final question. help me finish this sentence. okay? there will be enough female justices on the supreme court when there are? >> you know what the answer is. when there are nine, of course. lysol laundry sanitizer kills 99.9% of bacteria. detergent alone can't. lysol. what it takes to protect. ® got it. it's slippery. nooooo... noooo... nooooo... yeeeesss... quick, the quicker picker upper! bounty picks up messes quicker and each sheet is 2x more absorbent, so you can use less. hey look, i got it. bounty, the quicker picker upper. >>> she was a progressive pion

senator martha mcsally joins us now from the d.c. area.steve. how are you doing today? steve: i'm doing okay. a lot of people are unfamiliar with the fact that your big date is not a november 3rd. you have got a special election going on here and if he wins that just kind of shakes up the snow globe, doesn't it. >> we will make sure that doesn't happen, steve. people know arizona is key for the presidential race. my race is key to keep the senate majority next year but now we're key to ensure that the supreme court nominee goes through and that we're able to shift the court for generations to come. so we're ground zero here in arizona. we are neck in neck. and my opponent came out and said he would be with schumer to delay and get some liberal activist judge on the bench. so the stakes have just gone up in our race in particular. we're a dead heat right now. it's bad ground and we love everybodiens support. mcsally for senate.com. steve: yep. i saw a poll that came out today where you are a dead heat. that's what you are talking about whic

martha mcsally, susan collins, which there is a lot then we have opportunities in alabama, a breakout candidate doing incredibly well. they are not just trying to hold our seats but we are trying to pick up seats as well. >> i don't want to make the candidates think that i'm worried about the race. i feel good about what they are doing but certainly some of these will be neck and neck. >> host: we've been looking at the reelection campaign. do you have what is needed in terms of money for advertising and the final push? >> guest: we absolutely have the resources we need. the difference is we have raised record money and more than the dnc since the beginning of 2019. we've been investing and that's why you are seeing stories like republicans are out registering democrats because having that game understanding you can't pop up a week before and train 2 million volunteers on-the-fly, having people trained to talk to the neighbors is so impactful and we have been building that for years so i feel good about where we are on the infrastructure side of things and the campaign will have the r

republican incumbent martha mcsally never won the seat.ace as we mentioned last night from mark kelly, the husband of the state's former congresswoman gabby giffords. in the most recent poll, kelly is ahead by nine points. if that poll proves to be correct and kelly wins on november 3rd, the rules of the special election means he would take up his seat in the senate as early as november 30th. so, that's where we are headed — arizona, the latest stop in our series, battleground voices. isaid i said that wrong, he's ahead. he is ahead, she is behind. let's go to arizona. radio whb. brian mudd show is on. newsradio 610, wiod. yvonne wingett—sanchez, national political reporter for the arizona republicjoins us now from phoenix. he is ahead by nine points. does that feel about right from where you're sitting? no, it seems a little too high for me. the race has clearly tightened over the last several weeks as we barreled towards the november three election, but by all accounts and measures over the la st all accounts and measures over the last s

it has been leaning more blue lately. >> the senator mcsally is a veteran herself. the president is looking forward to going across the country and will be in arizona and other states. >> harris: kayleigh mcenany. great to see you. thank you very much. >> good to see you. >> harris: well, we are awaiting the grand jury recommendation in the police killing of breonna taylor. as well as an announcement on possible charges for the police officers involved. police in louisville meanwhile brace for the protests. we are live there with several reporters. city lawmakers overriding a mayor's veto. on a bill to slash the police funding. what they say why they say this is the beginning. group of the g.o.p. lawmakers urging the f.b.i. to investigate the funding connected to recent riots. georgia congressman doug collins joins me next. this message is for spouses of veterans with a va loan. with just one call to newday you can cut your family's mortgage payments by $3000 a year. the va streamline refi is a benefit your spouse earned. it shortens the refi process so veteran fami

