that's in fact traditionalist socialist voters who, for tactical reasons, seem to be support menchon. so the gains made remain quite so when once talks about a surge, i think it's a limited surge. overall, one should say that the total remains at a low, around 26, 28%, which is amazingly low. but thee in fact who -- the main thing still to assess and a significantat fraction of socialist voters moving toto be macron, so menchon might be in a position, but there's still some way to go to catch others. is all --k all that not very important in the end. what matters in the french presidential election is to round. for the second only the first two candidates in through.ound can go so they're still very far thend, if one believes current polls. >> and in terms of that second round, all the polls at the likely to bet it's the centrist, emmanuel macron, against the far right, marine le pen. do you see that as inevitable, or are the polls going to be... a political scientist, i have, of course, to be cautious caution on the part of anyone serving and commenting on it's beenion, because an el