he's michael farr, president of investment firm farr, miller and washington and author of "the arrogance cycle." it's great to see you, welcome back to "nightly business report". >> thank you tom, always nice to be here. >> tom: if arrogance led us here, humility gets it out. does that mean a more modest investment strategy? >> i think a tempered investment strategy is always adviseable. but if you start feel, if you get a little too far out over your skis and feel like you can't lose, you're in a very dangerous position. so a little bit of humility when you're making an investment decision or any big decision will leave you in better stead. >> tom: what do you make of the market here, are we too far out on the skis? >> this kind of bounceback rally strikes me as a classic bear market rally. we touched into bear market territory about 20, 21 trading days ago and since then we've seen a 14% straight up rally. you see these kind of violent ralies, if you want to buy low and sell high, we're not low any more, so i'd be very cautious at these levels. >> tom: so would you be looking to sell s