i would be very surprised if she were to support senator mcsally in that race.e're going to see this statement. i don't know that you'll see her become a number one surrogate on the campaign trail. i think she's an effective voice for joe biden when it comes to republicans. there's already a lot of mccain alumni, staffers, and others who have pledged their support for joe biden's campaign, so we'll have to see. >> ana sanger and joe palmer, thank you very much for all of your reporting. >>> the city of louisville is on education waiting an announcement into the investigation of the deadly police shooting of breonna taylor. we have the details for you, next. i'm making pizza on king's hawaiian mini subs. yum! king's hawaiian. tonight, i'll be eating a veggie cheeseburger on ciabatta, no tomatoes.. [hard a] tonight... i'll be eating four cheese tortellini with extra tomatoes. [full emphasis on the soft a] so its come to this? [doorbell chimes] thank you. [doorbell chimes] bravo. careful, hamill. daddy's not here to save you. oh i am my daddy. wait, what? what are

in arizona polls show the democrat mark kelly leading incumbent senator martha mcsally it's pretty obviousretty early when you get into space that we're all kind of in this together kelly husband of former congresswoman gabby giffords is a former astronaut and gun control activists he's already said it will raise taxes in north carolina republican thom tillis is taking aim at his challenger in the last several elections. the state has gone from solidly red to light blue challenger cal cunningham is polling even with tell us would put money in the air so of working people and parents as they raise children veteran senator susan collins is facing what may be her toughest reelection battle in maine, susan collins has been named the most bipartisan u.s. senator democrat sara gideon is trying to hang around collins's neck votes to confirm supreme court justice brett kavanaugh and to acquit president trump during his impeachment. >>in south carolina lindsey graham is facing challenger, jaime harrison, a younger candidate raising a boatload of money the race is considered a toss-up elsewhere the

chairman. >> thank you, very much, senator mcsally. okay. it's now time for us to hear from our witnesses. who i will, briefly, introduce here in a moment. you may notice some members will be filing in and out. they've called a vote. members will be going in and out to vote. and i will have to do that, at one point or another. but in the meantime, i'll introduce the witnesses. we have two witnesses joining us, in person, today. the first is chris french, the deputy chief of the u.s. forest service. welcome, sir. and the second is amanda castor, acting -- the acting assistant secretary for lands and minerals at the u.s. department of the interior. welcome, ms. castor. joining us, virtually, are three witnesses. mr. mike dunn, a representative of the base and stewardship council in oregon here to testify on s 2828. the empowerment for the act. board member of the heritage waters coalition new mexico who will testify on s 3670. the mh dutch salmon greater hela wild and scenic river act. and ms. jamie crockett, who will testify on s 3670, the mh

collins along with colorado senator cory gardner and arizona senator martha mcsally are currently behind in their races and could lose their seats if they're forced to confirm an ultra conservative supreme court nominee. other vulnerable senators include north carolina's thom tillis, who seems comfortable moving ahead. >> the timing's up to the president. i intend to vote for the nominee. >> reporter: and south a dead h race against his challenger and who famously criticized his own party when they held up president barack obama's nomination of judge merrick garland. >> if there's a republican president in 2016 and a vacancy occurs in the last year of the first term, you can say lindsey graham says let's let the next president, whoever it might be, make the next nomination, and you could use my words against me and you'd be absolutely right. >> reporter: president trump says he plans on nominating a woman to replace ginsburg and will likely make his pick next week. sergio quintana, nbc bay area news. >>> in pleasanton, supporters of president trump gathered for a truck rally. it was plan

mar this mcsally. susan collins, those are three that everybody acknowledges, thom tillis, obviously, joni ernst. and this then we've got pickup opportunities in alabama with tuberville, john james is a breakout candidate in michigan, doing incredibly well against gary peters. so, we're not just trying to hold our seats, we're actually looking to pick up seats as well. >> but what worries you the most of those races. what are you most concerned of. >> i can't say that, i don't want to make our candidates think i'm worried about their race. i feel good about what we're doing in all of these states. i feel good about the ground game. but certainly, some of these are going to be neck and neck until election day. >> and we have been looking at numbers coming from the president's reelection campaign. do you have financially what the party needs? does the president have what he needs in terms of advertising and the final push? >> we absolutely have the resources we need to get through this campaign. the diff

