. >> reporter: michael leiter who, until july, ran the national counterterrorism center, says al qaeda, now run by ayman al- zawahiri, is critically wounded. is that network still capable of a large-scale attack? >> really the ranks of al qaeda in pakistan have been very seriously thinned. so i think they can still pull off an attack, but i think it's much less likely that they could pull off a catastrophic attack like 9/11. >> reporter: beyond losing operatives, al qaeda is also losing some popular support. >> over time, al qaeda's message is resonating less and less. al qaeda's methods of attacks, suicide bombings against innocents, is becoming less and less popular. >> reporter: but the bin laden network is not dead, and we were reminded of that just last week when overseas intelligence picked up a tip of a possible attack around the tenth anniversary of 9/11. u.s. officials still cannot dismiss that threat. the greater danger, though, may now come from al qaeda franchises across africa and the gulf region. there are threats from somalia where nearly 50 americans have joined the fig