so a senator tillis, senator mcsally in these states where they are lagging the president by a few points, if the supreme court nomination is still an open issue on election day, that could give conservatives extra motivation to go out and vote for mcsally or tillis because they know if they don't, they might be risking losing this conservative seat on the supreme court that they want. so many factors and pieces at play here about how the politics of this all shape out. but those are some of the considerations i'm hearing from the white house. >> i want to let our viewers know as senator mcconnell is speaking, he's been reading a list of quotes essentially from democratic senators saying opposite positions than what they're saying now, democrats, of course, have defended that, republicans have also said things that are different from what they're saying now, bob costa, you've been reporting on all of this. i know that all of this is developing in just the last couple of minutes as it relates to senator romney and the new math calculations. but tell me what you're hearing from folks that y

martha mcsally, susan collins, i think those are three that everybody acknowledges -- tom tellis. obviously, joni ernst. we have pickup opportunities in alabama. john james is a breakout candidate in michigan, doing incredibly well. we are not just trying to hold our seats. we are looking to pick up seats as well. host: what worries you the most. -- most? guest: i can't say that. i don't want to make our candidates think i'm worried about their race. i feel good about the ground game, certainly some of these are going to be gained. the: we've been looking at numbers coming from the president's reelection campaign. do you have financially what the party needs for advertising and the final push? guest: we absolutely have the resources we need to get through this campaign. the difference is we have raised record money and more than the dnc since the beginning of 2019. we have been investing in a ground game. that is why you are seeing stories like, republicans are out-registering democrats in north carolina, because having that ground game and understanding can't pop up a ground game

but come november, their power as seung was saying could be at risk and marketia mcsally of arizona and cory gardner in colorado with their races leaning toward the democrats and could be a toss-up for david perdue of georgia, joanie ernst ofey, susan collins of maine and tom till of nyse b north carolina and even lindsey graham and kelly loeffler. those lean republicans. th democrats are going to be health care, health care, health care, how does this affect the senate map? carl: i think we're trying to game that out and so are the people who run these campaigns. there's two schools of thought here. but that it's probably not a great situation for cory gardner in colorado who's in big trouble in a state that doesn't like trump. arizona may already be lost. susan collins of course was at the center of the kavanaugh fight. some people think, well, maybe this can help susan collins who is opposed to moving forward schmo -- separate herself from trumprom trump. but we'll have to see about that. people think it could help symptom lagging republicans, thom tillis in north carolina, and i've

senator susan collins in may, colorado senator cory gardner, and arizona senator martha mcsally. they along with a few other republican senators who are losing about their seats and losing the senate majority, could decide to slow down a nomination. pushing through a supreme court nominee under the current circumstances may also not be in the best interests of supreme court chief justice john roberts. >> he does not want this to happen. i'm not saying he wants a democratic appointee. he does not want an appointment to come through this political food fight right now. >> reporter: still stanford law professor robert weisberg says he wouldn't be surprised if a senate vote on a replacement for ginsburg happens within the next six weeks. sergio quintana, nbc bay area news. >> the death of ruth bader ginsburg is the top story on nbcbayarea.com right now. we have a photo gallery of unforgettable moments over the years, also a look back at some of the justice's biggest cases. again, that's all at nbcbayarea.com. >>> and it's not just the fog that we're watching in the forecast. it's the

republicans have said they're signed on with mcconnell-- joni ernst in iowa, tillis in north carolina, mcsally in arizona-- and so, what we don't know is, are there four republicans in the senate, apart from susan collins, who said she would prefer to wait, lisa murkowski, who said she doesn't think there should be a vote 'til the new president is chosenchuck grassley, former chairman of the judiciary committee, has also said that-- but that leaves only three if they all do that. many, many other republicans have done a complete 180 around their position back in 2016 when they said no vote in a presidential year. and so, it's going to be up to mcconnell in the next day or two to decide, does he want to try a vote now, or does he want to wait 'til after the election and do it in a lame duck session? >> sreenivasan: and things could get contentious. i mean, democrats wouldn't like this idea. >> if trump wins in november, this issue essentially goes away. because even if the democrats were to wind up taking the senate, the lame duck republicans in november could sa look, the people chose trump, i

it's terrible for martha mcsally in the suburbs of phoenix.ericans are more split on whether they call themselves plro life or pro choice. but only 23% wanted roe v. wade to be overturned. how does this help republicans? how does this help mitch mcconnell? >> i don't know that it necessarily, does but what mcconnell is going to try to look at, and what he's going to try to game plan with the white house is to see which of those potential nominees might possibly help them in a couple of red states where they're going to rely on the turnout of an enthusiastic base. and, you know, whether that will work or not, i don't really know. whether it will help donald trump, i don't really know. i think the expectation of the trump campaign is that we're going to change the subject. we'll have all this discussion about the supreme court. we're not going to talk about coronavirus. we're not going to talk about the millions and millions of unemployed. we're not going to talk about the 200,000 deaths. i think the american people are locked into that. and i d

rank them in terms of the ones most at risk for republicans and you'd start in arizona where martha mcsallyd to that position is now defending the seat there, has trailed in all of the polls pretty much this entire year has also been outraised in terms of kelly, former astronaut running against them. many places like colorado and maine you have good candidates but the electorate have simply shifted a lot or in the case of maine where susan collins is running again for reelection, is a strong into feet towards donald trump which is weighing them down and the rest of these races i think the republicans have a good shot at keeping thes but it's going to depend on the broader race and president trump because it has become the case that senate tend to rise and fall based on the top of the ticket is dealing so we don't have a lot of ticket splitting so if he does well, you're likely to see the rest of these publicans when if he doesn't, they are in trouble. paul: dan, this lack of ticket splitting we've seen, people simply don't do that as much as they used to and a senator like susan collins, sh

look at chuck grassley, and then the arizona race, between mcsalary amcsa mcsally.s enormously significant, but i don't think it's surprising, i'm looking at what chuck grassley said, that he would follow the biden rule in 1986, emphasized by him in 1992. you can't have a rule for democratic presidents and then republican presidents. are you surprised romney hasn't made a statement yet? >> i suspect he's seriously deliberating this. he has been very serious. he has, as we all know, he has taken very serious and important votes that are matters of deep conscience for him, but it frankly won't surprise me if mitt romney were spoke support the furtherance of mitch mcconnell's path, because judges continue to unite republicans. >> it's an excuse and a very powerful one -- >> i resent that, but i will discuss that after. go ahead and make your point. >> the important point is mruczkowski has -- let's do this and decide after the election. then, look, if donald trump wins, then i don't think anybody wouldn't say it's completely free and clear. if biden wins, that's a diff

what are you finding there on the senate race side between mark kelly and martha mcsally and the presidentialona a trump state in 2016 this is a monmouth poll just out today in arizona biden is ahead by 4 points, 48% to 44% what is driving that advantage it was a 3.5 win there in 2016 let's compare three big groups in arizona in 2016 white voters without a degree, big margin for trump white voters with a degree trump won narrowly this added up to a trump vict y victory. trump is now trailing in the polls. what has changed there it is. donald trump bigger advantage with white voters without a college degree from a 6-point advantage to double digit deficit think of maricopa county and the suburbs. >> ivanka trump was in that state yesterday. joe biden has yet to travel there in person despite the positive numbers in some perspective creating a vacuum that trump and his allies have sought to fill. what do you make of the state of that race between the numbers we saw from steve and the fact that ivanka trump is heading there to narrow that gap? >> when he sees that he's losing, he sees states lik

. >> senator susan collins in maine, colorado senator corey gardner and arizona senator martha mcsallyey along with a few other republican senators who are worried about their seats and losing the senate majority could decide to slow down a nomination, pushing through a supreme court nominee under the current circumstances may also not be in the best interest of supreme court chief justice john roberts. >> he does not want this to happen. i'm not saying he wants a democratic appointee. he does not want an appointment to come through this political food fight right now. >> still, stanford law professor robert weisberg says he wouldn't be surprised if a senate vote on a replacement for ginsburg happens within the next six weeks. >>> we have a photo gallery of justice ruth bader ginsburg's life and legacy. it's our top story on nbc bay area.com. >>> it is 7:38 on your saturda shift gears a little bit. giants and a's going head to head. high stakes on the line. sports is next. ♪ ♪ i got it all from you ♪ i'm always pushing through ♪ i know we'll make it on the other side ♪ u're g ♪ i'm lik